Weekly structural research ยท TAI ยท Industrials

1529 Stage Analysis

Luxe Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close TWD 15.65Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^TWII
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -67โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 65/100directional strength
Maturity 38/100lifecycle context
Confidence 92/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -32.5%TWD 23.18 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0915.6518.69-40.322028149Downward Expansion-6765
2026-10-0216.0519.02-38.672507593Downward Expansion-6574
2026-09-2515.4519.28-41.354764077Downward Expansion-7383
2026-09-1815.2519.53-42.077709186Downward Expansion-8283
2026-09-1115.8519.76-39.581757919Downward Expansion-8179
2026-09-0416.4519.90-38.98490304Downward Expansion-7571
2026-08-2817.6020.06-35.74736270Downward Expansion-6366
2026-08-2117.2020.27-36.90278684Downward Expansion-6673
2026-08-1416.9520.36-39.75330614Downward Expansion-7175
2026-08-0717.1520.37-37.92359207Downward Expansion-6872
2026-07-3117.2520.35-37.21323600Downward Expansion-7066
2026-07-2418.4020.34-34.924060452Downward Expansion-5850
2026-07-1717.9620.28-36.134335951Balance-6446
2026-07-1019.2920.24-36.553196857Balance-1310
2026-07-0320.4920.15-35.803141149Balance-26
2026-06-2619.2920.04-37.654652984Balance-1111
2026-06-1920.3119.95-38.142490360Balance-510
2026-06-1220.4919.86-35.574648986Rotation Down04
2026-06-0520.4519.77-38.1315141210Rotation Down-1619
2026-05-2919.6519.75-41.257573276Rotation Down-2035
2026-05-2218.6319.72-42.203081515Rotation Down-2446
2026-05-1517.7419.72-44.475649820Deceleration-3442
2026-05-0820.3119.79-38.045476324Deceleration616
2026-05-0119.2519.77-38.082003613Deceleration-215
2026-04-2419.7819.79-37.124530583Deceleration1418
2026-04-1721.4219.83-28.773653269Deceleration2722
2026-04-1021.0219.83-27.946332760Upward Expansion3321
2026-04-0320.1819.88-25.533897454Upward Expansion4027
2026-03-2721.5520.00-22.606305736Upward Expansion6046
2026-03-2023.5520.06-17.2919221684Rotation Up6361
2026-03-1325.5920.06-10.5459415412Rotation Up5363
2026-03-0623.9919.95-16.9815371012Rotation Up5051
2026-02-2722.8019.95-25.6021151669Rotation Up4552
2026-02-1322.1319.93-24.503210181Rotation Up3452
2026-02-0620.0519.99-28.105952006Rotation Up2340
2026-01-3021.2420.09-24.8517887479Rotation Up2740
2026-01-2324.0420.16-15.0359963860Rotation Up2534
2026-01-1619.7820.16-29.0116348176Downward Expansion-2116
2026-01-0917.2120.29-36.334877825Downward Expansion-6150
2026-01-0216.6820.55-36.811519298Downward Expansion-6659
2025-12-2616.9420.82-34.471659015Downward Expansion-6662
2025-12-1916.5421.12-34.466142688Downward Expansion-7166
2025-12-1216.6821.44-35.522374016Downward Expansion-7381
2025-12-0516.8521.71-34.821348042Downward Expansion-7186
2025-11-2817.0721.89-33.671258402Downward Expansion-7387
2025-11-2116.5922.04-33.192946918Downward Expansion-8690
2025-11-1417.7022.14-31.814170002Downward Expansion-7884
2025-11-0717.7022.18-32.908749479Downward Expansion-8485
2025-10-3119.7422.19-27.3210272033Downward Expansion-6675
2025-10-2418.7222.26-29.804289534Downward Expansion-7685
2025-10-1718.8022.42-29.384892768Downward Expansion-7986
2025-10-1019.7822.58-26.291873563Downward Expansion-7281
2025-10-0319.6922.73-25.761545179Rotation Down-7580
2025-09-2620.0022.79-21.752378953Rotation Down-4965
2025-09-1920.8022.87-19.212397562Balance-3146
2025-09-1221.6022.98-16.342976311Balance-2327
2025-09-0522.4922.97-9.972484815Balance96
2025-08-2923.7322.89-4.493835936Deceleration3012
2025-08-2223.3322.77-4.754507148Deceleration178
2025-08-1523.6422.64-6.195045574Deceleration1711
2025-08-0822.1422.55-11.531559012Deceleration38
2025-08-0124.1922.52-1.542798872Deceleration3418
2025-07-2522.1822.40-10.013242933Deceleration1315
2025-07-1823.6822.34-4.904202557Deceleration3019
2025-07-1123.1122.24-5.252709032Deceleration3120
2025-07-0423.3722.21-3.743042855Deceleration3620
2025-06-2723.9522.17-1.912893371Upward Expansion4127
2025-06-2023.8622.14-0.255381639Upward Expansion5540
2025-06-1324.9622.133.8813613227Upward Expansion6169
2025-06-0624.9122.085.3610819306Upward Expansion6271
2025-05-3025.6622.059.8411846449Balance6769
2025-05-2326.1922.0010.3546379583Balance4643
2025-05-1625.0021.954.1416553917Balance2619
2025-05-0922.1021.94-4.2917174531Downward Expansion-3923
2025-05-0221.5722.06-6.567153394Downward Expansion-5143
2025-04-2519.5422.22-12.063910680Downward Expansion-5646
2025-04-1819.0622.43-13.022961207Balance-6041
2025-04-1118.0522.65-18.894788047Balance-5529
2025-04-0421.7922.88-10.915517603Rotation Up1117
2025-03-2823.5523.05-5.6916543103Rotation Up2329
2025-03-2123.5923.20-8.673104258Rotation Up2428
2025-03-1424.0323.33-6.5921236359Downward Expansion1226
2025-03-0721.7023.46-18.342046120Downward Expansion-1221
2025-02-2822.4523.65-18.085166729Downward Expansion-2523
2025-02-2124.0323.92-15.5217102520Downward Expansion-1714
2025-02-1421.3024.23-23.791306607Downward Expansion-6254
2025-02-0720.0724.62-29.871420124Downward Expansion-6764
2025-01-2419.9424.95-31.23596799Downward Expansion-7366
2025-01-1719.7225.25-31.611372564Downward Expansion-8169
2025-01-1020.6925.57-28.571083280Downward Expansion-7067
2025-01-0321.2625.83-27.051157191Downward Expansion-6876
2024-12-2720.7826.06-30.511232286Downward Expansion-7288
2024-12-2020.3426.28-30.341565021Downward Expansion-8693
2024-12-1320.6426.53-31.502035510Downward Expansion-9092
2024-12-0622.0526.81-28.091630758Downward Expansion-8082
2024-11-2922.4527.04-24.591924770Downward Expansion-7987
2024-11-2222.8927.24-25.811776634Downward Expansion-7888
2024-11-1523.6827.44-23.341419147Downward Expansion-7085
2024-11-0823.2927.68-27.641795678Downward Expansion-8190
2024-11-0124.0827.93-23.151630721Downward Expansion-6976
2024-10-2524.3028.07-24.841900216Downward Expansion-6868
2024-10-1824.5228.22-25.162044108Downward Expansion-6652
2024-10-1124.8328.39-22.801923382Downward Expansion-6445
2024-10-0425.6628.53-18.701534044Downward Expansion-5840
2024-09-2726.4128.60-18.803760616Downward Expansion-5849
2024-09-2025.8428.71-18.761996252Downward Expansion-6056
2024-09-1325.4928.80-18.833013142Downward Expansion-6357
2024-09-0625.0528.85-19.444980935Balance-6858
2024-08-3026.8528.93-17.373849023Balance-3133
2024-08-2327.9528.98-14.118180118Balance-1421
2024-08-1627.5128.96-16.716792128Balance-616
2024-08-0928.0828.94-12.2024482134Upward Expansion2010
2024-08-0227.4228.94-15.5922470918Upward Expansion3429
2024-07-2630.4228.95-9.2066513882Upward Expansion5962
2024-07-1933.4428.85-4.1660513790Upward Expansion7773
2024-07-1233.0228.64-10.1153180078Balance7457
2024-07-0529.8028.47-18.1917230687Balance4122
2024-06-2828.9528.48-19.3415939498Balance3014
2024-06-2129.2928.40-19.8618056632Balance2913
2024-06-1428.5728.33-19.9711050587Balance-811
2024-06-0728.3128.21-19.055402868Balance-1013
2024-05-3127.3828.09-19.814984377Balance-1715
2024-05-2427.8528.02-20.645064975Balance1713
2024-05-1728.9127.93-16.9610251800Upward Expansion3015
2024-05-1028.9127.81-15.3214093578Upward Expansion3317
2024-05-0328.4027.78-15.806805643Upward Expansion4628
2024-04-2629.0827.74-13.6416568458Upward Expansion5132
2024-04-1930.9427.69-6.1156828637Upward Expansion6440
2024-04-1230.7327.52-12.6230485130Upward Expansion6643
2024-04-0528.1427.37-18.753606037Upward Expansion4929
2024-03-2928.7827.33-16.8240334193Upward Expansion5239
2024-03-2229.8027.32-13.6215837908Upward Expansion6254
2024-03-1529.0327.28-13.5220112011Balance5548
2024-03-0827.8027.32-17.4511575852Balance4636
2024-03-0129.5827.45-8.0738577328Balance3129
2024-02-2328.4027.56-11.2419879593Balance1911
2024-02-1627.1327.75-13.703444850Balance-177
2024-02-0927.5527.96-9.70987958Balance-239
2024-02-0228.1028.15-7.409955741Balance-189
2024-01-2627.5528.27-8.568863720Balance-2511
2024-01-1926.9628.45-8.7122256749Balance-2611
2024-01-1228.1028.71-3.6110311062Balance-86
2024-01-0527.4728.92-5.495635200Balance-149
2023-12-2927.6429.10-6.6516787856Balance-1016
2023-12-2227.1729.32-6.006505711Balance-1117
2023-12-1527.7629.42-3.8625132295Downward Expansion-1320
2023-12-0830.1429.536.80112689471Downward Expansion-915
2023-12-0126.4529.54-5.7510125558Downward Expansion-4635
2023-11-2427.3829.77-0.937695926Downward Expansion-6047
2023-11-1725.0129.99-8.393363493Downward Expansion-6474
2023-11-1024.4630.21-7.013279484Downward Expansion-7379
2023-11-0325.3530.38-2.133270064Downward Expansion-6565
2023-10-2725.3530.310.774318834Downward Expansion-6856
2023-10-2025.1330.23-1.317458683Downward Expansion-7249
2023-10-1327.9330.198.046071003Rotation Down-5740
2023-10-0627.4229.928.428741148Rotation Down-3448
Price vs TrendBelow-16.3%
Trend directionFalling-8.2%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-32.5%
Fair Value directionMoving away-11.9%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-40.3%
Relative strength directionWeakening-3.8%
Price momentumNegative-25.6%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.71ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-67 / ยฑ100

+14.1 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

65 /100

-13.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance8
Rotation Up20
Upward Expansion12
Deceleration46
Rotation Down66
Downward Expansion88

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 24%Rotation Up 7%Upward Expansion 13%Deceleration 9%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 42%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-07-242026-10-09Developing-14.9%
Balance2026-06-192026-07-17Developing-11.6%
Rotation Down2026-05-222026-06-12New+10.0%
Deceleration2026-04-172026-05-15Developing-17.2%
Upward Expansion2026-03-272026-04-10New-2.5%
Rotation Up2026-01-232026-03-20Developing-2.0%
Downward Expansion2025-10-102026-01-16Established+0.0%
Rotation Down2025-09-262025-10-03New-1.6%
Balance2025-09-052025-09-19New-7.5%
Deceleration2025-07-042025-08-29Developing+1.5%
Upward Expansion2025-06-062025-06-27New-3.9%
Balance2025-05-162025-05-30New+2.6%
Downward Expansion2025-04-252025-05-09New+13.1%
Balance2025-04-112025-04-18New+5.6%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing52
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution19
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^TWII

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
92/100
Current Relative Strength
-40.32
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-25.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-64.8%
Industrials regime cohort
48th percentile155 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.58ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.71ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity TWD 15.68falling
Slow Activity TWD 17.65falling
Trend Reference TWD 18.69-16.3% close margin
Current Fair Value TWD 23.18-32.5% close margin
Structural low TWD 14.35shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.6%
Annualized volatility +35.4%
From structural high -40.9%
From structural low +9.1%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^TWII Regime survived Read
Near term21-1.9%-11.3% to +34.0%+38.1%+61.9%-3.8%+76.2%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate8+7.4%-19.0% to +24.5%+62.5%+25.0%-0.7%+37.5%Usable descriptive sample
Extended5+2.8%-7.4% to +23.1%+60.0%+40.0%-9.5%+20.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3-2.5%-23.7% to +126.1%+33.3%+66.7%-40.9%+66.7%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context