Weekly structural research · LSE · Technology

MWE Stage Analysis

M.T.I Wireless Edge Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close GBP 0.62Tenure NewBenchmark ^FTSE

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Rotation Down · Supply rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction -39−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 53/100directional strength

Maturity 6/100lifecycle context

Confidence 51/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +35.7%GBP 0.4569 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	0.62	0.6544	7.07	654744	Rotation Down	-39	53
2026-09-25	0.635	0.6514	7.87	484854	Deceleration	-23	37
2026-09-18	0.64	0.6489	9.67	955326	Deceleration	-1	18
2026-09-11	0.63	0.6458	8.48	791140	Deceleration	-5	10
2026-09-04	0.67	0.6414	13.84	42874	Deceleration	14	8
2026-08-28	0.675	0.6359	15.32	150637	Deceleration	12	13
2026-08-21	0.67	0.6301	15.06	143592	Deceleration	11	16
2026-08-14	0.665	0.6246	15.42	514909	Deceleration	20	22
2026-08-07	0.645	0.6198	10.99	53120	Deceleration	19	20
2026-07-31	0.66	0.6138	14.30	95795	Deceleration	34	21
2026-07-24	0.66	0.6066	16.22	199629	Upward Expansion	42	28
2026-07-17	0.705	0.5996	26.30	62814	Upward Expansion	58	43
2026-07-10	0.71	0.5902	29.08	45342	Upward Expansion	62	62
2026-07-03	0.75	0.582	34.68	268581	Upward Expansion	69	68
2026-06-26	0.725	0.5735	33.37	43221	Upward Expansion	65	66
2026-06-19	0.77	0.5656	44.59	255870	Upward Expansion	79	66
2026-06-12	0.675	0.5534	26.54	94423	Upward Expansion	59	39
2026-06-05	0.69	0.5436	31.33	461577	Upward Expansion	64	38
2026-05-29	0.665	0.5332	26.54	723942	Upward Expansion	61	37
2026-05-22	0.61	0.5241	16.06	844612	Upward Expansion	57	40
2026-05-15	0.625	0.5165	22.60	977021	Upward Expansion	61	46
2026-05-08	0.685	0.508	34.32	1219517	Upward Expansion	70	69
2026-05-01	0.69	0.4989	34.34	1040199	Upward Expansion	77	75
2026-04-24	0.626	0.4895	22.33	1170527	Upward Expansion	63	63
2026-04-17	0.68	0.4823	29.88	3607262	Upward Expansion	84	71
2026-04-10	0.616	0.4746	19.01	1076402	Upward Expansion	72	49
2026-04-03	0.56	0.4693	10.10	331900	Upward Expansion	58	42
2026-03-27	0.57	0.4654	17.16	742533	Upward Expansion	64	45
2026-03-20	0.5438	0.4617	12.26	1007737	Upward Expansion	58	49
2026-03-13	0.5676	0.459	12.97	1460683	Upward Expansion	70	61
2026-03-06	0.5295	0.4544	4.44	1260041	Upward Expansion	60	50
2026-02-27	0.5581	0.4518	3.35	846715	Upward Expansion	75	62
2026-02-20	0.5486	0.4478	3.38	1453778	Upward Expansion	74	54
2026-02-13	0.4961	0.4445	-4.52	227948	Upward Expansion	60	57
2026-02-06	0.5056	0.4439	-2.26	324961	Upward Expansion	64	69
2026-01-30	0.5009	0.4433	-1.81	206062	Upward Expansion	63	68
2026-01-23	0.5056	0.4409	-0.12	380572	Balance	65	61
2026-01-16	0.5199	0.439	1.56	1003408	Balance	45	40
2026-01-09	0.4675	0.4366	-7.89	550323	Balance	18	12
2026-01-02	0.4436	0.436	-11.37	561009	Balance	9	10
2025-12-26	0.4484	0.4379	-9.88	352816	Rotation Up	13	28
2025-12-19	0.4245	0.4376	-14.97	563708	Rotation Up	15	28
2025-12-12	0.4627	0.4371	-5.14	577211	Rotation Up	17	31
2025-12-05	0.4961	0.437	1.50	726578	Downward Expansion	33	32
2025-11-28	0.4865	0.4354	-0.86	1383360	Downward Expansion	-5	9
2025-11-21	0.4055	0.4344	-15.80	413893	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2025-11-14	0.3816	0.4346	-22.26	453482	Downward Expansion	-58	47
2025-11-07	0.3768	0.4358	-23.47	404014	Downward Expansion	-64	62
2025-10-31	0.3911	0.4374	-21.20	325381	Downward Expansion	-60	61
2025-10-24	0.3816	0.4398	-22.88	403962	Downward Expansion	-67	67
2025-10-17	0.3721	0.444	-22.81	721322	Downward Expansion	-73	68
2025-10-10	0.4102	0.4494	-15.86	1493934	Downward Expansion	-59	54
2025-10-03	0.4102	0.4565	-16.67	624038	Balance	-57	46
2025-09-26	0.4102	0.4607	-14.97	644845	Balance	-57	37
2025-09-19	0.4484	0.4645	-6.80	197679	Balance	-29	11
2025-09-12	0.456	0.4656	-6.04	446045	Balance	-24	11
2025-09-05	0.4436	0.4665	-7.94	932261	Balance	-43	18
2025-08-29	0.4579	0.466	-4.68	568702	Balance	-29	13
2025-08-22	0.4627	0.4651	-4.85	648222	Balance	-29	18
2025-08-15	0.4293	0.4654	-9.76	923959	Balance	-51	32
2025-08-08	0.4532	0.4671	-4.07	1122528	Balance	-30	13
2025-08-01	0.4388	0.4671	-6.48	333745	Balance	-36	17
2025-07-25	0.4484	0.4663	-4.79	426277	Balance	-22	11
2025-07-18	0.477	0.4642	2.99	395705	Balance	6	6
2025-07-11	0.4889	0.4614	6.50	665336	Balance	10	5
2025-07-04	0.4293	0.4584	-4.82	405192	Balance	-29	19
2025-06-27	0.4484	0.4573	-0.15	521576	Balance	-6	9
2025-06-20	0.4484	0.456	0.38	424746	Balance	-5	8
2025-06-13	0.4484	0.4547	-0.20	433411	Balance	-5	5
2025-06-06	0.5009	0.4538	11.78	569894	Balance	20	11
2025-05-30	0.4388	0.4507	-0.99	540571	Deceleration	-13	14
2025-05-23	0.4102	0.4502	-6.83	622943	Deceleration	-26	19
2025-05-16	0.4579	0.4506	4.28	317224	Deceleration	-14	16
2025-05-09	0.4484	0.4492	3.77	338901	Deceleration	-18	26
2025-05-02	0.4579	0.4483	5.73	695891	Deceleration	-20	32
2025-04-25	0.4102	0.4464	-2.99	362786	Deceleration	-30	38
2025-04-18	0.4198	0.4484	1.01	367732	Deceleration	2	24
2025-04-11	0.4245	0.4489	6.24	852449	Upward Expansion	11	18
2025-04-04	0.4627	0.449	14.65	667465	Upward Expansion	52	38
2025-03-28	0.508	0.4462	17.39	1011207	Upward Expansion	63	59
2025-03-21	0.5324	0.4414	23.48	1683865	Upward Expansion	66	79
2025-03-14	0.6234	0.4358	45.32	3613233	Upward Expansion	93	94
2025-03-07	0.537	0.4262	25.43	744366	Upward Expansion	81	83
2025-02-28	0.5233	0.4192	21.41	776004	Upward Expansion	82	65
2025-02-21	0.4823	0.4135	14.72	808515	Upward Expansion	69	44
2025-02-14	0.4823	0.4091	14.48	883599	Upward Expansion	74	47
2025-02-07	0.4277	0.4051	2.49	118352	Upward Expansion	59	60
2025-01-31	0.4323	0.4027	4.18	347934	Upward Expansion	61	71
2025-01-24	0.4732	0.4004	16.72	146806	Upward Expansion	73	80
2025-01-17	0.4778	0.3966	18.67	567960	Upward Expansion	78	73
2025-01-10	0.455	0.3927	17.33	507853	Deceleration	56	39
2025-01-03	0.4141	0.3904	7.79	586371	Deceleration	16	14
2024-12-27	0.3868	0.3897	2.08	45848	Deceleration	1	13
2024-12-20	0.3913	0.3903	4.50	135457	Deceleration	6	11
2024-12-13	0.4004	0.3912	4.56	1129378	Deceleration	15	12
2024-12-06	0.3959	0.3918	3.82	321925	Deceleration	26	14
2024-11-29	0.4095	0.3915	8.17	101453	Deceleration	34	16
2024-11-22	0.4095	0.3906	9.00	232541	Deceleration	37	20
2024-11-15	0.4186	0.3897	14.66	135670	Deceleration	39	24
2024-11-08	0.4095	0.3885	12.76	87758	Rotation Up	40	24
2024-11-01	0.4232	0.388	15.58	65475	Rotation Up	44	28
2024-10-25	0.4232	0.3874	15.15	97643	Rotation Up	54	31
2024-10-18	0.4141	0.3872	11.69	188625	Rotation Up	57	41
2024-10-11	0.4232	0.3874	16.02	185883	Rotation Up	34	55
2024-10-04	0.4004	0.3869	9.67	550056	Rotation Up	36	62
2024-09-27	0.4687	0.3841	27.57	594200	Rotation Up	50	74
2024-09-20	0.4368	0.3787	20.53	259431	Rotation Up	43	58
2024-09-13	0.4277	0.3744	17.50	831750	Rotation Down	36	34
2024-09-06	0.3777	0.3706	4.93	746140	Rotation Down	-25	17
2024-08-30	0.364	0.3687	-1.47	312675	Rotation Down	-17	20
2024-08-23	0.364	0.3672	-1.25	443975	Rotation Down	-30	36
2024-08-16	0.3367	0.3646	-8.90	217965	Rotation Down	-38	50
2024-08-09	0.3276	0.3632	-10.32	247054	Deceleration	-46	43
2024-08-02	0.3504	0.3623	-4.53	273113	Deceleration	-24	26
2024-07-26	0.3504	0.3606	-6.05	406119	Deceleration	-26	32
2024-07-19	0.364	0.3589	-1.11	600541	Deceleration	-0	21
2024-07-12	0.3549	0.3567	-5.00	360477	Deceleration	-7	25
2024-07-05	0.364	0.3538	-2.28	266377	Deceleration	1	20
2024-06-28	0.3595	0.3509	-3.36	245678	Deceleration	-1	16
2024-06-21	0.3595	0.3486	-4.52	315418	Upward Expansion	19	16
2024-06-14	0.3868	0.3465	3.38	142601	Upward Expansion	53	36
2024-06-07	0.3913	0.3428	3.07	68618	Upward Expansion	55	42
2024-05-31	0.405	0.3395	5.96	278192	Upward Expansion	57	46
2024-05-24	0.4186	0.336	8.72	372295	Deceleration	67	49
2024-05-17	0.4186	0.332	7.13	485057	Deceleration	62	45
2024-05-10	0.3868	0.3281	-1.46	164892	Deceleration	42	33
2024-05-03	0.3822	0.327	-0.39	66156	Deceleration	45	40
2024-04-26	0.3822	0.3271	0.06	163100	Upward Expansion	59	50
2024-04-19	0.3822	0.327	2.72	194541	Upward Expansion	63	65
2024-04-12	0.3959	0.3275	4.67	153437	Upward Expansion	66	87
2024-04-05	0.405	0.3274	7.88	369301	Rotation Up	67	88
2024-03-29	0.4186	0.3269	10.72	436937	Rotation Up	57	84
2024-03-22	0.4186	0.3258	10.78	616947	Rotation Up	64	82
2024-03-15	0.4075	0.3252	10.35	820737	Rotation Up	52	61
2024-03-08	0.3165	0.3246	-13.80	222153	Downward Expansion	-2	8
2024-03-01	0.3078	0.3263	-16.77	158731	Downward Expansion	-9	13
2024-02-23	0.3078	0.3283	-17.41	150950	Downward Expansion	-7	17
2024-02-16	0.3122	0.3307	-16.75	114401	Downward Expansion	-10	13
2024-02-09	0.3208	0.3334	-13.31	129058	Downward Expansion	-9	10
2024-02-02	0.3208	0.3351	-14.20	343314	Downward Expansion	-26	15
2024-01-26	0.2861	0.3372	-24.01	309691	Downward Expansion	-45	29
2024-01-19	0.2948	0.3405	-20.42	274549	Downward Expansion	-38	25
2024-01-12	0.2992	0.3444	-21.44	188415	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2024-01-05	0.2992	0.3481	-22.56	174003	Downward Expansion	-43	31
2023-12-29	0.2992	0.3519	-23.55	174884	Downward Expansion	-47	39
2023-12-22	0.2992	0.3558	-23.85	302324	Downward Expansion	-59	48
2023-12-15	0.2688	0.3601	-31.06	778639	Downward Expansion	-71	58
2023-12-08	0.2775	0.3658	-29.35	484176	Downward Expansion	-69	59
2023-12-01	0.2905	0.3708	-26.47	285254	Downward Expansion	-64	59
2023-11-24	0.2948	0.376	-25.53	912883	Downward Expansion	-67	75
2023-11-17	0.2775	0.3812	-30.61	790907	Downward Expansion	-79	91
2023-11-10	0.2905	0.3872	-26.48	461620	Downward Expansion	-77	90
2023-11-03	0.2992	0.3925	-25.27	67550	Downward Expansion	-79	90
2023-10-27	0.2992	0.397	-24.37	264764	Downward Expansion	-85	87
2023-10-20	0.3035	0.4018	-24.87	656434	Downward Expansion	-86	78
2023-10-13	0.3512	0.4065	-15.84	670216	Downward Expansion	-69	44

Price vs TrendBelow-5.3%

Trend directionRising+7.9%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+35.7%

Fair Value directionMoving away-37.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+7.1%

Relative strength directionWeakening-27.6%

Price momentumPositive+10.7%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.76×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-39 / ±100

-53.5 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

53 /100

+44.8 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

MWE Directional State ↗ MWE Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance32

Rotation Up18

Upward Expansion19

Deceleration44

Rotation Down64

Downward Expansion58

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 14%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 30%Deceleration 23%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 20%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Rotation Down	2026-10-02	2026-10-02	New	+0.0%
Deceleration	2026-07-31	2026-09-25	Developing	-3.8%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-30	2026-07-24	Established	+31.8%
Balance	2026-01-02	2026-01-23	New	+14.0%
Rotation Up	2025-12-12	2025-12-26	New	-3.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-10-10	2025-12-05	Developing	+20.9%
Balance	2025-06-06	2025-10-03	Established	-18.1%
Deceleration	2025-04-18	2025-05-30	Developing	+4.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-01-17	2025-04-11	Established	-11.1%
Deceleration	2024-11-15	2025-01-10	Developing	+8.7%
Rotation Up	2024-09-20	2024-11-08	Developing	-6.2%
Rotation Down	2024-08-16	2024-09-13	Developing	+27.0%
Deceleration	2024-06-28	2024-08-09	Developing	-8.9%
Upward Expansion	2024-05-31	2024-06-21	New	-11.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing11

Stage 2 · Advancing44

Stage 3 · Distribution67

Stage 4 · Declining28

Legacy result: Stage 3 · Stage 3B · Distribution. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^FTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 31/100
Current Relative Strength: 7.07
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +10.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +10.5%
Technology regime cohort: 33th percentile9 in cohort

Test MWE trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.90×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.76×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore MWE Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity GBP 0.6327falling

Slow Activity GBP 0.6648falling

Trend Reference GBP 0.6544-5.3% close margin

Current Fair Value GBP 0.4569+35.7% close margin

Structural low GBP 0.56shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Complete bearish ordering below the Trend Line confirms Downward Expansion; a repaired fast/slow cross and upside acceptance cancel the failure.

Range context +6.2%

Annualized volatility +42.2%

From structural high -21.5%

From structural low +75.6%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^FTSE	Regime survived	Read
Near term	3	+8.1%-1.1% to +27.0%	+66.7%	+33.3%	+10.8%	+33.3%	Too little matched history
Intermediate	2	+10.3%-3.7% to +24.3%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+10.2%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	2	+17.9%-7.4% to +43.2%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+13.3%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	+0.9%-25.6% to +27.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-2.7%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

MWE Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map