Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Technology

CCSI Stage Analysis

Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 36.71Tenure NewBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Balance · Upper balance after advance

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 21−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 13/100directional strength

Maturity 24/100lifecycle context

Confidence 81/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +16.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +50.6%USD 24.37 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	36.71	33.19	9.39	593920	Balance	21	13
2026-10-02	35.36	32.97	5.82	561005	Balance	18	13
2026-09-25	35.22	32.81	6.16	452348	Upward Expansion	29	18
2026-09-18	34.93	32.64	8.67	931781	Upward Expansion	35	17
2026-09-11	36.73	32.47	15.31	582110	Upward Expansion	41	26
2026-09-04	35.36	32.23	10.58	1108704	Upward Expansion	53	36
2026-08-28	38.00	31.84	19.38	860989	Upward Expansion	57	42
2026-08-21	38.77	31.29	22.65	1196327	Upward Expansion	62	41
2026-08-14	39.07	30.71	20.88	818620	Upward Expansion	67	41
2026-08-07	35.14	30.14	10.33	587898	Upward Expansion	45	32
2026-07-31	36.40	29.70	20.48	576756	Upward Expansion	58	41
2026-07-24	36.37	29.21	21.96	668051	Upward Expansion	61	47
2026-07-17	37.44	28.78	24.42	643718	Upward Expansion	66	58
2026-07-10	37.51	28.30	20.33	685975	Upward Expansion	68	64
2026-07-03	37.94	27.85	24.65	560406	Upward Expansion	74	69
2026-06-26	36.72	27.33	22.27	1176623	Upward Expansion	73	71
2026-06-19	34.14	26.83	9.05	563279	Upward Expansion	64	69
2026-06-12	34.81	26.39	14.39	632178	Upward Expansion	70	63
2026-06-05	33.50	25.98	12.99	948024	Upward Expansion	67	57
2026-05-29	34.35	25.68	10.86	733520	Upward Expansion	76	69
2026-05-22	28.18	25.51	-6.26	945374	Upward Expansion	55	52
2026-05-15	28.32	25.50	-4.76	962621	Upward Expansion	54	53
2026-05-08	34.00	25.39	13.73	1067758	Deceleration	76	53
2026-05-01	27.46	25.13	-3.03	440627	Deceleration	47	21
2026-04-24	26.72	25.14	-4.27	527418	Deceleration	27	18
2026-04-17	27.57	25.23	0.91	510451	Deceleration	28	25
2026-04-10	23.90	25.27	-7.12	480566	Deceleration	-17	28
2026-04-03	23.96	25.40	-2.88	482858	Rotation Up	-10	17
2026-03-27	24.43	25.49	2.61	690718	Rotation Up	7	17
2026-03-20	26.70	25.56	8.22	972672	Rotation Up	36	47
2026-03-13	30.05	25.57	19.21	739512	Rotation Up	39	75
2026-03-06	30.55	25.43	20.01	748756	Rotation Up	46	77
2026-02-27	30.08	25.21	16.76	1185421	Rotation Up	41	72
2026-02-20	29.87	24.86	15.54	1217181	Rotation Up	43	61
2026-02-13	29.61	24.56	15.85	1961982	Rotation Up	33	28
2026-02-06	23.67	24.28	-8.76	2362997	Downward Expansion	-55	36
2026-01-30	21.36	24.20	-19.80	712030	Downward Expansion	-62	56
2026-01-23	21.38	24.27	-20.55	508733	Downward Expansion	-63	56
2026-01-16	21.95	24.33	-18.81	780062	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2026-01-09	22.08	24.32	-19.49	910656	Deceleration	-30	26
2026-01-02	21.72	24.31	-19.46	680223	Deceleration	-34	23
2025-12-26	23.35	24.34	-15.37	837284	Deceleration	-23	18
2025-12-19	23.10	24.30	-15.55	1032853	Rotation Down	-19	24
2025-12-12	23.96	24.24	-12.23	995688	Rotation Down	-24	51
2025-12-05	22.41	24.22	-19.70	767990	Rotation Down	-25	57
2025-11-28	21.84	24.22	-21.36	638329	Rotation Down	-30	51
2025-11-21	20.96	24.19	-21.26	844018	Deceleration	-37	36
2025-11-14	22.37	24.13	-19.01	1072760	Deceleration	2	9
2025-11-07	24.48	24.01	-12.04	1307560	Deceleration	26	16
2025-10-31	29.32	23.84	1.73	768497	Deceleration	58	33
2025-10-24	27.69	23.54	-2.09	497545	Deceleration	46	26
2025-10-17	25.26	23.39	-8.58	496814	Upward Expansion	45	33
2025-10-10	26.01	23.34	-3.62	520761	Upward Expansion	62	50
2025-10-03	27.81	23.27	0.71	490340	Upward Expansion	65	65
2025-09-26	29.39	23.15	7.74	540452	Upward Expansion	78	83
2025-09-19	28.97	23.04	5.75	588641	Upward Expansion	80	84
2025-09-12	27.62	22.93	3.04	467706	Upward Expansion	74	82
2025-09-05	26.81	22.97	1.84	374734	Rotation Up	68	80
2025-08-29	26.57	23.00	1.74	510671	Rotation Up	43	66
2025-08-22	26.84	23.06	2.31	742601	Balance	46	57
2025-08-15	25.88	23.04	-2.22	1031883	Balance	28	24
2025-08-08	23.84	23.02	-9.41	952549	Balance	-17	14
2025-08-01	19.66	23.01	-22.60	750730	Balance	-64	52
2025-07-25	21.03	23.17	-19.35	580231	Balance	-41	25
2025-07-18	21.06	23.27	-18.90	923255	Balance	-39	18
2025-07-11	21.24	23.35	-17.37	612743	Balance	-25	13
2025-07-04	23.60	23.45	-8.36	490016	Balance	-2	8
2025-06-27	22.96	23.50	-9.20	786966	Balance	-15	10
2025-06-20	21.91	23.56	-9.54	690683	Balance	-32	15
2025-06-13	21.65	23.65	-10.40	626199	Downward Expansion	-35	18
2025-06-06	22.76	23.77	-6.16	831245	Downward Expansion	-30	21
2025-05-30	21.97	23.85	-7.42	583238	Downward Expansion	-33	25
2025-05-23	21.37	23.88	-8.20	790775	Downward Expansion	-37	24
2025-05-16	23.17	23.84	-2.88	715344	Downward Expansion	-41	23
2025-05-09	22.51	23.77	0.86	1082672	Downward Expansion	-58	42
2025-05-02	20.85	23.74	-6.64	588682	Downward Expansion	-65	73
2025-04-25	19.40	23.79	-9.59	677505	Rotation Down	-68	77
2025-04-18	18.78	23.93	-6.38	497347	Rotation Down	-50	69
2025-04-11	19.17	24.06	-6.16	832897	Rotation Down	-52	64
2025-04-04	20.50	24.17	8.49	773641	Balance	-38	47
2025-03-28	23.20	24.25	11.50	776328	Balance	-22	26
2025-03-21	23.65	24.28	11.66	833999	Balance	11	19
2025-03-14	23.87	24.21	13.92	775863	Upward Expansion	15	17
2025-03-07	24.27	24.09	13.88	799023	Upward Expansion	29	17
2025-02-28	26.17	23.94	19.71	962712	Upward Expansion	55	37
2025-02-21	25.68	23.74	14.21	1013135	Upward Expansion	61	60
2025-02-14	28.81	23.64	25.83	426384	Upward Expansion	75	79
2025-02-07	27.71	23.36	25.06	454401	Upward Expansion	71	74
2025-01-31	28.32	23.00	28.40	904154	Upward Expansion	76	60
2025-01-24	26.36	22.61	18.21	272714	Deceleration	66	38
2025-01-17	25.07	22.30	14.18	429735	Deceleration	46	24
2025-01-10	23.48	22.03	10.22	394506	Deceleration	35	18
2025-01-03	24.63	21.83	12.97	414678	Deceleration	43	24
2024-12-27	23.91	21.63	8.36	284452	Upward Expansion	41	25
2024-12-20	23.59	21.46	6.98	549279	Upward Expansion	54	34
2024-12-13	24.10	21.33	6.01	422495	Upward Expansion	59	43
2024-12-06	25.04	21.19	9.97	593939	Upward Expansion	64	67
2024-11-29	24.95	20.99	12.27	389020	Upward Expansion	64	72
2024-11-22	24.49	20.57	11.04	517251	Upward Expansion	61	67
2024-11-15	25.30	20.16	16.36	674528	Upward Expansion	70	58
2024-11-08	25.05	19.74	10.92	939182	Deceleration	68	37
2024-11-01	22.90	19.33	6.62	687524	Deceleration	41	20
2024-10-25	20.22	19.02	-7.93	605986	Deceleration	25	18
2024-10-18	21.21	18.88	-4.04	541059	Deceleration	37	23
2024-10-11	21.66	18.62	-2.66	352242	Upward Expansion	42	29
2024-10-04	22.17	18.35	-0.06	535952	Upward Expansion	55	38
2024-09-27	23.62	18.09	5.67	656650	Upward Expansion	65	48
2024-09-20	22.70	17.85	1.66	864096	Upward Expansion	60	59
2024-09-13	22.53	17.66	1.40	488782	Upward Expansion	61	61
2024-09-06	22.70	17.54	7.32	414864	Upward Expansion	63	59
2024-08-30	24.09	17.44	6.38	557924	Upward Expansion	77	62
2024-08-23	21.83	17.32	-5.62	781943	Upward Expansion	66	47
2024-08-16	20.17	17.27	-13.26	670890	Upward Expansion	57	64
2024-08-09	19.87	17.21	-11.34	921118	Upward Expansion	58	68
2024-08-02	20.09	17.21	-11.50	745853	Balance	57	63
2024-07-26	22.56	17.29	-5.03	973853	Balance	51	56
2024-07-19	20.45	17.41	-17.29	892910	Balance	41	23
2024-07-12	16.84	17.58	-35.62	726417	Balance	-25	19
2024-07-05	16.74	17.91	-37.44	511572	Rotation Up	-24	19
2024-06-28	17.18	18.20	-34.67	1146267	Rotation Up	-19	13
2024-06-21	16.80	18.27	-37.23	622475	Rotation Up	-5	13
2024-06-14	17.53	18.45	-35.41	1062665	Rotation Up	20	39
2024-06-07	18.52	18.61	-30.55	889894	Rotation Up	23	49
2024-05-31	18.87	18.70	-28.77	1122253	Rotation Up	21	41
2024-05-24	19.86	18.81	-27.68	1086227	Downward Expansion	12	32
2024-05-17	19.72	18.83	-28.61	1201481	Downward Expansion	-8	17
2024-05-10	19.11	18.92	-30.61	2311970	Downward Expansion	-28	27
2024-05-03	12.21	19.08	-55.80	1726156	Downward Expansion	-69	74
2024-04-26	12.27	19.47	-56.28	706317	Downward Expansion	-73	72
2024-04-19	12.88	19.90	-53.50	1111023	Downward Expansion	-70	58
2024-04-12	12.69	20.32	-57.79	1104835	Downward Expansion	-74	61
2024-04-05	13.66	20.73	-55.96	1147912	Downward Expansion	-70	66
2024-03-29	15.86	21.16	-50.34	1276930	Downward Expansion	-66	75
2024-03-22	13.45	21.68	-58.89	2497986	Downward Expansion	-75	86
2024-03-15	13.66	22.26	-57.79	6295665	Downward Expansion	-80	86
2024-03-08	14.33	22.80	-57.04	3967775	Downward Expansion	-81	81
2024-03-01	16.39	23.38	-52.64	2352993	Downward Expansion	-71	62
2024-02-23	16.81	23.85	-51.54	1736916	Downward Expansion	-72	50
2024-02-16	19.10	24.38	-45.64	815857	Downward Expansion	-62	44
2024-02-09	19.79	24.82	-46.52	928332	Downward Expansion	-59	61
2024-02-02	20.35	25.28	-45.85	1031610	Downward Expansion	-57	64
2024-01-26	20.47	25.62	-46.59	661222	Downward Expansion	-55	61
2024-01-19	18.36	25.97	-53.32	695586	Balance	-69	58
2024-01-12	19.71	26.34	-50.10	750665	Balance	-52	27
2024-01-05	22.48	26.74	-43.03	480924	Balance	-21	19
2023-12-29	26.21	27.18	-37.40	491199	Downward Expansion	-1	20
2023-12-22	25.61	27.53	-40.20	923700	Downward Expansion	-23	19
2023-12-15	26.62	27.88	-38.80	1571635	Downward Expansion	-25	17
2023-12-08	25.53	28.15	-40.69	1087600	Downward Expansion	-44	34
2023-12-01	19.14	28.40	-56.31	1009780	Downward Expansion	-76	57
2023-11-24	22.36	28.99	-50.18	319108	Downward Expansion	-60	50
2023-11-17	22.34	29.49	-50.91	674978	Downward Expansion	-64	58
2023-11-10	21.01	30.05	-54.11	640961	Downward Expansion	-72	73
2023-11-03	22.36	30.65	-50.85	498664	Downward Expansion	-66	74
2023-10-27	20.41	31.06	-53.34	451186	Downward Expansion	-84	84
2023-10-20	22.50	31.52	-50.94	543404	Downward Expansion	-78	79

Price vs TrendAbove+10.6%

Trend directionRising+11.7%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+50.6%

Fair Value directionMoving away-7.7%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+9.4%

Relative strength directionWeakening-10.9%

Price momentumPositive+53.6%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.60×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

21 / ±100

-20.4 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

13 /100

-13.4 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

CCSI Directional State ↗ CCSI Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance63

Rotation Up25

Upward Expansion47

Deceleration82

Rotation Down25

Downward Expansion23

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 14%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 32%Deceleration 14%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 26%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Balance	2026-10-02	2026-10-09	New	+3.8%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-15	2026-09-25	Established	+24.4%
Deceleration	2026-04-10	2026-05-08	Developing	+42.3%
Rotation Up	2026-02-13	2026-04-03	Developing	-19.1%
Downward Expansion	2026-01-16	2026-02-06	New	+7.8%
Deceleration	2025-12-26	2026-01-09	New	-5.4%
Rotation Down	2025-11-28	2025-12-19	New	+5.8%
Deceleration	2025-10-24	2025-11-21	Developing	-24.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-12	2025-10-17	Developing	-8.5%
Rotation Up	2025-08-29	2025-09-05	New	+0.9%
Balance	2025-06-20	2025-08-22	Developing	+22.5%
Downward Expansion	2025-05-02	2025-06-13	Developing	+3.8%
Rotation Down	2025-04-11	2025-04-25	New	+1.2%
Balance	2025-03-21	2025-04-04	New	-13.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing2

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution69

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 70/100
Current Relative Strength: 9.39
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +53.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +30.7%
Technology regime cohort: 63th percentile95 in cohort

Test CCSI trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.80×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.60×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 4

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore CCSI Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 35.82falling

Slow Activity USD 35.35rising

Trend Reference USD 33.19+10.6% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 24.37+50.6% close margin

Structural low USD 23.72shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +9.6%

Annualized volatility +57.8%

From structural high -11.3%

From structural low +81.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	6	+1.4%-20.6% to +22.9%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-2.7%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	4	+10.6%-39.2% to +32.2%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+0.6%	+25.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	3	+22.5%-25.5% to +39.4%	+66.7%	+66.7%	-2.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	+11.2%+9.6% to +12.9%	+100.0%	+100.0%	-15.3%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

CCSI Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map