Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Industrials

BTOC Stage Analysis

Armlogi Holding Corp. Common Stock

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 0.2151Tenure NewBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction -68โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 62/100directional strength
Maturity 21/100lifecycle context
Confidence 86/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -89.6%USD 2.06 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 126 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-090.21510.281-51.33406505Downward Expansion-6862
2026-10-020.22740.2826-50.18440673Balance-6346
2026-09-250.25850.284-44.81350808Balance-4923
2026-09-180.28020.2862-40.51168501Balance-2812
2026-09-110.28040.2878-42.79113841Balance-77
2026-09-040.29030.2919-43.98100243Balance-58
2026-08-280.3050.2973-43.61127372Balance-1912
2026-08-210.2880.3033-49.06306570Downward Expansion-3315
2026-08-140.2830.3108-53.76444364Downward Expansion-4724
2026-08-070.28770.3182-54.772698431Downward Expansion-4929
2026-07-310.25010.3273-60.701078793Downward Expansion-5734
2026-07-240.25560.3373-61.61480837Downward Expansion-5732
2026-07-170.25850.3475-63.59396302Downward Expansion-5932
2026-07-100.2950.3574-62.01315689Downward Expansion-3927
2026-07-030.3070.3708-61.45270208Downward Expansion-4029
2026-06-260.2750.3814-66.52544904Downward Expansion-4631
2026-06-190.26110.3929-70.96629999Downward Expansion-4122
2026-06-120.29970.402-67.27314032Downward Expansion-2118
2026-06-050.3350.4087-63.882214950Downward Expansion-2217
2026-05-290.340.4162-65.972092226Downward Expansion-3724
2026-05-220.31560.4256-68.242417550Deceleration-4332
2026-05-150.2770.4375-72.671880711Deceleration-4739
2026-05-080.2830.4507-73.13899682Deceleration-4640
2026-05-010.28550.468-72.14723971Downward Expansion-4842
2026-04-240.2840.4855-72.531972155Downward Expansion-5047
2026-04-170.27430.508-73.57574871Downward Expansion-6457
2026-04-100.29880.5406-70.121387101Downward Expansion-6359
2026-04-030.2730.5739-72.051753454Downward Expansion-6565
2026-03-270.25570.6067-73.336632244Downward Expansion-7373
2026-03-200.290.6432-71.292124791Downward Expansion-6879
2026-03-130.26360.6845-74.87992698Downward Expansion-7887
2026-03-060.26950.7257-75.094234353Downward Expansion-8389
2026-02-270.3250.7691-71.2036865389Downward Expansion-8083
2026-02-200.32690.8109-72.26389939Downward Expansion-8787
2026-02-130.4050.854-66.74226503Downward Expansion-8073
2026-02-060.45080.8952-65.32140141Downward Expansion-7665
2026-01-300.4850.9328-65.7396621Downward Expansion-7364
2026-01-230.51460.968-65.6958207Downward Expansion-6961
2026-01-160.50361.01-67.98165260Downward Expansion-7370
2026-01-090.56151.05-66.56139626Downward Expansion-6564
2026-01-020.54871.08-68.15205030Downward Expansion-6759
2025-12-260.56321.10-69.53244739Downward Expansion-5754
2025-12-190.55581.12-71.04414013Downward Expansion-5750
2025-12-120.6951.15-65.12295192Downward Expansion-5151
2025-12-050.6271.18-70.75712768Downward Expansion-6461
2025-11-280.61781.20-72.36475750Downward Expansion-6768
2025-11-210.53651.21-76.151552841Downward Expansion-7081
2025-11-140.501โ€”โ€”25683365Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-11-070.5593โ€”โ€”399870Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-310.6214โ€”โ€”2109393Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-240.672โ€”โ€”680151Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-170.673โ€”โ€”744026Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-100.801โ€”โ€”1750144Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-10-030.8124โ€”โ€”2460602Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-260.9601โ€”โ€”35784854Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-191.25โ€”โ€”412297Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-121.30โ€”โ€”227025Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-09-051.26โ€”โ€”112660Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-291.35โ€”โ€”162216Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-221.53โ€”โ€”48195Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-151.50โ€”โ€”128441Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-081.57โ€”โ€”42381Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-08-011.58โ€”โ€”167590Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-251.62โ€”โ€”91668Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-181.64โ€”โ€”90065Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-111.58โ€”โ€”149046Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-07-041.54โ€”โ€”90118Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-271.71โ€”โ€”98129Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-201.70โ€”โ€”200464Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-131.47โ€”โ€”96778Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-06-061.29โ€”โ€”239388Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-301.09โ€”โ€”239083Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-231.41โ€”โ€”141907Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-161.58โ€”โ€”571215Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-091.18โ€”โ€”163239Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-05-021.16โ€”โ€”331090Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-251.18โ€”โ€”333529Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-181.04โ€”โ€”303028Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-111.01โ€”โ€”464981Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-04-040.9524โ€”โ€”473021Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-281.01โ€”โ€”522828Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-211.02โ€”โ€”736165Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-141.13โ€”โ€”808985Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-03-071.61โ€”โ€”1118233Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-282.30โ€”โ€”977143Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-212.66โ€”โ€”835688Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-143.40โ€”โ€”1110381Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-02-074.28โ€”โ€”933505Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-313.99โ€”โ€”939741Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-243.81โ€”โ€”987303Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-174.40โ€”โ€”1321423Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-103.87โ€”โ€”930365Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2025-01-034.57โ€”โ€”883293Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-274.57โ€”โ€”813286Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-204.14โ€”โ€”1089296Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-135.55โ€”โ€”1351897Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-12-065.49โ€”โ€”1421366Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-295.84โ€”โ€”1466846Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-225.94โ€”โ€”1908589Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-155.85โ€”โ€”3066087Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-086.62โ€”โ€”2380130Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-11-016.40โ€”โ€”2221597Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-257.50โ€”โ€”3482877Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-184.90โ€”โ€”3118675Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-114.40โ€”โ€”2916074Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-10-044.21โ€”โ€”2173493Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-274.36โ€”โ€”1117874Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-204.68โ€”โ€”363979Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-134.20โ€”โ€”275009Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-09-064.30โ€”โ€”25861Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-304.72โ€”โ€”35525Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-234.43โ€”โ€”105808Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-164.49โ€”โ€”136484Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-094.90โ€”โ€”130145Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-08-024.77โ€”โ€”103277Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-264.81โ€”โ€”50341Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-194.90โ€”โ€”37730Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-124.79โ€”โ€”119332Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-07-054.75โ€”โ€”33680Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-284.72โ€”โ€”72136Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-215.04โ€”โ€”204551Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-144.67โ€”โ€”300062Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-06-074.60โ€”โ€”526810Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-315.06โ€”โ€”190615Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-244.80โ€”โ€”372654Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
2024-05-174.94โ€”โ€”1807339Not yet classifiedโ€”โ€”
Price vs TrendBelow-23.4%
Trend directionFalling-14.2%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-89.6%
Fair Value directionMoving away-2.6%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-51.3%
Relative strength directionImproving+10.7%
Price momentumNegative-28.0%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.79ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-68 / ยฑ100

-61.2 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

62 /100

+54.6 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance23
Rotation Up11
Upward Expansion13
Deceleration38
Rotation Down70
Downward Expansion88

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2024-05-17 to 2026-10-09 ยท 47 classified observations out of 126 shown.

Balance 13%Deceleration 6%Downward Expansion 81%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-10-092026-10-09New+0.0%
Balance2026-08-282026-10-02Developing-25.4%
Downward Expansion2026-05-292026-08-21Established-15.3%
Deceleration2026-05-082026-05-22New+11.5%
Downward Expansion2025-11-212026-05-01Established-46.8%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing68
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution2
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
90/100
Current Relative Strength
-51.33
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-28.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-51.0%
Industrials regime cohort
39th percentile111 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.60ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.79ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 0.2401falling
Slow Activity USD 0.2759falling
Trend Reference USD 0.281-23.4% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 2.06-89.6% close margin
Structural low USD 0.2151shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +23.4%
Annualized volatility +54.2%
From structural high -72.6%
From structural low +0.0%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term10-6.2%-34.9% to +13.4%+30.0%+70.0%-7.1%+80.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate3-10.3%-39.1% to -3.5%+0.0%+100.0%-21.3%+33.3%Too little matched history
Extended1-41.2%-41.2% to -41.2%+0.0%+100.0%-63.0%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle0โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”โ€”Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context