Weekly structural research · SAU · Technology

7201 Stage Analysis

Arab Sea Information Systems Company

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close SAR 3.52Tenure NewBenchmark ^TASI.SR

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Rotation Up · Emerging rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction 59−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 56/100directional strength

Maturity 6/100lifecycle context

Confidence 71/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -37.7%SAR 5.65 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	3.52	3.50	-7.04	1623978	Rotation Up	59	56
2026-09-18	3.64	3.51	-6.21	4602489	Rotation Up	35	61
2026-09-11	3.97	3.52	-0.66	7526716	Rotation Up	54	70
2026-09-04	3.82	3.52	-5.23	5686306	Balance	39	49
2026-08-28	3.72	3.53	-10.04	7946467	Balance	12	19
2026-08-21	3.51	3.54	-13.71	3759727	Downward Expansion	-14	10
2026-08-14	3.38	3.57	-16.62	2864801	Downward Expansion	-50	32
2026-08-07	3.36	3.60	-17.88	1960322	Downward Expansion	-51	35
2026-07-31	3.27	3.62	-18.91	1130159	Downward Expansion	-61	38
2026-07-24	3.30	3.65	-20.51	1865657	Downward Expansion	-45	23
2026-07-17	3.37	3.68	-19.06	1519150	Downward Expansion	-35	22
2026-07-10	3.41	3.71	-19.40	4195180	Downward Expansion	-34	20
2026-07-03	3.59	3.74	-16.00	12257645	Downward Expansion	-36	26
2026-06-26	3.40	3.77	-21.83	7446772	Downward Expansion	-59	48
2026-06-19	3.30	3.81	-26.07	4013059	Downward Expansion	-64	71
2026-06-12	3.26	3.86	-27.01	2366841	Downward Expansion	-69	84
2026-06-05	3.32	3.91	-25.93	1569542	Downward Expansion	-66	82
2026-05-29	3.25	3.96	-28.36	0	Downward Expansion	-75	82
2026-05-22	3.25	4.03	-29.00	2877613	Downward Expansion	-78	70
2026-05-15	3.35	4.10	-27.29	3209499	Downward Expansion	-74	53
2026-05-08	3.56	4.17	-23.67	2140044	Downward Expansion	-51	37
2026-05-01	3.60	4.22	-24.53	2856822	Downward Expansion	-46	33
2026-04-24	3.65	4.29	-23.59	2190911	Downward Expansion	-43	34
2026-04-17	3.77	4.34	-24.72	4952837	Downward Expansion	-46	39
2026-04-10	3.72	4.40	-25.01	7785824	Downward Expansion	-61	52
2026-04-03	3.60	4.44	-27.40	1425480	Downward Expansion	-65	64
2026-03-27	3.61	4.49	-26.61	1248088	Downward Expansion	-67	71
2026-03-20	3.53	4.55	-27.85	1105502	Downward Expansion	-71	85
2026-03-13	3.38	4.61	-31.10	3727041	Downward Expansion	-87	91
2026-03-06	3.61	4.67	-26.24	3199874	Downward Expansion	-83	85
2026-02-27	3.73	4.73	-23.87	1678580	Downward Expansion	-82	80
2026-02-20	3.88	4.78	-23.08	2107623	Downward Expansion	-77	62
2026-02-13	4.06	4.83	-22.22	2758792	Downward Expansion	-68	55
2026-02-06	4.08	4.87	-21.95	1941606	Downward Expansion	-70	56
2026-01-30	4.22	4.92	-21.23	3797125	Downward Expansion	-62	56
2026-01-23	4.27	4.96	-19.08	2262207	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2026-01-16	4.21	5.00	-18.41	5318895	Downward Expansion	-67	66
2026-01-09	4.07	5.03	-19.05	3307202	Downward Expansion	-78	88
2026-01-02	4.16	5.06	-18.42	5903995	Downward Expansion	-76	89
2025-12-26	4.10	5.10	-19.92	1912725	Downward Expansion	-87	95
2025-12-19	4.24	5.14	-17.09	1911250	Downward Expansion	-87	95
2025-12-12	4.47	5.19	-15.28	1103231	Downward Expansion	-77	91
2025-12-05	4.46	5.23	-15.24	1511867	Downward Expansion	-84	93
2025-11-28	4.49	5.27	-15.29	1308807	Downward Expansion	-89	90
2025-11-21	4.77	5.32	-13.57	1962698	Downward Expansion	-78	79
2025-11-14	4.87	5.36	-13.62	1786911	Downward Expansion	-74	68
2025-11-07	4.99	5.40	-13.02	2183118	Balance	-64	47
2025-10-31	5.23	5.41	-12.13	2031683	Balance	-44	19
2025-10-24	5.25	5.44	-12.01	2051224	Balance	-20	11
2025-10-17	5.39	5.46	-10.84	2901164	Balance	-10	12
2025-10-10	5.31	5.48	-11.89	2464320	Downward Expansion	-25	16
2025-10-03	5.44	5.50	-9.58	4560522	Downward Expansion	-24	12
2025-09-26	5.42	5.52	-8.91	2538457	Downward Expansion	-44	27
2025-09-19	5.30	5.55	-6.95	2877307	Downward Expansion	-52	32
2025-09-12	5.01	5.59	-9.48	2767869	Downward Expansion	-67	41
2025-09-05	5.14	5.64	-9.12	3215098	Downward Expansion	-60	35
2025-08-29	5.42	5.69	-5.07	8814295	Downward Expansion	-49	29
2025-08-22	5.26	5.74	-9.13	6308652	Downward Expansion	-55	35
2025-08-15	5.21	5.79	-9.90	2300533	Downward Expansion	-59	34
2025-08-08	5.33	5.84	-8.82	2664138	Downward Expansion	-43	28
2025-08-01	5.37	5.89	-8.20	4769529	Downward Expansion	-38	24
2025-07-25	5.48	5.93	-6.84	18494128	Downward Expansion	-38	22
2025-07-18	5.22	5.96	-12.04	1689352	Downward Expansion	-51	30
2025-07-11	5.49	6.01	-10.05	1978319	Downward Expansion	-45	34
2025-07-04	5.54	6.05	-9.32	2905436	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2025-06-27	5.47	6.10	-9.41	4202129	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2025-06-20	4.88	6.14	-16.04	2337541	Downward Expansion	-82	85
2025-06-13	5.09	6.21	-14.67	1179355	Downward Expansion	-80	80
2025-06-06	5.33	6.28	-12.33	1366001	Downward Expansion	-73	69
2025-05-30	5.37	6.35	-11.91	2487441	Downward Expansion	-74	54
2025-05-23	5.60	6.41	-10.08	3666260	Downward Expansion	-66	44
2025-05-16	5.75	6.47	-10.39	3103545	Downward Expansion	-61	39
2025-05-09	5.78	6.53	-9.35	12601114	Downward Expansion	-60	36
2025-05-02	5.87	6.58	-9.73	3308945	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2025-04-25	5.97	6.64	-10.26	2569007	Downward Expansion	-59	47
2025-04-18	6.12	6.68	-6.73	4703462	Downward Expansion	-62	52
2025-04-11	5.40	6.70	-17.49	3417437	Downward Expansion	-91	75
2025-04-04	5.95	6.73	-12.43	231895	Downward Expansion	-69	80
2025-03-28	6.04	6.76	-12.54	1269103	Downward Expansion	-68	86
2025-03-21	5.88	6.77	-13.33	1101173	Downward Expansion	-82	92
2025-03-14	5.98	6.80	-11.89	1846972	Downward Expansion	-82	92
2025-03-07	5.99	6.81	-12.62	2773179	Downward Expansion	-89	93
2025-02-28	6.26	6.82	-11.16	1891566	Downward Expansion	-83	80
2025-02-21	6.41	6.84	-11.29	2261845	Downward Expansion	-74	58
2025-02-14	6.61	6.87	-8.76	4049705	Downward Expansion	-61	36
2025-02-07	6.77	6.88	-7.10	2426926	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2025-01-31	6.71	6.89	-7.99	3164316	Downward Expansion	-41	25
2025-01-24	6.70	6.90	-7.92	3367525	Downward Expansion	-54	31
2025-01-17	6.74	6.92	-6.90	2721328	Rotation Down	-56	47
2025-01-10	6.80	6.92	-4.92	2751758	Rotation Down	-31	46
2025-01-03	6.67	6.92	-6.85	3653129	Rotation Down	-23	46
2024-12-27	6.43	6.93	-8.52	2458718	Balance	-36	51
2024-12-20	6.67	6.95	-5.59	2644114	Balance	-24	28
2024-12-13	6.82	6.97	-5.34	3000642	Balance	-16	21
2024-12-06	6.86	7.00	-3.64	3885979	Balance	-2	15
2024-11-29	6.77	7.03	-2.46	4493619	Balance	-14	15
2024-11-22	7.08	7.06	0.42	3559379	Balance	9	8
2024-11-15	7.11	7.09	1.68	5527429	Rotation Up	13	12
2024-11-08	7.27	7.10	1.48	5307643	Rotation Up	28	26
2024-11-01	7.41	7.11	4.73	10178742	Rotation Up	32	38
2024-10-25	7.21	7.14	3.40	12184829	Rotation Up	22	39
2024-10-18	7.61	7.17	9.16	45359878	Rotation Up	32	42
2024-10-11	7.44	7.16	6.22	19058052	Balance	28	33
2024-10-04	7.40	7.16	6.15	38592799	Balance	9	19
2024-09-27	7.32	7.16	1.55	14872316	Downward Expansion	-10	12
2024-09-20	6.65	7.17	-5.65	3899886	Downward Expansion	-53	36
2024-09-13	6.48	7.19	-6.42	4444839	Downward Expansion	-60	42
2024-09-06	6.62	7.21	-6.65	8272101	Downward Expansion	-59	52
2024-08-30	6.54	7.24	-8.31	3369201	Downward Expansion	-62	72
2024-08-23	6.60	7.27	-8.10	5383728	Downward Expansion	-61	71
2024-08-16	6.38	7.30	-9.43	6568815	Downward Expansion	-73	73
2024-08-09	6.21	7.32	-10.42	10432061	Downward Expansion	-81	64
2024-08-02	7.02	7.35	-2.36	4555388	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2024-07-26	7.12	7.35	-1.09	5256585	Downward Expansion	-38	23
2024-07-19	7.08	7.35	-3.31	3762443	Downward Expansion	-40	23
2024-07-12	7.02	7.35	-1.30	3342089	Rotation Down	-53	33
2024-07-05	7.08	7.35	0.33	3204527	Rotation Down	-30	36
2024-06-28	7.16	7.32	0.42	7815783	Rotation Down	-33	52
2024-06-14	6.76	7.28	-3.66	4440515	Rotation Down	-41	60
2024-06-07	6.77	7.22	-4.54	2719074	Deceleration	-34	47
2024-05-31	6.92	7.17	-2.38	2771306	Deceleration	-10	21
2024-05-24	7.07	7.11	-4.73	2423708	Deceleration	-2	9
2024-05-17	7.42	7.06	-2.04	4289644	Deceleration	29	14
2024-05-10	7.67	7.00	0.16	6638977	Deceleration	37	24
2024-05-03	7.72	6.95	-0.05	4995807	Deceleration	38	22
2024-04-26	7.62	6.90	-0.86	12593621	Upward Expansion	42	26
2024-04-19	7.92	6.86	0.64	8675044	Upward Expansion	63	42
2024-04-05	7.41	6.84	-7.60	9096178	Upward Expansion	58	43
2024-03-29	7.76	6.82	-2.67	12393871	Upward Expansion	63	61
2024-03-22	8.10	6.80	-0.74	15272555	Upward Expansion	78	77
2024-03-15	8.10	6.76	0.10	35933354	Upward Expansion	83	72
2024-03-08	7.56	6.73	-5.47	10774440	Upward Expansion	66	57
2024-03-01	7.45	6.73	-7.39	11419976	Upward Expansion	63	47
2024-02-23	7.35	6.74	-8.85	9392992	Upward Expansion	58	37
2024-02-16	7.43	6.76	-6.98	14271998	Upward Expansion	63	42
2024-02-09	7.35	6.78	-6.08	8178461	Rotation Up	32	31
2024-02-02	7.07	6.81	-7.69	8042372	Rotation Up	32	36
2024-01-26	7.46	6.85	-4.85	5842967	Rotation Up	38	44
2024-01-19	7.45	6.87	-3.58	15238955	Rotation Up	31	39
2024-01-12	7.64	6.90	-2.53	54879301	Rotation Up	43	52
2024-01-05	6.99	6.93	-11.10	11205012	Rotation Up	25	50
2023-12-29	7.01	6.97	-9.34	8314669	Rotation Up	26	48
2023-12-22	7.03	7.01	-6.81	8632403	Rotation Up	9	38
2023-12-15	7.07	7.05	-5.74	8249338	Downward Expansion	9	33
2023-12-08	7.11	7.08	-2.64	25426042	Downward Expansion	-2	25
2023-12-01	7.00	7.12	-3.70	36079102	Downward Expansion	-21	22
2023-11-24	6.10	7.16	-15.36	9425882	Downward Expansion	-53	49
2023-11-17	6.02	7.22	-16.75	20090047	Downward Expansion	-67	65
2023-11-10	5.12	7.29	-27.82	4674593	Downward Expansion	-75	90
2023-11-03	5.16	7.39	-27.81	3778388	Downward Expansion	-79	91
2023-10-27	5.13	7.48	-25.65	3998980	Downward Expansion	-87	94
2023-10-20	5.53	7.55	-22.17	3826555	Downward Expansion	-82	92
2023-10-13	5.76	7.57	-18.89	6887200	Downward Expansion	-83	91
2023-10-06	6.04	7.60	-16.80	5209395	Downward Expansion	-83	87
2023-09-29	6.31	7.63	-15.70	3798008	Downward Expansion	-81	80
2023-09-22	6.48	7.64	-12.85	8159350	Rotation Down	-80	72

Price vs TrendAbove+0.6%

Trend directionFalling-4.8%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-37.7%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+5.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-7.0%

Relative strength directionImproving+14.8%

Price momentumNegative-2.5%

Volume balanceDemand-led2.81×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

59 / ±100

+46.9 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

56 /100

+37.6 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

7201 Directional State ↗ 7201 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance35

Rotation Up66

Upward Expansion84

Deceleration48

Rotation Down11

Downward Expansion11

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 9%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 6%Deceleration 4%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 65%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Rotation Up	2026-09-11	2026-09-25	New	-11.3%
Balance	2026-08-28	2026-09-04	New	+2.7%
Downward Expansion	2025-11-14	2026-08-21	Extended	-27.9%
Balance	2025-10-17	2025-11-07	New	-7.4%
Downward Expansion	2025-01-24	2025-10-10	Extended	-20.7%
Rotation Down	2025-01-03	2025-01-17	New	+1.0%
Balance	2024-11-22	2024-12-27	Developing	-9.2%
Rotation Up	2024-10-18	2024-11-15	Developing	-6.6%
Balance	2024-10-04	2024-10-11	New	+0.5%
Downward Expansion	2024-07-19	2024-09-27	Developing	+3.4%
Rotation Down	2024-06-14	2024-07-12	New	+3.8%
Deceleration	2024-05-03	2024-06-07	Developing	-12.3%
Upward Expansion	2024-02-16	2024-04-26	Developing	+2.6%
Rotation Up	2023-12-22	2024-02-09	Developing	+4.6%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing80

Stage 2 · Advancing23

Stage 3 · Distribution17

Stage 4 · Declining77

Legacy result: Stage 1 · Stage 1B · Basing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TASI.SR

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 39/100
Current Relative Strength: -7.04
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -2.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +1.9%
Technology regime cohort: 100th percentile1 in cohort

Test 7201 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.41×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.81×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 7201 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity SAR 3.70rising

Slow Activity SAR 3.50rising

Trend Reference SAR 3.50+0.6% close margin

Current Fair Value SAR 5.65-37.7% close margin

Structural low SAR 3.20shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Full positive ordering with expanding width confirms Upward Expansion. Loss of the fast/slow repair and renewed downside acceptance cancels it.

Range context +6.4%

Annualized volatility +25.2%

From structural high -36.9%

From structural low +10.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^TASI.SR	Regime survived	Read
Near term	6	-0.3%-6.6% to +6.0%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-4.4%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	3	+2.4%-11.4% to +15.2%	+66.7%	+66.7%	-7.1%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	3	-19.6%-24.3% to +0.7%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-16.6%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	-18.2%-29.2% to -7.1%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-27.3%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

7201 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map