Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical

PLCE Stage Analysis

Children’s Place Inc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 1.42Tenure ExtendedBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -87−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 88/100directional strength

Maturity 90/100lifecycle context

Confidence 82/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -84.3%USD 9.03 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	1.42	2.93	-70.43	2619030	Downward Expansion	-87	88
2026-10-02	1.99	3.00	-59.70	396400	Downward Expansion	-74	74
2026-09-25	2.16	3.06	-57.12	814622	Downward Expansion	-69	55
2026-09-18	2.04	3.12	-59.15	2656753	Downward Expansion	-76	53
2026-09-11	2.43	3.20	-51.94	823061	Downward Expansion	-63	40
2026-09-04	2.81	3.25	-45.99	1286209	Downward Expansion	-57	40
2026-08-28	2.47	3.30	-53.06	935266	Downward Expansion	-62	49
2026-08-21	2.49	3.35	-53.15	1453203	Downward Expansion	-60	44
2026-08-14	2.44	3.41	-55.74	865125	Downward Expansion	-65	59
2026-08-07	2.69	3.48	-51.22	719574	Downward Expansion	-61	58
2026-07-31	2.44	3.55	-53.96	553780	Downward Expansion	-70	66
2026-07-24	2.41	3.61	-54.80	2162618	Downward Expansion	-75	68
2026-07-17	2.96	3.66	-46.19	832455	Downward Expansion	-60	60
2026-07-10	2.99	3.71	-48.52	1352175	Downward Expansion	-59	53
2026-07-03	2.90	3.86	-49.76	1551851	Downward Expansion	-60	46
2026-06-26	2.83	4.02	-51.10	1685997	Downward Expansion	-63	34
2026-06-19	3.44	4.19	-43.78	1602333	Downward Expansion	-34	16
2026-06-12	3.48	4.32	-41.98	1906295	Downward Expansion	-34	16
2026-06-05	3.52	4.49	-40.34	3933923	Downward Expansion	-34	16
2026-05-29	4.18	4.66	-33.56	10274527	Downward Expansion	-27	18
2026-05-22	3.40	4.76	-45.15	1078689	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2026-05-15	3.24	4.94	-47.85	697644	Downward Expansion	-63	49
2026-05-08	3.25	5.07	-48.68	1285399	Downward Expansion	-66	50
2026-05-01	3.26	5.20	-46.52	890178	Downward Expansion	-67	48
2026-04-24	3.37	5.33	-44.55	1256360	Downward Expansion	-67	50
2026-04-17	3.51	5.45	-41.74	5669967	Downward Expansion	-64	55
2026-04-10	3.97	5.54	-31.11	2581657	Downward Expansion	-66	75
2026-04-03	3.32	5.64	-40.84	889825	Downward Expansion	-70	86
2026-03-27	3.15	5.71	-42.86	924644	Downward Expansion	-80	91
2026-03-20	3.33	5.78	-43.00	1411463	Downward Expansion	-82	91
2026-03-13	3.62	5.82	-40.70	1762838	Downward Expansion	-71	69
2026-03-06	3.77	5.84	-40.14	1802847	Downward Expansion	-71	68
2026-02-27	4.00	5.86	-38.40	686436	Downward Expansion	-67	65
2026-02-20	4.39	5.88	-33.74	742129	Downward Expansion	-62	62
2026-02-13	4.01	5.92	-39.85	1264513	Downward Expansion	-66	65
2026-02-06	4.16	5.96	-39.60	1264837	Rotation Down	-65	62
2026-01-30	4.03	5.98	-43.82	1144092	Rotation Down	-41	51
2026-01-23	4.37	6.01	-40.39	1191120	Rotation Down	-37	58
2026-01-16	4.52	6.01	-39.46	1753688	Rotation Down	-26	61
2026-01-09	4.82	5.99	-37.26	2841203	Rotation Down	-26	60
2026-01-02	4.13	5.96	-46.15	1674299	Rotation Down	-36	60
2025-12-26	4.03	6.06	-49.49	2963767	Deceleration	-38	38
2025-12-19	4.35	6.12	-45.99	9499435	Deceleration	-2	12
2025-12-12	7.49	6.17	-8.21	1555924	Deceleration	38	22
2025-12-05	7.76	6.12	-7.82	1720473	Upward Expansion	51	31
2025-11-28	7.92	6.06	-6.33	1610702	Upward Expansion	55	38
2025-11-21	7.38	5.97	-10.74	1802353	Upward Expansion	57	40
2025-11-14	8.53	5.90	-2.62	2056311	Upward Expansion	69	62
2025-11-07	8.61	5.80	-3.70	5182554	Upward Expansion	74	61
2025-10-31	7.17	5.74	-23.79	1970338	Upward Expansion	63	56
2025-10-24	8.69	5.73	-7.93	2326739	Rotation Up	84	78
2025-10-17	7.27	5.73	-22.21	3932784	Rotation Up	40	54
2025-10-10	7.11	5.79	-23.19	2210234	Rotation Up	40	59
2025-10-03	7.18	5.83	-25.64	2518292	Rotation Up	45	64
2025-09-26	6.80	5.85	-30.32	2734512	Rotation Up	31	49
2025-09-19	6.36	5.90	-36.88	4875018	Balance	23	31
2025-09-12	6.98	5.99	-30.89	8860214	Balance	15	22
2025-09-05	5.44	6.08	-46.28	3260438	Downward Expansion	-33	18
2025-08-29	5.07	6.24	-49.54	2926404	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2025-08-22	4.50	6.39	-55.49	2292777	Downward Expansion	-58	42
2025-08-15	4.48	6.59	-56.36	2418719	Downward Expansion	-58	40
2025-08-08	4.40	6.79	-57.20	1649958	Downward Expansion	-51	34
2025-08-01	4.54	6.98	-54.60	2385412	Downward Expansion	-49	31
2025-07-25	5.44	7.20	-47.27	10092540	Downward Expansion	-41	28
2025-07-18	5.15	7.38	-50.02	1828780	Downward Expansion	-57	44
2025-07-11	4.98	7.55	-51.40	2182144	Downward Expansion	-61	66
2025-07-04	4.89	7.75	-52.93	2581838	Downward Expansion	-63	73
2025-06-27	4.43	7.98	-57.03	4584113	Downward Expansion	-66	61
2025-06-20	3.89	8.36	-61.06	3248696	Downward Expansion	-77	57
2025-06-13	3.98	8.77	-60.54	14362604	Downward Expansion	-78	51
2025-06-06	6.86	9.10	-33.03	3279198	Downward Expansion	-44	33
2025-05-30	6.08	9.38	-39.95	1124949	Downward Expansion	-58	46
2025-05-23	5.70	9.64	-43.48	1579193	Downward Expansion	-63	54
2025-05-16	6.15	9.84	-41.49	2022323	Downward Expansion	-64	58
2025-05-09	5.71	10.02	-42.78	3079294	Downward Expansion	-67	80
2025-05-02	5.20	10.29	-48.62	2771666	Downward Expansion	-74	82
2025-04-25	5.37	10.62	-45.49	2379231	Downward Expansion	-77	81
2025-04-18	5.71	11.01	-38.61	3206637	Downward Expansion	-80	70
2025-04-11	6.78	11.32	-29.23	3016643	Downward Expansion	-74	56
2025-04-04	6.87	11.58	-23.11	2584699	Downward Expansion	-78	58
2025-03-28	8.72	11.52	-12.28	960756	Downward Expansion	-61	65
2025-03-21	8.80	11.42	-14.13	1902805	Downward Expansion	-64	74
2025-03-14	8.37	11.34	-18.87	2159751	Downward Expansion	-67	77
2025-03-07	7.94	11.27	-25.78	1668961	Downward Expansion	-75	75
2025-02-28	8.34	11.25	-25.87	1505951	Rotation Down	-44	52
2025-02-21	9.01	11.22	-24.32	1494847	Rotation Down	-40	44
2025-02-14	9.73	11.18	-22.08	1397372	Rotation Down	-34	32
2025-02-07	10.02	11.11	-20.74	3176016	Rotation Down	-31	28
2025-01-31	9.79	11.08	-23.02	1917933	Rotation Down	-26	30
2025-01-24	10.38	11.01	-21.46	884824	Rotation Down	-20	28
2025-01-17	10.35	10.94	-22.83	1075488	Rotation Down	-21	38
2025-01-10	10.38	10.86	-22.28	1009854	Deceleration	-22	36
2025-01-03	10.98	10.79	-21.39	1700555	Deceleration	2	24
2024-12-27	10.95	10.76	-23.94	1785037	Balance	3	20
2024-12-20	10.26	10.80	-29.85	2837815	Balance	3	12
2024-12-13	10.83	10.90	-29.44	3380285	Upward Expansion	27	14
2024-12-06	11.81	10.95	-24.33	3027153	Upward Expansion	50	29
2024-11-29	15.92	10.92	2.97	753999	Upward Expansion	63	48
2024-11-22	16.10	10.65	3.05	1572764	Upward Expansion	66	46
2024-11-15	14.04	10.35	-9.61	1227738	Deceleration	46	31
2024-11-08	15.00	10.16	-7.95	1797052	Deceleration	52	30
2024-11-01	14.07	9.92	-10.85	2055081	Deceleration	49	28
2024-10-25	11.52	9.73	-30.13	1698519	Upward Expansion	54	35
2024-10-18	11.76	9.73	-30.75	5133996	Upward Expansion	62	60
2024-10-11	13.72	9.76	-21.57	2636919	Upward Expansion	64	81
2024-10-04	15.01	9.74	-14.86	5103413	Rotation Up	65	63
2024-09-27	17.02	9.75	-5.14	9126435	Rotation Up	56	64
2024-09-20	15.17	9.82	-16.36	20899458	Rotation Up	41	41
2024-09-13	14.52	9.99	-20.40	99397605	Rotation Up	-3	8
2024-09-06	5.08	10.48	-71.02	1307286	Downward Expansion	-80	85
2024-08-30	5.70	10.72	-70.11	1676302	Downward Expansion	-74	73
2024-08-23	6.38	11.25	-67.76	1483906	Downward Expansion	-69	65
2024-08-16	6.43	11.86	-68.06	2379335	Downward Expansion	-68	51
2024-08-09	7.22	12.38	-63.24	1508290	Downward Expansion	-63	46
2024-08-02	7.32	12.84	-63.48	1744218	Downward Expansion	-63	42
2024-07-26	7.87	13.29	-63.02	2619665	Downward Expansion	-60	43
2024-07-19	7.58	13.81	-66.18	2830368	Downward Expansion	-65	47
2024-07-12	9.24	14.34	-61.36	2827414	Downward Expansion	-60	51
2024-07-05	7.72	14.80	-68.47	2110810	Downward Expansion	-66	67
2024-06-28	8.14	15.30	-66.32	5430439	Downward Expansion	-64	52
2024-06-21	7.96	15.80	-67.66	5776099	Downward Expansion	-68	47
2024-06-14	8.27	16.21	-66.85	3458162	Downward Expansion	-57	34
2024-06-07	10.14	16.57	-58.51	5168948	Downward Expansion	-39	27
2024-05-31	12.25	17.04	-49.04	3573291	Downward Expansion	-34	30
2024-05-24	13.34	17.56	-45.73	7389603	Downward Expansion	-41	27
2024-05-17	12.18	18.01	-50.14	6730236	Downward Expansion	-49	45
2024-05-10	10.99	18.56	-54.70	5575658	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2024-05-03	7.78	18.99	-68.09	3250620	Downward Expansion	-62	52
2024-04-26	7.09	19.53	-71.26	3296114	Downward Expansion	-68	64
2024-04-19	8.25	20.19	-66.10	18659073	Downward Expansion	-67	66
2024-04-12	7.76	20.77	-70.64	4735688	Downward Expansion	-72	74
2024-04-05	8.46	21.33	-68.95	3855229	Downward Expansion	-75	74
2024-03-29	11.54	21.81	-59.28	2157719	Downward Expansion	-69	71
2024-03-22	12.68	22.35	-56.80	2196712	Downward Expansion	-67	67
2024-03-15	13.01	22.81	-55.54	2987985	Downward Expansion	-70	60
2024-03-08	15.51	23.29	-49.00	2263849	Downward Expansion	-61	29
2024-03-01	18.87	23.64	-40.66	3869686	Downward Expansion	-52	27
2024-02-23	20.38	24.05	-36.41	3939055	Downward Expansion	-47	24
2024-02-16	29.12	24.39	-10.11	39648685	Downward Expansion	-10	7
2024-02-09	12.50	24.35	-62.79	14641007	Downward Expansion	-81	60
2024-02-02	21.39	24.83	-36.96	2425761	Downward Expansion	-51	25
2024-01-26	24.77	25.00	-27.92	2094762	Downward Expansion	-29	18
2024-01-19	21.94	24.95	-37.09	1746637	Downward Expansion	-50	40
2024-01-12	21.06	24.92	-39.32	1748802	Balance	-55	33
2024-01-05	21.02	24.89	-38.70	1630671	Balance	-45	23
2023-12-29	23.22	24.78	-35.60	1405494	Balance	-34	17
2023-12-22	23.51	24.53	-35.72	2065837	Balance	-18	12
2023-12-15	23.11	24.33	-37.35	2582396	Rotation Down	-23	27
2023-12-08	22.63	24.33	-37.57	2380831	Rotation Down	-26	45
2023-12-01	23.37	24.45	-36.03	3817428	Rotation Down	-24	41
2023-11-24	20.15	24.56	-45.48	5387564	Balance	-33	45
2023-11-17	19.11	24.88	-48.71	8453987	Balance	-29	30
2023-11-10	24.35	25.33	-34.52	2547208	Balance	23	15
2023-11-03	27.79	25.56	-24.10	1902246	Balance	40	26
2023-10-27	26.81	25.91	-23.06	2313674	Balance	5	6
2023-10-20	28.77	26.35	-20.53	2405344	Balance	-4	4

Price vs TrendBelow-51.5%

Trend directionFalling-17.6%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-84.3%

Fair Value directionMoving away-11.3%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-70.4%

Relative strength directionWeakening-21.9%

Price momentumNegative-64.2%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.43×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-87 / ±100

-24.3 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

88 /100

+48.1 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

PLCE Directional State ↗ PLCE Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance5

Rotation Up10

Upward Expansion20

Deceleration37

Rotation Down81

Downward Expansion95

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 9%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 8%Deceleration 5%Rotation Down 10%Downward Expansion 62%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-02-13	2026-10-09	Extended	-64.6%
Rotation Down	2026-01-02	2026-02-06	Developing	+0.7%
Deceleration	2025-12-12	2025-12-26	New	-46.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-10-31	2025-12-05	Developing	+8.2%
Rotation Up	2025-09-26	2025-10-24	Developing	+27.8%
Balance	2025-09-12	2025-09-19	New	-8.9%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-07	2025-09-05	Extended	-31.5%
Rotation Down	2025-01-17	2025-02-28	Developing	-19.5%
Deceleration	2025-01-03	2025-01-10	New	-5.5%
Balance	2024-12-20	2024-12-27	New	+6.7%
Upward Expansion	2024-11-22	2024-12-13	New	-32.7%
Deceleration	2024-11-01	2024-11-15	New	-0.2%
Upward Expansion	2024-10-11	2024-10-25	New	-16.0%
Rotation Up	2024-09-13	2024-10-04	New	+3.4%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing54

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution16

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 98/100
Current Relative Strength: -70.43
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -64.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -87.2%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 81th percentile94 in cohort

Test PLCE trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.36×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.43×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore PLCE Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 1.87falling

Slow Activity USD 2.65falling

Trend Reference USD 2.93-51.5% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 9.03-84.3% close margin

Structural low USD 1.34shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +30.1%

Annualized volatility +83.2%

From structural high -85.1%

From structural low +6.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	40	-8.7%-55.3% to +198.6%	+32.5%	+67.5%	-6.4%	+87.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	14	-16.4%-62.4% to +55.0%	+28.6%	+71.4%	-17.9%	+71.4%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	8	-28.1%-65.4% to +36.5%	+25.0%	+75.0%	-28.9%	+62.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-45.7%-70.9% to -33.2%	+0.0%	+100.0%	-60.9%	+75.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

PLCE Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map