Weekly structural research · VIE · Basic Materials

CTVA Stage Analysis

Corteva, Inc.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close EUR 11.95Tenure NewBenchmark ^ATX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -90−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 96/100directional strength

Maturity 26/100lifecycle context

Confidence 78/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -78.6%EUR 55.71 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	11.95	64.43	-83.05	0	Downward Expansion	-90	96
2026-10-02	11.02	66.32	-85.02	0	Downward Expansion	-92	97
2026-09-25	10.27	68.15	-86.72	26	Downward Expansion	-89	92
2026-09-18	70.30	70.01	-8.88	0	Deceleration	33	25
2026-09-11	72.10	69.79	-8.12	0	Deceleration	46	29
2026-09-04	75.30	69.49	-4.11	0	Deceleration	52	22
2026-08-28	71.02	69.02	-8.93	0	Deceleration	-0	23
2026-08-21	69.38	68.69	-9.43	3	Deceleration	-3	27
2026-08-14	66.07	68.40	-15.39	0	Upward Expansion	2	18
2026-08-07	66.59	68.18	-14.08	0	Upward Expansion	21	20
2026-07-31	70.40	67.95	-6.83	0	Upward Expansion	64	64
2026-07-24	77.92	67.50	2.70	0	Upward Expansion	84	92
2026-07-17	76.46	66.79	1.99	0	Upward Expansion	81	88
2026-07-10	74.10	66.12	-3.26	0	Upward Expansion	73	78
2026-07-03	75.28	65.52	-3.33	0	Deceleration	81	65
2026-06-26	71.98	64.92	-5.75	0	Deceleration	57	27
2026-06-19	68.52	64.42	-12.37	0	Deceleration	22	15
2026-06-12	65.20	64.02	-13.60	0	Deceleration	9	11
2026-06-05	67.06	63.73	-9.14	0	Deceleration	39	26
2026-05-29	69.24	63.32	-7.61	0	Deceleration	53	35
2026-05-22	68.34	62.77	-6.63	0	Deceleration	42	33
2026-05-15	70.76	62.30	-1.65	0	Deceleration	56	38
2026-05-08	68.08	61.68	-5.98	239	Deceleration	42	29
2026-05-01	68.92	61.19	-3.68	0	Upward Expansion	48	41
2026-04-24	67.27	60.67	-5.51	0	Upward Expansion	62	56
2026-04-17	67.48	60.33	-8.64	4	Upward Expansion	65	64
2026-04-10	71.31	60.07	-1.35	8	Upward Expansion	71	71
2026-04-03	72.90	59.74	7.21	0	Upward Expansion	88	86
2026-03-27	71.10	59.32	8.24	60	Upward Expansion	87	81
2026-03-20	66.45	59.05	2.68	0	Upward Expansion	68	83
2026-03-13	68.84	58.89	4.94	0	Upward Expansion	90	95
2026-03-06	65.73	58.61	-2.33	4	Upward Expansion	79	90
2026-02-27	66.07	58.41	-7.06	0	Upward Expansion	89	93
2026-02-20	63.85	58.23	-12.21	0	Rotation Up	82	88
2026-02-13	63.01	58.15	-11.01	12	Rotation Up	56	76
2026-02-06	61.12	58.11	-14.78	6	Rotation Up	44	69
2026-01-30	61.32	58.15	-14.18	0	Rotation Up	41	67
2026-01-23	60.49	58.24	-14.70	0	Rotation Up	37	59
2026-01-16	59.60	58.32	-15.78	0	Balance	31	46
2026-01-09	59.63	58.44	-15.29	0	Balance	14	21
2026-01-02	57.11	58.53	-18.56	0	Balance	-16	10
2025-12-26	56.35	58.70	-18.52	0	Balance	-19	12
2025-12-19	56.62	58.84	-18.43	19	Balance	-28	18
2025-12-12	56.10	58.94	-17.62	0	Downward Expansion	-28	20
2025-12-05	57.19	59.10	-16.20	0	Downward Expansion	-30	25
2025-11-28	56.80	59.15	-16.09	0	Downward Expansion	-35	24
2025-11-21	56.78	59.06	-12.89	0	Downward Expansion	-41	27
2025-11-14	56.51	58.94	-14.97	78	Downward Expansion	-48	37
2025-11-07	54.54	58.78	-16.58	62	Downward Expansion	-63	58
2025-10-31	52.83	58.64	-20.51	0	Rotation Down	-69	80
2025-10-24	54.24	58.57	-16.45	0	Rotation Down	-40	73
2025-10-17	52.28	58.61	-18.36	0	Rotation Down	-52	78
2025-10-10	53.34	58.74	-18.65	0	Rotation Down	-52	73
2025-10-03	53.24	58.76	-20.64	217	Deceleration	-45	60
2025-09-26	57.17	58.82	-13.28	0	Deceleration	-10	19
2025-09-19	59.53	58.91	-9.44	0	Deceleration	13	9
2025-09-12	61.49	58.91	-6.99	0	Deceleration	38	26
2025-09-05	60.41	58.85	-7.69	2	Deceleration	36	23
2025-08-29	62.81	58.83	-4.43	0	Deceleration	61	31
2025-08-22	61.72	58.81	-9.44	0	Deceleration	37	23
2025-08-15	60.53	58.75	-12.30	0	Deceleration	30	24
2025-08-08	59.63	58.71	-11.39	0	Deceleration	34	26
2025-08-01	60.72	58.53	-4.47	0	Upward Expansion	41	26
2025-07-25	61.44	58.30	-5.76	0	Upward Expansion	49	40
2025-07-18	61.65	58.06	-3.57	0	Upward Expansion	61	50
2025-07-11	62.33	57.82	-2.39	0	Upward Expansion	65	72
2025-07-04	64.28	57.60	3.10	0	Upward Expansion	77	80
2025-06-27	62.75	57.33	0.13	0	Upward Expansion	68	73
2025-06-20	63.21	57.17	2.89	241	Upward Expansion	75	78
2025-06-13	62.23	56.97	1.00	0	Upward Expansion	72	76
2025-06-06	62.14	56.64	-1.12	0	Rotation Up	74	77
2025-05-30	60.59	56.37	-3.03	0	Rotation Up	57	51
2025-05-23	59.78	56.19	-3.34	0	Rotation Up	35	38
2025-05-16	60.71	56.04	-3.01	20	Rotation Down	21	28
2025-05-09	58.94	55.80	-3.03	566	Rotation Down	-14	12
2025-05-02	53.95	55.54	-7.22	0	Rotation Down	-59	42
2025-04-25	53.22	55.48	-7.31	0	Rotation Down	-35	56
2025-04-18	51.66	55.43	-6.81	0	Rotation Down	-39	62
2025-04-11	50.46	55.39	-4.18	193	Rotation Down	-40	57
2025-04-04	50.62	55.36	-5.12	297	Deceleration	-43	43
2025-03-28	55.45	55.29	-6.46	0	Deceleration	1	24
2025-03-21	56.07	55.12	-7.48	0	Deceleration	18	26
2025-03-14	53.96	54.87	-11.89	182	Deceleration	3	16
2025-03-07	55.06	54.66	-10.17	0	Upward Expansion	25	21
2025-02-28	60.11	54.35	1.23	0	Upward Expansion	63	55
2025-02-21	59.35	53.88	2.40	0	Upward Expansion	63	76
2025-02-14	59.86	53.57	2.42	0	Upward Expansion	63	79
2025-02-07	59.70	53.20	7.54	234	Upward Expansion	64	81
2025-01-31	62.26	52.78	12.76	1	Upward Expansion	82	82
2025-01-24	59.80	52.26	9.16	0	Deceleration	74	60
2025-01-17	59.42	51.92	10.88	0	Deceleration	71	38
2025-01-10	54.33	51.54	5.48	0	Deceleration	30	20
2025-01-03	53.68	51.27	4.65	0	Deceleration	35	19
2024-12-27	54.17	51.12	6.57	0	Upward Expansion	41	28
2024-12-20	54.39	50.96	8.61	0	Upward Expansion	56	44
2024-12-13	55.94	50.81	10.35	0	Upward Expansion	60	58
2024-12-06	55.99	50.63	12.91	0	Upward Expansion	61	52
2024-11-29	58.14	50.52	19.29	0	Upward Expansion	79	59
2024-11-22	57.25	50.30	18.35	190	Upward Expansion	80	56
2024-11-15	52.10	50.06	7.52	0	Upward Expansion	61	51
2024-11-08	54.07	49.96	12.06	1195	Upward Expansion	64	76
2024-11-01	55.18	49.83	15.53	0	Upward Expansion	80	89
2024-10-25	55.23	49.70	14.10	0	Rotation Up	85	84
2024-10-18	53.53	49.60	9.39	190	Rotation Up	52	68
2024-10-11	51.27	49.49	5.04	0	Rotation Up	33	55
2024-10-04	52.16	49.42	6.99	0	Rotation Up	37	57
2024-09-27	51.77	49.31	5.03	0	Balance	34	47
2024-09-20	50.26	49.21	2.79	0	Balance	22	25
2024-09-13	49.75	49.17	1.97	0	Balance	15	20
2024-09-06	48.59	49.16	0.01	0	Balance	-26	18
2024-08-30	50.33	49.15	-0.64	0	Downward Expansion	-13	8
2024-08-23	48.32	49.07	-3.68	200	Downward Expansion	-50	45
2024-08-16	47.65	48.82	-3.58	351	Deceleration	-51	41
2024-08-09	45.87	48.57	-5.64	2345	Deceleration	-39	27
2024-08-02	45.97	48.40	-4.74	0	Deceleration	-40	23
2024-07-26	50.02	48.27	-0.76	0	Deceleration	20	13
2024-07-19	48.85	48.01	-3.31	0	Deceleration	-16	16
2024-07-12	47.01	47.78	-8.08	0	Deceleration	-27	32
2024-07-05	46.85	47.59	-8.70	0	Deceleration	-14	27
2024-06-28	49.52	47.38	-1.34	0	Deceleration	3	21
2024-06-21	47.87	47.10	-4.44	0	Deceleration	-1	24
2024-06-14	46.43	46.89	-6.24	0	Deceleration	-14	25
2024-06-07	49.03	46.74	-4.71	0	Deceleration	33	23
2024-05-31	49.43	46.42	-5.03	0	Upward Expansion	44	35
2024-05-24	49.99	46.28	-5.78	0	Upward Expansion	58	50
2024-05-17	50.36	46.08	-5.52	0	Upward Expansion	60	55
2024-05-10	52.82	45.95	0.46	0	Upward Expansion	82	65
2024-05-03	51.54	45.70	0.44	0	Upward Expansion	75	57
2024-04-26	49.99	45.51	-1.60	0	Upward Expansion	59	48
2024-04-19	49.26	45.41	-2.98	0	Upward Expansion	64	59
2024-04-12	50.12	45.33	-2.13	0	Upward Expansion	66	65
2024-04-05	51.14	45.26	-0.82	0	Upward Expansion	70	67
2024-03-29	52.31	45.04	2.06	0	Upward Expansion	87	73
2024-03-22	50.07	44.83	-1.54	0	Upward Expansion	76	69
2024-03-15	49.39	44.65	-0.66	0	Upward Expansion	71	83
2024-03-08	48.71	44.51	-1.36	0	Rotation Up	67	88
2024-03-01	48.90	44.42	-1.12	0	Rotation Up	39	78
2024-02-23	49.14	44.43	-1.06	0	Rotation Up	40	79
2024-02-16	49.43	44.43	-1.31	0	Rotation Up	50	81
2024-02-09	48.12	44.42	-2.75	0	Rotation Up	45	55
2024-02-02	48.07	44.36	-5.44	0	Rotation Up	1	8
2024-01-26	40.79	44.44	-20.34	0	Downward Expansion	-60	47
2024-01-19	40.20	44.76	-19.37	0	Downward Expansion	-66	45
2024-01-12	40.74	45.12	-20.09	0	Downward Expansion	-53	36
2024-01-05	41.85	45.43	-19.15	0	Downward Expansion	-44	33
2023-12-29	42.24	45.72	-18.98	0	Downward Expansion	-49	41
2023-12-22	42.05	45.98	-19.18	0	Downward Expansion	-62	52
2023-12-15	41.32	46.23	-20.20	0	Downward Expansion	-65	62
2023-12-08	40.45	46.54	-21.25	180	Downward Expansion	-72	73
2023-12-01	41.17	46.87	-20.30	0	Downward Expansion	-70	82
2023-11-24	41.60	47.18	-18.58	0	Downward Expansion	-68	80
2023-11-17	41.93	47.54	-19.02	3	Downward Expansion	-70	79
2023-11-10	39.37	47.94	-22.87	0	Downward Expansion	-90	81
2023-11-03	45.42	48.45	-11.25	207	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2023-10-27	43.82	48.68	-10.30	190	Downward Expansion	-75	54
2023-10-20	46.53	49.00	-5.98	111	Downward Expansion	-52	35

Price vs TrendBelow-81.5%

Trend directionFalling-5.2%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-78.6%

Fair Value directionMoving away-113.8%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-83.0%

Relative strength directionWeakening-79.8%

Price momentumNegative-83.2%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.12×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-90 / ±100

-136.4 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

96 /100

+67.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

CTVA Directional State ↗ CTVA Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance18

Rotation Up13

Upward Expansion27

Deceleration31

Rotation Down84

Downward Expansion95

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 6%Rotation Up 12%Upward Expansion 33%Deceleration 27%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 17%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-09-25	2026-10-09	New	+16.3%
Deceleration	2026-08-21	2026-09-18	Developing	+1.3%
Upward Expansion	2026-07-10	2026-08-14	Developing	-10.8%
Deceleration	2026-05-08	2026-07-03	Developing	+10.6%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-27	2026-05-01	Developing	+4.3%
Rotation Up	2026-01-23	2026-02-20	Developing	+5.6%
Balance	2025-12-19	2026-01-16	Developing	+5.3%
Downward Expansion	2025-11-07	2025-12-12	Developing	+2.9%
Rotation Down	2025-10-10	2025-10-31	New	-0.9%
Deceleration	2025-08-08	2025-10-03	Developing	-10.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-13	2025-08-01	Developing	-2.4%
Rotation Up	2025-05-23	2025-06-06	New	+3.9%
Rotation Down	2025-04-11	2025-05-16	Developing	+20.3%
Deceleration	2025-03-14	2025-04-04	New	-6.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing54

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution20

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4A · Breakdown. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^ATX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 100/100
Current Relative Strength: -83.05
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -83.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -95.8%
Basic Materials regime cohort: 40th percentile15 in cohort

Test CTVA trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.00×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.12×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+62.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore CTVA Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity EUR 23.16falling

Slow Activity EUR 59.69falling

Trend Reference EUR 64.43-81.5% close margin

Current Fair Value EUR 55.71-78.6% close margin

Structural low EUR 10.20shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +63.3%

Annualized volatility +269.3%

From structural high -84.7%

From structural low +17.1%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^ATX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	16	-0.0%-9.0% to +22.9%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-2.1%	+81.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	+2.5%-10.7% to +18.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-3.7%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	+16.1%-19.5% to +24.8%	+75.0%	+25.0%	+0.6%	+25.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	+7.9%-11.9% to +27.7%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-5.7%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

CTVA Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map