Weekly structural research ยท SET ยท Utilities

PRIME Stage Analysis

Prime Road Power Public Company Limited

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close THB 0.06Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^SET.BK
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Balance ยท Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction 48โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 38/100directional strength
Maturity 38/100lifecycle context
Confidence 80/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation
Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -73.1%THB 0.2231 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-020.060.0533-7.842985500Balance4838
2026-09-250.060.0533-10.892955800Balance1919
2026-09-180.060.0537-10.606875700Balance-74
2026-09-110.050.0537-27.2418174900Balance-4625
2026-09-040.050.054-27.835437900Balance-4417
2026-08-280.050.054-28.502545600Balance-3614
2026-08-210.050.054-30.662004200Balance-3714
2026-08-140.060.0543-17.084806900Balance-177
2026-08-070.050.0547-31.70197600Balance-4633
2026-07-310.050.055-32.861971200Balance-4932
2026-07-240.050.0553-34.35184500Balance-4822
2026-07-170.050.0557-35.115760200Balance-4622
2026-07-100.050.056-35.36343900Balance-4921
2026-07-030.060.0563-23.19464100Balance-168
2026-06-260.050.057-34.031640300Downward Expansion-4822
2026-06-190.050.058-36.334270400Downward Expansion-3816
2026-06-120.060.059-25.524162100Downward Expansion-2110
2026-06-050.050.0593-38.13729600Downward Expansion-5225
2026-05-290.060.0603-26.161268300Downward Expansion-3720
2026-05-220.050.061-38.0020274000Downward Expansion-5140
2026-05-150.050.0617-37.962838100Downward Expansion-5031
2026-05-080.050.0623-38.186481700Downward Expansion-4621
2026-05-010.050.0633-38.804587800Downward Expansion-4019
2026-04-240.060.0643-25.106857400Downward Expansion-3015
2026-04-170.060.065-26.26613900Downward Expansion-3719
2026-04-100.060.0657-27.313051500Downward Expansion-5235
2026-04-030.050.0663-37.71768400Downward Expansion-5550
2026-03-270.050.0673-38.012060800Downward Expansion-5645
2026-03-200.050.068-38.119755400Downward Expansion-5427
2026-03-130.050.0687-37.775133500Downward Expansion-4620
2026-03-060.060.0693-26.196533800Downward Expansion-3216
2026-02-270.070.0697-20.947070000Downward Expansion-2915
2026-02-200.060.0697-30.4920638400Downward Expansion-5239
2026-02-130.060.0703-28.8415062100Downward Expansion-5343
2026-02-060.050.071-37.93845700Downward Expansion-6239
2026-01-300.050.072-37.283595800Downward Expansion-6435
2026-01-230.060.073-24.833346200Downward Expansion-5428
2026-01-160.070.0737-10.444261200Downward Expansion-5133
2026-01-090.060.0737-22.219508200Downward Expansion-5455
2026-01-020.060.074-23.175927200Downward Expansion-5659
2025-12-260.060.0747-24.399361800Balance-5452
2025-12-190.060.0753-25.4813859900Balance-5644
2025-12-120.060.076-27.885740300Balance-5427
2025-12-050.080.077-8.149587300Balance1912
2025-11-280.080.0773-9.336576400Balance168
2025-11-210.080.0767-11.196711300Balance64
2025-11-140.070.0753-24.987508400Balance-106
2025-11-070.080.0743-18.2621918900Balance3114
2025-10-310.080.074-20.3410900200Balance3115
2025-10-240.070.0737-32.172134400Balance1811
2025-10-170.070.074-31.704264900Balance229
2025-10-100.080.0743-24.258439800Balance4731
2025-10-030.080.0743-26.9520561500Balance4833
2025-09-260.080.074-28.5811890300Balance4727
2025-09-190.080.074-31.6214839600Balance3519
2025-09-120.080.0743-34.0955826000Balance3315
2025-09-050.080.0747-34.6762743000Balance-76
2025-08-290.070.075-42.882638300Balance-4034
2025-08-220.070.0757-45.008851200Balance-3928
2025-08-150.070.0767-46.204381600Balance-3721
2025-08-080.070.0773-47.3027065400Balance-2513
2025-08-010.070.0783-46.6530817200Balance-2912
2025-07-250.080.0807-40.225495400Balance-108
2025-07-180.080.0833-40.9212472800Balance-108
2025-07-110.080.0877-38.516248000Balance-229
2025-07-040.080.0923-40.6313810300Balance-2514
2025-06-270.080.0973-40.5749681900Balance-2917
2025-06-200.070.1017-48.8817582000Balance-3821
2025-06-130.070.1067-53.0810118000Balance-2614
2025-06-060.080.111-48.946564500Balance-1617
2025-05-300.080.1153-51.4236090800Downward Expansion-2626
2025-05-230.080.1203-54.3550079400Downward Expansion-3225
2025-05-160.090.125-51.3536994800Downward Expansion-4230
2025-05-090.090.129-53.85168257000Downward Expansion-6253
2025-05-020.060.1357-69.941027098900Downward Expansion-6669
2025-04-250.040.144-80.0029915900Downward Expansion-8187
2025-04-180.040.153-80.56308906000Downward Expansion-8684
2025-04-110.070.163-66.6217491500Downward Expansion-6863
2025-04-040.070.171-67.5851177800Downward Expansion-6963
2025-03-280.080.1773-65.579401500Downward Expansion-6260
2025-03-210.080.183-67.0114558200Downward Expansion-6461
2025-03-140.080.187-67.675029800Downward Expansion-6663
2025-03-070.070.1917-73.299564300Downward Expansion-7667
2025-02-280.080.1967-70.4326877800Downward Expansion-7265
2025-02-210.090.2017-68.79121386800Downward Expansion-6865
2025-02-140.090.2067-70.425436700Downward Expansion-6966
2025-02-070.090.2153-71.6914287000Downward Expansion-7186
2025-01-310.090.2253-73.3619380300Downward Expansion-7490
2025-01-240.100.2347-72.3323674300Downward Expansion-7490
2025-01-170.090.2433-75.6372623500Downward Expansion-8694
2025-01-100.100.2537-74.13113350400Downward Expansion-8789
2025-01-030.140.2643-65.05115523800Downward Expansion-8174
2024-12-270.160.2753-61.3875896900Downward Expansion-7850
2024-12-200.210.2863-49.018546200Downward Expansion-4934
2024-12-130.220.296-50.0231280300Downward Expansion-4533
2024-12-060.230.3073-49.3452829100Downward Expansion-5843
2024-11-290.210.316-53.7212175800Downward Expansion-6452
2024-11-220.220.3257-52.9834417000Downward Expansion-6254
2024-11-150.200.3347-57.8222090900Downward Expansion-7176
2024-11-080.210.3457-57.1219311500Downward Expansion-7178
2024-11-010.230.3563-53.8227774700Downward Expansion-6569
2024-10-250.220.3653-56.5127297200Downward Expansion-7153
2024-10-180.210.377-59.79198152600Downward Expansion-7140
2024-10-110.290.3887-44.5836896700Downward Expansion-3023
2024-10-040.310.3993-40.6560655100Downward Expansion-2828
2024-09-270.310.408-41.93137153100Downward Expansion-3430
2024-09-200.340.4163-38.5791210000Downward Expansion-4029
2024-09-130.310.4273-44.68129553100Downward Expansion-5148
2024-09-060.260.4413-55.1418047600Downward Expansion-6563
2024-08-300.250.4577-56.10196324200Downward Expansion-6869
2024-08-230.200.4763-65.8286643900Downward Expansion-7791
2024-08-160.220.4933-62.108959500Downward Expansion-7590
2024-08-090.220.506-63.0214855200Downward Expansion-8189
2024-08-020.230.5187-62.8827994300Downward Expansion-8783
2024-07-260.240.5313-62.13123182900Downward Expansion-9284
2024-07-190.350.5437-46.635750500Downward Expansion-7577
2024-07-120.390.5533-42.5818512500Downward Expansion-6785
2024-07-050.370.56-45.9219995400Downward Expansion-7790
2024-06-280.360.5673-48.1432769800Downward Expansion-8691
2024-06-210.400.5757-43.879218200Downward Expansion-8286
2024-06-140.420.582-42.2520769800Downward Expansion-8278
2024-06-070.470.5883-37.819888900Downward Expansion-7147
2024-05-310.490.5933-36.9313511100Downward Expansion-6643
2024-05-240.500.598-37.6143138700Downward Expansion-6341
2024-05-170.560.60-32.1973670000Downward Expansion-6049
2024-05-100.490.601-41.136090200Downward Expansion-6970
2024-05-030.500.6087-40.8913187700Downward Expansion-6664
2024-04-260.490.6183-42.6032819400Downward Expansion-7061
2024-04-190.530.646-37.630Downward Expansion-6046
2024-04-120.530.6723-41.4015668100Downward Expansion-6149
2024-04-050.500.6993-44.7232948700Downward Expansion-7054
2024-03-290.570.727-38.0937675300Downward Expansion-5752
2024-03-220.560.7523-40.0824504900Downward Expansion-6251
2024-03-150.610.7783-35.8162289800Downward Expansion-4237
2024-03-080.570.8013-40.8268846700Downward Expansion-5037
2024-03-010.560.826-41.8555289200Downward Expansion-4927
2024-02-230.670.8507-32.8890102400Downward Expansion-819
2024-02-160.730.8727-27.13167143500Downward Expansion-724
2024-02-090.750.8937-26.00279171600Downward Expansion-1022
2024-02-020.810.914-20.70904802100Downward Expansion-915
2024-01-260.710.9323-30.31621342100Downward Expansion-4539
2024-01-190.600.9537-42.17124780600Downward Expansion-5470
2024-01-120.600.978-43.9956966600Downward Expansion-5364
2024-01-050.611.00-44.2020933100Downward Expansion-4945
2023-12-290.611.03-44.2561038900Downward Expansion-4943
2023-12-220.641.05-41.60191801600Downward Expansion-5046
2023-12-150.591.08-46.1232158800Downward Expansion-6256
2023-12-080.591.10-46.2543259600Downward Expansion-6359
2023-12-010.611.13-44.9385702000Downward Expansion-6261
2023-11-240.591.16-47.88193452100Downward Expansion-6665
2023-11-170.611.18-47.35136667300Downward Expansion-6566
2023-11-100.621.21-46.01397802400Downward Expansion-6787
2023-11-030.631.24-46.79127326700Downward Expansion-6889
2023-10-270.561.26-52.09130063000Downward Expansion-8896
2023-10-200.591.29-50.45416621000Downward Expansion-9497
2023-10-130.721.32-42.281674949400Downward Expansion-9394
Price vs TrendAbove+12.5%
Trend directionFalling-3.6%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-73.1%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+8.5%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-7.8%
Relative strength directionImproving+15.3%
Price momentumPositive+20.0%
Volume balanceDemand-led4.98ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

48 / ยฑ100

+92.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

38 /100

+20.9 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance38
Rotation Up54
Upward Expansion78
Deceleration52
Rotation Down20
Downward Expansion14

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 28%Downward Expansion 72%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Balance2026-07-032026-10-02Established+0.0%
Downward Expansion2026-01-022026-06-26Established-16.7%
Balance2025-06-062025-12-26Extended-25.0%
Downward Expansion2023-08-182025-05-30Extended-93.8%
Balance2023-03-242023-08-11Established-5.1%
Upward Expansion2023-02-242023-03-17New-5.9%
Rotation Up2023-02-032023-02-17New-4.5%
Downward Expansion2022-02-042023-01-27Extended-26.2%
Balance2021-11-122022-01-28Developing-7.0%
Downward Expansion2021-08-202021-11-05Developing+7.6%
Rotation Down2021-07-092021-08-13Developing+1.1%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing62
Stage 2 ยท Advancing44
Stage 3 ยท Distribution18
Stage 4 ยท Declining44

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1B ยท Basing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^SET.BK

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
38/100
Current Relative Strength
-7.84
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+20.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+11.9%
Utilities regime cohort
80th percentile5 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.69ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume4.98ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+62.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity THB 0.058rising
Slow Activity THB 0.0537rising
Trend Reference THB 0.0533+12.5% close margin
Current Fair Value THB 0.2231-73.1% close margin
Structural low THB 0.04shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +20.5%
Annualized volatility +85.4%
From structural high -25.0%
From structural low +50.0%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^SET.BK Regime survived Read
Near term20-0.4%-25.0% to +20.0%+35.0%+35.0%-1.1%+85.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate7-0.8%-25.0% to +0.0%+0.0%+0.0%-1.9%+57.1%Usable descriptive sample
Extended4-14.5%-37.5% to +0.0%+0.0%+0.0%-16.8%+25.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle3-37.5%-59.4% to -31.2%+0.0%+0.0%-46.2%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context