Weekly structural research · SHZ · Industrials

000551 Stage Analysis

Create Technology & Science Co.,Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 11.66Tenure DevelopingBenchmark 399001.SZ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -70−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 72/100directional strength

Maturity 28/100lifecycle context

Confidence 94/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +9.4%CNY 10.66 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	11.66	14.44	-7.57	24931174	Downward Expansion	-70	72
2026-09-25	12.14	14.54	-6.82	31378456	Downward Expansion	-64	63
2026-09-18	12.36	14.65	-7.30	52566913	Downward Expansion	-62	61
2026-09-11	11.91	14.73	-9.51	47113080	Downward Expansion	-68	63
2026-09-04	12.14	14.83	-8.11	56586781	Downward Expansion	-68	54
2026-08-28	12.52	14.92	-8.23	11999098	Rotation Down	-66	57
2026-08-21	12.52	15.03	-9.34	14433629	Rotation Down	-41	59
2026-08-14	14.10	15.15	-0.08	19673299	Rotation Down	-22	54
2026-08-07	13.57	15.18	-3.71	18142096	Rotation Down	-22	40
2026-07-31	12.38	15.21	-7.52	22222507	Upward Expansion	-34	39
2026-07-24	12.53	15.37	-7.89	14438171	Upward Expansion	-16	11
2026-07-17	12.94	15.33	-4.54	30490299	Upward Expansion	26	26
2026-07-10	18.65	15.28	25.18	39500409	Upward Expansion	64	75
2026-07-03	20.50	15.03	33.36	62188722	Deceleration	83	71
2026-06-26	18.19	14.71	17.67	66960606	Deceleration	72	35
2026-06-19	15.58	14.46	-0.47	85351339	Deceleration	31	22
2026-06-12	14.84	14.32	1.51	19975721	Upward Expansion	36	21
2026-06-05	15.07	14.20	0.69	12762787	Upward Expansion	58	42
2026-05-29	15.77	14.07	3.53	91020781	Upward Expansion	64	72
2026-05-22	17.29	13.92	13.35	149900928	Upward Expansion	77	85
2026-05-15	17.04	13.71	12.21	140710692	Upward Expansion	79	84
2026-05-08	16.94	13.53	11.73	103813985	Upward Expansion	80	78
2026-05-01	16.23	13.34	10.47	106306772	Deceleration	62	45
2026-04-24	14.64	13.18	0.99	89406022	Deceleration	33	16
2026-04-17	14.24	13.07	-1.29	59186414	Deceleration	9	14
2026-04-10	14.03	12.98	1.26	59867059	Deceleration	4	19
2026-04-03	12.72	12.89	-1.62	37150477	Deceleration	-4	20
2026-03-27	13.25	12.86	-0.63	47932219	Deceleration	18	17
2026-03-20	13.33	12.82	-0.96	45394200	Deceleration	27	17
2026-03-13	14.15	12.79	2.03	45887286	Deceleration	38	23
2026-03-06	14.57	12.71	5.83	76714848	Upward Expansion	43	30
2026-02-27	15.36	12.60	9.16	56930097	Upward Expansion	49	35
2026-02-13	14.88	12.46	8.92	64050977	Upward Expansion	58	42
2026-02-06	15.03	12.32	11.88	98427697	Upward Expansion	62	51
2026-01-30	14.68	12.17	7.26	148483185	Upward Expansion	65	57
2026-01-23	15.98	12.04	15.06	242752663	Upward Expansion	74	83
2026-01-16	15.97	11.85	16.63	318975560	Upward Expansion	81	91
2026-01-09	14.90	11.65	10.42	306409854	Upward Expansion	73	86
2026-01-02	14.70	11.50	14.03	256892308	Upward Expansion	77	84
2025-12-26	16.97	11.34	31.29	424572703	Deceleration	90	86
2025-12-19	11.39	11.12	-8.23	49415247	Deceleration	33	14
2025-12-12	11.50	11.08	-8.34	44502335	Deceleration	21	15
2025-12-05	11.15	11.03	-10.59	37074896	Deceleration	-11	23
2025-11-28	10.81	11.00	-12.48	19607860	Deceleration	-18	27
2025-11-21	10.64	10.97	-11.09	37527631	Deceleration	-6	10
2025-11-14	11.41	10.94	-9.77	36025052	Deceleration	20	11
2025-11-07	11.36	10.86	-11.56	36303951	Deceleration	15	12
2025-10-31	11.19	10.78	-12.97	35348103	Deceleration	18	12
2025-10-24	11.29	10.74	-11.95	26680591	Deceleration	20	12
2025-10-17	10.86	10.71	-11.63	41759156	Deceleration	23	12
2025-10-10	11.63	10.73	-10.49	19591851	Deceleration	41	23
2025-10-03	11.30	10.70	-14.38	19015407	Deceleration	36	19
2025-09-26	11.61	10.69	-9.89	78376768	Deceleration	39	22
2025-09-19	11.30	10.65	-11.27	41180300	Upward Expansion	41	25
2025-09-12	11.45	10.63	-9.10	34176450	Upward Expansion	57	42
2025-09-05	11.36	10.57	-7.39	44719232	Upward Expansion	63	54
2025-08-29	11.67	10.53	-5.60	79796294	Upward Expansion	67	79
2025-08-22	12.22	10.46	3.19	102267321	Upward Expansion	80	90
2025-08-15	12.28	10.38	8.65	84184720	Upward Expansion	91	95
2025-08-08	11.91	10.29	10.42	87753086	Upward Expansion	91	90
2025-08-01	11.06	10.19	4.12	57395136	Upward Expansion	73	79
2025-07-25	11.19	10.13	3.89	58466287	Upward Expansion	80	79
2025-07-18	10.72	10.10	2.12	37554874	Upward Expansion	66	67
2025-07-11	10.73	10.08	4.60	36503196	Balance	68	59
2025-07-04	10.53	10.08	4.87	33126072	Balance	57	34
2025-06-27	10.51	10.08	6.38	27258883	Balance	57	26
2025-06-20	9.91	10.09	4.46	24898215	Balance	10	6
2025-06-13	10.21	10.09	6.84	41219825	Balance	12	11
2025-06-06	10.19	10.09	6.37	19885131	Balance	10	12
2025-05-30	10.20	10.12	8.51	26981837	Balance	10	14
2025-05-23	10.10	10.14	6.72	23381760	Balance	-22	16
2025-05-16	10.18	10.17	7.43	27614313	Balance	-25	12
2025-05-09	10.21	10.20	8.73	30526686	Downward Expansion	-43	28
2025-05-02	9.97	10.20	9.01	28183880	Downward Expansion	-55	47
2025-04-25	9.51	10.16	4.23	33360325	Upward Expansion	-55	47
2025-04-18	9.00	10.10	0.35	37310520	Upward Expansion	-41	37
2025-04-11	8.97	10.04	-0.30	73285962	Upward Expansion	-25	17
2025-04-04	10.18	9.97	7.69	31528322	Upward Expansion	49	31
2025-03-28	10.48	9.87	8.90	59360888	Upward Expansion	59	52
2025-03-21	11.23	9.77	16.28	94201296	Upward Expansion	72	71
2025-03-14	10.79	9.64	9.45	61090374	Upward Expansion	64	64
2025-03-07	10.90	9.55	12.48	72931898	Upward Expansion	69	62
2025-02-28	10.59	9.44	12.21	78338856	Deceleration	53	41
2025-02-21	10.53	9.35	8.36	64314819	Deceleration	51	30
2025-02-14	9.76	9.24	3.15	30354067	Deceleration	26	16
2025-02-07	10.02	9.17	8.22	20755644	Deceleration	25	14
2025-01-31	9.64	9.07	8.80	6843480	Deceleration	9	13
2025-01-24	9.78	8.99	9.12	38274465	Deceleration	9	16
2025-01-17	9.68	8.90	9.58	39670557	Deceleration	10	16
2025-01-10	9.06	8.82	6.33	26831965	Deceleration	5	13
2025-01-03	9.21	8.77	6.95	24331365	Deceleration	27	16
2024-12-27	10.20	8.71	10.05	32826121	Deceleration	40	26
2024-12-20	10.23	8.64	10.65	30812264	Upward Expansion	43	30
2024-12-13	10.50	8.56	13.01	57042524	Upward Expansion	46	33
2024-12-06	10.71	8.48	14.66	60768154	Upward Expansion	50	36
2024-11-29	10.61	8.39	15.78	56701333	Upward Expansion	52	40
2024-11-22	10.11	8.29	12.50	83079719	Upward Expansion	61	48
2024-11-15	10.11	8.21	9.56	85282410	Upward Expansion	66	59
2024-11-08	11.10	8.11	16.11	121268872	Upward Expansion	73	88
2024-11-01	10.76	7.98	20.55	210775341	Upward Expansion	70	89
2024-10-25	11.04	7.87	22.41	255507048	Upward Expansion	83	94
2024-10-18	11.25	7.74	28.66	261870329	Upward Expansion	92	96
2024-10-11	10.21	7.61	21.04	237103394	Upward Expansion	87	85
2024-10-04	8.62	7.51	-1.90	24667144	Upward Expansion	63	48
2024-09-27	7.83	7.47	-1.22	32972730	Balance	-30	25
2024-09-20	7.11	7.44	5.73	13134525	Balance	-56	56
2024-09-13	6.94	7.43	4.73	21485760	Balance	-37	35
2024-09-06	7.09	7.40	5.32	22730083	Balance	-1	6
2024-08-30	7.54	7.37	9.29	25916188	Balance	44	23
2024-08-23	7.38	7.37	9.58	26943503	Balance	30	23
2024-08-16	7.83	7.39	14.40	36549786	Balance	48	36
2024-08-09	7.80	7.41	13.84	37199246	Balance	44	28
2024-08-02	7.69	7.43	10.47	30234915	Balance	18	11
2024-07-26	7.46	7.46	6.88	23745282	Balance	-20	15
2024-07-19	7.46	7.49	3.41	40867119	Downward Expansion	-43	36
2024-07-12	7.27	7.53	1.40	27348146	Downward Expansion	-46	43
2024-07-05	7.08	7.57	0.67	23288444	Balance	-51	38
2024-06-28	7.15	7.62	-0.10	20505909	Balance	-39	33
2024-06-21	7.27	7.67	-0.65	18608430	Balance	-30	20
2024-06-14	7.45	7.71	-0.08	16636682	Rotation Up	-5	6
2024-06-07	7.40	7.74	-0.63	35504025	Rotation Up	11	23
2024-05-31	8.14	7.76	8.12	28775172	Rotation Up	29	51
2024-05-24	7.97	7.75	5.53	25497136	Rotation Up	22	45
2024-05-17	8.01	7.74	3.34	41445653	Balance	23	38
2024-05-10	8.09	7.74	4.50	53161579	Balance	7	16
2024-05-03	7.66	7.73	0.71	26219568	Balance	-10	9
2024-04-26	7.45	7.74	-0.42	42887366	Balance	-29	13
2024-04-19	7.38	7.75	0.78	63528086	Downward Expansion	-31	15
2024-04-12	7.20	7.77	-0.87	50021265	Downward Expansion	-33	17
2024-04-05	7.31	7.79	-2.58	28845829	Downward Expansion	-33	18
2024-03-29	7.22	7.81	-2.06	36388479	Downward Expansion	-34	21
2024-03-22	7.36	7.83	-1.86	63766448	Downward Expansion	-37	21
2024-03-15	7.17	7.85	-4.67	116624483	Downward Expansion	-44	31
2024-03-08	7.50	7.89	2.52	89874304	Downward Expansion	-60	49
2024-03-01	6.93	7.93	-5.74	52999759	Downward Expansion	-66	83
2024-02-23	6.61	7.98	-6.36	55318210	Downward Expansion	-66	85
2024-02-09	5.98	8.05	-12.80	77589675	Downward Expansion	-90	93
2024-02-02	6.38	8.15	1.91	38774891	Downward Expansion	-87	81
2024-01-26	7.58	8.23	11.75	33718111	Balance	-39	32
2024-01-19	7.75	8.28	14.53	28025982	Balance	-20	14
2024-01-12	8.47	8.30	23.04	21666812	Rotation Up	14	15
2024-01-05	8.52	8.28	23.08	20994662	Rotation Up	27	22
2023-12-29	8.58	8.27	19.51	16947353	Rotation Up	31	24
2023-12-22	8.44	8.25	22.22	18440235	Rotation Up	29	27
2023-12-15	8.56	8.24	22.50	20772948	Rotation Up	25	46
2023-12-08	8.39	8.21	18.51	28687204	Rotation Up	25	51
2023-12-01	8.66	8.19	20.80	46343845	Rotation Up	33	56
2023-11-24	8.67	8.16	20.07	42036552	Balance	35	42
2023-11-17	8.43	8.13	15.66	21779136	Balance	23	23
2023-11-10	8.35	8.13	15.13	40078324	Balance	-14	9
2023-11-03	8.10	8.12	13.49	23509869	Downward Expansion	-36	22
2023-10-27	7.85	8.13	11.26	16547160	Downward Expansion	-52	32
2023-10-20	7.61	8.14	10.55	14636798	Downward Expansion	-66	37
2023-10-13	7.90	8.16	9.49	16726634	Downward Expansion	-43	26
2023-09-29	8.02	8.16	10.85	14069915	Deceleration	-25	21
2023-09-22	7.94	8.17	9.15	22306032	Rotation Down	-28	26

Price vs TrendBelow-19.3%

Trend directionFalling-6.0%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+9.4%

Fair Value directionMoving away-90.3%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-7.6%

Relative strength directionWeakening-40.9%

Price momentumNegative-8.3%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.32×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-70 / ±100

-2.4 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

72 /100

+17.8 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

000551 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance13

Rotation Up21

Upward Expansion16

Deceleration39

Rotation Down63

Downward Expansion92

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 20%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 31%Deceleration 23%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 15%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-09-04	2026-10-02	Developing	-4.0%
Rotation Down	2026-08-07	2026-08-28	New	-7.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-07-10	2026-07-31	New	-33.6%
Deceleration	2026-06-19	2026-07-03	New	+31.6%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-08	2026-06-12	Developing	-12.4%
Deceleration	2026-03-13	2026-05-01	Developing	+14.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-02	2026-03-06	Developing	-0.9%
Deceleration	2025-09-26	2025-12-26	Established	+46.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-18	2025-09-19	Developing	+5.4%
Balance	2025-05-16	2025-07-11	Developing	+5.4%
Downward Expansion	2025-05-02	2025-05-09	New	+2.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-07	2025-04-25	Developing	-12.7%
Deceleration	2024-12-27	2025-02-28	Developing	+3.9%
Upward Expansion	2024-10-04	2024-12-20	Developing	+18.7%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing33

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution40

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 90/100
Current Relative Strength: -7.57
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -8.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -4.8%
Industrials regime cohort: 80th percentile447 in cohort

Test 000551 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.57×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.32×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 000551 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CNY 11.99falling

Slow Activity CNY 14.01falling

Trend Reference CNY 14.44-19.3% close margin

Current Fair Value CNY 10.66+9.4% close margin

Structural low CNY 11.55shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +10.7%

Annualized volatility +70.2%

From structural high -46.2%

From structural low +10.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs 399001.SZ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	14	+5.0%-16.6% to +17.6%	+71.4%	+28.6%	+2.8%	+57.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	7	+10.9%-11.9% to +40.6%	+85.7%	+14.3%	+7.0%	+14.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	+12.2%-6.6% to +52.5%	+80.0%	+20.0%	+13.4%	+20.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	+42.4%+10.5% to +69.8%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+22.6%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

000551 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map