Weekly structural research ยท TWO ยท Communication Services

7551 Stage Analysis

Flashaim Inc.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 13.55Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^TWII
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction -15โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 10/100directional strength
Maturity 34/100lifecycle context
Confidence 57/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance -16.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -10.6%TWD 15.16 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0913.5513.31-26.79101863Downward Expansion-1510
2026-10-0213.0013.32-29.47661444Downward Expansion-4724
2026-09-2513.0013.32-29.9440268Downward Expansion-4926
2026-09-1812.7513.35-31.08178351Downward Expansion-5436
2026-09-1112.6513.39-31.09115293Downward Expansion-5736
2026-09-0413.1013.41-30.2315242Downward Expansion-4927
2026-08-2812.8013.42-32.3560712Downward Expansion-5533
2026-08-2113.0013.44-30.7022302Balance-4927
2026-08-1413.0013.45-32.6011Balance-4930
2026-08-0713.0513.46-30.993110Balance-4829
2026-07-3113.0513.47-30.4018120Balance-5033
2026-07-2413.0513.48-32.3629140Balance-4832
2026-07-1713.1513.50-31.3021120Balance-4524
2026-07-1012.8513.50-37.82114599Balance-2313
2026-07-0313.2013.51-39.17285713Balance-118
2026-06-2613.3513.51-36.50197241Balance-88
2026-06-1913.7513.51-38.24148792Balance59
2026-06-1213.0513.49-39.11175342Balance-29
2026-06-0513.2513.51-40.10376519Balance2212
2026-05-2913.1013.52-41.00418948Balance2410
2026-05-2213.9513.54-34.27422426Balance4931
2026-05-1514.3513.56-31.28363146Balance5142
2026-05-0814.0013.58-34.34528832Balance2224
2026-05-0114.4513.58-28.32722177Balance2428
2026-04-2415.1513.60-25.652241926Balance3419
2026-04-1713.5013.58-30.68507571Balance-4030
2026-04-1012.6013.60-33.51306249Balance-5741
2026-04-0313.3013.65-24.5196693Balance-4022
2026-03-2712.9013.65-28.58114074Balance-4022
2026-03-2013.5013.70-26.8577082Balance-157
2026-03-1313.6013.74-26.6160551Balance-139
2026-03-0613.1013.79-30.23251583Balance-2613
2026-02-2713.9013.88-30.2337266Balance-810
2026-02-1314.0013.94-26.4567849Balance-87
2026-02-0613.3513.98-26.3567156Downward Expansion-3820
2026-01-3013.2514.04-27.99150275Downward Expansion-5126
2026-01-2313.6014.14-26.23141183Downward Expansion-3822
2026-01-1613.2014.20-27.48157720Downward Expansion-5229
2026-01-0913.3014.27-24.6755369Downward Expansion-4023
2026-01-0213.2514.28-22.99403351Downward Expansion-4326
2025-12-2613.4514.25-20.078310Downward Expansion-4328
2025-12-1913.5514.22-17.3979568Downward Expansion-5438
2025-12-1213.2014.20-21.3411811Downward Expansion-5853
2025-12-0513.2014.19-21.1434245Downward Expansion-6159
2025-11-2813.2014.18-20.5631Rotation Down-6158
2025-11-2113.2014.17-17.5213200Rotation Down-3446
2025-11-1413.2014.17-20.9932363Deceleration-3444
2025-11-0713.6014.17-19.9019250Deceleration-2832
2025-10-3113.7514.16-21.171508488Deceleration-1317
2025-10-2413.7014.17-19.95300360Deceleration36
2025-10-1714.3014.18-16.20404195Deceleration2414
2025-10-1014.9514.17-12.84390946Deceleration3519
2025-10-0314.2014.14-15.93114170Deceleration2110
2025-09-2615.0514.13-7.19444488Deceleration2310
2025-09-1914.5514.08-10.38357300Deceleration815
2025-09-1214.0014.06-13.59156050Deceleration-1118
2025-09-0514.1514.07-9.45403627Deceleration2121
2025-08-2913.2014.08-14.81170625Deceleration815
2025-08-2214.5014.08-4.90100270Deceleration3821
2025-08-1514.8514.03-5.08111396Upward Expansion4229
2025-08-0815.0014.00-3.20135335Upward Expansion5537
2025-08-0115.7513.963.7974210Upward Expansion6452
2025-07-2515.7013.913.54124373Upward Expansion6668
2025-07-1815.1013.86-0.72183612Upward Expansion6272
2025-07-1115.3513.843.9099243Rotation Up6275
2025-07-0416.0513.829.8463410Rotation Up4761
2025-06-2715.5513.766.42203060Downward Expansion3334
2025-06-2015.1513.766.25175941Downward Expansion-39
2025-06-1313.5513.81-5.12391960Downward Expansion-3923
2025-06-0612.6013.91-10.40157217Downward Expansion-5937
2025-05-3012.5014.01-10.27118810Downward Expansion-6339
2025-05-2312.8014.13-9.83106816Downward Expansion-5939
2025-05-1613.0014.23-9.8277810Downward Expansion-5747
2025-05-0913.0014.32-6.33123580Downward Expansion-5750
2025-05-0212.8514.41-7.26206601Downward Expansion-6053
2025-04-2513.0514.50-1.91264149Balance-5745
2025-04-1813.4014.522.57309114Balance-5031
2025-04-1113.1514.54-0.54301161Balance-5426
2025-04-0414.0014.57-3.6166577Balance-3013
2025-03-2814.0014.58-5.6497820Balance-3215
2025-03-2114.1014.60-8.30206460Downward Expansion-3418
2025-03-1414.1514.64-7.7860522Downward Expansion-3621
2025-03-0713.9014.68-12.6541240Downward Expansion-3821
2025-02-2813.4514.76-18.0570790Downward Expansion-4824
2025-02-2114.0014.87-18.06146190Downward Expansion-4023
2025-02-1414.3514.97-14.86208040Downward Expansion-5433
2025-02-0714.2014.96-17.91224006Downward Expansion-5944
2025-01-2413.3514.97-23.91156543Downward Expansion-6662
2025-01-1713.1015.03-25.02438646Downward Expansion-7465
2025-01-1013.7515.11-21.73174470Downward Expansion-6762
2025-01-0314.0015.18-20.86165220Downward Expansion-6460
2024-12-2714.2015.24-22.0379455Downward Expansion-6057
2024-12-2014.1015.30-20.8511500Balance-6147
2024-12-1314.6515.37-20.51380Balance-4231
2024-12-0614.6515.46-22.0830544Balance-2217
2024-11-2914.2515.51-22.0323000Balance-137
2024-11-2215.6515.56-17.6950300Rotation Up2521
2024-11-1516.5515.56-13.36153200Rotation Up3537
2024-11-0816.5015.57-17.46105902Balance2837
2024-11-0115.7015.62-19.85135500Balance1521
2024-10-2516.0015.73-21.25128762Balance1723
2024-10-1815.8015.81-23.64231006Downward Expansion-1521
2024-10-1115.8515.92-22.45235354Downward Expansion-2014
2024-10-0415.6016.02-22.56260803Downward Expansion-3419
2024-09-2715.4016.14-26.21361360Downward Expansion-5536
2024-09-2013.9516.24-32.1455260Downward Expansion-6361
2024-09-1313.8016.41-32.6439508Downward Expansion-6867
2024-09-0614.0016.58-31.6143702Downward Expansion-6762
2024-08-3014.5016.76-32.8448703Downward Expansion-6249
2024-08-2314.6016.92-33.0142134Downward Expansion-6034
2024-08-1615.2017.06-31.7261070Downward Expansion-4119
2024-08-0915.5017.15-28.67133331Downward Expansion-3323
2024-08-0216.3017.24-26.5048089Downward Expansion-3319
2024-07-2616.5017.37-27.9819297Downward Expansion-4126
2024-07-1917.1017.46-28.68458393Downward Expansion-4937
2024-07-1214.1017.54-44.4763863Downward Expansion-7974
2024-07-0514.3517.76-43.51173097Downward Expansion-8169
2024-06-2815.2517.95-39.5832230Downward Expansion-7256
2024-06-2115.6018.10-39.7847700Downward Expansion-6854
2024-06-1415.7018.26-38.3628308Downward Expansion-6954
2024-06-0716.0018.42-36.3689819Downward Expansion-6548
2024-05-3116.0018.60-35.3321757Downward Expansion-6853
2024-05-2416.0018.74-37.5145360Downward Expansion-7158
2024-05-1717.4018.88-32.1724101Downward Expansion-6579
2024-05-1016.2018.99-36.2720127Downward Expansion-6687
2024-05-0315.8019.15-37.833201Downward Expansion-8493
2024-04-2615.5019.33-39.4251367Downward Expansion-9392
2024-04-1917.0019.56-32.6441033Downward Expansion-8476
2024-04-1218.0019.72-33.8925410Downward Expansion-6647
2024-04-0518.9019.88-30.074000Downward Expansion-4928
2024-03-2918.5020.03-32.1111000Downward Expansion-5630
2024-03-2218.9020.18-31.13333729Downward Expansion-5028
2024-03-1518.8020.26-30.3456103Downward Expansion-5129
2024-03-0819.3020.47-29.6321002Downward Expansion-3925
2024-03-0118.6020.59-29.8658008Downward Expansion-4728
2024-02-2319.0020.71-28.9130030Downward Expansion-4023
2024-02-1618.7020.88-29.7021296Downward Expansion-5833
2024-02-0919.4521.08-25.502000Downward Expansion-5436
2024-02-0219.4021.27-26.2110110Downward Expansion-5742
2024-01-2618.6021.47-29.4850406Downward Expansion-6045
2024-01-1918.0021.75-31.08227350Downward Expansion-6948
2024-01-1218.4022.06-29.3775230Downward Expansion-6946
2024-01-0520.1022.41-23.4238047Downward Expansion-5438
2023-12-2919.2022.68-29.0312611Downward Expansion-6544
2023-12-2219.5023.01-27.0887663Downward Expansion-6646
2023-12-1520.5023.32-24.16179403Downward Expansion-5743
2023-12-0820.3023.66-24.0188740Downward Expansion-6151
2023-12-0119.5024.00-27.5495380Downward Expansion-7760
2023-11-2420.6024.34-23.0947978Downward Expansion-6355
2023-11-1720.4024.61-23.7545243Downward Expansion-6550
2023-11-1021.3024.94-18.22163368Downward Expansion-6249
2023-11-0320.3025.13-21.6815790Downward Expansion-6865
2023-10-2720.1025.33-21.2423101Downward Expansion-7370
2023-10-2020.8025.52-20.6236000Downward Expansion-7067
2023-10-1321.1025.72-21.6520600Downward Expansion-6968
2023-10-0621.2025.91-20.5012966Downward Expansion-6960
Price vs TrendAbove+1.8%
Trend directionFalling-1.2%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-10.6%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+9.2%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-26.8%
Relative strength directionImproving+11.0%
Price momentumPositive+7.5%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.74ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-15 / ยฑ100

+41.5 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

10 /100

-26.0 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance54
Rotation Up28
Upward Expansion18
Deceleration40
Rotation Down25
Downward Expansion55

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 25%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 3%Deceleration 8%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 60%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-08-282026-10-09Developing+5.9%
Balance2026-02-132026-08-21Extended-7.1%
Downward Expansion2025-12-052026-02-06Developing+1.1%
Rotation Down2025-11-212025-11-28New+0.0%
Deceleration2025-08-222025-11-14Established-9.0%
Upward Expansion2025-07-182025-08-15Developing-1.7%
Rotation Up2025-07-042025-07-11New-4.4%
Downward Expansion2025-05-022025-06-27Developing+21.0%
Balance2025-03-282025-04-25Developing-6.8%
Downward Expansion2024-12-272025-03-21Developing-0.7%
Balance2024-11-292024-12-20New-1.1%
Rotation Up2024-11-152024-11-22New-5.4%
Balance2024-10-252024-11-08New+3.1%
Downward Expansion2023-08-182024-10-18Extended-36.5%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing78
Stage 2 ยท Advancing37
Stage 3 ยท Distribution38
Stage 4 ยท Declining63

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4C ยท Repair watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
75/100
Current Relative Strength
-26.79
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+7.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-31.7%
Communication Services regime cohort
4th percentile25 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.68ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.74ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity TWD 13.13rising
Slow Activity TWD 13.17falling
Trend Reference TWD 13.31+1.8% close margin
Current Fair Value TWD 15.16-10.6% close margin
Structural low TWD 12.00shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +5.2%
Annualized volatility +26.8%
From structural high -29.2%
From structural low +12.9%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^TWII Regime survived Read
Near term42-1.1%-16.2% to +24.4%+40.5%+57.1%-5.2%+88.1%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate13-8.3%-18.1% to +22.6%+30.8%+69.2%-7.1%+61.5%Usable descriptive sample
Extended8-13.3%-24.9% to +33.7%+25.0%+75.0%-17.7%+62.5%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4-14.6%-40.0% to -6.0%+0.0%+100.0%-33.4%+75.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context