Weekly structural research ยท TWO ยท Industrials

2065 Stage Analysis

Sheh Fung Screws Co.,Ltd

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close TWD 35.65Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^TWII
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction 51โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 39/100directional strength
Maturity 65/100lifecycle context
Confidence 44/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -15.5%TWD 42.19 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0235.6533.04-15.13170003Upward Expansion5139
2026-09-2535.2032.80-16.16235002Upward Expansion6048
2026-09-1835.1532.61-15.56209772Upward Expansion6471
2026-09-1135.0532.44-14.72345300Upward Expansion6783
2026-09-0436.4532.29-12.92189952Upward Expansion7289
2026-08-2836.6532.10-12.8943100Upward Expansion7986
2026-08-2136.1031.95-13.0427135Upward Expansion7472
2026-08-1435.9531.79-15.2775030Deceleration6937
2026-08-0733.0531.53-20.3170246Deceleration1616
2026-07-3131.4531.34-23.3732001Deceleration215
2026-07-2432.0031.20-24.11117000Deceleration2121
2026-07-1731.6031.06-24.4540096Deceleration2221
2026-07-1032.5030.93-28.02147709Deceleration3520
2026-07-0332.6030.78-31.21249587Deceleration4027
2026-06-2633.0030.63-28.22219396Upward Expansion5641
2026-06-1934.5030.45-29.29178113Upward Expansion6269
2026-06-1234.5030.23-26.93386176Upward Expansion6477
2026-06-0534.3030.00-30.05459796Upward Expansion6377
2026-05-2936.2029.78-26.94839277Upward Expansion7981
2026-05-2235.1529.51-26.23568692Balance7870
2026-05-1533.5029.27-29.041718320Balance6936
2026-05-0830.1029.11-37.99654319Balance2111
2026-05-0129.0529.06-37.29197221Balance147
2026-04-2429.1029.06-38.35526462Balance3917
2026-04-1730.7529.07-32.41447061Balance5128
2026-04-1030.6029.01-31.34265603Balance4929
2026-04-0329.9529.01-28.31326614Balance4525
2026-03-2730.6829.02-29.04545036Balance4120
2026-03-2030.9629.03-30.49876479Balance4220
2026-03-1329.4928.99-34.68406368Balance2919
2026-03-0628.3029.12-38.73536674Balance-37
2026-02-2729.5429.33-40.41391477Rotation Up2624
2026-02-1330.1529.48-36.86201017Rotation Up3252
2026-02-0630.6829.63-33.06206172Rotation Up2441
2026-01-3030.7329.77-34.45346398Rotation Up2439
2026-01-2331.9229.97-32.581502108Rotation Up4042
2026-01-1631.3030.15-33.54851982Rotation Up1217
2026-01-0928.3030.36-38.47370388Downward Expansion-5742
2026-01-0227.3030.69-39.60181318Downward Expansion-6958
2025-12-2627.3431.06-38.68199352Downward Expansion-7261
2025-12-1927.7731.42-36.70160306Downward Expansion-6355
2025-12-1227.6331.81-38.83182853Downward Expansion-6860
2025-12-0528.0132.23-38.20203270Downward Expansion-6358
2025-11-2827.9632.59-38.23196080Downward Expansion-6664
2025-11-2127.7333.00-36.69172011Downward Expansion-7066
2025-11-1427.8233.34-39.33353513Downward Expansion-6966
2025-11-0727.6333.69-41.13236006Downward Expansion-7367
2025-10-3127.9234.07-42.60149819Downward Expansion-7267
2025-10-2428.0634.65-41.66231204Downward Expansion-7368
2025-10-1727.8735.24-42.33204616Downward Expansion-8071
2025-10-1028.6835.85-41.47168836Downward Expansion-7369
2025-10-0328.5836.47-41.3286415Downward Expansion-7871
2025-09-2629.0637.08-38.44485293Downward Expansion-7570
2025-09-1929.4437.76-38.46217071Downward Expansion-7571
2025-09-1229.0638.33-39.78363680Downward Expansion-8582
2025-09-0530.3538.88-35.47202712Downward Expansion-7588
2025-08-2930.3039.44-35.62280290Downward Expansion-8493
2025-08-2230.9639.97-33.65462602Downward Expansion-8493
2025-08-1529.7340.44-38.441614252Downward Expansion-9898
2025-08-0833.4440.96-30.67554756Downward Expansion-8393
2025-08-0134.5441.42-27.36219945Downward Expansion-7290
2025-07-2534.2541.87-28.40232436Downward Expansion-8193
2025-07-1834.5442.32-28.48478396Downward Expansion-8593
2025-07-1134.8742.65-26.37358122Downward Expansion-8993
2025-07-0436.7342.97-22.35181377Downward Expansion-7259
2025-06-2737.3043.21-21.83106125Downward Expansion-6958
2025-06-2037.7843.46-19.49148656Downward Expansion-6762
2025-06-1338.0143.66-19.69245114Downward Expansion-6855
2025-06-0638.3044.15-18.22160110Downward Expansion-6753
2025-05-3038.1644.64-18.01211077Downward Expansion-7155
2025-05-2339.5445.12-16.84125222Downward Expansion-6250
2025-05-1640.1645.54-16.92280141Downward Expansion-6457
2025-05-0938.8745.96-16.68274577Downward Expansion-6883
2025-05-0240.3046.43-13.78383357Downward Expansion-6785
2025-04-2537.9246.89-15.74472342Downward Expansion-8492
2025-04-1838.4447.43-13.17421299Downward Expansion-8888
2025-04-1138.9247.89-13.242087524Downward Expansion-8777
2025-04-0445.2648.35-8.09663704Balance-4835
2025-03-2845.7548.62-8.92632883Balance-4225
2025-03-2146.2948.85-10.87932494Balance-2114
2025-03-1447.2849.07-8.53653764Balance-1514
2025-03-0746.9249.26-12.121261476Balance-1813
2025-02-2849.4549.48-9.932229300Downward Expansion-310
2025-02-2146.3849.63-18.47819246Downward Expansion-5030
2025-02-1445.7549.91-18.191051874Downward Expansion-5534
2025-02-0747.1050.24-17.54878732Downward Expansion-5336
2025-01-2446.2050.54-19.85389000Downward Expansion-5540
2025-01-1744.9850.86-21.28224000Downward Expansion-5540
2025-01-1045.4851.25-20.57371000Downward Expansion-4932
2025-01-0347.1051.65-17.99536000Downward Expansion-4535
2024-12-2747.9252.00-18.491185000Downward Expansion-5248
2024-12-2047.9252.31-16.291003000Downward Expansion-6666
2024-12-1344.3852.59-24.68232000Downward Expansion-6788
2024-12-0644.4353.03-25.72188000Downward Expansion-7390
2024-11-2943.9353.46-24.07231000Downward Expansion-8896
2024-11-2244.7853.88-25.281578097Downward Expansion-9296
2024-11-1543.8454.25-26.852007000Downward Expansion-9593
2024-11-0852.8554.65-15.47208000Downward Expansion-5854
2024-11-0152.9354.77-12.93271000Downward Expansion-5749
2024-10-2552.4054.88-16.34146000Downward Expansion-6250
2024-10-1852.3155.03-17.41211000Downward Expansion-6539
2024-10-1152.5855.19-15.28177000Downward Expansion-5127
2024-10-0453.2055.30-12.33148000Downward Expansion-4327
2024-09-2754.0155.36-13.36208000Downward Expansion-4431
2024-09-2054.1055.41-10.98468000Downward Expansion-5740
2024-09-1352.1355.47-12.96209000Downward Expansion-7357
2024-09-0652.7655.52-10.86356000Downward Expansion-6759
2024-08-3053.3855.51-13.44188000Downward Expansion-6567
2024-08-2352.7655.48-14.33250000Rotation Down-7178
2024-08-1652.9355.47-15.09255000Rotation Down-4669
2024-08-0952.9355.45-11.90740000Rotation Down-5169
2024-08-0253.5655.43-11.80440000Rotation Down-4364
2024-07-2654.0155.40-13.24412000Balance-4052
2024-07-1954.5555.36-15.47673000Balance-1829
2024-07-1255.7155.30-17.71474000Balance214
2024-07-0556.0755.17-16.20454000Upward Expansion2817
2024-06-2855.8955.02-14.92360000Upward Expansion3424
2024-06-2156.7954.84-14.69483000Upward Expansion5539
2024-06-1457.2354.63-11.42193000Upward Expansion5742
2024-06-0757.7754.39-8.16537000Upward Expansion7053
2024-05-3157.1454.14-6.38624000Upward Expansion6146
2024-05-2456.4353.90-9.43426000Upward Expansion5744
2024-05-1757.4153.62-6.74793000Upward Expansion6647
2024-05-1057.4153.30-4.49476000Upward Expansion6743
2024-05-0356.6153.01-4.33359000Upward Expansion5238
2024-04-2655.8952.73-4.78304000Upward Expansion4839
2024-04-1955.6252.47-2.67574000Upward Expansion6251
2024-04-1256.6152.22-6.92499000Upward Expansion6561
2024-04-0556.2551.94-5.99363000Upward Expansion6563
2024-03-2956.9751.67-4.87639000Upward Expansion7669
2024-03-2256.9751.38-4.76890000Upward Expansion8379
2024-03-1555.9451.08-4.031081000Upward Expansion7684
2024-03-0854.9150.78-6.432080000Upward Expansion6780
2024-03-0155.6050.54-1.272122000Upward Expansion8490
2024-02-2355.9450.30-0.481965000Upward Expansion9285
2024-02-1653.6350.06-3.13313000Upward Expansion7960
2024-02-0952.5149.90-2.5056000Upward Expansion5247
2024-02-0252.4349.78-2.38641000Upward Expansion6152
2024-01-2652.3449.69-2.10268000Upward Expansion6155
2024-01-1952.2649.62-0.48382005Upward Expansion6562
2024-01-1252.3449.530.71495000Upward Expansion6776
2024-01-0552.8649.461.74371000Upward Expansion7689
2023-12-2952.8649.32-0.50571000Upward Expansion8392
2023-12-2252.7749.241.331135000Upward Expansion9094
2023-12-1551.7649.13-0.89927000Upward Expansion8390
2023-12-0851.4349.050.24489000Rotation Up8589
2023-12-0150.6848.97-1.37776000Rotation Up4873
2023-11-2450.3448.92-1.04170000Rotation Up4571
2023-11-1750.1848.94-0.79212000Rotation Up3458
2023-11-1050.1848.912.41282000Balance3340
2023-11-0349.8448.942.81711000Balance811
2023-10-2748.1748.981.71129000Balance-4220
2023-10-2047.8349.03-0.79142000Balance-4221
2023-10-1348.5049.06-1.37147000Balance-3216
2023-10-0648.3449.03-0.02195000Downward Expansion-3419
2023-09-2948.0949.060.65145000Downward Expansion-3621
Price vs TrendAbove+7.9%
Trend directionRising+5.9%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-15.5%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+9.3%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-15.1%
Relative strength directionImproving+16.1%
Price momentumPositive+19.0%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.25ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

51 / ยฑ100

-20.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

39 /100

-49.6 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance25
Rotation Up41
Upward Expansion68
Deceleration65
Rotation Down26
Downward Expansion18

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 16%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 27%Deceleration 5%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 44%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-08-212026-10-02Developing-1.2%
Deceleration2026-07-032026-08-14Developing+10.3%
Upward Expansion2026-05-292026-06-26Developing-8.8%
Balance2026-03-062026-05-22Developing+24.2%
Rotation Up2026-01-162026-02-27Developing-5.6%
Downward Expansion2025-04-112026-01-09Extended-27.3%
Balance2025-03-072025-04-04Developing-3.6%
Downward Expansion2024-08-302025-02-28Established-7.4%
Rotation Down2024-08-022024-08-23New-1.5%
Balance2024-07-122024-07-26New-3.1%
Upward Expansion2023-12-152024-07-05Extended+8.3%
Rotation Up2023-11-172023-12-08New+2.5%
Balance2023-10-132023-11-10Developing+3.4%
Downward Expansion2023-09-222023-10-06New+0.3%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing47
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution29
Stage 4 ยท Declining18

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1C ยท Breakout watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
21/100
Current Relative Strength
-15.13
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+19.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-29.8%
Industrials regime cohort
28th percentile79 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.74ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.25ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity TWD 35.40falling
Slow Activity TWD 34.03rising
Trend Reference TWD 33.04+7.9% close margin
Current Fair Value TWD 42.19-15.5% close margin
Structural low TWD 28.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.0%
Annualized volatility +26.9%
From structural high -3.8%
From structural low +35.6%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^TWII Regime survived Read
Near term30+0.4%-10.3% to +16.4%+53.3%+53.3%-0.3%+76.7%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate11+1.2%-8.9% to +22.3%+54.5%+54.5%-1.0%+54.5%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6+2.1%-22.5% to +23.9%+66.7%+66.7%-5.0%+50.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3+4.2%-14.3% to +20.5%+66.7%+66.7%+7.6%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context