Weekly structural research · NYSE · Consumer Defensive

CCU Stage Analysis

Compania Cervecerias Unidas SA ADR

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 10.91Tenure NewBenchmark SPY

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction -58−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 56/100directional strength

Maturity 6/100lifecycle context

Confidence 79/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -7.7%USD 11.82 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	10.91	11.48	-18.28	429505	Downward Expansion	-58	56
2026-10-02	10.59	11.50	-20.05	698414	Balance	-66	47
2026-09-25	11.00	11.53	-17.45	607703	Balance	-9	16
2026-09-18	11.24	11.61	-14.90	540058	Balance	-7	6
2026-09-11	11.64	11.69	-12.20	249576	Balance	23	22
2026-09-04	11.88	11.78	-11.33	941051	Balance	26	34
2026-08-28	12.07	11.87	-10.15	1050897	Balance	19	30
2026-08-21	12.34	11.95	-8.02	663018	Balance	8	18
2026-08-14	11.79	12.02	-13.57	490432	Balance	-8	13
2026-08-07	11.95	12.09	-12.66	482278	Balance	-17	12
2026-07-31	11.49	12.15	-13.37	606425	Downward Expansion	-35	19
2026-07-24	11.45	12.18	-13.04	1131731	Downward Expansion	-49	28
2026-07-17	11.21	12.23	-15.62	1064904	Downward Expansion	-51	32
2026-07-10	11.10	12.26	-18.08	838576	Downward Expansion	-57	36
2026-07-03	11.09	12.33	-17.52	1100874	Downward Expansion	-57	35
2026-06-26	11.39	12.39	-14.03	493542	Downward Expansion	-51	34
2026-06-19	11.28	12.45	-17.32	284498	Downward Expansion	-54	34
2026-06-12	11.52	12.49	-15.28	475150	Downward Expansion	-51	33
2026-06-05	11.03	12.53	-18.92	501848	Downward Expansion	-65	41
2026-05-29	11.78	12.56	-16.22	2016161	Downward Expansion	-51	29
2026-05-22	11.53	12.59	-17.42	518703	Downward Expansion	-54	36
2026-05-15	11.37	12.60	-18.53	483085	Downward Expansion	-60	41
2026-05-08	11.94	12.63	-14.97	731733	Downward Expansion	-43	29
2026-05-01	11.21	12.61	-19.08	690607	Downward Expansion	-54	32
2026-04-24	11.45	12.61	-17.49	1227894	Rotation Down	-51	30
2026-04-17	12.30	12.62	-11.89	728555	Rotation Down	-28	27
2026-04-10	12.37	12.58	-8.35	527643	Rotation Down	-35	49
2026-04-03	11.57	12.56	-11.94	707904	Rotation Down	-37	68
2026-03-27	10.90	12.58	-15.06	1084460	Rotation Down	-39	70
2026-03-20	11.05	12.61	-16.58	1480567	Rotation Down	-43	52
2026-03-13	11.48	12.64	-15.61	1472572	Rotation Down	-38	41
2026-03-06	11.59	12.67	-16.72	1709446	Rotation Down	-3	16
2026-02-27	13.16	12.68	-8.01	1449285	Upward Expansion	43	30
2026-02-20	13.89	12.62	-3.71	575924	Upward Expansion	60	50
2026-02-13	14.35	12.54	0.48	788117	Upward Expansion	64	75
2026-02-06	14.29	12.46	-1.19	1210070	Upward Expansion	64	78
2026-01-30	14.47	12.40	-0.05	914123	Upward Expansion	76	83
2026-01-23	14.59	12.35	1.29	739323	Upward Expansion	83	80
2026-01-16	13.73	12.28	-4.83	886082	Upward Expansion	72	62
2026-01-09	13.82	12.23	-4.47	1190006	Upward Expansion	75	41
2026-01-02	12.50	12.19	-12.18	377817	Upward Expansion	42	25
2025-12-26	12.82	12.21	-10.91	668974	Rotation Up	57	34
2025-12-19	12.34	12.23	-12.99	1031107	Rotation Up	31	35
2025-12-12	13.19	12.27	-6.98	660883	Rotation Up	42	54
2025-12-05	12.77	12.29	-10.46	1142264	Rotation Up	33	49
2025-11-28	13.20	12.34	-7.07	758012	Rotation Up	38	50
2025-11-21	12.49	12.40	-8.75	1114273	Balance	21	26
2025-11-14	12.60	12.49	-9.66	720937	Balance	5	20
2025-11-07	12.04	12.56	-13.41	611519	Balance	-11	19
2025-10-31	12.55	12.63	-11.22	530378	Downward Expansion	-10	14
2025-10-24	12.05	12.68	-14.10	473465	Downward Expansion	-39	25
2025-10-17	12.18	12.77	-11.60	892450	Downward Expansion	-54	37
2025-10-10	11.21	12.86	-17.17	611646	Downward Expansion	-68	63
2025-10-03	11.31	12.95	-18.57	611999	Downward Expansion	-68	59
2025-09-26	11.64	13.05	-15.38	709480	Downward Expansion	-58	48
2025-09-19	11.37	13.11	-17.73	609797	Downward Expansion	-67	47
2025-09-12	11.61	13.15	-14.93	837688	Downward Expansion	-53	37
2025-09-05	12.04	13.18	-10.42	432054	Downward Expansion	-41	28
2025-08-29	12.03	13.18	-10.17	468938	Downward Expansion	-45	34
2025-08-22	11.99	13.16	-10.51	1114832	Downward Expansion	-58	45
2025-08-15	12.29	13.15	-8.10	1071544	Downward Expansion	-62	66
2025-08-08	11.72	13.11	-11.55	1171077	Rotation Down	-64	77
2025-08-01	11.51	13.09	-11.11	985403	Rotation Down	-47	68
2025-07-25	11.57	13.07	-12.82	748097	Rotation Down	-51	57
2025-07-18	11.76	13.05	-10.21	1010169	Rotation Down	-51	43
2025-07-11	12.48	13.03	-4.27	997948	Rotation Down	-30	41
2025-07-04	13.11	12.99	0.23	1947020	Rotation Down	-25	49
2025-06-27	12.54	12.92	-2.36	728549	Rotation Down	-28	55
2025-06-20	12.16	12.87	-1.98	506689	Deceleration	-40	53
2025-06-13	12.63	12.81	1.73	680185	Deceleration	-14	30
2025-06-06	13.22	12.73	6.12	918175	Deceleration	2	21
2025-05-30	13.26	12.64	8.25	501402	Deceleration	23	23
2025-05-23	13.48	12.54	12.03	580144	Upward Expansion	40	24
2025-05-16	13.82	12.45	11.95	1490458	Upward Expansion	48	39
2025-05-09	14.42	12.34	22.91	1338285	Upward Expansion	61	54
2025-05-02	15.01	12.21	27.63	772530	Upward Expansion	70	61
2025-04-25	14.96	12.06	31.28	788565	Upward Expansion	73	61
2025-04-18	14.69	11.92	35.39	716642	Upward Expansion	71	64
2025-04-11	14.32	11.75	30.73	2589920	Upward Expansion	66	65
2025-04-04	14.09	11.61	36.48	1600256	Upward Expansion	68	67
2025-03-28	14.70	11.46	30.22	1358776	Upward Expansion	78	91
2025-03-21	14.72	11.32	29.08	1257429	Upward Expansion	88	95
2025-03-14	14.12	11.20	25.06	1033556	Upward Expansion	85	94
2025-03-07	14.34	11.08	24.49	1139565	Upward Expansion	96	98
2025-02-28	13.38	10.95	12.96	2005552	Upward Expansion	93	96
2025-02-21	12.43	10.84	3.96	539491	Upward Expansion	79	90
2025-02-14	12.48	10.78	2.69	569267	Upward Expansion	89	91
2025-02-07	12.06	10.74	0.51	494244	Upward Expansion	83	82
2025-01-31	11.65	10.72	-3.30	567954	Upward Expansion	73	69
2025-01-24	11.54	10.68	-5.47	425224	Upward Expansion	71	44
2025-01-17	11.19	10.65	-7.15	861243	Upward Expansion	59	34
2025-01-10	11.14	10.64	-5.26	765990	Upward Expansion	60	41
2025-01-03	10.77	10.63	-10.67	524126	Rotation Up	56	52
2024-12-27	11.03	10.65	-9.52	275235	Rotation Up	32	55
2024-12-20	11.20	10.68	-8.11	2175091	Rotation Up	33	52
2024-12-13	11.30	10.70	-9.48	1013716	Balance	29	41
2024-12-06	10.99	10.75	-13.13	1176918	Balance	-1	16
2024-11-29	11.00	10.78	-12.98	647001	Balance	-1	3
2024-11-22	10.47	10.81	-16.80	495881	Balance	-33	20
2024-11-15	10.16	10.85	-18.47	577901	Balance	-49	24
2024-11-08	10.45	10.87	-18.35	678302	Balance	-29	13
2024-11-01	10.18	10.90	-17.22	611899	Downward Expansion	-36	17
2024-10-25	10.77	10.94	-14.18	644086	Downward Expansion	-21	16
2024-10-18	10.56	10.95	-17.10	859024	Downward Expansion	-28	21
2024-10-11	10.54	10.97	-16.98	611539	Downward Expansion	-35	18
2024-10-04	10.50	10.99	-16.87	653291	Downward Expansion	-50	30
2024-09-27	10.96	11.00	-13.54	1557127	Downward Expansion	-49	43
2024-09-20	9.59	11.00	-24.38	882258	Downward Expansion	-73	73
2024-09-13	9.87	11.04	-21.87	4343338	Downward Expansion	-70	56
2024-09-06	9.81	11.08	-19.91	510303	Downward Expansion	-74	47
2024-08-30	10.51	11.11	-18.43	633533	Downward Expansion	-57	33
2024-08-23	10.97	11.14	-15.41	310624	Downward Expansion	-54	44
2024-08-16	10.64	11.14	-17.68	591457	Downward Expansion	-56	57
2024-08-09	10.33	11.16	-17.76	696397	Downward Expansion	-64	51
2024-08-02	10.26	11.20	-19.16	326877	Balance	-68	37
2024-07-26	10.56	11.25	-19.44	659463	Balance	-63	34
2024-07-19	11.21	11.28	-16.19	548806	Balance	-15	18
2024-07-12	11.49	11.30	-16.72	1202945	Balance	-22	37
2024-07-05	10.40	11.32	-24.72	314745	Balance	-64	65
2024-06-28	10.68	11.38	-22.17	500892	Balance	-39	38
2024-06-21	10.82	11.42	-22.02	239666	Balance	-25	29
2024-06-14	10.96	11.44	-21.35	306874	Upward Expansion	-17	15
2024-06-07	11.34	11.42	-18.12	374306	Upward Expansion	47	32
2024-05-31	11.74	11.40	-14.97	446444	Upward Expansion	60	60
2024-05-24	12.08	11.37	-13.63	414968	Upward Expansion	61	72
2024-05-17	12.68	11.30	-10.11	499413	Upward Expansion	84	80
2024-05-10	11.84	11.21	-15.46	424734	Upward Expansion	56	56
2024-05-03	12.00	11.17	-13.67	443696	Balance	63	51
2024-04-26	11.45	11.13	-17.91	478234	Balance	44	25
2024-04-19	11.04	11.13	-19.53	874799	Balance	-0	6
2024-04-12	11.35	11.16	-20.43	743812	Balance	10	11
2024-04-05	11.31	11.19	-22.61	667543	Balance	-23	14
2024-03-29	11.09	11.23	-25.36	546781	Downward Expansion	-38	19
2024-03-22	10.97	11.30	-26.59	708412	Downward Expansion	-52	29
2024-03-15	11.13	11.39	-24.56	608187	Downward Expansion	-46	31
2024-03-08	10.87	11.48	-26.96	979988	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2024-03-01	10.86	11.60	-27.94	1084252	Downward Expansion	-63	54
2024-02-23	10.80	11.72	-28.40	1165154	Downward Expansion	-66	51
2024-02-16	11.03	11.87	-26.36	769013	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2024-02-09	10.97	12.02	-27.60	529130	Balance	-51	38
2024-02-02	11.21	12.17	-25.62	797619	Balance	-42	31
2024-01-26	11.14	12.29	-25.57	1034999	Balance	-44	30
2024-01-19	11.17	12.41	-25.14	534085	Balance	-38	26
2024-01-12	11.58	12.53	-22.01	828693	Balance	-24	16
2024-01-05	11.67	12.63	-20.24	761288	Balance	-12	15
2023-12-29	11.60	12.72	-22.23	1072051	Balance	-10	20
2023-12-22	11.78	12.82	-21.12	1088238	Downward Expansion	-9	25
2023-12-15	12.12	12.90	-18.36	1166515	Downward Expansion	-20	30
2023-12-08	12.06	13.00	-16.95	1000598	Downward Expansion	-33	30
2023-12-01	12.00	13.11	-17.18	6731477	Downward Expansion	-42	33
2023-11-24	11.21	13.22	-22.11	827195	Downward Expansion	-50	50
2023-11-17	10.54	13.33	-26.11	774594	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2023-11-10	10.68	13.44	-23.45	1128495	Downward Expansion	-66	66
2023-11-03	10.76	13.57	-21.94	781770	Downward Expansion	-68	82
2023-10-27	10.13	13.67	-22.30	565939	Downward Expansion	-77	90
2023-10-20	10.06	13.80	-24.81	719916	Downward Expansion	-86	94

Price vs TrendBelow-5.0%

Trend directionFalling-5.5%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-7.7%

Fair Value directionMoving away-0.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-18.3%

Relative strength directionWeakening-0.2%

Price momentumNegative-11.8%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.96×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-58 / ±100

-80.8 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

56 /100

+33.6 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

CCU Directional State ↗ CCU Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance46

Rotation Up9

Upward Expansion10

Deceleration40

Rotation Down69

Downward Expansion84

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 24%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 22%Deceleration 3%Rotation Down 10%Downward Expansion 37%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-10-09	2026-10-09	New	+0.0%
Balance	2026-08-07	2026-10-02	Developing	-11.4%
Downward Expansion	2026-05-01	2026-07-31	Established	+2.5%
Rotation Down	2026-03-06	2026-04-24	Developing	-1.2%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-02	2026-02-27	Developing	+5.3%
Rotation Up	2025-11-28	2025-12-26	Developing	-2.9%
Balance	2025-11-07	2025-11-21	New	+3.7%
Downward Expansion	2025-08-15	2025-10-31	Developing	+2.1%
Rotation Down	2025-06-27	2025-08-08	Developing	-6.5%
Deceleration	2025-05-30	2025-06-20	New	-8.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-01-10	2025-05-23	Established	+21.0%
Rotation Up	2024-12-20	2025-01-03	New	-3.9%
Balance	2024-11-08	2024-12-13	Developing	+8.2%
Downward Expansion	2024-08-09	2024-11-01	Established	-1.5%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing58

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution23

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 85/100
Current Relative Strength: -18.28
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -11.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -26.7%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 19th percentile36 in cohort

Test CCU trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.59×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.96×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+75.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore CCU Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 10.94falling

Slow Activity USD 11.45falling

Trend Reference USD 11.48-5.0% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 11.82-7.7% close margin

Structural low USD 10.25shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.7%

Annualized volatility +24.1%

From structural high -28.0%

From structural low +6.4%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs SPY	Regime survived	Read
Near term	29	+0.5%-15.1% to +15.0%	+55.2%	+44.8%	-0.8%	+75.9%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	+1.0%-17.8% to +6.6%	+60.0%	+40.0%	-4.2%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	-7.4%-18.4% to +53.4%	+42.9%	+57.1%	-3.5%	+57.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+5.8%-29.1% to +11.9%	+75.0%	+25.0%	-10.8%	+100.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

CCU Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map