Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Industrials

603082 Stage Analysis

RIAMB (Beijing) Technology Development Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 41.25Tenure DevelopingBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and stable.
Direction 60โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 47/100directional strength
Maturity 15/100lifecycle context
Confidence 82/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Widestable separation
Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +12.7%CNY 36.60 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 138 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0241.2538.8611.4816620331Upward Expansion6047
2026-09-2546.7438.8224.9640796496Upward Expansion6473
2026-09-1851.4038.6037.0274891435Upward Expansion8683
2026-09-1144.9538.1821.1927685476Upward Expansion7073
2026-09-0443.8537.9317.1934885105Upward Expansion6869
2026-08-2844.6137.7118.626956718Balance7366
2026-08-2140.9037.5110.064089518Balance5538
2026-08-1440.1537.407.283060859Balance4718
2026-08-0738.9537.313.548048641Balance-2617
2026-07-3136.5237.24-0.386046196Balance-4528
2026-07-2433.9037.23-7.377496428Balance-5127
2026-07-1733.5037.28-7.654656973Balance138
2026-07-1037.4537.35-3.154372010Balance4434
2026-07-0339.8037.321.425801649Balance4531
2026-06-2642.9037.229.5113378983Balance5927
2026-06-1940.4936.981.7524894595Balance3216
2026-06-1232.3836.88-17.633149650Balance-6025
2026-06-0537.1037.07-6.127960849Balance4127
2026-05-2935.1937.10-12.2248546779Balance3023
2026-05-2242.1737.213.5185150119Balance6443
2026-05-1541.7537.041.6621341443Downward Expansion1611
2026-05-0835.2336.95-15.364549587Downward Expansion-5129
2026-05-0133.5137.08-18.665622547Downward Expansion-6634
2026-04-2435.9437.26-12.644977974Downward Expansion-5026
2026-04-1737.4637.40-8.709833770Downward Expansion-4743
2026-04-1036.1137.50-10.783348936Downward Expansion-5754
2026-04-0334.8737.65-11.875079813Downward Expansion-6248
2026-03-2734.1537.88-14.854805589Rotation Up-5939
2026-03-2035.1838.19-13.865504906Rotation Up-4619
2026-03-1337.4938.40-11.9210176043Rotation Up1228
2026-03-0639.8738.50-7.7414353328Rotation Up2946
2026-02-2740.3038.45-8.1014222097Balance3739
2026-02-1338.7038.43-10.5510600977Balance314
2026-02-0637.5238.45-13.216979644Balance-1216
2026-01-3037.2238.48-15.427240616Downward Expansion-1218
2026-01-2338.6838.49-12.866712855Downward Expansion-919
2026-01-1637.5538.46-15.118547898Downward Expansion-3523
2026-01-0937.4138.41-16.145800016Downward Expansion-4431
2026-01-0236.9038.41-14.313137520Downward Expansion-6045
2025-12-2636.3238.44-15.613312693Downward Expansion-6366
2025-12-1935.3038.50-16.633377849Downward Expansion-7577
2025-12-1235.5838.59-16.193412798Downward Expansion-7677
2025-12-0536.6538.70-14.213542222Downward Expansion-6569
2025-11-2836.5838.77-14.313277267Rotation Down-6564
2025-11-2135.8738.82-14.964519702Rotation Down-4851
2025-11-1437.5638.88-14.544438984Rotation Down-2327
2025-11-0737.9038.84-13.986070264Rotation Down-2135
2025-10-3137.9838.72-12.935933875Balance-2130
2025-10-2438.6138.72-11.415333022Balance-1622
2025-10-1737.1038.73-12.396966298Balance-2928
2025-10-1038.8338.89-9.633950706Balance1418
2025-10-0339.2039.04-8.352189868Rotation Up2319
2025-09-2639.0439.27-7.377433583Rotation Up2718
2025-09-1939.9339.35-4.9810159069Rotation Up4023
2025-09-1240.7339.49-4.208343280Rotation Up3034
2025-09-0540.4639.39-3.2511218015Rotation Up3249
2025-08-2941.9439.37-0.7614972733Rotation Up3861
2025-08-2243.1939.203.2219502420Rotation Up5261
2025-08-1541.4639.072.8614041825Rotation Up3347
2025-08-0840.50โ€”โ€”17428635Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-0138.60โ€”โ€”7944585Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-2539.70โ€”โ€”10173206Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-1839.19โ€”โ€”9903833Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-1138.35โ€”โ€”11820200Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-0437.66โ€”โ€”8519828Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-2737.75โ€”โ€”9520361Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-2036.12โ€”โ€”6824518Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-1337.24โ€”โ€”11598692Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-0637.78โ€”โ€”7862521Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-3038.22โ€”โ€”18453012Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-2337.92โ€”โ€”12383251Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-1638.85โ€”โ€”10311507Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-0938.75โ€”โ€”10837021Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-0238.12โ€”โ€”6780881Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-2537.78โ€”โ€”13911624Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-1836.28โ€”โ€”15453757Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-1134.25โ€”โ€”2016220Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-0438.06โ€”โ€”6499823Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-2838.86โ€”โ€”13114069Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-2142.06โ€”โ€”21087624Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-1443.34โ€”โ€”23609855Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-0745.90โ€”โ€”31742525Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-2841.64โ€”โ€”44437780Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-2144.10โ€”โ€”64645741Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-1437.67โ€”โ€”28799950Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-0739.68โ€”โ€”25580243Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-3137.05โ€”โ€”6205650Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-2439.14โ€”โ€”59776272Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-1736.95โ€”โ€”15928233Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-1032.61โ€”โ€”9144374Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-0331.27โ€”โ€”7848796Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-2735.60โ€”โ€”13369305Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-2036.05โ€”โ€”13220475Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-1336.44โ€”โ€”29652706Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-0637.63โ€”โ€”32624856Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-2935.09โ€”โ€”15874075Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-2232.93โ€”โ€”12079242Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-1532.81โ€”โ€”16984864Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-0834.19โ€”โ€”28471311Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-0131.79โ€”โ€”20749945Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-2531.51โ€”โ€”12100263Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-1831.14โ€”โ€”11145706Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-1130.38โ€”โ€”19250818Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-0432.64โ€”โ€”6866014Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-2730.07โ€”โ€”12792560Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-2026.33โ€”โ€”3775574Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-1326.25โ€”โ€”8587908Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-0627.19โ€”โ€”7910532Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-3028.35โ€”โ€”10812009Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-2327.23โ€”โ€”14830673Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-1630.56โ€”โ€”16376351Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-0930.75โ€”โ€”28088806Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-0233.57โ€”โ€”34104391Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-2629.96โ€”โ€”14817582Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-1928.58โ€”โ€”12702136Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-1227.73โ€”โ€”6369583Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-0528.47โ€”โ€”3976114Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-2829.81โ€”โ€”7654598Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-2130.27โ€”โ€”5624962Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-1431.73โ€”โ€”5551799Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-0730.77โ€”โ€”8098465Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-3133.11โ€”โ€”5946107Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-2432.82โ€”โ€”9589637Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-1734.66โ€”โ€”10638284Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-1035.61โ€”โ€”14186653Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-0336.33โ€”โ€”12545062Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-2637.11โ€”โ€”25905457Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-1935.74โ€”โ€”42049768Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-1235.82โ€”โ€”18224647Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-04-0533.47โ€”โ€”8575764Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-2934.78โ€”โ€”18124519Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-2236.33โ€”โ€”26506257Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-1539.51โ€”โ€”42599476Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-0837.25โ€”โ€”53277871Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-03-0137.67โ€”โ€”71535972Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-02-2337.73โ€”โ€”73406766Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-02-0926.80โ€”โ€”59836786Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-02-0237.86โ€”โ€”74598978Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
Price vs TrendAbove+6.1%
Trend directionRising+4.4%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+12.7%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+2.6%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+11.5%
Relative strength directionImproving+10.1%
Price momentumPositive+18.3%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.36ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

60 / ยฑ100

-8.1 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

47 /100

-22.9 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance13
Rotation Up64
Upward Expansion79
Deceleration56
Rotation Down14
Downward Expansion6

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2024-02-02 to 2026-10-02 ยท 59 classified observations out of 138 shown.

Balance 37%Rotation Up 20%Upward Expansion 9%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 27%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-09-042026-10-02Developing-5.9%
Balance2026-05-222026-08-28Established+5.8%
Downward Expansion2026-04-032026-05-15Developing+19.7%
Rotation Up2026-03-062026-03-27New-14.3%
Balance2026-02-062026-02-27New+7.4%
Downward Expansion2025-12-052026-01-30Developing+1.6%
Rotation Down2025-11-072025-11-28New-3.5%
Balance2025-10-102025-10-31New-2.2%
Rotation Up2025-08-152025-10-03Developing-5.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing41
Stage 2 ยท Advancing97
Stage 3 ยท Distribution41
Stage 4 ยท Declining3

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
88/100
Current Relative Strength
11.48
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+18.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+19.3%
Industrials regime cohort
54th percentile46 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.78ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.36ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 45.41rising
Slow Activity CNY 40.47rising
Trend Reference CNY 38.86+6.1% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 36.60+12.7% close margin
Structural low CNY 32.18shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +12.0%
Annualized volatility +67.9%
From structural high -25.0%
From structural low +28.2%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term1-5.9%-5.9% to -5.9%+0.0%+0.0%-3.7%+100.0%Too little matched history
Intermediate0โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”Too little matched history
Extended0โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”Too little matched history
Full cycle0โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context