Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Communication Services

GSAT Stage Analysis

Globalstar, Inc. Common Stock

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 83.82Tenure DevelopingBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 68−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 46/100directional strength

Maturity 26/100lifecycle context

Confidence 82/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +114.0%USD 39.16 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	83.82	80.05	3.72	3017783	Upward Expansion	68	46
2026-10-02	83.22	79.21	3.91	2823658	Upward Expansion	62	42
2026-09-25	82.88	78.31	4.97	2731540	Upward Expansion	59	40
2026-09-18	82.84	77.63	9.45	3536198	Upward Expansion	60	40
2026-09-11	82.48	76.87	11.12	1848875	Upward Expansion	58	40
2026-09-04	82.34	76.12	11.63	2540469	Upward Expansion	58	44
2026-08-28	81.76	75.30	12.50	3635125	Upward Expansion	58	49
2026-08-21	82.36	74.63	15.14	3722338	Upward Expansion	61	55
2026-08-14	82.39	74.05	13.79	3380587	Upward Expansion	62	54
2026-08-07	83.40	73.31	17.99	5485809	Deceleration	74	57
2026-07-31	83.38	72.53	25.59	6751679	Deceleration	76	52
2026-07-24	78.93	71.88	21.46	4867747	Deceleration	40	37
2026-07-17	79.18	71.35	21.66	5226397	Deceleration	43	60
2026-07-10	80.09	70.78	19.51	3738043	Deceleration	44	57
2026-07-03	80.39	70.55	23.71	4187019	Deceleration	46	57
2026-06-26	80.25	70.15	26.36	11878163	Upward Expansion	47	42
2026-06-19	80.41	69.50	22.77	8306044	Upward Expansion	50	44
2026-06-12	81.16	68.71	29.02	6590157	Upward Expansion	62	53
2026-06-05	81.49	68.10	34.63	6766976	Upward Expansion	65	57
2026-05-29	84.21	67.07	35.22	5485817	Upward Expansion	72	70
2026-05-22	83.00	66.08	39.63	6031097	Upward Expansion	70	72
2026-05-15	81.98	64.82	42.22	5731069	Upward Expansion	69	82
2026-05-08	82.09	63.54	44.70	5924302	Upward Expansion	72	84
2026-05-01	81.70	62.25	54.89	6808106	Upward Expansion	73	84
2026-04-24	81.81	60.93	60.63	8025101	Upward Expansion	76	83
2026-04-17	80.02	59.34	63.93	21725732	Upward Expansion	76	78
2026-04-10	73.16	57.85	62.43	6187487	Upward Expansion	63	64
2026-04-03	77.73	56.41	83.94	8756866	Deceleration	73	52
2026-03-27	64.16	54.86	61.68	6362151	Deceleration	37	15
2026-03-20	58.73	53.71	45.95	3450991	Deceleration	14	8
2026-03-13	58.68	52.65	45.18	2836536	Deceleration	17	9
2026-03-06	56.44	51.58	40.38	2988938	Deceleration	14	9
2026-02-27	62.27	50.65	55.05	3837887	Deceleration	26	14
2026-02-20	60.10	49.34	51.91	1664395	Deceleration	23	13
2026-02-13	60.06	48.16	56.29	2274874	Deceleration	35	21
2026-02-06	57.65	47.09	50.73	3166390	Deceleration	36	22
2026-01-30	61.62	46.07	60.45	3207594	Deceleration	39	26
2026-01-23	64.97	44.85	71.88	2651975	Deceleration	45	31
2026-01-16	60.16	43.47	61.99	3843044	Deceleration	42	31
2026-01-09	60.00	42.25	62.38	3773393	Upward Expansion	46	37
2026-01-02	63.99	40.98	79.31	2797048	Upward Expansion	61	53
2025-12-26	62.89	39.51	75.53	2022096	Upward Expansion	64	59
2025-12-19	62.25	38.03	78.21	5366393	Upward Expansion	67	64
2025-12-12	73.01	36.56	113.39	3690332	Upward Expansion	86	77
2025-12-05	68.48	34.74	100.75	4199920	Upward Expansion	85	73
2025-11-28	60.75	33.04	82.86	2466784	Upward Expansion	76	69
2025-11-21	56.80	31.70	82.06	4786584	Upward Expansion	71	68
2025-11-14	62.95	30.46	98.65	7643343	Upward Expansion	92	83
2025-11-07	50.48	29.01	61.98	7137302	Upward Expansion	74	76
2025-10-31	54.41	27.98	70.82	10897074	Upward Expansion	91	90
2025-10-24	45.27	26.79	47.33	5718005	Upward Expansion	78	90
2025-10-17	43.56	25.99	47.25	4252482	Upward Expansion	79	90
2025-10-10	43.39	25.27	52.39	7833483	Upward Expansion	87	93
2025-10-03	42.13	24.53	46.76	6692913	Upward Expansion	91	82
2025-09-26	34.19	23.90	22.16	4008427	Upward Expansion	74	71
2025-09-19	35.10	23.48	25.84	6758645	Upward Expansion	85	79
2025-09-12	29.94	23.00	10.58	12975564	Upward Expansion	66	58
2025-09-05	31.23	22.76	18.15	3658828	Upward Expansion	80	75
2025-08-29	29.93	22.47	14.95	3976508	Upward Expansion	78	63
2025-08-22	26.70	22.24	2.82	2998400	Upward Expansion	61	44
2025-08-15	26.71	22.34	1.91	3558819	Upward Expansion	63	44
2025-08-08	28.47	22.39	9.45	4559745	Rotation Up	80	56
2025-08-01	23.15	22.39	-7.27	2541245	Rotation Up	35	42
2025-07-25	24.57	22.72	-3.55	3077335	Rotation Up	39	70
2025-07-18	27.97	22.97	10.92	2649950	Rotation Up	60	83
2025-07-11	27.15	23.02	9.62	4957600	Rotation Up	52	76
2025-07-04	24.92	23.09	0.67	1959347	Rotation Up	41	51
2025-06-27	23.54	23.36	-3.17	2975246	Downward Expansion	12	30
2025-06-20	23.48	23.55	0.93	2435333	Downward Expansion	7	17
2025-06-13	21.95	23.66	-5.18	3485551	Downward Expansion	-31	21
2025-06-06	19.90	23.83	-14.23	2887229	Downward Expansion	-57	43
2025-05-30	18.46	24.16	-18.71	2148122	Downward Expansion	-60	62
2025-05-23	18.26	24.23	-18.07	2962909	Downward Expansion	-64	64
2025-05-16	18.35	24.14	-19.65	3870412	Downward Expansion	-65	64
2025-05-09	17.58	24.13	-17.88	3455973	Downward Expansion	-72	60
2025-05-02	20.40	24.14	-5.15	1967882	Downward Expansion	-59	56
2025-04-25	19.61	24.06	-5.82	1917580	Downward Expansion	-59	60
2025-04-18	19.57	24.02	-0.15	1556201	Downward Expansion	-62	59
2025-04-11	19.56	23.98	-2.55	4729817	Deceleration	-35	45
2025-04-04	18.64	23.92	-0.29	3401515	Deceleration	-43	44
2025-03-28	21.28	23.92	2.52	2634189	Deceleration	-31	25
2025-03-21	21.97	23.84	3.17	4142522	Rotation Down	-20	23
2025-03-14	21.33	23.84	0.36	2847998	Rotation Down	-26	40
2025-03-07	23.09	23.76	5.66	3939796	Rotation Down	-21	38
2025-02-28	21.59	23.57	-4.33	5479023	Rotation Down	-23	40
2025-02-21	20.67	23.40	-11.81	3768595	Deceleration	-28	32
2025-02-14	22.66	23.34	-6.21	37583688	Deceleration	-1	17
2025-02-07	22.65	23.18	-4.22	59456611	Deceleration	10	16
2025-01-31	22.95	23.06	-3.48	114366974	Deceleration	20	16
2025-01-24	29.70	22.91	22.54	39895043	Deceleration	41	26
2025-01-17	28.35	22.48	18.68	38725031	Upward Expansion	44	32
2025-01-10	28.35	22.06	21.78	69016111	Upward Expansion	57	41
2025-01-03	33.00	21.65	37.85	67131053	Upward Expansion	68	52
2024-12-27	32.25	21.10	32.94	54373571	Upward Expansion	70	56
2024-12-20	29.25	20.56	21.18	77337214	Upward Expansion	63	55
2024-12-13	29.25	20.16	17.75	185655150	Upward Expansion	66	69
2024-12-06	33.15	19.78	34.08	101737303	Upward Expansion	88	94
2024-11-29	29.25	19.29	22.51	42818631	Upward Expansion	78	91
2024-11-22	26.85	18.96	13.22	62053834	Upward Expansion	70	84
2024-11-15	27.00	18.72	15.67	131282075	Upward Expansion	75	80
2024-11-08	29.70	18.45	22.79	316757136	Upward Expansion	80	73
2024-11-01	20.70	18.12	-9.62	214377118	Balance	42	16
2024-10-25	15.45	18.10	-34.04	29858442	Balance	-59	43
2024-10-18	18.00	18.32	-23.82	12392441	Balance	-8	7
2024-10-11	18.00	18.42	-24.20	12296265	Balance	-7	7
2024-10-04	18.00	18.56	-23.76	13852576	Balance	-25	16
2024-09-27	18.45	18.62	-22.37	15062545	Balance	-0	6
2024-09-20	18.45	18.74	-22.10	37545590	Balance	-24	14
2024-09-13	17.55	18.95	-25.23	22694551	Balance	-17	16
2024-09-06	18.75	19.21	-15.99	17470290	Balance	11	22
2024-08-30	18.75	19.44	-21.37	27647906	Balance	-7	17
2024-08-23	22.20	19.62	-8.33	41990211	Balance	16	18
2024-08-16	18.75	19.68	-21.68	17009905	Balance	-15	11
2024-08-09	17.55	19.90	-22.87	19043053	Downward Expansion	-35	21
2024-08-02	16.50	20.26	-27.53	18829257	Downward Expansion	-43	22
2024-07-26	18.75	20.72	-20.51	17067543	Downward Expansion	-26	24
2024-07-19	17.70	21.06	-26.95	21613919	Downward Expansion	-34	25
2024-07-12	19.35	21.44	-23.49	29123099	Downward Expansion	-40	27
2024-07-05	18.30	21.63	-27.91	16260020	Downward Expansion	-52	46
2024-06-28	16.80	21.76	-31.62	17314443	Downward Expansion	-66	66
2024-06-21	15.60	21.97	-36.76	16068666	Downward Expansion	-75	86
2024-06-14	16.20	22.22	-34.39	19745998	Downward Expansion	-72	86
2024-06-07	16.35	22.40	-31.75	11112762	Downward Expansion	-73	86
2024-05-31	16.35	22.54	-30.33	11798579	Downward Expansion	-78	83
2024-05-24	16.95	22.70	-29.28	20277303	Downward Expansion	-75	70
2024-05-17	18.00	22.78	-24.19	14237131	Downward Expansion	-70	64
2024-05-10	18.45	22.82	-20.84	15685207	Downward Expansion	-70	67
2024-05-03	19.50	22.85	-15.20	11227586	Downward Expansion	-62	66
2024-04-26	19.35	22.88	-15.03	10402740	Rotation Down	-67	68
2024-04-19	19.05	22.90	-12.98	15549661	Rotation Down	-44	52
2024-04-12	19.95	22.89	-13.86	14553450	Rotation Down	-40	46
2024-04-05	20.10	22.91	-13.75	16246112	Rotation Down	-31	40
2024-03-29	22.05	22.96	-6.31	13515033	Rotation Down	-22	47
2024-03-22	20.85	22.97	-12.04	22002569	Deceleration	-28	50
2024-03-15	22.05	22.80	-4.26	27068709	Deceleration	-19	30
2024-03-08	19.80	22.60	-15.20	25304003	Deceleration	-33	29
2024-03-01	22.20	22.56	-6.85	34286689	Deceleration	0	7
2024-02-23	24.75	22.40	5.45	13733989	Deceleration	30	18
2024-02-16	25.35	22.12	9.45	18669912	Deceleration	30	23
2024-02-09	25.65	21.82	8.97	16501371	Deceleration	32	27
2024-02-02	24.00	21.48	3.75	17170041	Upward Expansion	38	25
2024-01-26	24.15	21.21	5.26	19004368	Upward Expansion	48	39
2024-01-19	25.20	20.94	10.08	17669081	Upward Expansion	64	58
2024-01-12	28.35	20.59	26.92	30544930	Upward Expansion	66	86
2024-01-05	30.45	20.20	40.22	25743379	Upward Expansion	85	94
2023-12-29	29.10	19.79	29.76	26371872	Upward Expansion	86	92
2023-12-22	28.95	19.41	29.32	33435568	Upward Expansion	91	89
2023-12-15	25.05	19.01	12.88	37941356	Upward Expansion	79	76
2023-12-08	22.05	18.71	2.19	17876338	Upward Expansion	61	63
2023-12-01	23.25	18.47	7.41	22019889	Upward Expansion	70	67
2023-11-24	22.95	18.19	4.80	12783425	Upward Expansion	68	57
2023-11-17	21.60	17.88	-1.91	20833613	Upward Expansion	60	42
2023-11-10	20.55	17.67	-6.06	15235074	Upward Expansion	53	31
2023-11-03	21.30	17.50	-1.31	25380424	Deceleration	59	31
2023-10-27	19.50	17.33	-5.58	16587620	Deceleration	36	21
2023-10-20	19.20	17.26	-10.97	20620666	Deceleration	39	23

Price vs TrendAbove+4.7%

Trend directionRising+10.4%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+114.0%

Fair Value directionMoving away-22.4%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+3.7%

Relative strength directionWeakening-15.8%

Price momentumPositive+14.6%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.38×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

68 / ±100

+10.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

46 /100

+6.0 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

GSAT Directional State ↗ GSAT Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance17

Rotation Up64

Upward Expansion83

Deceleration53

Rotation Down20

Downward Expansion5

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 8%Rotation Up 4%Upward Expansion 43%Deceleration 23%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 17%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-08-14	2026-10-09	Developing	+1.7%
Deceleration	2026-07-03	2026-08-07	Developing	+3.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-04-10	2026-06-26	Developing	+9.7%
Deceleration	2026-01-16	2026-04-03	Developing	+29.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-15	2026-01-09	Established	+124.6%
Rotation Up	2025-07-04	2025-08-08	Developing	+14.2%
Downward Expansion	2025-04-18	2025-06-27	Developing	+20.3%
Deceleration	2025-03-28	2025-04-11	New	-8.1%
Rotation Down	2025-02-28	2025-03-21	New	+1.8%
Deceleration	2025-01-24	2025-02-21	Developing	-30.4%
Upward Expansion	2024-11-08	2025-01-17	Developing	-4.5%
Balance	2024-08-16	2024-11-01	Developing	+10.4%
Downward Expansion	2024-05-03	2024-08-09	Established	-10.0%
Rotation Down	2024-03-29	2024-04-26	Developing	-12.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing0

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution80

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 72/100
Current Relative Strength: 3.72
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +14.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -8.4%
Communication Services regime cohort: 62th percentile21 in cohort

Test GSAT trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.63×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.38×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore GSAT Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 83.25rising

Slow Activity USD 81.80rising

Trend Reference USD 80.05+4.7% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 39.16+114.0% close margin

Structural low USD 72.36shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +2.1%

Annualized volatility +16.1%

From structural high -1.2%

From structural low +107.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	27	-0.7%-30.5% to +44.9%	+44.4%	+44.4%	+0.1%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	-4.6%-33.0% to +135.7%	+40.0%	+40.0%	-10.9%	+30.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	-0.4%-40.8% to +124.9%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-13.4%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-16.2%-20.6% to +70.0%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-22.5%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

GSAT Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map