Weekly structural research · MEX · Technology

KLAC Stage Analysis

KLA Corporation

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close MXN 3,312.99Tenure NewBenchmark ^MXX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Rotation Down · Supply rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction -26−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 35/100directional strength

Maturity 14/100lifecycle context

Confidence 49/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +79.5%MXN 1,845.53 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	3,312.99	3,314.47	18.31	1084	Rotation Down	-26	35
2026-09-18	2,995.00	3,292.07	10.65	3948	Rotation Down	-37	68
2026-09-11	3,071.00	3,275.08	13.56	2823	Rotation Down	-34	64
2026-09-04	3,144.00	3,256.63	15.73	3174	Rotation Down	-31	50
2026-08-28	2,996.00	3,225.36	10.35	742	Deceleration	-43	48
2026-08-21	3,189.00	3,209.65	18.02	0	Deceleration	-16	36
2026-08-14	3,473.04	3,192.32	32.46	24	Deceleration	16	33
2026-08-07	3,366.22	3,168.97	24.89	41	Deceleration	14	33
2026-07-31	3,218.07	3,138.10	20.56	13895	Deceleration	16	28
2026-07-24	3,795.72	3,106.82	44.60	0	Upward Expansion	49	50
2026-07-17	3,754.80	3,056.29	44.47	104	Upward Expansion	64	64
2026-07-10	4,030.47	3,004.87	57.38	0	Upward Expansion	67	82
2026-07-03	4,100.00	2,944.26	61.17	0	Upward Expansion	69	88
2026-06-26	4,323.00	2,881.34	72.33	927	Upward Expansion	85	95
2026-06-19	4,534.97	2,808.46	83.08	0	Upward Expansion	99	99
2026-06-12	4,015.00	2,726.25	64.97	2020	Upward Expansion	98	91
2026-06-05	3,619.12	2,663.40	55.52	2250	Upward Expansion	92	75
2026-05-29	3,332.00	2,605.97	40.27	430	Upward Expansion	84	71
2026-05-22	3,172.00	2,558.10	35.73	0	Upward Expansion	68	66
2026-05-15	3,171.77	2,515.57	37.97	1330	Upward Expansion	70	83
2026-05-08	3,165.02	2,473.05	35.52	4410	Upward Expansion	72	89
2026-05-01	3,039.78	2,431.66	35.68	4540	Upward Expansion	68	88
2026-04-24	3,354.37	2,396.98	48.57	220	Upward Expansion	96	98
2026-04-17	3,008.42	2,350.36	34.10	520	Upward Expansion	85	93
2026-04-10	3,011.95	2,303.73	35.35	3430	Upward Expansion	89	77
2026-04-03	2,727.80	2,257.00	24.46	1650	Upward Expansion	70	55
2026-03-27	2,746.80	2,219.73	31.87	120	Upward Expansion	78	58
2026-03-20	2,609.81	2,181.83	31.39	140	Upward Expansion	67	54
2026-03-13	2,514.82	2,150.01	24.70	2460	Upward Expansion	62	54
2026-03-06	2,641.09	2,125.83	28.57	0	Deceleration	76	63
2026-02-27	2,641.09	2,095.98	22.10	710	Deceleration	68	48
2026-02-20	2,485.32	2,066.12	15.46	170	Upward Expansion	51	41
2026-02-13	2,517.53	2,039.10	17.34	1270	Upward Expansion	70	58
2026-02-06	2,205.77	2,012.81	4.20	180	Upward Expansion	66	66
2026-01-30	2,524.63	1,996.92	25.06	61420	Upward Expansion	69	69
2026-01-23	2,669.10	1,968.66	31.71	130	Upward Expansion	92	77
2026-01-16	2,772.59	1,930.12	39.79	142640	Upward Expansion	100	100
2026-01-09	2,440.24	1,888.13	25.85	1060	Upward Expansion	98	99
2026-01-02	2,279.66	1,857.23	21.79	0	Upward Expansion	83	94
2025-12-26	2,279.66	1,831.67	19.77	4310	Upward Expansion	90	96
2025-12-19	2,212.30	1,805.94	19.98	0	Upward Expansion	76	87
2025-12-12	2,212.30	1,783.80	19.32	0	Upward Expansion	81	93
2025-12-05	2,212.30	1,761.65	22.49	1810	Upward Expansion	89	96
2025-11-28	2,136.68	1,732.33	18.59	340	Upward Expansion	86	91
2025-11-21	2,068.69	1,705.53	18.70	110	Upward Expansion	82	73
2025-11-14	2,129.49	1,680.55	22.02	90	Upward Expansion	92	75
2025-11-07	1,896.05	1,653.53	7.50	0	Upward Expansion	63	64
2025-10-31	1,896.05	1,634.30	8.82	0	Upward Expansion	65	76
2025-10-24	1,896.05	1,619.67	12.04	0	Upward Expansion	66	88
2025-10-17	1,896.05	1,605.03	11.33	1760	Upward Expansion	66	88
2025-10-10	1,923.34	1,590.40	15.55	70	Upward Expansion	79	92
2025-10-03	1,999.53	1,574.86	17.60	70	Deceleration	93	95
2025-09-26	1,955.54	1,556.77	14.68	2390	Deceleration	85	55
2025-09-19	1,609.81	1,541.56	-3.72	0	Deceleration	24	38
2025-09-12	1,609.81	1,539.34	-4.79	0	Deceleration	31	43
2025-09-05	1,609.81	1,537.71	-2.77	0	Upward Expansion	44	36
2025-08-29	1,609.81	1,536.06	0.01	120	Upward Expansion	53	55
2025-08-22	1,655.11	1,533.15	1.76	100	Upward Expansion	67	67
2025-08-15	1,789.54	1,529.29	11.64	450	Upward Expansion	91	96
2025-08-08	1,745.38	1,521.95	9.78	0	Upward Expansion	78	79
2025-08-01	1,745.38	1,510.41	12.39	1130	Upward Expansion	83	94
2025-07-25	1,674.64	1,494.54	7.44	700	Upward Expansion	67	88
2025-07-18	1,729.07	1,481.04	13.04	0	Upward Expansion	92	97
2025-07-11	1,729.07	1,465.72	12.58	1200	Upward Expansion	96	98
2025-07-04	1,676.62	1,452.99	6.78	130	Upward Expansion	95	74
2025-06-27	1,513.00	1,442.01	-2.67	0	Upward Expansion	65	60
2025-06-20	1,513.00	1,433.19	-0.91	0	Upward Expansion	66	81
2025-06-13	1,513.00	1,424.37	-3.02	0	Upward Expansion	66	87
2025-06-06	1,513.00	1,416.64	-4.10	68700	Rotation Up	66	67
2025-05-30	1,507.83	1,411.47	-4.09	4380	Rotation Up	61	61
2025-05-23	1,547.97	1,405.03	-2.21	0	Deceleration	68	57
2025-05-16	1,547.78	1,398.44	-1.17	1200	Deceleration	22	21
2025-05-09	1,332.78	1,391.88	-12.38	0	Rotation Down	-31	76
2025-05-02	1,332.78	1,398.27	-11.05	1540	Rotation Down	-31	76
2025-04-25	1,319.08	1,404.66	-13.17	0	Rotation Down	-49	82
2025-04-18	1,319.08	1,411.51	-6.96	0	Rotation Down	-54	81
2025-04-11	1,319.08	1,416.89	-3.93	2330	Rotation Down	-44	42
2025-04-04	1,457.05	1,419.55	6.60	0	Deceleration	29	28
2025-03-28	1,457.05	1,419.95	3.77	0	Deceleration	30	33
2025-03-21	1,457.05	1,423.91	5.29	0	Deceleration	36	35
2025-03-14	1,457.05	1,427.40	6.21	0	Upward Expansion	43	30
2025-03-07	1,457.05	1,424.15	6.03	690	Upward Expansion	51	47
2025-02-28	1,499.10	1,420.89	10.60	750	Upward Expansion	65	61
2025-02-21	1,543.16	1,414.95	11.41	120	Rotation Up	68	86
2025-02-14	1,561.10	1,414.27	12.71	980	Rotation Up	47	81
2025-02-07	1,560.10	1,412.99	16.14	270	Rotation Up	40	79
2025-01-31	1,522.51	1,411.78	17.93	3600	Rotation Up	36	63
2025-01-24	1,539.53	1,411.69	20.01	60	Rotation Up	47	55
2025-01-17	1,569.10	1,411.20	26.92	15180	Rotation Up	23	34
2025-01-10	1,399.19	1,408.40	15.16	230	Downward Expansion	-31	29
2025-01-03	1,269.51	1,408.57	6.81	0	Downward Expansion	-71	57
2024-12-27	1,269.51	1,413.06	6.80	0	Downward Expansion	-73	53
2024-12-20	1,269.51	1,410.95	6.90	620	Downward Expansion	-77	58
2024-12-13	1,347.22	1,408.84	9.72	0	Downward Expansion	-62	70
2024-12-06	1,347.22	1,404.14	11.16	70	Rotation Down	-65	81
2024-11-29	1,248.28	1,399.43	6.96	0	Rotation Down	-52	81
2024-11-22	1,248.28	1,397.08	6.32	15670	Rotation Down	-57	81
2024-11-15	1,281.18	1,395.90	9.67	19910	Rotation Down	-49	71
2024-11-08	1,357.99	1,391.98	13.88	580	Rotation Down	-23	44
2024-11-01	1,314.71	1,385.49	13.87	540	Balance	-38	43
2024-10-25	1,350.04	1,380.45	15.26	140	Balance	-5	13
2024-10-18	1,351.04	1,374.57	13.52	540	Upward Expansion	15	15
2024-10-11	1,524.56	1,368.66	30.48	0	Upward Expansion	65	51
2024-10-04	1,524.56	1,356.96	31.31	0	Upward Expansion	67	43
2024-09-27	1,524.56	1,346.77	32.36	360	Upward Expansion	69	42
2024-09-20	1,480.26	1,336.58	31.47	1460	Upward Expansion	58	44
2024-09-13	1,399.01	1,325.68	26.10	320	Upward Expansion	58	49
2024-09-06	1,468.96	1,316.25	36.19	21220	Upward Expansion	59	55
2024-08-30	1,575.87	1,301.55	42.79	2870	Deceleration	81	55
2024-08-23	1,561.81	1,283.29	41.89	1250	Deceleration	64	42
2024-08-16	1,359.54	1,266.12	23.78	0	Deceleration	35	42
2024-08-09	1,359.39	1,254.10	27.38	4030	Upward Expansion	46	40
2024-08-02	1,320.92	1,239.92	27.03	80	Upward Expansion	54	59
2024-07-26	1,522.64	1,228.66	46.36	0	Upward Expansion	70	76
2024-07-19	1,522.64	1,210.67	46.11	1300	Upward Expansion	71	77
2024-07-12	1,523.76	1,192.68	44.82	90	Upward Expansion	78	87
2024-07-05	1,519.76	1,173.15	53.71	200	Upward Expansion	85	95
2024-06-28	1,525.01	1,153.76	56.19	108810	Upward Expansion	96	99
2024-06-21	1,485.19	1,134.19	53.40	1340	Upward Expansion	99	100
2024-06-14	1,404.15	1,115.96	48.69	0	Upward Expansion	99	100
2024-06-07	1,404.15	1,100.42	48.45	630	Upward Expansion	98	98
2024-05-31	1,206.20	1,081.24	23.97	0	Upward Expansion	71	88
2024-05-24	1,206.20	1,068.67	24.38	0	Upward Expansion	70	67
2024-05-17	1,206.20	1,056.10	20.91	0	Upward Expansion	72	68
2024-05-10	1,206.05	1,044.87	21.75	140	Upward Expansion	73	66
2024-05-03	1,177.90	1,032.78	21.28	1720	Deceleration	61	61
2024-04-26	1,212.86	1,020.45	24.29	200	Deceleration	85	71
2024-04-19	1,163.41	1,006.96	24.41	0	Deceleration	51	58
2024-04-12	1,163.41	995.11	23.79	0	Upward Expansion	52	59
2024-04-05	1,163.41	983.26	21.43	550	Upward Expansion	63	64
2024-03-29	1,173.65	971.42	24.85	0	Upward Expansion	66	68
2024-03-22	1,173.65	959.23	27.43	0	Upward Expansion	67	68
2024-03-15	1,173.65	947.04	29.22	220	Upward Expansion	69	73
2024-03-08	1,218.86	934.85	38.33	0	Upward Expansion	93	98
2024-03-01	1,218.86	920.16	38.08	100	Upward Expansion	99	100
2024-02-23	1,153.35	905.48	29.27	980	Upward Expansion	98	99
2024-02-16	1,116.16	892.98	24.92	1090	Upward Expansion	98	99
2024-02-09	1,027.89	881.71	15.38	0	Upward Expansion	74	71
2024-02-02	1,027.89	873.39	14.05	620	Upward Expansion	82	73
2024-01-26	1,046.93	865.73	19.48	2390	Upward Expansion	96	78
2024-01-19	998.82	856.97	17.56	4230	Upward Expansion	88	74
2024-01-12	934.15	849.81	10.17	600	Upward Expansion	68	68
2024-01-05	982.94	846.10	15.16	0	Upward Expansion	81	73
2023-12-29	982.94	840.63	13.24	0	Upward Expansion	89	76
2023-12-22	982.94	834.39	13.70	60	Upward Expansion	95	93
2023-12-15	938.01	824.31	9.13	0	Upward Expansion	69	89
2023-12-08	938.01	815.73	14.81	0	Upward Expansion	78	92
2023-12-01	938.01	807.15	16.23	0	Upward Expansion	90	96
2023-11-24	938.01	801.71	18.77	0	Upward Expansion	95	98
2023-11-17	938.01	796.27	20.26	2370	Upward Expansion	95	77
2023-11-10	828.96	790.83	10.10	0	Upward Expansion	63	65
2023-11-03	828.96	789.03	10.72	0	Upward Expansion	64	67
2023-10-27	828.96	787.22	16.56	110	Upward Expansion	64	71
2023-10-20	869.56	785.42	24.79	1480	Upward Expansion	94	98
2023-10-13	843.34	782.26	19.30	1000	Upward Expansion	94	97
2023-10-06	807.99	779.98	14.11	0	Upward Expansion	64	84

Price vs TrendBelow-0.0%

Trend directionRising+8.4%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+79.5%

Fair Value directionMoving away-86.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+18.3%

Relative strength directionWeakening-54.0%

Price momentumPositive+20.6%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.20×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-26 / ±100

+17.1 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

35 /100

-13.0 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

KLAC Directional State ↗ KLAC Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance34

Rotation Up19

Upward Expansion19

Deceleration66

Rotation Down62

Downward Expansion48

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 1%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 67%Deceleration 14%Rotation Down 9%Downward Expansion 3%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Rotation Down	2026-09-04	2026-09-25	New	+5.4%
Deceleration	2026-07-31	2026-08-28	Developing	-6.9%
Upward Expansion	2026-03-13	2026-07-24	Established	+50.9%
Deceleration	2026-02-27	2026-03-06	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-10-10	2026-02-20	Established	+29.2%
Deceleration	2025-09-12	2025-10-03	New	+24.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-13	2025-09-05	Established	+6.4%
Rotation Up	2025-05-30	2025-06-06	New	+0.3%
Deceleration	2025-05-16	2025-05-23	New	+0.0%
Rotation Down	2025-04-11	2025-05-09	Developing	+1.0%
Deceleration	2025-03-21	2025-04-04	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-28	2025-03-14	New	-2.8%
Rotation Up	2025-01-17	2025-02-21	Developing	-1.7%
Downward Expansion	2024-12-13	2025-01-10	Developing	+3.9%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing18

Stage 2 · Advancing85

Stage 3 · Distribution76

Stage 4 · Declining15

Legacy result: Stage 3 · Stage 3B · Distribution. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MXX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 30/100
Current Relative Strength: 18.31
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +20.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +23.2%
Technology regime cohort: 22th percentile18 in cohort

Test KLAC trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.66×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.20×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore KLAC Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity MXN 3,136.13falling

Slow Activity MXN 3,418.95falling

Trend Reference MXN 3,314.47-0.0% close margin

Current Fair Value MXN 1,845.53+79.5% close margin

Structural low MXN 2,699.29shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Complete bearish ordering below the Trend Line confirms Downward Expansion; a repaired fast/slow cross and upside acceptance cancel the failure.

Range context +7.0%

Annualized volatility +51.4%

From structural high -26.9%

From structural low +74.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^MXX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	8	+0.1%-5.8% to +20.3%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-0.6%	+37.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	5	+14.9%+0.9% to +31.1%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+13.0%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	+21.8%-1.9% to +42.3%	+80.0%	+20.0%	+22.8%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	+39.6%+9.6% to +77.2%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+17.4%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

KLAC Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map