Weekly structural research ยท SHH ยท Industrials

600082 Stage Analysis

Tianjin Hi-Tech Development Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 3.32Tenure NewBenchmark 000001.SS
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Balance ยท Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

  • The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction 34โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 46/100directional strength
Maturity 8/100lifecycle context
Confidence 81/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Mixedstructural direction
Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation
Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +3.0%CNY 3.22 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-023.323.16-6.1632462454Balance3446
2026-09-253.313.18-7.8935343755Balance1628
2026-09-183.163.21-13.0369982951Downward Expansion214
2026-09-112.963.25-18.5823028254Downward Expansion-3121
2026-09-042.993.29-19.145879201Downward Expansion-3423
2026-08-282.983.33-20.305701600Downward Expansion-4027
2026-08-212.833.38-23.837844200Downward Expansion-4433
2026-08-142.863.42-23.963891800Downward Expansion-5045
2026-08-072.833.47-25.518904756Downward Expansion-6152
2026-07-312.843.51-23.7716210400Downward Expansion-6361
2026-07-242.503.55-33.093155910Downward Expansion-7776
2026-07-172.673.60-28.276143400Downward Expansion-7378
2026-07-102.793.64-29.996984000Downward Expansion-6874
2026-07-032.953.71-27.448188910Downward Expansion-6474
2026-06-262.693.77-34.067559200Downward Expansion-7879
2026-06-192.993.84-28.3934504700Downward Expansion-6867
2026-06-123.053.91-26.387299000Downward Expansion-6744
2026-06-053.203.98-23.5212935411Downward Expansion-4924
2026-05-293.374.03-20.7572795755Downward Expansion-3625
2026-05-223.774.06-12.7175140925Downward Expansion-3024
2026-05-153.854.08-11.46117551220Downward Expansion-3622
2026-05-083.784.09-14.0883305589Downward Expansion-5945
2026-05-013.344.10-22.8595326824Downward Expansion-6457
2026-04-243.034.12-29.58172356393Downward Expansion-7583
2026-04-172.914.16-32.10204319012Downward Expansion-8687
2026-04-103.514.21-16.9877696053Downward Expansion-6679
2026-04-033.204.23-22.2596586107Downward Expansion-8588
2026-03-273.634.26-12.6388532300Downward Expansion-7279
2026-03-203.634.27-13.5966631514Downward Expansion-7674
2026-03-133.834.27-11.8979525672Balance-6550
2026-03-063.854.28-11.99197414815Balance-3723
2026-02-274.394.28-0.5353765701Balance24
2026-02-134.304.27-0.3175002613Balance34
2026-02-064.254.26-0.7677943911Balance04
2026-01-304.094.25-5.44104439746Deceleration-77
2026-01-234.354.250.3370342999Deceleration-16
2026-01-164.234.23-1.3175955512Deceleration-1519
2026-01-094.274.21-0.60101957837Deceleration-1825
2026-01-024.064.19-1.4744792100Deceleration-2133
2025-12-264.044.21-1.4166296407Upward Expansion-1325
2025-12-194.054.201.0589862900Upward Expansion918
2025-12-123.904.18-2.47178470527Upward Expansion1313
2025-12-054.774.1618.8784067659Upward Expansion5947
2025-11-284.774.1119.8996108359Upward Expansion6355
2025-11-214.714.0620.75109710938Upward Expansion6574
2025-11-145.294.0031.12208084105Upward Expansion9091
2025-11-074.893.9222.05179401271Upward Expansion8383
2025-10-314.723.8519.9294941623Upward Expansion8074
2025-10-244.453.7913.9571983352Upward Expansion7149
2025-10-174.323.7414.44102248857Upward Expansion6639
2025-10-104.233.7011.2237279554Upward Expansion6338
2025-10-034.073.668.1132284184Upward Expansion5644
2025-09-263.973.637.4475708591Upward Expansion5957
2025-09-194.183.6013.82125311878Upward Expansion6264
2025-09-124.373.5617.87117253763Upward Expansion7969
2025-09-054.073.5112.15115146182Deceleration5733
2025-08-293.973.478.87102008013Deceleration4024
2025-08-223.953.439.9786161612Upward Expansion4125
2025-08-153.893.4012.96110731383Upward Expansion5232
2025-08-083.883.3715.45107525083Upward Expansion5639
2025-08-014.023.3223.0483511254Upward Expansion6046
2025-07-254.063.2724.2464061198Upward Expansion6447
2025-07-184.023.2326.3496886092Upward Expansion6446
2025-07-114.013.2028.32200728886Upward Expansion6644
2025-07-043.903.1827.5284813842Upward Expansion6140
2025-06-273.853.1628.95104362232Upward Expansion6351
2025-06-203.603.1424.1293954708Upward Expansion6359
2025-06-133.683.1127.36354904758Upward Expansion6678
2025-06-064.533.0957.77109764692Upward Expansion9798
2025-05-303.783.0435.08191985098Upward Expansion8788
2025-05-233.623.0030.42175637363Upward Expansion8681
2025-05-163.332.9720.0454100201Upward Expansion7265
2025-05-093.292.9519.8368756807Deceleration7050
2025-05-023.002.9211.8263412073Deceleration3214
2025-04-253.002.9111.6056861754Deceleration3017
2025-04-182.972.8911.4736626451Deceleration2518
2025-04-112.812.887.1555011955Deceleration159
2025-04-042.952.868.9826460730Deceleration4827
2025-03-282.932.837.8366406974Deceleration5338
2025-03-213.132.8014.6543442908Deceleration6556
2025-03-143.092.7511.4642110401Deceleration6145
2025-03-073.022.7210.5948610435Deceleration4431
2025-02-283.012.6812.1343999411Deceleration4430
2025-02-212.962.658.5637490800Deceleration4125
2025-02-142.952.619.2839733420Deceleration3823
2025-02-072.942.5810.6626248100Deceleration3522
2025-01-312.862.549.026452600Deceleration1711
2025-01-242.862.517.9949680319Deceleration2320
2025-01-172.942.4910.5653185796Deceleration2724
2025-01-102.572.45-1.8538362196Deceleration1822
2025-01-032.562.44-4.4145056910Upward Expansion3222
2024-12-272.822.43-1.3681052912Upward Expansion6046
2024-12-203.152.4110.33192755239Upward Expansion6459
2024-12-133.402.3917.44250352252Upward Expansion7972
2024-12-063.272.3712.1795539129Upward Expansion7968
2024-11-293.052.346.5894302901Upward Expansion7264
2024-11-222.972.325.10106938339Upward Expansion6963
2024-11-152.892.30-0.14126477543Upward Expansion6765
2024-11-082.972.28-1.49159703762Upward Expansion7859
2024-11-012.772.27-3.53185469644Rotation Up7154
2024-10-252.782.27-4.46100796234Rotation Up5252
2024-10-182.462.27-14.8479929113Rotation Up3762
2024-10-112.422.28-15.57126888178Rotation Up2964
2024-10-042.752.29-8.0661345612Rotation Up5276
2024-09-272.572.28-7.64262268192Rotation Up4555
2024-09-202.502.280.84193557870Rotation Up2130
2024-09-132.222.28-9.7056720449Downward Expansion-2217
2024-09-061.992.28-21.3728891500Downward Expansion-4539
2024-08-301.992.31-24.1331752972Downward Expansion-4536
2024-08-231.862.36-29.9724006700Downward Expansion-6044
2024-08-161.982.41-26.7931808025Downward Expansion-4941
2024-08-092.052.47-24.4338948600Downward Expansion-6251
2024-08-022.002.52-27.9237258202Downward Expansion-6559
2024-07-261.902.56-31.7240022651Downward Expansion-6972
2024-07-191.842.62-36.1938397831Downward Expansion-7882
2024-07-121.922.68-33.6860389001Downward Expansion-7378
2024-07-051.962.73-32.2634205811Downward Expansion-7485
2024-06-281.992.78-32.0345344700Downward Expansion-7787
2024-06-212.022.83-32.1437280500Downward Expansion-8087
2024-06-142.122.87-30.0633815211Downward Expansion-7878
2024-06-072.152.91-29.8770062229Downward Expansion-7853
2024-05-312.362.95-24.3140382742Downward Expansion-6038
2024-05-242.512.98-19.8972439217Downward Expansion-4731
2024-05-172.743.00-14.6773881565Downward Expansion-5544
2024-05-102.563.01-20.4063505400Downward Expansion-5963
2024-05-032.463.04-22.4436456312Downward Expansion-5855
2024-04-262.373.07-25.0241169836Downward Expansion-6343
2024-04-192.263.10-28.1891077622Downward Expansion-7041
2024-04-122.633.14-15.5743732955Downward Expansion-4126
2024-04-052.853.17-10.2234883802Downward Expansion-4026
2024-03-292.743.19-13.0559951315Downward Expansion-4636
2024-03-222.733.21-13.8154472142Downward Expansion-5947
2024-03-152.613.24-18.0766924024Downward Expansion-6366
2024-03-082.503.27-21.6252206508Downward Expansion-6480
2024-03-012.523.31-20.8994389836Downward Expansion-6982
2024-02-232.583.34-18.80104781814Downward Expansion-7079
2024-02-092.173.36-28.64132950948Rotation Down-8478
2024-02-022.833.39-2.98130154977Rotation Down-4126
2024-01-263.653.4017.2980878683Upward Expansion6030
2024-01-193.383.3912.0949522305Upward Expansion3015
2024-01-123.533.3815.3242998908Upward Expansion5328
2024-01-053.533.3713.7739982743Upward Expansion5735
2023-12-293.443.369.3850462490Upward Expansion5232
2023-12-223.463.3512.3459829592Upward Expansion5752
2023-12-153.653.3417.3881294440Upward Expansion7771
2023-12-083.423.339.0551208894Upward Expansion5652
2023-12-013.523.329.8640202591Upward Expansion5545
2023-11-243.533.309.8347461539Rotation Down5537
2023-11-173.403.285.3533134964Rotation Down1714
2023-11-103.343.284.1236119648Rotation Down-1013
2023-11-033.283.272.5144710510Rotation Down-1734
2023-10-273.223.270.6044833036Rotation Down-1834
2023-10-203.123.28-1.7834237678Deceleration-2634
2023-10-133.143.29-4.7336768267Deceleration-2323
2023-09-293.273.30-1.7023915525Deceleration1716
2023-09-223.363.310.2936818026Deceleration3118
Price vs TrendAbove+5.1%
Trend directionFalling-11.0%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+3.0%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+12.6%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-6.2%
Relative strength directionImproving+21.3%
Price momentumPositive+3.8%
Volume balanceDemand-led3.02ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

34 / ยฑ100

+68.4 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

46 /100

+22.9 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance31
Rotation Up66
Upward Expansion42
Deceleration28
Rotation Down14
Downward Expansion26

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 5%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 31%Deceleration 19%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 37%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Balance2026-09-252026-10-02New+0.3%
Downward Expansion2026-03-202026-09-18Extended-12.9%
Balance2026-02-062026-03-13Developing-9.9%
Deceleration2026-01-022026-01-30Developing+0.7%
Upward Expansion2025-09-122025-12-26Established-7.6%
Deceleration2025-08-292025-09-05New+2.5%
Upward Expansion2025-05-162025-08-22Established+18.6%
Deceleration2025-01-102025-05-09Established+28.0%
Upward Expansion2024-11-082025-01-03Developing-13.8%
Rotation Up2024-09-202024-11-01Developing+10.8%
Downward Expansion2024-02-232024-09-13Extended-14.0%
Rotation Down2024-02-022024-02-09New-23.2%
Upward Expansion2023-12-012024-01-26Developing+3.7%
Rotation Down2023-10-272023-11-24Developing+9.6%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing56
Stage 2 ยท Advancing36
Stage 3 ยท Distribution22
Stage 4 ยท Declining44

Legacy result: Stage 1 ยท Stage 1B ยท Basing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 000001.SS

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
41/100
Current Relative Strength
-6.16
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+3.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+4.7%
Industrials regime cohort
99th percentile126 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.46ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.02ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 3.22rising
Slow Activity CNY 3.05falling
Trend Reference CNY 3.16+5.1% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 3.22+3.0% close margin
Structural low CNY 2.48shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +6.2%
Annualized volatility +53.6%
From structural high -41.5%
From structural low +33.9%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 000001.SS Regime survived Read
Near term12-2.9%-12.1% to +7.4%+33.3%+33.3%-2.6%+66.7%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate5-1.1%-9.4% to +9.7%+40.0%+40.0%-5.6%+40.0%Usable descriptive sample
Extended3-9.8%-32.7% to +12.5%+33.3%+33.3%-16.2%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2+9.2%-0.6% to +18.9%+50.0%+50.0%+13.7%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context