Weekly structural research · LSE · Technology

KNOS Stage Analysis

Kainos Group plc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close GBP 1,237.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^FTSE

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 69−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 64/100directional strength

Maturity 79/100lifecycle context

Confidence 78/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +35.6%GBP 912.23 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	1,237.00	928.16	30.13	2306812	Upward Expansion	69	64
2026-10-02	1,200.00	913.13	27.75	1788415	Upward Expansion	64	63
2026-09-25	1,218.97	900.33	27.34	1331167	Upward Expansion	70	68
2026-09-18	1,205.20	884.86	26.81	2206429	Upward Expansion	67	86
2026-09-11	1,166.83	868.57	23.38	1269264	Upward Expansion	69	89
2026-09-04	1,222.91	853.41	27.52	414419	Upward Expansion	82	93
2026-08-28	1,226.84	838.31	28.51	570860	Upward Expansion	93	97
2026-08-21	1,294.00	827.42	36.72	1096920	Upward Expansion	99	99
2026-08-14	970.00	815.70	4.09	742368	Upward Expansion	82	81
2026-08-07	933.50	816.70	-0.89	275317	Balance	74	62
2026-07-31	880.50	819.65	-6.07	265704	Balance	23	16
2026-07-24	820.00	823.38	-11.41	261186	Balance	-30	17
2026-07-17	815.50	829.85	-10.82	144936	Balance	-37	30
2026-07-10	771.50	837.23	-14.89	297250	Balance	-55	39
2026-07-03	781.00	846.85	-15.43	167170	Balance	-41	29
2026-06-26	769.50	856.92	-15.50	188275	Balance	-42	25
2026-06-19	791.50	866.03	-12.07	388546	Balance	-31	13
2026-06-12	822.00	872.68	-9.80	214259	Balance	-7	13
2026-06-05	849.50	877.76	-6.00	150720	Balance	-7	14
2026-05-29	871.50	880.34	-3.99	1695056	Balance	-2	11
2026-05-22	880.50	882.69	-3.51	2228873	Balance	1	8
2026-05-15	814.50	884.79	-8.35	1760161	Balance	-15	14
2026-05-08	813.00	888.68	-9.13	3404809	Downward Expansion	-13	20
2026-05-01	830.00	893.53	-8.69	1844483	Downward Expansion	-26	22
2026-04-24	836.50	897.58	-8.27	2490555	Downward Expansion	-32	22
2026-04-17	878.00	899.45	-6.37	2198439	Downward Expansion	-34	25
2026-04-10	753.50	899.06	-19.19	2087319	Downward Expansion	-58	48
2026-04-03	760.50	903.73	-17.31	1713559	Downward Expansion	-59	49
2026-03-27	704.00	907.59	-19.92	1622957	Downward Expansion	-72	55
2026-03-20	726.50	907.69	-17.12	2817278	Downward Expansion	-71	54
2026-03-13	786.00	907.53	-13.49	1829300	Rotation Down	-62	57
2026-03-06	816.00	904.25	-10.53	1952815	Rotation Down	-38	69
2026-02-27	755.00	900.73	-22.04	2002754	Rotation Down	-41	76
2026-02-20	716.50	899.47	-24.63	2030475	Rotation Down	-54	80
2026-02-13	712.00	899.60	-23.70	5348775	Rotation Down	-51	71
2026-02-06	770.00	900.33	-17.28	4351803	Deceleration	-45	42
2026-01-30	900.00	898.40	-2.26	1629628	Deceleration	-5	14
2026-01-23	942.50	892.84	3.03	2243533	Deceleration	25	18
2026-01-16	1,000.00	885.87	8.29	1516113	Deceleration	39	25
2026-01-09	1,022.00	877.38	12.00	741335	Upward Expansion	43	31
2026-01-02	992.50	868.59	10.90	874682	Upward Expansion	57	42
2025-12-26	1,014.00	860.26	14.37	327291	Upward Expansion	62	53
2025-12-19	1,037.00	850.69	16.81	1892563	Upward Expansion	65	69
2025-12-12	1,060.00	840.22	22.72	2603698	Upward Expansion	70	80
2025-12-05	1,083.00	831.99	25.48	2202337	Upward Expansion	83	86
2025-11-28	1,043.00	822.68	20.54	2417132	Upward Expansion	78	59
2025-11-21	991.00	813.09	17.05	3614796	Upward Expansion	69	53
2025-11-14	974.40	803.40	13.29	2108980	Upward Expansion	69	53
2025-11-07	926.91	794.33	7.83	1011756	Upward Expansion	61	52
2025-10-31	941.91	784.61	9.12	1204009	Upward Expansion	64	58
2025-10-24	943.41	773.88	10.25	2152206	Upward Expansion	68	68
2025-10-17	931.41	765.49	12.17	2010628	Upward Expansion	67	81
2025-10-10	958.40	758.03	14.54	2420943	Upward Expansion	81	91
2025-10-03	951.41	750.08	13.03	1725996	Upward Expansion	82	91
2025-09-26	892.73	742.69	8.32	1622242	Upward Expansion	74	87
2025-09-19	866.24	736.16	5.57	2849542	Upward Expansion	70	82
2025-09-12	893.73	732.25	7.82	1803455	Upward Expansion	80	79
2025-09-05	876.24	728.91	6.37	3718074	Upward Expansion	70	51
2025-08-29	706.79	725.73	-14.14	1746958	Balance	-43	33
2025-08-22	721.78	729.43	-14.59	2154774	Balance	-41	34
2025-08-15	687.79	732.20	-17.91	827578	Balance	-51	40
2025-08-08	710.29	735.59	-15.77	820769	Balance	-41	26
2025-08-01	717.28	736.88	-15.57	846060	Balance	-38	21
2025-07-25	720.28	738.69	-16.53	956143	Balance	-36	19
2025-07-18	733.78	740.84	-14.73	839423	Balance	-30	16
2025-07-11	712.28	742.11	-17.59	1593826	Balance	-36	18
2025-07-04	733.28	745.46	-14.89	1230652	Balance	-25	11
2025-06-27	733.28	748.14	-15.45	2752205	Balance	-7	5
2025-06-20	745.27	749.56	-14.60	3340040	Balance	-6	6
2025-06-13	758.27	752.41	-14.65	1993767	Balance	-20	12
2025-06-06	742.78	755.42	-17.05	1894960	Balance	-12	11
2025-05-30	726.78	757.15	-19.16	2559485	Rotation Up	-9	18
2025-05-23	722.78	757.68	-19.95	2498144	Rotation Up	11	24
2025-05-16	813.25	761.21	-10.64	1536715	Downward Expansion	28	32
2025-05-09	803.76	761.72	-10.87	1031510	Downward Expansion	-4	17
2025-05-02	755.27	761.92	-17.08	1900970	Downward Expansion	-31	19
2025-04-25	700.29	765.50	-21.93	1634887	Downward Expansion	-59	43
2025-04-18	702.29	772.63	-20.86	1555973	Downward Expansion	-61	55
2025-04-11	635.31	778.74	-26.02	2094484	Downward Expansion	-73	71
2025-04-04	619.81	786.54	-29.15	1914658	Downward Expansion	-81	71
2025-03-28	691.79	793.87	-27.04	1077748	Downward Expansion	-66	56
2025-03-21	707.79	807.65	-25.79	1277784	Downward Expansion	-63	63
2025-03-14	719.78	820.30	-24.96	1626725	Downward Expansion	-61	60
2025-03-07	729.78	831.95	-25.00	2251134	Downward Expansion	-58	52
2025-02-28	696.79	842.67	-30.11	2072205	Downward Expansion	-69	50
2025-02-21	748.77	854.15	-24.39	1081214	Downward Expansion	-55	27
2025-02-14	793.76	866.71	-21.26	812693	Downward Expansion	-33	15
2025-02-07	780.76	876.02	-22.95	1450952	Downward Expansion	-38	17
2025-01-31	817.75	886.04	-19.82	1436486	Downward Expansion	-37	20
2025-01-24	804.76	894.49	-20.25	1359856	Downward Expansion	-51	29
2025-01-17	789.76	902.91	-22.36	842016	Downward Expansion	-54	36
2025-01-10	748.77	913.16	-24.62	955300	Downward Expansion	-62	42
2025-01-03	771.77	924.65	-22.60	427703	Downward Expansion	-59	40
2024-12-27	784.76	938.76	-21.09	363167	Downward Expansion	-55	37
2024-12-20	771.77	950.98	-22.37	1525131	Downward Expansion	-61	41
2024-12-13	812.75	965.83	-20.96	3372155	Downward Expansion	-43	33
2024-12-06	813.75	974.12	-21.45	1784272	Downward Expansion	-45	34
2024-11-29	775.77	981.30	-25.26	2276548	Downward Expansion	-63	42
2024-11-22	830.75	988.52	-20.12	1629455	Downward Expansion	-58	45
2024-11-15	848.65	992.48	-16.72	1841667	Downward Expansion	-61	50
2024-11-08	794.67	994.64	-22.44	1677767	Downward Expansion	-65	65
2024-11-01	742.69	1,000.23	-29.18	3345739	Downward Expansion	-81	78
2024-10-25	828.65	1,008.18	-22.46	1771511	Downward Expansion	-67	71
2024-10-18	828.65	1,012.72	-24.05	859382	Downward Expansion	-70	70
2024-10-11	809.66	1,017.90	-25.40	1230356	Downward Expansion	-78	78
2024-10-04	862.64	1,025.52	-21.35	791025	Downward Expansion	-68	78
2024-09-27	914.42	1,032.44	-17.60	873211	Downward Expansion	-61	77
2024-09-20	885.44	1,038.14	-19.81	1729589	Downward Expansion	-67	76
2024-09-13	869.45	1,045.30	-22.26	1482874	Rotation Down	-76	73
2024-09-06	839.47	1,053.33	-24.68	4882972	Rotation Down	-40	45
2024-08-30	1,105.30	1,062.66	-3.99	852065	Balance	36	15
2024-08-23	1,087.31	1,064.26	-5.43	381386	Balance	17	11
2024-08-16	1,069.32	1,064.19	-7.21	804147	Balance	15	8
2024-08-09	1,051.33	1,062.39	-7.64	1535647	Balance	12	7
2024-08-02	1,041.34	1,061.32	-9.12	1477367	Balance	20	9
2024-07-26	1,125.28	1,061.09	-3.69	1201390	Balance	39	17
2024-07-19	1,073.32	1,060.86	-7.05	1337435	Balance	27	18
2024-07-12	1,081.31	1,061.86	-7.91	1561555	Balance	29	19
2024-07-05	1,071.32	1,060.99	-8.77	1356802	Upward Expansion	32	19
2024-06-28	1,057.33	1,057.46	-10.00	697177	Upward Expansion	38	23
2024-06-21	1,097.30	1,053.86	-7.85	1907187	Upward Expansion	58	46
2024-06-14	1,093.30	1,048.75	-7.62	881394	Upward Expansion	63	68
2024-06-07	1,195.24	1,045.85	-0.88	758161	Rotation Up	75	77
2024-05-31	1,151.27	1,047.04	-5.18	1311252	Rotation Up	33	41
2024-05-24	1,217.23	1,047.97	-0.69	2028406	Rotation Up	43	39
2024-05-17	1,061.32	1,044.14	-14.68	1245959	Downward Expansion	-18	16
2024-05-10	1,029.35	1,045.60	-17.72	722820	Downward Expansion	-42	30
2024-05-03	992.37	1,048.70	-18.92	1622837	Downward Expansion	-60	47
2024-04-26	949.40	1,053.59	-22.15	1109201	Downward Expansion	-63	65
2024-04-19	913.42	1,060.22	-23.19	2803212	Downward Expansion	-77	75
2024-04-12	962.39	1,070.97	-20.50	4367268	Downward Expansion	-69	72
2024-04-05	981.38	1,079.82	-18.64	2118343	Downward Expansion	-64	68
2024-03-29	964.89	1,088.41	-20.92	3650196	Balance	-70	63
2024-03-22	983.87	1,097.04	-19.74	1639009	Balance	-55	35
2024-03-15	1,038.34	1,103.74	-13.72	1097340	Balance	-41	22
2024-03-08	1,070.32	1,109.23	-10.73	853502	Balance	-25	11
2024-03-01	1,085.31	1,116.35	-10.07	3732170	Balance	-10	13
2024-02-23	1,100.30	1,123.50	-9.48	5298971	Balance	-7	17
2024-02-16	1,110.29	1,129.16	-9.05	3711470	Balance	-9	18
2024-02-09	1,119.29	1,134.98	-7.08	2438951	Balance	-11	12
2024-02-02	1,153.27	1,141.23	-5.20	4821409	Balance	-9	6
2024-01-26	1,085.31	1,143.92	-11.54	1229291	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2024-01-19	1,015.35	1,148.77	-15.81	1183509	Downward Expansion	-44	25
2024-01-12	1,019.35	1,157.33	-17.82	853682	Downward Expansion	-41	21
2024-01-05	1,034.34	1,170.54	-17.84	538863	Downward Expansion	-38	22
2023-12-29	1,118.29	1,178.83	-12.37	512832	Downward Expansion	-39	21
2023-12-22	1,103.30	1,185.28	-13.77	956669	Downward Expansion	-56	38
2023-12-15	1,055.33	1,190.53	-16.78	1713323	Downward Expansion	-60	66
2023-12-08	965.39	1,196.12	-24.30	1437349	Downward Expansion	-65	75
2023-12-01	949.40	1,204.61	-26.03	1157571	Downward Expansion	-71	68
2023-11-24	943.90	1,215.16	-26.80	643456	Downward Expansion	-75	46
2023-11-17	1,006.28	1,224.99	-22.94	2620388	Downward Expansion	-71	37
2023-11-10	1,231.11	1,232.85	-4.73	717546	Downward Expansion	-34	21
2023-11-03	1,179.15	1,238.14	-9.74	473436	Downward Expansion	-57	44
2023-10-27	1,102.21	1,243.56	-14.32	1679307	Downward Expansion	-63	63
2023-10-20	1,105.20	1,252.85	-15.64	623496	Downward Expansion	-65	64

Price vs TrendAbove+33.3%

Trend directionRising+13.2%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+35.6%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+52.0%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+30.1%

Relative strength directionImproving+45.0%

Price momentumPositive+64.2%

Volume balanceDemand-led2.13×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

69 / ±100

+0.6 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

64 /100

-25.3 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

KNOS Directional State ↗ KNOS Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance11

Rotation Up54

Upward Expansion83

Deceleration71

Rotation Down26

Downward Expansion12

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 28%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 21%Deceleration 3%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 42%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-08-14	2026-10-09	Developing	+27.5%
Balance	2026-05-15	2026-08-07	Established	+14.6%
Downward Expansion	2026-03-20	2026-05-08	Developing	+11.9%
Rotation Down	2026-02-13	2026-03-13	Developing	+10.4%
Deceleration	2026-01-16	2026-02-06	New	-23.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-05	2026-01-09	Established	+16.6%
Balance	2025-06-06	2025-08-29	Established	-4.8%
Rotation Up	2025-05-23	2025-05-30	New	+0.6%
Downward Expansion	2024-09-20	2025-05-16	Extended	-8.2%
Rotation Down	2024-09-06	2024-09-13	New	+3.6%
Balance	2024-07-12	2024-08-30	Developing	+2.2%
Upward Expansion	2024-06-14	2024-07-05	New	-2.0%
Rotation Up	2024-05-24	2024-06-07	New	-1.8%
Downward Expansion	2024-04-05	2024-05-17	Developing	+8.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing20

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution50

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2C · Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^FTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 97/100
Current Relative Strength: 30.13
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +64.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +64.6%
Technology regime cohort: 21th percentile34 in cohort

Test KNOS trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.92×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.13×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore KNOS Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity GBP 1,214.61rising

Slow Activity GBP 1,013.98rising

Trend Reference GBP 928.16+33.3% close margin

Current Fair Value GBP 912.23+35.6% close margin

Structural low GBP 736.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +7.4%

Annualized volatility +51.1%

From structural high -4.4%

From structural low +80.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^FTSE	Regime survived	Read
Near term	15	-0.4%-11.3% to +20.3%	+46.7%	+46.7%	-2.4%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	-19.0%-24.7% to +23.6%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-22.4%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	-17.4%-25.7% to -6.9%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-21.8%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	4	-23.9%-42.5% to +39.6%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-31.0%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

KNOS Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map