Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Utilities

600982 Stage Analysis

Ningbo Energy Group Co.,Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close CNY 5.31Tenure NewBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Balance ยท Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and contracting.
Direction -7โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 12/100directional strength
Maturity 19/100lifecycle context
Confidence 55/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation
Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +24.6%CNY 4.26 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-095.315.3810.32112193849Balance-712
2026-10-025.305.379.76207646455Downward Expansion-1415
2026-09-254.865.36-0.1799588597Downward Expansion-5126
2026-09-185.205.366.32226416703Downward Expansion-3922
2026-09-115.235.347.82173721245Downward Expansion-4537
2026-09-044.885.31-0.2017651374Downward Expansion-5958
2026-08-284.915.30-0.0219806250Downward Expansion-5748
2026-08-214.795.29-1.2313704100Deceleration-2523
2026-08-144.955.281.5033515600Deceleration-1820
2026-08-075.105.264.2322822600Deceleration-2520
2026-07-315.085.236.7639538800Rotation Down-2025
2026-07-244.825.201.7952448300Rotation Down-2648
2026-07-175.095.198.8793847952Rotation Down-2248
2026-07-104.655.16-6.2422538100Rotation Down-2950
2026-07-034.885.15-2.9622152600Upward Expansion-2332
2026-06-264.835.14-3.6436117340Upward Expansion715
2026-06-195.185.121.67170138839Upward Expansion2715
2026-06-125.515.119.7139120488Upward Expansion5230
2026-06-056.365.0926.8281919000Upward Expansion6041
2026-05-296.595.0330.60394291512Upward Expansion6948
2026-05-225.974.9617.59333637539Upward Expansion5741
2026-05-156.124.9119.91582536613Upward Expansion6246
2026-05-086.184.8619.93271280775Upward Expansion6949
2026-05-015.894.8016.59264440495Upward Expansion6541
2026-04-245.864.7416.69630967850Upward Expansion6437
2026-04-175.474.709.92497943581Upward Expansion6048
2026-04-105.124.674.63318599405Upward Expansion6353
2026-04-035.054.655.94753047412Upward Expansion6671
2026-03-277.154.6348.751052697953Upward Expansion9899
2026-03-205.124.546.09187965600Upward Expansion8188
2026-03-135.034.520.68260545656Upward Expansion8385
2026-03-064.934.51-1.87160858095Balance8480
2026-02-274.874.50-3.95107569450Balance5661
2026-02-134.474.49-10.0775475300Balance1422
2026-02-064.564.49-8.0977179825Balance720
2026-01-304.554.50-9.5088521903Balance-1517
2026-01-234.614.49-8.81105243449Downward Expansion-1710
2026-01-164.404.48-12.36109822004Downward Expansion-5332
2026-01-094.344.48-14.0362024103Downward Expansion-5748
2026-01-024.224.48-13.2631625079Downward Expansion-6863
2025-12-264.334.49-11.0944954300Rotation Down-5959
2025-12-194.324.49-9.7666630725Rotation Down-3244
2025-12-124.314.50-10.4173741355Balance-3333
2025-12-054.404.51-9.0074801408Balance-611
2025-11-284.374.52-9.28107459048Upward Expansion1611
2025-11-214.394.52-7.61117114607Upward Expansion3536
2025-11-144.854.53-1.71120887976Upward Expansion7468
2025-11-074.804.51-2.89151159990Balance6951
2025-10-314.534.49-7.0799774050Balance1516
2025-10-244.624.49-5.12144165229Balance2312
2025-10-174.514.48-4.5288187809Balance-1317
2025-10-104.504.49-5.9737584900Balance-1924
2025-10-034.334.49-9.1922504627Balance-3233
2025-09-264.344.48-7.6765720056Balance-2016
2025-09-194.444.46-5.3686399902Upward Expansion1711
2025-09-124.594.45-3.2991331759Upward Expansion3414
2025-09-054.474.43-4.2483789350Upward Expansion2512
2025-08-294.464.41-5.49109913877Upward Expansion3015
2025-08-224.614.38-1.5785504923Upward Expansion5228
2025-08-154.514.35-0.1579146512Upward Expansion5036
2025-08-084.614.333.8372169941Upward Expansion5348
2025-08-014.554.304.84100156420Upward Expansion5350
2025-07-254.734.278.04169926201Balance6253
2025-07-184.584.256.70189092579Balance4228
2025-07-114.574.267.50228349934Balance3013
2025-07-044.494.247.11134322886Balance2014
2025-06-274.324.214.6480573926Balance1313
2025-06-204.184.203.4974835980Balance1813
2025-06-134.324.186.53101950919Upward Expansion3316
2025-06-064.514.1611.2870465752Upward Expansion3721
2025-05-304.444.1310.91116197803Upward Expansion5029
2025-05-234.514.1012.86346297849Upward Expansion5232
2025-05-164.704.0717.36458214612Upward Expansion6044
2025-05-094.654.0317.20183163008Upward Expansion6038
2025-05-024.403.9913.47179122242Upward Expansion5132
2025-04-254.813.9723.66344619225Upward Expansion7244
2025-04-184.283.9211.21256452626Upward Expansion5334
2025-04-114.243.8911.87309673150Upward Expansion5754
2025-04-044.533.8516.11248233488Upward Expansion6976
2025-03-284.343.8011.07467038916Upward Expansion6270
2025-03-214.533.7615.94423246875Upward Expansion7673
2025-03-144.573.7215.44375586838Balance7257
2025-03-073.963.681.69114864569Balance3828
2025-02-284.003.664.33157206081Balance4126
2025-02-213.983.642.21164983346Balance3922
2025-02-144.013.624.05270135157Balance3917
2025-02-073.833.600.8472787151Balance2515
2025-01-313.743.580.1519599526Balance2320
2025-01-243.723.57-0.6096435500Upward Expansion2523
2025-01-173.773.560.83126458053Upward Expansion3122
2025-01-103.603.54-1.73138807053Upward Expansion3931
2025-01-033.743.540.49176430704Upward Expansion6046
2024-12-274.053.532.66416518632Upward Expansion6266
2024-12-204.883.5224.67599927360Upward Expansion9184
2024-12-133.983.481.00109501539Upward Expansion7564
2024-12-063.863.48-2.6169769358Rotation Up7053
2024-11-293.743.48-3.4866785300Rotation Up3740
2024-11-223.633.47-4.9077891696Rotation Up3139
2024-11-153.673.47-5.9866958224Rotation Up3348
2024-11-083.813.47-6.0479502195Rotation Up5260
2024-11-013.633.46-5.7359455572Rotation Up3149
2024-10-253.583.46-7.9741839403Rotation Up2837
2024-10-183.493.46-9.5641588893Rotation Up1832
2024-10-113.483.45-8.8188080662Rotation Up-321
2024-10-043.693.46-7.0726082242Rotation Up112
2024-09-273.413.45-7.2236120692Downward Expansion-5243
2024-09-203.143.45-3.9611887128Downward Expansion-6680
2024-09-133.073.45-5.0015533631Downward Expansion-8187
2024-09-063.093.46-6.7623283353Downward Expansion-8483
2024-08-303.263.46-4.5215633201Downward Expansion-6462
2024-08-233.203.47-7.0516719270Downward Expansion-7355
2024-08-163.363.49-3.4617018792Downward Expansion-5635
2024-08-093.363.50-3.0520064582Downward Expansion-5736
2024-08-023.383.52-3.8121445200Downward Expansion-5536
2024-07-263.383.53-3.5220731700Downward Expansion-5844
2024-07-193.373.54-6.9721273176Downward Expansion-5153
2024-07-123.363.56-7.2130773826Downward Expansion-5462
2024-07-053.363.57-7.1021193920Rotation Down-5762
2024-06-283.363.59-7.5035457150Rotation Down-5645
2024-06-213.363.60-8.5229174400Rotation Up-4736
2024-06-143.503.62-6.1628702902Rotation Up-1011
2024-06-073.533.63-6.1159413049Rotation Up1416
2024-05-313.693.64-3.0697424600Rotation Up2550
2024-05-243.813.64-0.0166287600Rotation Up3057
2024-05-173.783.64-2.6178738527Rotation Up2952
2024-05-103.843.64-1.0381970971Balance3539
2024-05-033.643.64-4.5627431020Balance-510
2024-04-263.633.65-4.2188145858Balance-810
2024-04-193.463.66-7.7672658711Downward Expansion-3117
2024-04-123.563.67-3.6477473178Downward Expansion-2717
2024-04-053.593.69-4.3928044228Downward Expansion-2919
2024-03-293.513.70-5.6736475479Downward Expansion-3519
2024-03-223.463.71-7.3741717608Downward Expansion-3925
2024-03-153.503.73-6.4753711832Downward Expansion-5234
2024-03-083.433.76-8.2374191083Downward Expansion-5947
2024-03-013.363.78-9.7351358415Downward Expansion-6372
2024-02-233.353.80-9.4649238423Downward Expansion-6373
2024-02-093.173.83-10.1374104032Downward Expansion-8282
2024-02-023.273.87-2.8254574058Downward Expansion-8375
2024-01-263.673.912.1050237401Downward Expansion-5647
2024-01-193.523.910.9145830000Downward Expansion-7360
2024-01-123.793.936.9233677400Downward Expansion-4830
2024-01-053.803.935.6144849276Downward Expansion-4524
2023-12-293.723.941.9041820100Downward Expansion-5831
2023-12-223.733.964.31100775816Downward Expansion-4822
2023-12-154.003.9610.97124633813Downward Expansion-1411
2023-12-083.773.953.5931370787Downward Expansion-4828
2023-12-013.843.953.4029706560Downward Expansion-3721
2023-11-243.813.942.3528590300Downward Expansion-4126
2023-11-173.863.943.0845317610Downward Expansion-5332
2023-11-103.833.932.9045306575Rotation Down-5954
2023-11-033.763.931.2541615356Rotation Down-3756
2023-10-273.823.933.3037166098Rotation Down-3454
2023-10-203.673.930.4728872384Rotation Down-5262
2023-10-133.783.93-0.1730865349Rotation Down-3243
2023-09-293.883.931.6419586143Balance-2032
Price vs TrendBelow-1.3%
Trend directionRising+2.9%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+24.6%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+13.4%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+10.3%
Relative strength directionImproving+16.6%
Price momentumPositive+3.8%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.51ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-7 / ยฑ100

+38.8 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

12 /100

-25.1 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance60
Rotation Up35
Upward Expansion28
Deceleration46
Rotation Down22
Downward Expansion50

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-29 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 21%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 31%Deceleration 2%Rotation Down 8%Downward Expansion 28%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Balance2026-10-092026-10-09New+0.0%
Downward Expansion2026-08-282026-10-02Developing+7.9%
Deceleration2026-08-072026-08-21New-6.1%
Rotation Down2026-07-102026-07-31New+9.2%
Upward Expansion2026-03-132026-07-03Established-3.0%
Balance2026-01-302026-03-06Developing+8.3%
Downward Expansion2026-01-022026-01-23New+9.2%
Rotation Down2025-12-192025-12-26New+0.2%
Balance2025-12-052025-12-12New-2.0%
Upward Expansion2025-11-142025-11-28New-10.0%
Balance2025-09-262025-11-07Developing+10.5%
Upward Expansion2025-08-012025-09-19Developing-2.6%
Balance2025-06-202025-07-25Developing+13.0%
Upward Expansion2025-03-212025-06-13Established-4.7%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing58
Stage 2 ยท Advancing73
Stage 3 ยท Distribution44
Stage 4 ยท Declining27

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
24/100
Current Relative Strength
10.32
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+3.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+8.1%
Utilities regime cohort
5th percentile21 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.19ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.51ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 5.20rising
Slow Activity CNY 5.21falling
Trend Reference CNY 5.38-1.3% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 4.26+24.6% close margin
Structural low CNY 4.53shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +6.0%
Annualized volatility +42.0%
From structural high -28.8%
From structural low +27.5%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term19+2.2%-8.1% to +27.4%+57.9%+57.9%+2.3%+47.4%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate9+0.0%-12.6% to +35.7%+55.6%+55.6%-0.3%+0.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended7-0.4%-19.5% to +27.1%+42.9%+42.9%+5.4%+14.3%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4+5.7%-20.6% to +59.6%+50.0%+50.0%-7.9%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context