Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Financial Services

KFFB Stage Analysis

Kentucky First Federal Bancorp

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 5.75Tenure NewBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction 39−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 24/100directional strength

Maturity 50/100lifecycle context

Confidence 93/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +50.0%USD 3.83 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	5.75	5.07	5.32	59302	Deceleration	39	24
2026-10-02	5.64	5.03	3.92	30789	Upward Expansion	40	25
2026-09-25	5.58	5.00	3.80	14391	Upward Expansion	56	39
2026-09-18	5.81	4.96	11.96	88822	Upward Expansion	61	51
2026-09-11	5.66	4.93	10.75	47268	Upward Expansion	63	54
2026-09-04	6.11	4.91	19.55	35980	Upward Expansion	78	78
2026-08-28	6.14	4.86	21.49	44528	Upward Expansion	87	82
2026-08-21	5.55	4.80	11.27	37017	Upward Expansion	69	72
2026-08-14	5.52	4.78	8.49	35089	Upward Expansion	69	69
2026-08-07	5.50	4.74	9.90	5879	Upward Expansion	71	63
2026-07-31	5.43	4.71	14.53	18974	Upward Expansion	71	50
2026-07-24	5.22	4.68	11.52	23446	Upward Expansion	64	44
2026-07-17	5.20	4.66	9.80	28408	Upward Expansion	65	55
2026-07-10	5.00	4.63	1.73	9074	Upward Expansion	61	62
2026-07-03	5.07	4.62	5.45	15652	Upward Expansion	63	66
2026-06-26	5.25	4.60	10.71	19508	Upward Expansion	77	73
2026-06-19	5.10	4.56	3.39	24333	Upward Expansion	73	66
2026-06-12	4.79	4.54	0.21	4892	Balance	55	46
2026-06-05	4.77	4.52	2.63	13842	Balance	45	32
2026-05-29	4.77	4.49	-1.49	8722	Balance	43	21
2026-05-22	4.56	4.46	-2.67	4764	Balance	2	3
2026-05-15	4.46	4.44	-3.18	11473	Balance	-6	7
2026-05-08	4.35	4.42	-5.56	33778	Deceleration	16	10
2026-05-01	4.51	4.40	3.64	6750	Deceleration	24	13
2026-04-24	4.31	4.37	0.97	15398	Deceleration	0	3
2026-04-17	4.77	4.36	14.56	5972	Deceleration	29	16
2026-04-10	4.41	4.31	12.87	15031	Deceleration	3	20
2026-04-03	4.30	4.28	15.30	3033	Balance	2	18
2026-03-27	4.21	4.24	17.58	6155	Balance	-1	13
2026-03-20	4.28	4.21	16.12	83833	Upward Expansion	20	14
2026-03-13	4.70	4.18	25.43	2393	Upward Expansion	53	32
2026-03-06	4.59	4.13	21.97	12709	Upward Expansion	52	34
2026-02-27	4.59	4.08	21.02	21036	Upward Expansion	56	41
2026-02-20	4.90	4.04	29.50	24937	Upward Expansion	66	54
2026-02-13	4.80	3.98	29.29	4241	Upward Expansion	62	46
2026-02-06	4.68	3.92	25.11	16968	Upward Expansion	57	36
2026-01-30	4.51	3.87	18.71	21295	Upward Expansion	53	34
2026-01-23	4.74	3.82	25.11	6788	Upward Expansion	62	40
2026-01-16	4.46	3.75	18.71	20113	Upward Expansion	53	35
2026-01-09	4.45	3.69	17.93	13200	Upward Expansion	55	36
2026-01-02	4.64	3.63	26.14	10997	Upward Expansion	63	44
2025-12-26	4.50	3.56	20.98	64525	Upward Expansion	60	44
2025-12-19	4.36	3.50	19.37	44329	Upward Expansion	60	44
2025-12-12	4.72	3.44	30.53	34248	Upward Expansion	74	57
2025-12-05	4.45	3.36	21.60	16572	Upward Expansion	69	50
2025-11-28	4.20	3.30	16.62	5724	Upward Expansion	62	46
2025-11-21	4.39	3.24	28.59	24236	Upward Expansion	72	50
2025-11-14	4.14	3.18	18.39	17541	Upward Expansion	66	48
2025-11-07	3.93	3.14	12.73	4340	Upward Expansion	61	46
2025-10-31	4.02	3.10	12.45	24993	Upward Expansion	67	48
2025-10-24	3.86	3.06	10.40	49449	Upward Expansion	64	50
2025-10-17	3.75	3.03	9.53	771719	Upward Expansion	63	62
2025-10-10	3.69	3.00	10.26	27717	Upward Expansion	64	76
2025-10-03	3.90	2.98	13.77	13907	Upward Expansion	83	87
2025-09-26	3.83	2.95	12.92	13091	Upward Expansion	86	78
2025-09-19	3.44	2.92	1.24	9196	Upward Expansion	68	47
2025-09-12	3.40	2.91	2.25	14020	Upward Expansion	71	48
2025-09-05	3.13	2.90	-4.14	1471	Upward Expansion	57	40
2025-08-29	3.20	2.91	-1.36	10115	Upward Expansion	60	53
2025-08-22	3.30	2.90	1.22	2951	Rotation Up	68	68
2025-08-15	3.20	2.89	-3.09	7645	Rotation Up	37	61
2025-08-08	3.29	2.89	-0.37	6094	Rotation Up	45	65
2025-08-01	3.19	2.88	-0.42	2377	Rotation Up	31	58
2025-07-25	3.25	2.87	-1.32	10367	Rotation Up	38	57
2025-07-18	3.12	2.85	-5.05	12815	Balance	30	40
2025-07-11	3.04	2.85	-6.61	31773	Balance	25	26
2025-07-04	2.91	2.84	-11.25	13204	Balance	-12	12
2025-06-27	2.80	2.84	-13.62	67721	Downward Expansion	-28	14
2025-06-20	2.69	2.83	-14.00	8121	Downward Expansion	-38	22
2025-06-13	2.51	2.83	-20.19	25303	Downward Expansion	-48	29
2025-06-06	2.61	2.83	-18.09	47639	Downward Expansion	-53	34
2025-05-30	2.63	2.83	-16.34	4324	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2025-05-23	2.58	2.83	-16.82	14119	Downward Expansion	-62	54
2025-05-16	2.50	2.85	-22.01	14582	Downward Expansion	-68	72
2025-05-09	2.43	2.88	-19.73	37518	Downward Expansion	-81	80
2025-05-02	2.62	2.90	-14.38	15606	Downward Expansion	-71	72
2025-04-25	2.58	2.93	-13.66	4254	Balance	-68	68
2025-04-18	2.71	2.93	-4.55	9151	Balance	-30	40
2025-04-11	2.83	2.93	-3.45	7965	Balance	-19	25
2025-04-04	2.85	2.93	3.66	4469	Balance	-17	19
2025-03-28	2.90	2.93	-5.47	6897	Balance	16	16
2025-03-21	3.00	2.93	-5.18	14058	Balance	26	18
2025-03-14	2.87	2.94	-9.72	14523	Balance	21	15
2025-03-07	3.00	2.95	-8.86	11344	Balance	38	19
2025-02-28	3.03	2.97	-11.54	10318	Rotation Up	26	28
2025-02-21	3.10	2.98	-13.29	11064	Rotation Up	30	42
2025-02-14	3.20	2.99	-13.34	3937	Rotation Up	35	46
2025-02-07	3.28	2.99	-9.46	8206	Balance	32	43
2025-01-31	3.09	2.99	-15.26	30309	Balance	20	24
2025-01-24	3.00	2.99	-19.58	19838	Balance	-6	13
2025-01-17	3.04	2.99	-18.26	6739	Balance	-3	9
2025-01-10	3.00	3.00	-17.68	10415	Balance	-16	11
2025-01-03	2.90	3.01	-23.05	37098	Balance	-26	16
2024-12-27	2.80	3.03	-27.17	22895	Balance	-28	16
2024-12-20	2.86	3.04	-26.00	27316	Downward Expansion	-31	15
2024-12-13	2.98	3.06	-25.73	46312	Downward Expansion	-34	20
2024-12-06	2.77	3.08	-31.26	70548	Downward Expansion	-55	45
2024-11-29	2.65	3.10	-33.16	9107	Downward Expansion	-59	66
2024-11-22	2.64	3.14	-34.22	26916	Downward Expansion	-58	66
2024-11-15	2.56	3.18	-36.15	82654	Downward Expansion	-64	63
2024-11-08	2.51	3.22	-40.44	57066	Downward Expansion	-66	42
2024-11-01	2.66	3.27	-34.36	49498	Downward Expansion	-50	21
2024-10-25	3.16	3.30	-24.52	38821	Downward Expansion	-20	24
2024-10-18	3.27	3.33	-22.92	48844	Downward Expansion	-19	19
2024-10-11	3.22	3.35	-25.04	16750	Downward Expansion	-35	21
2024-10-04	3.33	3.37	-22.64	61057	Downward Expansion	-47	39
2024-09-27	2.73	3.39	-37.30	17973	Downward Expansion	-72	85
2024-09-20	2.72	3.43	-38.02	28325	Downward Expansion	-77	87
2024-09-13	2.74	3.47	-37.79	6215	Downward Expansion	-83	86
2024-09-06	2.87	3.51	-32.06	22730	Downward Expansion	-79	72
2024-08-30	2.97	3.55	-34.78	4879	Downward Expansion	-74	45
2024-08-23	3.24	3.58	-30.74	3048	Downward Expansion	-44	25
2024-08-16	3.31	3.60	-29.62	5918	Downward Expansion	-33	20
2024-08-09	3.40	3.63	-24.97	27095	Downward Expansion	-36	21
2024-08-02	3.34	3.65	-27.15	21847	Downward Expansion	-41	27
2024-07-26	3.33	3.67	-30.76	14120	Downward Expansion	-48	38
2024-07-19	3.27	3.71	-34.78	35656	Downward Expansion	-60	50
2024-07-12	3.30	3.76	-37.81	9428	Downward Expansion	-64	58
2024-07-05	3.08	3.79	-43.13	10937	Downward Expansion	-80	70
2024-06-28	3.16	3.83	-40.60	26696	Downward Expansion	-78	68
2024-06-21	3.21	3.89	-40.69	15501	Downward Expansion	-79	80
2024-06-14	3.38	3.95	-38.52	9527	Downward Expansion	-67	85
2024-06-07	3.29	3.99	-39.07	25420	Downward Expansion	-78	91
2024-05-31	3.33	4.03	-37.62	5595	Downward Expansion	-80	91
2024-05-24	3.39	4.06	-38.37	17031	Downward Expansion	-80	88
2024-05-17	3.48	4.10	-36.80	3924	Downward Expansion	-78	77
2024-05-10	3.47	4.13	-36.50	11856	Downward Expansion	-83	66
2024-05-03	3.74	4.18	-31.53	62266	Downward Expansion	-67	44
2024-04-26	3.90	4.21	-28.93	3064	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2024-04-19	3.84	4.24	-28.22	3353	Downward Expansion	-59	53
2024-04-12	3.84	4.29	-33.16	13652	Downward Expansion	-61	57
2024-04-05	3.80	4.32	-35.23	21301	Downward Expansion	-67	64
2024-03-29	3.82	4.37	-36.39	5777	Downward Expansion	-65	62
2024-03-22	3.88	4.43	-36.63	43810	Downward Expansion	-60	53
2024-03-15	3.90	4.49	-35.30	19982	Downward Expansion	-58	40
2024-03-08	3.87	4.54	-37.55	12318	Downward Expansion	-61	39
2024-03-01	3.92	4.60	-38.76	17165	Downward Expansion	-58	37
2024-02-23	4.05	4.67	-36.58	12117	Downward Expansion	-56	38
2024-02-16	4.02	4.74	-37.32	5522	Downward Expansion	-59	42
2024-02-09	3.95	4.80	-40.27	10192	Downward Expansion	-62	54
2024-02-02	3.88	4.87	-41.23	12782	Downward Expansion	-67	60
2024-01-26	4.00	4.94	-39.65	19617	Downward Expansion	-63	63
2024-01-19	3.94	5.01	-41.04	70027	Downward Expansion	-69	63
2024-01-12	4.13	5.08	-37.44	2883	Downward Expansion	-63	50
2024-01-05	4.06	5.15	-37.55	2431	Downward Expansion	-66	43
2023-12-29	4.43	5.21	-34.95	24860	Downward Expansion	-55	36
2023-12-22	4.60	5.25	-33.21	44110	Downward Expansion	-49	30
2023-12-15	4.35	5.29	-37.19	28910	Downward Expansion	-51	27
2023-12-08	4.38	5.33	-35.67	11532	Downward Expansion	-51	28
2023-12-01	4.92	5.37	-28.26	9874	Downward Expansion	-41	26
2023-11-24	5.06	5.40	-27.01	21442	Downward Expansion	-58	41
2023-11-17	4.43	5.43	-36.27	50951	Downward Expansion	-63	59
2023-11-10	4.42	5.49	-36.03	4096	Downward Expansion	-67	60
2023-11-03	4.33	5.55	-36.29	11406	Downward Expansion	-73	57
2023-10-27	4.46	5.61	-31.17	6410	Downward Expansion	-73	61
2023-10-20	4.65	5.66	-30.84	12524	Downward Expansion	-70	65

Price vs TrendAbove+13.5%

Trend directionRising+7.7%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+50.0%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+18.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+5.3%

Relative strength directionImproving+3.6%

Price momentumPositive+30.4%

Volume balanceDemand-led3.81×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

39 / ±100

-24.1 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

24 /100

-29.9 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

KFFB Directional State ↗ KFFB Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance39

Rotation Up32

Upward Expansion62

Deceleration88

Rotation Down25

Downward Expansion14

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 16%Rotation Up 5%Upward Expansion 30%Deceleration 4%Downward Expansion 46%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-10-09	2026-10-09	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-06-19	2026-10-02	Established	+10.6%
Balance	2026-05-15	2026-06-12	Developing	+7.3%
Deceleration	2026-04-10	2026-05-08	Developing	-1.4%
Balance	2026-03-27	2026-04-03	New	+2.1%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-29	2026-03-20	Extended	+33.8%
Rotation Up	2025-07-25	2025-08-22	Developing	+1.5%
Balance	2025-07-04	2025-07-18	New	+7.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-05-02	2025-06-27	Developing	+6.9%
Balance	2025-03-07	2025-04-25	Developing	-13.9%
Rotation Up	2025-02-14	2025-02-28	New	-5.3%
Balance	2024-12-27	2025-02-07	Developing	+17.1%
Downward Expansion	2023-08-25	2024-12-20	Extended	-49.2%
Balance	2023-07-07	2023-08-18	Developing	-11.6%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing22

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution50

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 85/100
Current Relative Strength: 5.32
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +30.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +7.4%
Financial Services regime cohort: 80th percentile162 in cohort

Test KFFB trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.10×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.81×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution7 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore KFFB Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 5.69falling

Slow Activity USD 5.37rising

Trend Reference USD 5.07+13.5% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 3.83+50.0% close margin

Structural low USD 4.19shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +9.2%

Annualized volatility +31.1%

From structural high -11.0%

From structural low +93.6%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	9	+0.8%-10.6% to +15.6%	+55.6%	+55.6%	-0.5%	+55.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	4	+3.1%-6.9% to +13.4%	+75.0%	+75.0%	-1.4%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	3	+6.3%+0.9% to +30.4%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+9.6%	+33.3%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	-0.4%-16.4% to +15.5%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-5.2%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

KFFB Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map