Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Technology

MOVE Stage Analysis

Movano Inc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 9.84Tenure NewBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction -64−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 52/100directional strength

Maturity 31/100lifecycle context

Confidence 89/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -67.0%USD 29.86 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	9.84	14.61	-24.28	445849	Downward Expansion	-64	52
2026-10-02	11.65	14.61	-9.66	526070	Downward Expansion	-44	36
2026-09-25	11.77	14.55	-7.36	885164	Downward Expansion	-41	24
2026-09-18	11.01	14.44	-9.57	1672439	Deceleration	-20	17
2026-09-11	11.13	14.34	-6.90	904988	Deceleration	-29	24
2026-09-04	14.74	14.26	23.45	8718000	Rotation Down	-26	24
2026-08-28	11.49	14.11	-2.68	358773	Rotation Down	-22	36
2026-08-21	8.77	14.15	-25.22	367294	Rotation Down	-35	53
2026-08-14	11.72	14.26	-2.25	738443	Deceleration	-23	41
2026-08-07	12.96	14.05	10.42	7898609	Deceleration	-18	27
2026-07-31	10.82	13.80	-1.95	178795	Deceleration	-26	31
2026-07-24	12.50	13.66	14.90	203207	Deceleration	8	19
2026-07-17	14.04	13.44	28.27	261852	Deceleration	23	14
2026-07-10	16.79	13.18	49.06	197533	Upward Expansion	41	28
2026-07-03	17.37	12.85	59.74	213315	Upward Expansion	54	38
2026-06-26	24.46	12.48	131.35	263091	Upward Expansion	70	50
2026-06-19	22.53	11.93	110.34	238231	Upward Expansion	67	46
2026-06-12	18.90	11.44	86.43	185018	Upward Expansion	57	46
2026-06-05	18.68	11.07	92.94	219046	Upward Expansion	59	52
2026-05-29	19.00	10.56	92.09	233596	Upward Expansion	61	55
2026-05-22	22.89	10.07	144.41	495021	Upward Expansion	82	76
2026-05-15	19.90	9.48	122.87	485706	Upward Expansion	80	78
2026-05-08	13.95	9.00	59.03	295655	Upward Expansion	61	72
2026-05-01	14.71	8.69	79.03	181414	Upward Expansion	62	72
2026-04-24	17.12	8.37	114.44	208665	Upward Expansion	74	62
2026-04-17	16.40	7.94	114.18	439380	Upward Expansion	72	50
2026-04-10	10.90	7.53	53.58	1380646	Upward Expansion	52	29
2026-04-03	8.48	7.36	25.72	159115	Upward Expansion	50	30
2026-03-27	13.51	7.34	105.76	310961	Upward Expansion	68	51
2026-03-20	10.32	7.15	50.35	133444	Upward Expansion	52	27
2026-03-13	9.75	6.99	36.23	157268	Upward Expansion	38	19
2026-03-06	9.94	6.81	32.34	255383	Upward Expansion	40	19
2026-02-27	8.39	6.62	4.44	197214	Upward Expansion	37	19
2026-02-20	8.02	6.50	-8.05	271721	Upward Expansion	50	40
2026-02-13	8.67	6.42	-6.65	691846	Upward Expansion	53	61
2026-02-06	10.28	6.30	2.16	975934	Upward Expansion	51	55
2026-01-30	12.61	6.13	15.03	8192704	Upward Expansion	65	55
2026-01-23	12.33	5.87	6.02	49072839	Balance	69	44
2026-01-16	5.27	5.63	-56.71	103725	Balance	18	12
2026-01-09	5.52	5.62	-58.05	145728	Balance	22	13
2026-01-02	6.47	5.60	-53.03	133328	Balance	32	14
2025-12-26	5.99	5.54	-59.67	693341	Balance	34	16
2025-12-19	6.18	5.48	-60.25	202960	Upward Expansion	50	35
2025-12-12	6.94	5.41	-57.41	1396860	Upward Expansion	53	56
2025-12-05	6.42	5.43	-63.41	525899	Upward Expansion	53	51
2025-11-28	7.73	5.41	-57.65	253021	Balance	58	53
2025-11-21	7.83	5.37	-56.95	534176	Balance	57	38
2025-11-14	7.88	5.32	-58.95	48017510	Balance	20	9
2025-11-07	3.51	5.29	-82.11	36861	Balance	-58	33
2025-10-31	4.20	5.37	-79.96	196049	Balance	-51	24
2025-10-24	5.10	5.54	-75.86	91937	Balance	-40	19
2025-10-17	5.49	5.85	-74.18	167191	Balance	-33	23
2025-10-10	4.84	6.17	-77.52	674089	Balance	-38	31
2025-10-03	5.06	6.66	-77.80	664169	Balance	-36	30
2025-09-26	4.08	7.36	-82.53	1004449	Balance	-47	27
2025-09-19	4.33	8.42	-82.24	783133	Balance	-29	17
2025-09-12	5.60	9.50	-77.41	2496569	Balance	-10	18
2025-09-05	7.95	10.57	-68.27	20709037	Downward Expansion	4	14
2025-08-29	7.88	11.62	-69.11	118246058	Downward Expansion	-13	21
2025-08-22	5.41	12.64	-79.36	4149402	Downward Expansion	-62	61
2025-08-15	4.23	13.66	-84.47	282391	Downward Expansion	-69	63
2025-08-08	4.51	14.90	-83.88	160615	Downward Expansion	-66	60
2025-08-01	4.65	16.19	-83.30	219049	Downward Expansion	-56	57
2025-07-25	5.67	17.43	-80.72	679243	Downward Expansion	-50	57
2025-07-18	5.01	18.68	-83.33	24170277	Downward Expansion	-51	58
2025-07-11	5.15	19.90	-83.16	331140	Downward Expansion	-53	60
2025-07-04	5.01	21.31	-84.12	88719	Downward Expansion	-63	64
2025-06-27	5.09	22.61	-83.94	432634	Downward Expansion	-64	78
2025-06-20	4.92	23.83	-84.13	761318	Downward Expansion	-65	85
2025-06-13	4.86	24.51	-84.71	1245733	Downward Expansion	-67	84
2025-06-06	4.80	25.13	-85.37	2471666	Downward Expansion	-68	67
2025-05-30	4.03	26.04	-87.78	657736	Downward Expansion	-73	67
2025-05-23	4.12	26.82	-87.58	13826237	Downward Expansion	-76	69
2025-05-16	7.51	27.65	-78.55	3404143	Downward Expansion	-68	67
2025-05-09	5.85	28.65	-82.58	58409	Downward Expansion	-72	86
2025-05-02	6.52	29.67	-81.16	82586	Downward Expansion	-71	89
2025-04-25	6.33	30.78	-81.61	233558	Downward Expansion	-75	91
2025-04-18	6.89	31.93	-79.30	88152	Downward Expansion	-78	92
2025-04-11	5.96	33.15	-82.98	330515	Downward Expansion	-88	96
2025-04-04	9.20	34.13	-72.59	248942	Downward Expansion	-89	96
2025-03-28	14.51	34.96	-62.14	76804	Downward Expansion	-86	95
2025-03-21	15.10	35.63	-62.16	82324	Downward Expansion	-92	94
2025-03-14	19.51	36.40	-51.75	110728	Balance	-89	83
2025-03-07	26.20	37.04	-37.83	212682	Balance	-42	49
2025-02-28	35.64	37.51	-19.90	16810	Balance	-16	15
2025-02-21	36.82	37.77	-21.29	13875	Balance	-1	6
2025-02-14	37.78	37.96	-22.41	25790	Balance	23	16
2025-02-07	39.32	38.24	-18.53	13607	Balance	1	7
2025-01-31	38.59	38.32	-21.26	25606	Balance	3	6
2025-01-24	36.05	38.21	-28.70	77928	Balance	-0	4
2025-01-17	41.46	38.02	-18.36	28027	Rotation Up	49	28
2025-01-10	43.00	37.98	-14.67	43210	Rotation Up	52	33
2025-01-03	41.97	38.07	-20.37	106168	Rotation Up	18	38
2024-12-27	43.08	38.05	-20.95	109064	Rotation Up	19	40
2024-12-20	41.61	38.02	-24.76	235629	Rotation Up	17	31
2024-12-13	47.57	38.30	-17.36	153534	Downward Expansion	30	30
2024-12-06	44.04	38.27	-24.36	589435	Downward Expansion	-10	8
2024-11-29	41.53	38.41	-27.96	810331	Downward Expansion	-35	26
2024-11-22	25.33	38.75	-56.90	69478	Downward Expansion	-69	74
2024-11-15	23.64	39.66	-60.48	72486	Downward Expansion	-79	79
2024-11-08	32.03	40.68	-49.86	216640	Downward Expansion	-60	66
2024-11-01	27.47	41.57	-56.10	2055218	Downward Expansion	-74	69
2024-10-25	29.07	42.68	-55.89	1646128	Downward Expansion	-70	52
2024-10-18	37.31	43.22	-44.83	338958	Downward Expansion	-37	18
2024-10-11	36.45	43.48	-47.48	319896	Downward Expansion	-38	19
2024-10-04	39.87	43.87	-43.30	274407	Downward Expansion	-31	16
2024-09-27	40.76	44.73	-43.60	615111	Downward Expansion	-36	19
2024-09-20	43.49	45.45	-41.15	1223956	Downward Expansion	-45	28
2024-09-13	35.41	46.19	-52.87	763600	Downward Expansion	-59	53
2024-09-06	34.35	47.36	-53.27	584174	Downward Expansion	-62	53
2024-08-30	34.46	48.45	-57.05	868585	Downward Expansion	-62	44
2024-08-23	38.18	49.56	-54.19	919665	Downward Expansion	-53	30
2024-08-16	38.83	50.62	-54.15	1550502	Downward Expansion	-41	22
2024-08-09	40.33	51.90	-51.41	1028721	Downward Expansion	-36	17
2024-08-02	43.27	53.32	-49.24	2475760	Downward Expansion	-34	18
2024-07-26	42.42	54.75	-53.22	570838	Downward Expansion	-40	24
2024-07-19	46.24	56.21	-51.81	1101674	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2024-07-12	41.86	57.09	-59.32	923814	Downward Expansion	-60	50
2024-07-05	35.24	58.34	-66.87	646775	Downward Expansion	-66	61
2024-06-28	30.38	59.96	-71.19	1890231	Downward Expansion	-75	58
2024-06-21	40.20	62.08	-62.76	1747618	Downward Expansion	-65	48
2024-06-14	45.80	64.24	-58.36	1438567	Downward Expansion	-58	43
2024-06-07	41.22	65.84	-61.85	585550	Downward Expansion	-67	47
2024-05-31	42.39	67.93	-60.55	802164	Downward Expansion	-69	48
2024-05-24	49.82	70.18	-55.21	823081	Downward Expansion	-59	43
2024-05-17	46.83	71.39	-58.00	445498	Downward Expansion	-66	47
2024-05-10	48.05	73.09	-56.73	488202	Downward Expansion	-66	46
2024-05-03	51.91	74.67	-53.64	280598	Downward Expansion	-52	38
2024-04-26	52.47	76.55	-53.55	132397	Downward Expansion	-51	36
2024-04-19	54.39	78.82	-50.76	399420	Downward Expansion	-60	44
2024-04-12	58.54	81.10	-50.76	1126102	Downward Expansion	-61	52
2024-04-05	60.76	83.75	-50.16	3592699	Downward Expansion	-65	75
2024-03-29	45.41	85.63	-63.78	135488	Downward Expansion	-77	89
2024-03-22	45.07	88.39	-65.02	414946	Downward Expansion	-80	83
2024-03-15	48.19	90.73	-62.38	271394	Downward Expansion	-82	69
2024-03-08	65.72	93.80	-50.49	191626	Downward Expansion	-60	48
2024-03-01	62.41	96.29	-54.71	330809	Downward Expansion	-69	54
2024-02-23	65.50	99.18	-52.51	995026	Downward Expansion	-66	60
2024-02-16	70.58	102.15	-49.03	54740	Downward Expansion	-62	64
2024-02-09	67.10	104.92	-53.18	246170	Downward Expansion	-67	67
2024-02-02	67.70	107.91	-52.87	436521	Downward Expansion	-68	58
2024-01-26	69.89	110.11	-51.73	308477	Downward Expansion	-67	45
2024-01-19	77.43	111.79	-47.33	164981	Downward Expansion	-61	40
2024-01-12	82.84	113.19	-43.56	264971	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2024-01-05	86.16	114.03	-41.32	158267	Downward Expansion	-59	54
2023-12-29	86.31	115.28	-44.35	926800	Downward Expansion	-60	64
2023-12-22	72.49	116.24	-53.88	628526	Downward Expansion	-74	72
2023-12-15	79.53	117.43	-50.00	874877	Downward Expansion	-69	58
2023-12-08	83.84	118.46	-46.74	272183	Downward Expansion	-68	50
2023-12-01	93.88	120.19	-41.31	544896	Downward Expansion	-60	36
2023-11-24	104.93	121.08	-35.66	752342	Downward Expansion	-52	30
2023-11-17	93.89	121.26	-43.06	884383	Downward Expansion	-63	41
2023-11-10	103.83	122.18	-37.14	119512	Downward Expansion	-57	45
2023-11-03	109.93	123.14	-33.00	473953	Downward Expansion	-61	62
2023-10-27	86.16	124.00	-45.43	213418	Downward Expansion	-76	75
2023-10-20	97.92	125.66	-41.21	123625	Downward Expansion	-66	65

Price vs TrendBelow-32.7%

Trend directionRising+5.9%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-67.0%

Fair Value directionMoving away-9.4%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-24.3%

Relative strength directionWeakening-73.3%

Price momentumNegative-9.7%

Volume balanceDemand-led3.37×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-64 / ±100

-34.5 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

52 /100

+28.1 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

MOVE Directional State ↗ MOVE Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance31

Rotation Up23

Upward Expansion11

Deceleration41

Rotation Down51

Downward Expansion84

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 16%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 17%Deceleration 5%Rotation Down 2%Downward Expansion 57%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-09-25	2026-10-09	New	-16.4%
Deceleration	2026-09-11	2026-09-18	New	-1.1%
Rotation Down	2026-08-21	2026-09-04	New	+68.1%
Deceleration	2026-07-17	2026-08-14	Developing	-16.5%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-30	2026-07-10	Established	+33.1%
Balance	2025-12-26	2026-01-23	Developing	+105.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-12-05	2025-12-19	New	-3.8%
Balance	2025-09-12	2025-11-28	Developing	+38.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-21	2025-09-05	Established	-47.3%
Balance	2025-01-24	2025-03-14	Developing	-45.9%
Rotation Up	2024-12-20	2025-01-17	Developing	-0.4%
Downward Expansion	2023-10-20	2024-12-13	Extended	-51.4%
Balance	2023-08-25	2023-10-13	Developing	-17.3%
Rotation Up	2023-07-28	2023-08-18	New	-9.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing47

Stage 2 · Advancing34

Stage 3 · Distribution26

Stage 4 · Declining66

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4A · Breakdown. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 71/100
Current Relative Strength: -24.28
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -9.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -32.7%
Technology regime cohort: 39th percentile170 in cohort

Test MOVE trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.36×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.37×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore MOVE Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 10.95falling

Slow Activity USD 13.91falling

Trend Reference USD 14.61-32.7% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 29.86-67.0% close margin

Structural low USD 8.39shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +33.4%

Annualized volatility +139.4%

From structural high -63.2%

From structural low +186.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	31	-9.6%-54.4% to +101.2%	+32.3%	+67.7%	-13.4%	+90.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	-19.3%-67.4% to +11.5%	+20.0%	+80.0%	-29.1%	+70.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	-30.3%-90.3% to +91.8%	+16.7%	+83.3%	-46.2%	+83.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	-55.8%-81.4% to -52.8%	+0.0%	+100.0%	-87.4%	+66.7%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

MOVE Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map