Weekly structural research · ASX · Industrials

BOL Stage Analysis

Boom Logistics Limited

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close AUD 2.44Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^AXJO

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction 80−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 81/100directional strength

Maturity 30/100lifecycle context

Confidence 84/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +61.4%AUD 1.51 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	2.44	1.99	34.53	277610	Upward Expansion	80	81
2026-10-02	2.39	1.96	33.85	548455	Upward Expansion	80	74
2026-09-25	2.28	1.95	29.39	514797	Upward Expansion	71	76
2026-09-18	2.20	1.93	25.10	393738	Upward Expansion	64	79
2026-09-11	2.19	1.92	25.60	564108	Upward Expansion	62	75
2026-09-04	2.24	1.90	25.97	69852	Upward Expansion	70	73
2026-08-28	2.30	1.88	29.35	147280	Deceleration	76	51
2026-08-21	2.10	1.86	19.65	32531	Deceleration	48	22
2026-08-14	1.98	1.84	13.06	53178	Deceleration	21	27
2026-08-07	1.88	1.83	6.45	67266	Deceleration	17	29
2026-07-31	1.86	1.82	9.31	37891	Deceleration	25	25
2026-07-24	1.83	1.82	10.69	112288	Upward Expansion	34	30
2026-07-17	1.98	1.81	19.75	71630	Upward Expansion	66	63
2026-07-10	2.18	1.80	33.06	73006	Upward Expansion	74	90
2026-07-03	2.15	1.78	31.92	16025	Upward Expansion	74	91
2026-06-26	2.16	1.77	34.97	71139	Upward Expansion	84	94
2026-06-19	2.23	1.75	39.61	143186	Upward Expansion	94	94
2026-06-12	2.00	1.72	26.86	157642	Upward Expansion	87	78
2026-06-05	1.85	1.71	20.63	2931787	Upward Expansion	68	43
2026-05-29	1.78	1.69	15.30	52297	Upward Expansion	53	32
2026-05-22	1.78	1.68	16.73	548491	Upward Expansion	54	34
2026-05-15	1.80	1.67	18.83	140520	Upward Expansion	55	41
2026-05-08	1.80	1.65	17.74	1310094	Upward Expansion	58	46
2026-05-01	1.79	1.64	17.64	151660	Upward Expansion	56	40
2026-04-24	1.80	1.63	17.82	252247	Deceleration	59	37
2026-04-17	1.82	1.61	17.15	175159	Deceleration	52	28
2026-04-10	1.70	1.60	9.82	485664	Deceleration	35	18
2026-04-03	1.75	1.58	17.83	145932	Deceleration	41	22
2026-03-27	1.68	1.57	14.30	244845	Upward Expansion	52	33
2026-03-20	1.71	1.56	17.76	302291	Upward Expansion	59	57
2026-03-13	1.73	1.55	16.76	566374	Upward Expansion	62	73
2026-03-06	1.84	1.53	21.38	134980	Upward Expansion	78	81
2026-02-27	1.89	1.51	19.87	267237	Upward Expansion	85	60
2026-02-20	1.76	1.50	13.34	191261	Deceleration	74	45
2026-02-13	1.58	1.48	3.74	61854	Deceleration	38	24
2026-02-06	1.63	1.47	9.79	220448	Deceleration	43	30
2026-01-30	1.67	1.46	10.85	60393	Upward Expansion	53	40
2026-01-23	1.61	1.45	7.37	126551	Upward Expansion	51	47
2026-01-16	1.59	1.44	5.86	92970	Upward Expansion	64	60
2026-01-09	1.68	1.43	14.60	133606	Upward Expansion	67	81
2026-01-02	1.74	1.42	18.81	205550	Upward Expansion	85	93
2025-12-26	1.68	1.41	15.02	252245	Upward Expansion	78	91
2025-12-19	1.65	1.40	15.19	411668	Upward Expansion	74	90
2025-12-12	1.65	1.40	14.47	204110	Upward Expansion	82	92
2025-12-05	1.64	1.39	15.32	321788	Upward Expansion	87	89
2025-11-28	1.60	1.38	12.80	410659	Rotation Up	88	82
2025-11-21	1.52	1.38	9.94	519843	Rotation Up	53	58
2025-11-14	1.42	1.38	0.66	196086	Rotation Up	30	32
2025-11-07	1.43	1.38	-0.56	284840	Rotation Up	34	36
2025-10-31	1.43	1.38	-1.85	353112	Rotation Up	26	32
2025-10-24	1.40	1.38	-5.57	362705	Rotation Up	18	31
2025-10-17	1.40	1.38	-5.47	297870	Balance	18	27
2025-10-10	1.38	1.38	-6.58	209019	Balance	-8	17
2025-10-03	1.40	1.39	-5.69	781689	Balance	-2	9
2025-09-26	1.42	1.39	-2.32	484745	Downward Expansion	1	4
2025-09-19	1.32	1.39	-8.78	548922	Downward Expansion	-46	27
2025-09-12	1.29	1.40	-12.31	309736	Downward Expansion	-50	25
2025-09-05	1.34	1.40	-9.57	290166	Downward Expansion	-37	20
2025-08-29	1.34	1.40	-10.49	210065	Downward Expansion	-41	27
2025-08-22	1.38	1.40	-7.95	638876	Downward Expansion	-45	32
2025-08-15	1.30	1.40	-13.29	36418	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2025-08-08	1.29	1.40	-12.94	106793	Downward Expansion	-72	69
2025-08-01	1.32	1.39	-9.80	119790	Rotation Down	-62	58
2025-07-25	1.33	1.40	-9.46	90088	Rotation Down	-34	47
2025-07-18	1.31	1.40	-11.99	199252	Rotation Down	-41	51
2025-07-11	1.33	1.40	-9.07	107409	Rotation Down	-39	54
2025-07-04	1.34	1.40	-8.89	82123	Rotation Down	-27	49
2025-06-27	1.36	1.40	-6.93	368848	Rotation Down	-21	43
2025-06-20	1.33	1.40	-9.17	198896	Balance	-30	39
2025-06-13	1.38	1.40	-6.62	141280	Balance	-17	19
2025-06-06	1.38	1.40	-6.51	91666	Balance	3	10
2025-05-30	1.43	1.40	-2.12	97015	Upward Expansion	32	15
2025-05-23	1.44	1.40	-1.33	38801	Upward Expansion	46	25
2025-05-16	1.45	1.40	-0.46	115458	Upward Expansion	49	36
2025-05-09	1.47	1.40	2.24	169336	Upward Expansion	49	42
2025-05-02	1.51	1.40	4.94	557720	Deceleration	57	40
2025-04-25	1.54	1.39	10.73	258085	Deceleration	52	23
2025-04-18	1.43	1.39	5.37	132331	Deceleration	25	20
2025-04-11	1.39	1.39	4.80	227223	Deceleration	28	19
2025-04-04	1.35	1.39	1.61	451452	Upward Expansion	26	15
2025-03-28	1.45	1.39	4.42	154761	Upward Expansion	57	41
2025-03-21	1.47	1.38	6.96	464993	Upward Expansion	62	68
2025-03-14	1.48	1.39	9.29	349386	Rotation Up	64	77
2025-03-07	1.52	1.38	10.24	396091	Rotation Up	48	70
2025-02-28	1.51	1.38	6.77	382247	Rotation Up	39	45
2025-02-21	1.52	1.38	6.09	686025	Downward Expansion	38	33
2025-02-14	1.38	1.37	-6.32	161114	Downward Expansion	-24	13
2025-02-07	1.32	1.37	-9.99	54072	Downward Expansion	-52	35
2025-01-31	1.33	1.38	-10.13	45006	Downward Expansion	-58	62
2025-01-24	1.29	1.38	-11.76	29439	Downward Expansion	-59	64
2025-01-17	1.26	1.39	-12.65	164014	Downward Expansion	-71	68
2025-01-10	1.23	1.40	-14.60	193689	Downward Expansion	-83	68
2025-01-03	1.37	1.40	-4.70	68224	Downward Expansion	-49	34
2024-12-27	1.35	1.40	-5.70	15595	Downward Expansion	-53	41
2024-12-20	1.37	1.41	-2.35	533840	Downward Expansion	-49	36
2024-12-13	1.35	1.41	-6.59	144844	Balance	-58	42
2024-12-06	1.37	1.41	-6.26	66506	Balance	-49	33
2024-11-29	1.39	1.41	-4.96	40593	Balance	-44	26
2024-11-22	1.38	1.41	-5.03	72702	Balance	-45	17
2024-11-15	1.38	1.41	-3.79	38629	Balance	-36	14
2024-11-08	1.38	1.41	-3.77	81688	Balance	-35	15
2024-11-01	1.45	1.41	3.63	145006	Balance	-1	4
2024-10-25	1.38	1.41	-2.56	50298	Balance	-20	11
2024-10-18	1.40	1.41	-1.66	79621	Balance	-14	9
2024-10-11	1.38	1.41	-2.45	149256	Balance	-22	13
2024-10-04	1.38	1.40	-1.59	45222	Balance	-22	14
2024-09-27	1.38	1.40	-2.23	251677	Balance	-11	17
2024-09-20	1.40	1.40	-0.37	224666	Balance	-11	14
2024-09-13	1.38	1.39	-0.64	244445	Balance	-12	11
2024-09-06	1.38	1.39	0.60	223360	Balance	6	7
2024-08-30	1.33	1.39	-3.78	340559	Balance	-3	4
2024-08-23	1.53	1.39	11.43	468451	Balance	56	25
2024-08-16	1.38	1.39	1.67	174967	Balance	6	7
2024-08-09	1.40	1.38	6.07	252323	Upward Expansion	24	15
2024-08-02	1.43	1.37	5.91	118479	Upward Expansion	29	16
2024-07-26	1.43	1.36	6.43	65553	Upward Expansion	33	15
2024-07-19	1.38	1.36	2.27	77277	Upward Expansion	32	19
2024-07-12	1.43	1.35	6.14	351339	Upward Expansion	53	35
2024-07-05	1.48	1.34	11.78	35172	Upward Expansion	61	43
2024-06-28	1.48	1.33	12.93	169654	Upward Expansion	63	49
2024-06-21	1.48	1.32	12.94	170055	Upward Expansion	67	62
2024-06-14	1.43	1.31	10.57	100996	Upward Expansion	58	60
2024-06-07	1.43	1.29	9.02	125264	Upward Expansion	57	59
2024-05-31	1.48	1.28	15.31	139190	Upward Expansion	71	58
2024-05-24	1.45	1.27	13.35	289898	Upward Expansion	68	38
2024-05-17	1.38	1.26	6.76	162307	Upward Expansion	44	25
2024-05-10	1.35	1.25	5.91	378898	Upward Expansion	40	25
2024-05-03	1.33	1.24	5.68	512856	Upward Expansion	44	29
2024-04-26	1.38	1.24	10.28	107962	Upward Expansion	58	38
2024-04-19	1.38	1.23	10.50	38644	Upward Expansion	58	39
2024-04-12	1.38	1.22	7.37	126838	Upward Expansion	61	48
2024-04-05	1.33	1.21	3.61	56347	Upward Expansion	56	40
2024-03-29	1.38	1.21	5.69	79003	Upward Expansion	61	43
2024-03-22	1.43	1.20	11.02	257140	Upward Expansion	72	43
2024-03-15	1.28	1.19	0.75	60224	Upward Expansion	41	25
2024-03-08	1.33	1.19	1.99	329377	Upward Expansion	59	37
2024-03-01	1.28	1.18	-0.93	40609	Upward Expansion	58	43
2024-02-23	1.28	1.18	0.04	186996	Upward Expansion	62	71
2024-02-16	1.33	1.18	3.52	41616	Upward Expansion	65	81
2024-02-09	1.38	1.17	7.45	73564	Upward Expansion	76	83
2024-02-02	1.38	1.17	6.55	93519	Rotation Up	82	80
2024-01-26	1.33	1.16	4.66	142930	Rotation Up	49	53
2024-01-19	1.18	1.16	-5.45	75629	Rotation Up	24	36
2024-01-12	1.23	1.15	-2.91	86302	Balance	25	37
2024-01-05	1.13	1.15	-10.88	90113	Balance	8	17
2023-12-29	1.23	1.15	-5.04	162271	Balance	27	25
2023-12-22	1.16	1.15	-10.16	11904	Balance	-12	6
2023-12-15	1.18	1.15	-8.00	211812	Balance	-17	8
2023-12-08	1.08	1.15	-13.09	147112	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2023-12-01	1.08	1.16	-12.06	431064	Downward Expansion	-53	26
2023-11-24	1.16	1.16	-6.07	129199	Downward Expansion	-29	14
2023-11-17	1.08	1.17	-12.42	15130	Downward Expansion	-53	25
2023-11-10	1.13	1.18	-7.95	223998	Downward Expansion	-36	19
2023-11-03	1.13	1.18	-8.27	160926	Downward Expansion	-46	24
2023-10-27	1.13	1.19	-6.77	125651	Downward Expansion	-50	29
2023-10-20	1.08	1.20	-12.20	75934	Downward Expansion	-61	37

Price vs TrendAbove+22.7%

Trend directionRising+9.2%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+61.4%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+9.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+34.5%

Relative strength directionImproving+1.5%

Price momentumPositive+43.1%

Volume balanceDemand-led2.53×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

80 / ±100

+18.3 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

81 /100

+5.4 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

BOL Directional State ↗ BOL Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance12

Rotation Up76

Upward Expansion91

Deceleration47

Rotation Down11

Downward Expansion17

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 43%Deceleration 10%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 17%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-04	2026-10-09	Developing	+8.9%
Deceleration	2026-07-31	2026-08-28	Developing	+23.6%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-01	2026-07-24	Established	+2.3%
Deceleration	2026-04-03	2026-04-24	New	+2.9%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-27	2026-03-27	Developing	-11.1%
Deceleration	2026-02-06	2026-02-20	New	+8.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-12-05	2026-01-30	Developing	+1.5%
Rotation Up	2025-10-24	2025-11-28	Developing	+14.3%
Balance	2025-10-03	2025-10-17	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2025-08-08	2025-09-26	Developing	+10.0%
Rotation Down	2025-06-27	2025-08-01	Developing	-2.9%
Balance	2025-06-06	2025-06-20	New	-3.6%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-09	2025-05-30	New	-2.3%
Deceleration	2025-04-11	2025-05-02	New	+8.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing12

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution58

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^AXJO

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 98/100
Current Relative Strength: 34.53
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +43.1%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +45.8%
Industrials regime cohort: 97th percentile31 in cohort

Test BOL trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.88×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.53×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore BOL Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity AUD 2.35rising

Slow Activity AUD 2.09rising

Trend Reference AUD 1.99+22.7% close margin

Current Fair Value AUD 1.51+61.4% close margin

Structural low AUD 1.70shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +5.6%

Annualized volatility +33.4%

From structural high -1.2%

From structural low +80.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^AXJO	Regime survived	Read
Near term	28	+0.0%-15.2% to +21.3%	+39.3%	+39.3%	+1.1%	+78.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	+2.0%-9.7% to +21.1%	+60.0%	+60.0%	+3.0%	+70.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	-2.1%-13.0% to +14.4%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-6.2%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	-0.5%-4.3% to +16.1%	+33.3%	+33.3%	+5.6%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

BOL Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map