Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Communication Services

LILAK Stage Analysis

Liberty Latin America Ltd Class C

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 8.12Tenure EstablishedBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction 47−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 42/100directional strength

Maturity 88/100lifecycle context

Confidence 88/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +61.0%USD 5.04 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	8.12	6.68	20.66	9104326	Upward Expansion	47	42
2026-10-02	8.50	6.57	27.32	6972092	Upward Expansion	61	55
2026-09-25	8.49	6.45	28.78	7396015	Upward Expansion	63	58
2026-09-18	8.40	6.33	32.39	8227457	Upward Expansion	64	56
2026-09-11	8.73	6.22	39.87	4077191	Upward Expansion	72	62
2026-09-04	8.45	6.09	35.85	6691504	Upward Expansion	67	63
2026-08-28	8.48	5.98	37.72	4973568	Upward Expansion	70	70
2026-08-21	8.39	5.85	37.72	9595484	Upward Expansion	71	74
2026-08-14	8.49	5.73	36.78	6200420	Upward Expansion	79	79
2026-08-07	8.39	5.61	37.61	6804109	Upward Expansion	83	84
2026-07-31	8.07	5.47	40.06	6843028	Upward Expansion	82	87
2026-07-24	7.44	5.35	30.89	5799442	Upward Expansion	69	88
2026-07-17	7.33	5.26	27.99	6773322	Upward Expansion	72	89
2026-07-10	7.23	5.18	21.94	7555001	Upward Expansion	77	87
2026-07-03	7.63	5.12	31.91	8784443	Upward Expansion	91	89
2026-06-26	7.07	5.05	24.27	18404436	Upward Expansion	85	74
2026-06-19	4.79	4.99	-18.99	9953072	Balance	22	16
2026-06-12	5.57	5.01	-3.34	3401647	Balance	63	40
2026-06-05	5.17	4.99	-7.91	5078662	Balance	23	13
2026-05-29	5.06	4.98	-13.57	4085907	Balance	5	14
2026-05-22	4.96	4.98	-12.73	4192892	Balance	2	14
2026-05-15	4.52	4.99	-19.35	3419124	Balance	-22	17
2026-05-08	4.83	5.01	-14.13	4412379	Rotation Up	27	16
2026-05-01	5.22	5.01	-1.87	3068036	Rotation Up	54	44
2026-04-24	5.31	5.01	1.64	2311786	Rotation Up	28	44
2026-04-17	5.42	5.00	6.23	2766696	Balance	25	42
2026-04-10	5.11	4.99	6.60	3838933	Balance	11	27
2026-04-03	5.26	4.98	14.95	3750012	Balance	19	25
2026-03-27	5.21	4.97	18.65	4166263	Balance	18	11
2026-03-20	4.84	4.97	6.89	6474597	Balance	-29	12
2026-03-13	4.80	4.97	3.77	7150335	Balance	-28	13
2026-03-06	4.97	4.98	6.16	3321421	Balance	-20	12
2026-02-27	4.90	4.97	3.44	4906743	Balance	-24	15
2026-02-20	5.00	4.96	5.23	5176021	Balance	-21	15
2026-02-13	4.82	4.93	2.52	2455950	Balance	-4	7
2026-02-06	4.99	4.90	4.73	2768789	Balance	-4	5
2026-01-30	4.80	4.87	-1.04	4152029	Rotation Down	-25	26
2026-01-23	4.76	4.84	-2.09	4596794	Rotation Down	-29	44
2026-01-16	4.68	4.81	-3.48	5406064	Rotation Down	-22	40
2026-01-09	4.42	4.77	-9.70	5617247	Balance	-31	35
2026-01-02	4.52	4.74	-5.84	2413448	Balance	-7	18
2025-12-26	4.69	4.69	-4.13	2396058	Upward Expansion	15	9
2025-12-19	4.96	4.64	2.66	6665407	Upward Expansion	51	34
2025-12-12	5.30	4.58	10.47	3203086	Upward Expansion	57	46
2025-12-05	5.52	4.51	13.09	3787622	Upward Expansion	68	49
2025-11-28	5.40	4.42	12.07	2883398	Upward Expansion	66	40
2025-11-21	5.14	4.35	12.06	3114671	Upward Expansion	46	27
2025-11-14	5.10	4.30	7.58	3498173	Upward Expansion	46	31
2025-11-07	4.91	4.24	3.61	5639093	Upward Expansion	44	33
2025-10-31	4.89	4.18	-0.34	4425863	Upward Expansion	56	38
2025-10-24	5.39	4.13	10.72	2558980	Upward Expansion	75	54
2025-10-17	5.14	4.08	7.01	2522560	Upward Expansion	65	50
2025-10-10	4.79	4.05	1.13	4429423	Upward Expansion	61	49
2025-10-03	5.21	4.03	6.65	3415343	Upward Expansion	71	57
2025-09-26	5.18	3.99	6.37	5315894	Upward Expansion	73	58
2025-09-19	4.99	3.96	1.09	6989226	Upward Expansion	67	58
2025-09-12	4.72	3.94	-3.09	6263252	Upward Expansion	66	62
2025-09-05	5.05	3.93	4.32	4466457	Upward Expansion	70	86
2025-08-29	5.09	3.90	5.24	6731517	Upward Expansion	77	90
2025-08-22	5.02	3.85	2.75	5345821	Upward Expansion	80	92
2025-08-15	4.93	3.83	-0.71	9930311	Rotation Up	85	93
2025-08-08	4.93	3.80	-1.29	15929822	Rotation Up	64	78
2025-08-01	4.39	3.77	-9.57	7321460	Rotation Up	42	62
2025-07-25	4.20	3.75	-16.58	6304020	Rotation Up	36	60
2025-07-18	4.03	3.75	-20.27	8268601	Rotation Up	30	49
2025-07-11	3.92	3.74	-22.58	8453900	Downward Expansion	26	36
2025-07-04	4.08	3.75	-20.58	5276764	Downward Expansion	15	28
2025-06-27	3.77	3.75	-26.02	4700791	Downward Expansion	-16	17
2025-06-20	3.54	3.77	-28.44	5671206	Downward Expansion	-40	25
2025-06-13	3.31	3.79	-33.86	4799116	Downward Expansion	-47	37
2025-06-06	3.16	3.82	-37.74	4058599	Downward Expansion	-60	45
2025-05-30	3.09	3.86	-38.67	2350040	Downward Expansion	-66	54
2025-05-23	3.16	3.96	-36.80	4060130	Downward Expansion	-64	53
2025-05-16	3.35	4.06	-35.23	14807114	Downward Expansion	-62	52
2025-05-09	2.82	4.15	-42.49	14587198	Downward Expansion	-84	75
2025-05-02	3.33	4.26	-32.92	3048447	Downward Expansion	-67	76
2025-04-25	3.45	4.34	-28.79	3939207	Downward Expansion	-64	77
2025-04-18	3.31	4.43	-27.71	2948695	Downward Expansion	-73	81
2025-04-11	3.19	4.51	-32.29	6118166	Downward Expansion	-82	78
2025-04-04	3.43	4.61	-22.18	3995709	Downward Expansion	-78	58
2025-03-28	3.91	4.68	-20.46	3220057	Downward Expansion	-50	32
2025-03-21	4.14	4.75	-17.99	4765535	Deceleration	-37	25
2025-03-14	4.11	4.80	-18.39	4206167	Downward Expansion	-29	21
2025-03-07	4.23	4.87	-18.20	3780553	Downward Expansion	-24	17
2025-02-28	4.14	4.92	-22.52	5138406	Downward Expansion	-37	22
2025-02-21	4.26	4.99	-23.27	5828127	Downward Expansion	-39	28
2025-02-14	4.53	5.06	-20.28	5327684	Downward Expansion	-42	33
2025-02-07	4.06	5.12	-26.52	3565358	Downward Expansion	-48	43
2025-01-31	3.79	5.18	-31.70	3808643	Downward Expansion	-68	48
2025-01-24	4.22	5.24	-25.22	2530150	Downward Expansion	-49	43
2025-01-17	4.11	5.30	-26.46	3098382	Downward Expansion	-62	53
2025-01-10	4.00	5.35	-26.75	3309927	Downward Expansion	-65	60
2025-01-03	3.97	5.39	-29.29	2269574	Downward Expansion	-68	64
2024-12-27	3.94	5.44	-30.79	3178247	Downward Expansion	-71	69
2024-12-20	3.85	5.49	-32.23	8086742	Downward Expansion	-79	82
2024-12-13	4.12	5.54	-29.51	4734582	Downward Expansion	-72	87
2024-12-06	4.21	5.58	-27.75	5398889	Downward Expansion	-70	88
2024-11-29	4.27	5.62	-24.84	3630799	Downward Expansion	-71	89
2024-11-22	4.35	5.64	-23.23	3996626	Rotation Down	-75	88
2024-11-15	3.95	5.65	-29.35	5465068	Rotation Down	-59	74
2024-11-08	4.66	5.67	-19.94	5828720	Rotation Down	-35	32
2024-11-01	6.04	5.66	9.00	2135828	Deceleration	49	29
2024-10-25	6.06	5.61	7.73	2215490	Deceleration	50	29
2024-10-18	6.18	5.55	10.13	2631913	Deceleration	59	33
2024-10-11	5.87	5.48	4.89	2442780	Deceleration	35	20
2024-10-04	5.97	5.42	7.84	2523787	Deceleration	38	24
2024-09-27	6.03	5.35	8.81	2577895	Deceleration	50	26
2024-09-20	5.84	5.28	6.13	5333740	Deceleration	32	17
2024-09-13	5.92	5.21	8.95	2655979	Deceleration	33	18
2024-09-06	5.79	5.15	12.56	5102750	Deceleration	36	21
2024-08-30	5.85	5.10	6.93	2674055	Deceleration	38	23
2024-08-23	5.79	5.05	4.72	3518764	Upward Expansion	45	32
2024-08-16	6.05	5.01	9.95	3746449	Upward Expansion	60	48
2024-08-09	5.64	4.95	7.87	8201741	Upward Expansion	64	56
2024-08-02	6.36	4.91	21.37	5383302	Upward Expansion	75	82
2024-07-26	6.37	4.85	18.06	5072024	Upward Expansion	81	80
2024-07-19	6.19	4.78	11.85	7106228	Upward Expansion	79	83
2024-07-12	6.06	4.73	5.02	5728513	Upward Expansion	82	78
2024-07-05	5.63	4.67	-3.02	3424101	Upward Expansion	65	57
2024-06-28	5.94	4.63	5.50	7706407	Upward Expansion	84	66
2024-06-21	5.56	4.58	-1.59	5415986	Upward Expansion	74	60
2024-06-14	5.13	4.54	-9.38	3388993	Upward Expansion	65	63
2024-06-07	5.48	4.51	-0.31	3622344	Upward Expansion	71	86
2024-05-31	5.60	4.48	4.25	3597681	Upward Expansion	83	91
2024-05-24	5.28	4.43	-3.44	3709411	Upward Expansion	73	85
2024-05-17	5.40	4.40	-0.22	3785869	Upward Expansion	84	85
2024-05-10	5.19	4.36	-2.46	5915177	Upward Expansion	81	77
2024-05-03	4.95	4.34	-6.02	4225569	Rotation Up	77	70
2024-04-26	4.70	4.34	-10.42	4833811	Rotation Up	31	40
2024-04-19	4.48	4.35	-12.03	4848494	Rotation Up	18	25
2024-04-12	4.47	4.36	-17.71	4213132	Downward Expansion	7	18
2024-04-05	4.51	4.39	-18.31	6202812	Downward Expansion	-11	12
2024-03-29	4.32	4.41	-23.03	9929051	Downward Expansion	-34	20
2024-03-22	4.13	4.44	-27.42	9744828	Downward Expansion	-57	39
2024-03-15	3.90	4.48	-30.16	14021358	Downward Expansion	-66	68
2024-03-08	3.95	4.53	-30.71	7682790	Downward Expansion	-64	68
2024-03-01	4.01	4.59	-31.64	8937869	Downward Expansion	-61	68
2024-02-23	3.74	4.62	-35.79	4976140	Downward Expansion	-81	75
2024-02-16	4.15	4.66	-28.78	3985647	Downward Expansion	-62	49
2024-02-09	4.19	4.70	-30.05	4686196	Downward Expansion	-61	37
2024-02-02	4.27	4.73	-28.46	2707965	Downward Expansion	-55	28
2024-01-26	4.53	4.76	-24.10	3220041	Downward Expansion	-24	15
2024-01-19	4.45	4.79	-25.94	2515443	Downward Expansion	-36	20
2024-01-12	4.44	4.81	-25.02	2931545	Downward Expansion	-37	21
2024-01-05	4.34	4.83	-25.24	3075747	Downward Expansion	-44	26
2023-12-29	4.53	4.85	-25.18	1938678	Downward Expansion	-37	23
2023-12-22	4.46	4.85	-26.79	4548716	Deceleration	-41	27
2023-12-15	4.36	4.86	-28.39	5745008	Deceleration	-45	32
2023-12-08	4.42	4.88	-25.39	4220538	Downward Expansion	-45	33
2023-12-01	4.43	4.89	-25.13	4691799	Downward Expansion	-56	38
2023-11-24	4.35	4.91	-26.99	2138346	Downward Expansion	-60	45
2023-11-17	4.33	4.95	-27.17	5175957	Downward Expansion	-64	67
2023-11-10	4.50	4.97	-23.42	6558449	Downward Expansion	-65	74
2023-11-03	4.26	5.00	-25.92	4056426	Downward Expansion	-70	77
2023-10-27	4.16	5.03	-23.57	3862391	Downward Expansion	-79	78
2023-10-20	4.37	5.06	-22.33	3973480	Balance	-74	69

Price vs TrendAbove+21.5%

Trend directionRising+22.1%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+61.0%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+9.8%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+20.7%

Relative strength directionWeakening-1.3%

Price momentumPositive+58.8%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.66×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

47 / ±100

-24.9 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

42 /100

-19.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

LILAK Directional State ↗ LILAK Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance26

Rotation Up38

Upward Expansion67

Deceleration86

Rotation Down28

Downward Expansion19

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 13%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 33%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 35%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-06-26	2026-10-09	Established	+14.9%
Balance	2026-05-15	2026-06-19	Developing	+6.0%
Rotation Up	2026-04-24	2026-05-08	New	-9.1%
Balance	2026-02-06	2026-04-17	Developing	+8.7%
Rotation Down	2026-01-16	2026-01-30	New	+2.6%
Balance	2026-01-02	2026-01-09	New	-2.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-22	2025-12-26	Established	-6.6%
Rotation Up	2025-07-18	2025-08-15	Developing	+22.4%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-28	2025-07-11	Established	+0.2%
Deceleration	2025-03-21	2025-03-21	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2024-11-29	2025-03-14	Established	-3.6%
Rotation Down	2024-11-08	2024-11-22	New	-6.6%
Deceleration	2024-08-30	2024-11-01	Developing	+3.3%
Upward Expansion	2024-05-10	2024-08-23	Established	+11.7%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing14

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution56

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 94/100
Current Relative Strength: 20.66
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +58.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +35.8%
Communication Services regime cohort: 48th percentile21 in cohort

Test LILAK trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.24×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.66×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore LILAK Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 8.37falling

Slow Activity USD 7.46rising

Trend Reference USD 6.68+21.5% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 5.04+61.0% close margin

Structural low USD 4.48shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +7.4%

Annualized volatility +66.1%

From structural high -9.7%

From structural low +93.9%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	14	+1.8%-16.6% to +13.1%	+64.3%	+64.3%	-1.3%	+78.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	-0.2%-17.5% to +20.1%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-3.4%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	3	-8.3%-10.2% to -0.4%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-26.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	-21.4%-45.7% to +67.1%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-56.8%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

LILAK Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map