Weekly structural research ยท SHZ ยท Utilities

300982 Stage Analysis

Suwen Electric Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 14.33Tenure EstablishedBenchmark 399001.SZ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and contracting.
Direction -65โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 64/100directional strength
Maturity 78/100lifecycle context
Confidence 91/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Widecontracting separation
Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -26.8%CNY 19.58 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0914.3317.98-17.213737360Downward Expansion-6564
2026-10-0214.3318.40-19.124214953Downward Expansion-6780
2026-09-2514.3418.74-22.067400214Downward Expansion-6977
2026-09-1814.1719.07-25.1611856643Downward Expansion-7481
2026-09-1114.0919.37-25.128029789Downward Expansion-7977
2026-09-0414.8919.63-21.672562813Downward Expansion-5455
2026-08-2814.8919.81-24.521897034Downward Expansion-5556
2026-08-2114.7820.07-26.431723900Downward Expansion-6862
2026-08-1415.4920.35-24.952038308Downward Expansion-6573
2026-08-0715.1520.60-27.062716000Downward Expansion-6780
2026-07-3114.6420.77-26.412212133Downward Expansion-6986
2026-07-2413.9920.93-31.312067400Downward Expansion-7989
2026-07-1714.3521.12-29.973901540Downward Expansion-8191
2026-07-1015.5621.35-31.642573281Downward Expansion-7590
2026-07-0316.4721.46-30.796275185Downward Expansion-7187
2026-06-2615.4321.52-36.456263546Rotation Down-8689
2026-06-1916.8821.59-32.1815222770Rotation Down-5670
2026-06-1217.6021.70-24.844297840Rotation Down-5259
2026-06-0520.5821.78-14.696306831Deceleration-2026
2026-05-2921.6421.73-12.1841515822Deceleration77
2026-05-2221.5721.66-12.8130274819Deceleration85
2026-05-1522.4021.56-9.4962964150Deceleration179
2026-05-0823.0621.46-7.0225805594Deceleration1910
2026-05-0123.1521.33-3.9449400229Deceleration1713
2026-04-2421.1521.20-11.2423962648Deceleration1119
2026-04-1722.5421.12-5.1819045082Deceleration2622
2026-04-1022.2521.01-2.6119896197Upward Expansion3219
2026-04-0320.8920.91-2.1127079963Upward Expansion3224
2026-03-2723.7820.848.1135648793Upward Expansion6055
2026-03-2025.0920.7313.2934886429Upward Expansion6269
2026-03-1326.8020.5517.8088862499Upward Expansion7772
2026-03-0624.4520.328.6944298666Upward Expansion6756
2026-02-2724.2620.155.5933389647Upward Expansion6942
2026-02-1323.3320.014.4570831088Upward Expansion6437
2026-02-0621.8019.91-0.9323770924Upward Expansion5538
2026-01-3020.4719.89-8.9433458314Upward Expansion5756
2026-01-2322.4619.80-1.9138801090Upward Expansion6367
2026-01-1623.1419.652.1049896316Upward Expansion7469
2026-01-0923.0519.452.9570401575Balance7460
2026-01-0220.1919.25-5.7723217699Balance5134
2025-12-2619.6519.16-9.0024233300Balance3524
2025-12-1919.6119.07-6.2930290374Balance4222
2025-12-1221.2018.960.1259693827Balance5924
2025-12-0519.0618.80-9.4419419450Balance-1615
2025-11-2818.0218.70-13.5910858040Balance-1615
2025-11-2117.6318.62-12.7816149624Deceleration-22
2025-11-1420.1218.53-5.8922775028Deceleration5533
2025-11-0720.0818.36-7.6026480411Deceleration4623
2025-10-3118.9818.18-12.6818922249Deceleration3014
2025-10-2419.6118.11-9.4618788255Deceleration3819
2025-10-1718.5818.02-10.5527341847Deceleration1510
2025-10-1019.2817.99-12.118517415Deceleration2212
2025-10-0319.3217.93-13.3911152044Deceleration3215
2025-09-2619.3617.86-11.5919741311Deceleration3216
2025-09-1918.4517.78-15.1813034295Deceleration3018
2025-09-1219.3117.76-10.6713808366Deceleration3824
2025-09-0519.4017.68-8.2518174730Deceleration4028
2025-08-2918.8617.59-11.8430754132Upward Expansion4231
2025-08-2220.3317.50-1.2132363062Upward Expansion6243
2025-08-1519.7617.380.2526325820Upward Expansion5643
2025-08-0819.7817.254.6821614817Upward Expansion6153
2025-08-0119.5417.104.5720251618Upward Expansion6475
2025-07-2519.8416.994.3137419650Upward Expansion6577
2025-07-1820.3916.949.5357346300Upward Expansion8082
2025-07-1121.1516.8715.93142186498Rotation Up9282
2025-07-0417.9016.81-0.0315075792Rotation Up3945
2025-06-2717.8416.830.6611625944Rotation Up3040
2025-06-2017.1716.840.1715930030Balance1824
2025-06-1317.0816.86-1.7916559685Balance1522
2025-06-0617.4316.90-0.8928475933Balance-618
2025-05-3017.1516.94-1.4326213236Downward Expansion-1216
2025-05-2316.1416.96-8.6510220580Downward Expansion-3619
2025-05-1616.3417.08-8.617965756Downward Expansion-4328
2025-05-0916.2117.13-9.279187460Downward Expansion-5960
2025-05-0215.5717.19-11.399121220Downward Expansion-6476
2025-04-2515.0117.33-14.927786702Downward Expansion-7078
2025-04-1814.9217.40-14.518484820Downward Expansion-7271
2025-04-1114.7317.40-16.2120226192Balance-7256
2025-04-0416.9517.40-8.968853491Balance-3014
2025-03-2816.7917.34-12.1113471020Balance-2011
2025-03-2117.6917.29-8.4122317125Balance2115
2025-03-1417.5517.18-11.9921952000Balance1012
2025-03-0717.0517.13-13.9713378100Balance18
2025-02-2817.0617.09-12.6316697041Balance-18
2025-02-2117.8517.07-12.3621572040Balance68
2025-02-1416.8017.03-16.2114073760Rotation Down-2216
2025-02-0716.6517.02-16.0611020190Rotation Down-1828
2025-01-3116.3717.02-14.652603110Rotation Down-2149
2025-01-2416.7217.02-14.8429008873Rotation Down-2145
2025-01-1715.7517.06-20.029005152Rotation Down-2647
2025-01-1015.2317.14-21.2112275539Balance-3131
2025-01-0316.3717.29-17.4123286190Balance159
2024-12-2718.3717.36-15.2519269797Balance4727
2024-12-2018.3817.47-16.1626711926Balance4726
2024-12-1319.1917.55-13.9824718866Balance3019
2024-12-0618.6117.57-18.0824205793Balance1412
2024-11-2918.0317.65-20.2914035222Balance1111
2024-11-2217.7017.62-21.5018322484Rotation Up1312
2024-11-1518.4017.58-22.0528950046Rotation Up1922
2024-11-0818.7017.51-24.6226720386Rotation Up2426
2024-11-0117.6317.47-24.9735902303Rotation Up2235
2024-10-2519.6317.49-18.6837529640Rotation Up3745
2024-10-1818.0917.44-23.8823323119Rotation Up1934
2024-10-1118.0317.51-22.7137326486Rotation Up1728
2024-10-0419.7417.62-19.9811198796Rotation Up318
2024-09-2717.1517.65-23.7717706828Downward Expansion-4132
2024-09-2014.9117.78-22.725558631Downward Expansion-6569
2024-09-1314.7617.98-23.4811708375Downward Expansion-7076
2024-09-0614.9618.10-24.697294673Downward Expansion-7075
2024-08-3015.3418.20-25.7910009714Downward Expansion-6468
2024-08-2314.5218.45-29.469013001Downward Expansion-7667
2024-08-1615.8218.90-25.869739629Downward Expansion-6446
2024-08-0915.9619.39-26.7516519560Downward Expansion-6548
2024-08-0216.4519.80-27.0212468998Downward Expansion-6047
2024-07-2616.7520.29-27.4811381068Downward Expansion-6058
2024-07-1916.4220.67-32.7212161239Downward Expansion-6465
2024-07-1216.5421.04-33.2214534860Downward Expansion-6660
2024-07-0516.5721.44-33.0117144678Downward Expansion-6550
2024-06-2817.8721.89-30.0917510594Balance-4834
2024-06-2117.9422.34-32.5521089109Balance-4524
2024-06-1419.7522.92-28.3919668325Balance-1715
2024-06-0718.7023.29-33.2141163888Downward Expansion-2320
2024-05-3121.5923.65-24.9274411523Downward Expansion-1726
2024-05-2420.7923.90-29.1042894992Downward Expansion-3527
2024-05-1719.7824.16-35.2362723605Downward Expansion-4535
2024-05-1021.0824.51-31.8748502629Downward Expansion-6252
2024-05-0317.1324.84-44.419283145Downward Expansion-6681
2024-04-2616.4825.28-46.4916067985Downward Expansion-7281
2024-04-1916.0925.77-47.3823607458Downward Expansion-7883
2024-04-1217.7326.34-42.3820510539Downward Expansion-7068
2024-04-0518.2226.89-43.5212300801Downward Expansion-6957
2024-03-2917.9627.49-44.1922322063Downward Expansion-7255
2024-03-2220.1328.23-39.3619988267Downward Expansion-6350
2024-03-1521.3628.96-36.8332412603Downward Expansion-6053
2024-03-0820.8229.75-37.6219698604Downward Expansion-6471
2024-03-0121.1230.52-38.0123502273Downward Expansion-6687
2024-02-2320.7231.47-37.3422361185Downward Expansion-6787
2024-02-0918.3132.55-43.5624128534Downward Expansion-8592
2024-02-0218.0833.66-39.6229433926Downward Expansion-9082
2024-01-2622.7234.64-30.9547586329Downward Expansion-8456
2024-01-1928.2635.43-15.0215665522Downward Expansion-6136
2024-01-1230.2736.16-11.6620793383Downward Expansion-5537
2024-01-0528.2736.73-18.6514000559Downward Expansion-6852
2023-12-2931.1137.40-14.4121550981Downward Expansion-6255
2023-12-2228.2237.97-19.9015026690Downward Expansion-6876
2023-12-1527.6838.67-22.9910255411Downward Expansion-7866
2023-12-0828.3539.19-22.8111403427Downward Expansion-7554
2023-12-0130.1239.67-19.6512417088Downward Expansion-5240
2023-11-2431.3440.16-17.6525566734Downward Expansion-4539
2023-11-1735.3740.62-8.6144428911Downward Expansion-5050
2023-11-1030.9040.93-20.2515666596Downward Expansion-6670
2023-11-0329.5741.44-22.9518891408Downward Expansion-6884
2023-10-2729.0642.10-23.8613435660Downward Expansion-7387
2023-10-2028.4242.77-24.1810742306Downward Expansion-8090
2023-10-1330.4243.45-22.9712466803Downward Expansion-7288
2023-09-2930.9844.18-21.9710780769Downward Expansion-7288
Price vs TrendBelow-20.3%
Trend directionFalling-13.4%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-26.8%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+1.9%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-17.2%
Relative strength directionImproving+14.4%
Price momentumNegative-35.6%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.41ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-65 / ยฑ100

+13.6 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

64 /100

-13.3 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance15
Rotation Up30
Upward Expansion12
Deceleration55
Rotation Down53
Downward Expansion85

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 18%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 12%Deceleration 13%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 45%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-07-032026-10-09Established-13.0%
Rotation Down2026-06-122026-06-26New-12.3%
Deceleration2026-04-172026-06-05Developing-8.7%
Upward Expansion2026-01-162026-04-10Developing-3.8%
Balance2025-11-282026-01-09Developing+27.9%
Deceleration2025-09-052025-11-21Developing-9.1%
Upward Expansion2025-07-182025-08-29Developing-7.5%
Rotation Up2025-06-272025-07-11New+18.6%
Balance2025-06-062025-06-20New-1.5%
Downward Expansion2025-04-182025-05-30Developing+15.0%
Balance2025-02-212025-04-11Developing-17.5%
Rotation Down2025-01-172025-02-14Developing+6.7%
Balance2024-11-292025-01-10Developing-15.6%
Rotation Up2024-10-042024-11-22Developing-10.3%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing69
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution1
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
77/100
Current Relative Strength
-17.21
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-35.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-23.9%
Utilities regime cohort
66th percentile32 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.55ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.41ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 14.29falling
Slow Activity CNY 16.08falling
Trend Reference CNY 17.98-20.3% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 19.58-26.8% close margin
Structural low CNY 13.82shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +4.9%
Annualized volatility +36.9%
From structural high -50.0%
From structural low +3.7%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 399001.SZ Regime survived Read
Near term20-2.2%-39.5% to +24.5%+45.0%+55.0%-0.1%+90.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate7-13.0%-32.6% to +36.7%+42.9%+57.1%-9.6%+71.4%Usable descriptive sample
Extended4-8.1%-47.5% to +24.6%+50.0%+50.0%-15.9%+50.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2-19.5%-61.9% to +23.0%+50.0%+50.0%-35.4%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context