Weekly structural research · NYSE · Energy

RRC Stage Analysis

Range Resources Corp

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 40.89Tenure NewBenchmark SPY

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Balance · Upper balance after advance

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction -22−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 18/100directional strength

Maturity 27/100lifecycle context

Confidence 58/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance -16.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +14.8%USD 35.61 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	40.89	40.25	-4.61	14593141	Balance	-22	18
2026-10-02	38.23	40.34	-9.88	13524817	Balance	-40	25
2026-09-25	38.61	40.44	-9.42	13441310	Balance	-30	14
2026-09-18	38.44	40.52	-8.90	17758258	Rotation Up	-15	16
2026-09-11	41.15	40.56	-2.62	7929327	Rotation Up	20	39
2026-09-04	41.90	40.43	-1.60	11795658	Rotation Up	29	35
2026-08-28	41.36	40.25	-2.73	9549615	Balance	24	25
2026-08-21	40.96	40.12	-3.19	13097701	Balance	3	16
2026-08-14	40.22	39.96	-6.17	9722456	Rotation Down	-18	20
2026-08-07	38.19	39.76	-10.84	12076587	Rotation Down	-33	20
2026-07-31	40.14	39.60	-3.15	15977358	Rotation Down	-7	13
2026-07-24	38.97	39.43	-5.06	22764488	Rotation Down	-29	29
2026-07-17	36.76	39.31	-11.06	13626105	Rotation Down	-34	52
2026-07-10	35.49	39.23	-15.80	13055352	Rotation Down	-49	62
2026-07-03	37.81	39.25	-9.52	13006983	Rotation Down	-25	50
2026-06-26	37.57	39.30	-8.49	19976649	Rotation Down	-26	52
2026-06-19	36.39	39.35	-13.93	17713992	Deceleration	-35	51
2026-06-12	38.59	39.40	-8.63	13142079	Deceleration	-21	27
2026-06-05	39.00	39.38	-7.67	14280605	Deceleration	1	12
2026-05-29	38.85	39.32	-10.66	11663600	Deceleration	1	10
2026-05-22	40.94	39.21	-4.90	10641717	Deceleration	30	16
2026-05-15	42.35	39.09	-1.21	10452716	Deceleration	32	17
2026-05-08	40.42	38.86	-5.84	13232543	Deceleration	32	20
2026-05-01	42.52	38.72	0.98	13989213	Deceleration	37	21
2026-04-24	42.25	38.57	1.20	26227130	Upward Expansion	41	25
2026-04-17	41.60	38.40	0.05	16757644	Upward Expansion	57	42
2026-04-10	42.73	38.16	7.18	18073420	Upward Expansion	63	53
2026-04-03	43.34	37.90	12.63	13767920	Upward Expansion	66	76
2026-03-27	47.53	37.60	27.75	17936757	Upward Expansion	88	90
2026-03-20	44.36	37.15	16.74	20375473	Upward Expansion	80	84
2026-03-13	43.40	36.77	12.08	18007590	Upward Expansion	82	82
2026-03-06	41.29	36.46	4.94	20759740	Upward Expansion	74	73
2026-02-27	41.08	36.23	2.35	19088459	Upward Expansion	76	67
2026-02-20	39.52	36.03	-2.11	11214143	Balance	67	45
2026-02-13	37.39	35.88	-6.55	16304493	Balance	41	27
2026-02-06	36.39	35.90	-10.45	16657494	Balance	12	10
2026-01-30	37.67	35.95	-7.77	16245963	Balance	15	10
2026-01-23	36.16	35.97	-11.30	13770288	Downward Expansion	-15	27
2026-01-16	34.24	36.12	-16.67	16066677	Downward Expansion	-50	54
2026-01-09	33.29	36.41	-19.77	17719144	Balance	-58	53
2026-01-02	35.13	36.67	-14.47	9016898	Balance	-42	33
2025-12-26	35.15	36.76	-15.55	7221793	Balance	-30	21
2025-12-19	34.34	36.84	-16.50	20142882	Balance	-12	6
2025-12-12	36.23	37.00	-11.95	21032094	Rotation Up	20	20
2025-12-05	39.31	37.11	-5.18	15405273	Rotation Up	35	46
2025-11-28	39.20	37.05	-5.06	9712167	Balance	29	40
2025-11-21	37.80	36.89	-5.12	15270371	Balance	15	18
2025-11-14	37.95	36.78	-6.64	13498582	Balance	18	22
2025-11-07	37.30	36.64	-8.11	12099778	Balance	-4	6
2025-10-31	35.29	36.50	-14.47	19092633	Balance	-20	10
2025-10-24	37.34	36.42	-8.85	15439626	Balance	15	18
2025-10-17	35.71	36.47	-11.13	13502872	Downward Expansion	-22	21
2025-10-10	36.09	36.59	-8.51	14465571	Downward Expansion	-21	21
2025-10-03	37.94	36.65	-6.12	16225034	Downward Expansion	-7	17
2025-09-26	37.37	36.54	-6.47	15461788	Downward Expansion	-23	16
2025-09-19	34.25	36.52	-14.46	19121754	Downward Expansion	-47	33
2025-09-12	35.04	36.64	-11.45	16377709	Downward Expansion	-58	43
2025-09-05	34.36	36.74	-11.76	10918851	Downward Expansion	-62	62
2025-08-29	33.93	36.82	-12.52	12576429	Downward Expansion	-64	71
2025-08-22	33.02	36.91	-14.91	12839652	Rotation Down	-74	76
2025-08-15	34.04	37.13	-12.10	11409492	Rotation Down	-42	61
2025-08-08	34.24	37.34	-10.77	9905291	Balance	-41	49
2025-08-01	35.26	37.45	-5.88	11571089	Balance	-22	29
2025-07-25	35.05	37.46	-8.62	22701352	Balance	-14	22
2025-07-18	37.90	37.43	0.22	12683055	Upward Expansion	36	19
2025-07-11	37.88	37.26	0.84	14092676	Upward Expansion	45	31
2025-07-04	38.24	37.16	1.48	11023622	Upward Expansion	58	58
2025-06-27	40.80	36.99	10.15	10549890	Upward Expansion	60	62
2025-06-20	42.80	36.80	19.76	12295618	Upward Expansion	75	66
2025-06-13	40.98	36.55	14.88	16407715	Upward Expansion	68	57
2025-06-06	37.93	36.28	6.09	14483047	Deceleration	52	46
2025-05-30	37.58	36.09	6.72	11049058	Deceleration	52	37
2025-05-23	39.08	35.82	12.72	10583096	Deceleration	48	34
2025-05-16	39.64	35.54	11.46	17079011	Deceleration	48	27
2025-05-09	37.41	35.20	10.60	11389378	Deceleration	19	12
2025-05-02	34.59	34.98	1.80	12968054	Deceleration	-15	34
2025-04-25	34.37	34.89	3.85	19697532	Deceleration	-15	26
2025-04-18	33.77	34.75	6.37	10967227	Deceleration	-16	22
2025-04-11	32.99	34.63	2.24	23223857	Deceleration	-2	8
2025-04-04	33.05	34.48	7.95	16470736	Deceleration	4	7
2025-03-28	38.72	34.30	14.96	12673075	Deceleration	56	33
2025-03-21	39.40	33.99	15.42	10823907	Deceleration	64	32
2025-03-14	37.86	33.67	11.70	12538286	Deceleration	42	22
2025-03-07	34.72	33.41	0.26	19593220	Deceleration	32	19
2025-02-28	36.59	33.22	2.30	22517623	Deceleration	44	30
2025-02-21	37.93	32.95	5.02	8499233	Upward Expansion	59	39
2025-02-14	38.12	32.73	3.93	11578983	Upward Expansion	63	48
2025-02-07	36.72	32.53	1.66	11437257	Upward Expansion	63	65
2025-01-31	36.51	32.44	1.10	13982264	Upward Expansion	66	80
2025-01-24	39.60	32.33	8.64	9763818	Upward Expansion	78	88
2025-01-17	40.48	32.10	13.17	13923451	Upward Expansion	89	87
2025-01-10	37.62	31.85	8.52	11345975	Upward Expansion	79	58
2025-01-03	35.40	31.74	0.14	11770941	Upward Expansion	69	44
2024-12-27	34.29	31.75	-3.65	5019152	Rotation Up	60	37
2024-12-20	32.71	31.81	-7.68	13380940	Rotation Up	31	33
2024-12-13	34.84	31.89	-3.71	9723686	Rotation Up	42	63
2024-12-06	33.19	31.96	-8.97	9126711	Rotation Up	34	61
2024-11-29	35.15	32.01	-3.04	8712614	Rotation Up	38	63
2024-11-22	35.13	32.00	-2.33	11671840	Balance	38	52
2024-11-15	32.89	32.05	-7.44	11150214	Balance	5	15
2024-11-08	32.48	32.10	-10.97	8367614	Balance	-1	4
2024-11-01	29.33	32.19	-16.31	11795427	Downward Expansion	-43	23
2024-10-25	30.81	32.36	-14.18	17434712	Downward Expansion	-28	18
2024-10-18	29.30	32.46	-19.93	12305701	Downward Expansion	-39	23
2024-10-11	30.90	32.56	-15.60	9806889	Downward Expansion	-30	22
2024-10-04	31.78	32.58	-12.92	11053262	Downward Expansion	-34	20
2024-09-27	30.23	32.60	-17.44	11362846	Downward Expansion	-47	37
2024-09-20	30.10	32.63	-17.87	10311646	Downward Expansion	-59	47
2024-09-13	28.55	32.64	-21.38	9323745	Downward Expansion	-64	59
2024-09-06	27.65	32.69	-21.28	7864594	Downward Expansion	-76	67
2024-08-30	29.31	32.68	-20.50	7210731	Rotation Down	-64	65
2024-08-23	29.97	32.64	-18.97	7487449	Rotation Down	-36	64
2024-08-16	29.92	32.62	-18.35	8342347	Rotation Down	-36	64
2024-08-09	29.25	32.58	-17.45	12266708	Rotation Down	-45	65
2024-08-02	28.37	32.61	-20.29	10214100	Rotation Down	-46	57
2024-07-26	31.17	32.67	-14.76	15250122	Deceleration	-30	35
2024-07-19	32.19	32.62	-12.95	11224646	Deceleration	-4	14
2024-07-12	34.15	32.55	-9.63	7684831	Deceleration	7	16
2024-07-05	33.00	32.38	-11.86	7211760	Deceleration	5	17
2024-06-28	32.88	32.25	-10.60	14987418	Deceleration	17	17
2024-06-21	32.83	32.21	-10.93	13245298	Deceleration	27	15
2024-06-14	34.57	32.20	-5.69	10267943	Upward Expansion	42	28
2024-06-07	35.52	32.15	-1.51	10364349	Upward Expansion	56	42
2024-05-31	36.12	32.03	1.45	8211210	Upward Expansion	62	46
2024-05-24	35.01	32.03	-1.93	13896979	Upward Expansion	58	45
2024-05-17	36.97	31.99	3.50	11033459	Upward Expansion	76	57
2024-05-10	34.77	31.88	-1.03	12539780	Upward Expansion	61	50
2024-05-03	34.94	31.85	1.44	10161318	Upward Expansion	65	68
2024-04-26	36.51	31.76	6.86	17640017	Rotation Up	82	84
2024-04-19	34.51	31.60	3.97	9102839	Rotation Up	40	68
2024-04-12	35.24	31.42	3.16	9732386	Rotation Up	54	72
2024-04-05	34.28	31.29	-1.00	11008651	Rotation Up	41	63
2024-03-29	33.69	31.20	-3.48	8108972	Rotation Up	39	59
2024-03-22	32.50	31.15	-6.55	10339787	Rotation Up	29	45
2024-03-15	31.35	31.08	-7.78	16291181	Balance	14	28
2024-03-08	32.32	31.08	-4.89	10184752	Balance	8	23
2024-03-01	31.37	31.05	-7.94	11442814	Downward Expansion	-22	15
2024-02-23	30.42	31.06	-10.03	17837311	Downward Expansion	-44	29
2024-02-16	30.02	31.06	-10.00	17575288	Downward Expansion	-58	55
2024-02-09	27.32	31.03	-18.26	15803037	Downward Expansion	-75	75
2024-02-02	28.11	31.04	-14.90	12081747	Downward Expansion	-67	53
2024-01-26	29.18	31.02	-10.42	9846621	Deceleration	-30	26
2024-01-19	28.99	31.00	-10.11	10621023	Deceleration	-34	27
2024-01-12	30.12	30.95	-5.62	12700889	Rotation Down	-26	25
2024-01-05	30.10	30.87	-3.88	9548796	Rotation Down	-20	39
2023-12-29	29.71	30.78	-6.49	6426026	Rotation Down	-21	42
2023-12-22	29.91	30.70	-5.59	10308067	Deceleration	-19	33
2023-12-15	29.21	30.64	-7.08	19749609	Deceleration	-24	27
2023-12-08	28.91	30.61	-5.95	15257926	Deceleration	3	14
2023-12-01	31.86	30.50	3.89	13840524	Deceleration	33	20
2023-11-24	32.57	30.25	7.25	10365902	Upward Expansion	41	27
2023-11-17	32.83	30.02	9.15	13049229	Upward Expansion	55	37
2023-11-10	32.05	29.75	9.12	13590937	Upward Expansion	60	49
2023-11-03	36.25	29.56	25.15	14099310	Upward Expansion	82	80
2023-10-27	33.79	29.20	23.88	14953286	Upward Expansion	66	66
2023-10-20	33.49	28.93	20.20	13652140	Upward Expansion	66	59

Price vs TrendAbove+1.6%

Trend directionRising+1.6%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+14.8%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+13.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-4.6%

Relative strength directionImproving+11.2%

Price momentumNegative-4.3%

Volume balanceDemand-led2.43×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-22 / ±100

-42.2 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

18 /100

-21.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

RRC Directional State ↗ RRC Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance47

Rotation Up15

Upward Expansion12

Deceleration60

Rotation Down51

Downward Expansion66

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 17%Rotation Up 10%Upward Expansion 23%Deceleration 22%Rotation Down 12%Downward Expansion 15%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Balance	2026-09-25	2026-10-09	New	+5.9%
Rotation Up	2026-09-04	2026-09-18	New	-8.3%
Balance	2026-08-21	2026-08-28	New	+1.0%
Rotation Down	2026-06-26	2026-08-14	Developing	+7.1%
Deceleration	2026-05-01	2026-06-19	Developing	-14.4%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-27	2026-04-24	Developing	+2.9%
Balance	2026-01-30	2026-02-20	New	+4.9%
Downward Expansion	2026-01-16	2026-01-23	New	+5.6%
Balance	2025-12-19	2026-01-09	New	-3.1%
Rotation Up	2025-12-05	2025-12-12	New	-7.8%
Balance	2025-10-24	2025-11-28	Developing	+5.0%
Downward Expansion	2025-08-29	2025-10-17	Developing	+5.2%
Rotation Down	2025-08-15	2025-08-22	New	-3.0%
Balance	2025-07-25	2025-08-08	New	-2.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing61

Stage 2 · Advancing57

Stage 3 · Distribution51

Stage 4 · Declining43

Legacy result: Stage 1 · Stage 1C · Breakout watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 55/100
Current Relative Strength: -4.61
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -4.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -19.2%
Energy regime cohort: 38th percentile39 in cohort

Test RRC trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.05×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.43×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore RRC Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 39.42falling

Slow Activity USD 39.55falling

Trend Reference USD 40.25+1.6% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 35.61+14.8% close margin

Structural low USD 34.87shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +6.3%

Annualized volatility +28.0%

From structural high -15.1%

From structural low +25.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs SPY	Regime survived	Read
Near term	15	+3.4%-9.2% to +30.3%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+3.5%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	9	+6.5%-3.2% to +72.2%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+5.2%	+22.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	+6.6%-14.5% to +68.7%	+71.4%	+71.4%	-2.0%	+14.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	+33.5%+14.8% to +51.4%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+7.8%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

RRC Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map