Weekly structural research · SHZ · Communication Services

002905 Stage Analysis

Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 8.72Tenure NewBenchmark 399001.SZ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Rotation Up · Emerging rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and expanding.

Direction 27−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 47/100directional strength

Maturity 7/100lifecycle context

Confidence 72/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation

Price acceptance +83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -0.1%CNY 8.73 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	8.72	8.45	-1.02	13971959	Rotation Up	27	47
2026-09-25	8.78	8.50	-3.89	31248320	Rotation Up	31	39
2026-09-18	8.56	8.57	-9.55	28447900	Balance	8	29
2026-09-11	8.57	8.69	-9.39	57243008	Balance	9	26
2026-09-04	8.46	8.85	-11.27	65940890	Downward Expansion	5	20
2026-08-28	8.13	8.97	-17.64	23306180	Downward Expansion	-32	26
2026-08-21	7.75	9.08	-22.75	5506587	Downward Expansion	-41	30
2026-08-14	7.76	9.18	-24.61	6491800	Downward Expansion	-46	41
2026-08-07	7.55	9.30	-27.04	3750800	Downward Expansion	-50	48
2026-07-31	7.36	9.42	-25.83	5257200	Downward Expansion	-61	56
2026-07-24	6.87	9.53	-32.31	4512600	Downward Expansion	-75	66
2026-07-17	7.39	9.65	-27.47	11273729	Downward Expansion	-65	76
2026-07-10	7.47	9.76	-33.88	11939260	Downward Expansion	-68	84
2026-07-03	7.18	9.87	-39.30	5298596	Downward Expansion	-69	87
2026-06-26	6.84	10.03	-43.45	4265940	Downward Expansion	-81	90
2026-06-19	7.21	10.15	-41.96	16952680	Downward Expansion	-80	88
2026-06-12	7.52	10.30	-35.85	4647799	Downward Expansion	-80	87
2026-06-05	7.87	10.43	-35.00	4875467	Downward Expansion	-80	85
2026-05-29	8.26	10.52	-33.47	31757000	Downward Expansion	-77	79
2026-05-22	8.58	10.60	-31.49	42929014	Downward Expansion	-73	72
2026-05-15	8.81	10.65	-29.92	27105776	Downward Expansion	-70	57
2026-05-08	9.30	10.69	-26.42	26765715	Downward Expansion	-62	38
2026-05-01	9.53	10.74	-22.73	23211760	Downward Expansion	-58	37
2026-04-24	9.71	10.77	-20.67	35630580	Downward Expansion	-58	43
2026-04-17	10.05	10.91	-17.82	47177180	Downward Expansion	-56	42
2026-04-10	9.51	11.03	-19.24	49401435	Downward Expansion	-63	60
2026-04-03	9.18	11.05	-16.62	96872865	Downward Expansion	-72	66
2026-03-27	10.52	11.06	-7.34	44514288	Balance	-55	50
2026-03-20	10.09	11.04	-11.78	32721060	Balance	-23	32
2026-03-13	9.90	11.02	-16.28	28995732	Balance	-15	20
2026-03-06	10.28	11.01	-12.37	46501320	Upward Expansion	18	11
2026-02-27	10.83	11.00	-9.60	70139230	Upward Expansion	44	42
2026-02-13	12.32	10.96	5.92	187165850	Upward Expansion	59	60
2026-02-06	13.25	10.85	15.78	164545796	Upward Expansion	78	67
2026-01-30	12.15	10.74	4.46	83307516	Deceleration	63	46
2026-01-23	11.34	10.65	-3.91	36051928	Deceleration	48	25
2026-01-16	10.86	10.58	-6.89	83464006	Deceleration	28	14
2026-01-09	11.25	10.51	-2.37	76985052	Deceleration	25	11
2026-01-02	11.30	10.43	2.65	51915752	Deceleration	24	13
2025-12-26	10.51	10.35	-5.00	22811984	Deceleration	8	11
2025-12-19	10.46	10.29	-2.11	45189544	Deceleration	14	8
2025-12-12	10.65	10.22	-1.25	71317700	Deceleration	41	18
2025-12-05	10.91	10.14	1.88	90041926	Deceleration	46	25
2025-11-28	11.87	10.04	12.32	94786137	Deceleration	56	32
2025-11-21	10.60	9.92	4.40	46330909	Deceleration	44	25
2025-11-14	11.58	9.82	8.55	69189943	Deceleration	54	30
2025-11-07	11.35	9.68	5.43	102503352	Deceleration	39	18
2025-10-31	10.78	9.55	0.87	38184201	Deceleration	26	19
2025-10-24	10.61	9.45	0.41	50026260	Deceleration	27	21
2025-10-17	9.98	9.35	-0.65	43740919	Deceleration	29	22
2025-10-10	10.11	9.29	-3.97	32569972	Upward Expansion	52	33
2025-10-03	10.60	9.28	-0.22	27131364	Upward Expansion	59	62
2025-09-26	10.58	9.17	2.26	136081947	Upward Expansion	62	69
2025-09-19	13.90	9.05	36.15	277145647	Upward Expansion	87	85
2025-09-12	13.72	8.83	37.15	192132271	Upward Expansion	89	74
2025-09-05	10.12	8.65	4.79	142025362	Upward Expansion	61	35
2025-08-29	9.36	8.57	-3.66	50684044	Upward Expansion	43	28
2025-08-22	9.85	8.52	5.88	62939740	Upward Expansion	61	43
2025-08-15	9.56	8.45	7.73	60970852	Upward Expansion	57	43
2025-08-08	9.49	8.38	12.03	102620454	Upward Expansion	60	45
2025-08-01	10.18	8.29	21.81	119905777	Upward Expansion	80	65
2025-07-25	9.54	8.21	12.85	39811324	Upward Expansion	67	71
2025-07-18	9.18	8.17	11.44	38820193	Upward Expansion	64	73
2025-07-11	9.96	8.15	23.83	36831666	Upward Expansion	88	89
2025-07-04	9.34	8.12	19.05	23647046	Upward Expansion	76	78
2025-06-27	9.10	8.10	17.99	25668140	Upward Expansion	71	75
2025-06-20	8.75	8.04	18.23	28937814	Upward Expansion	64	72
2025-06-13	9.02	8.00	21.06	35662716	Upward Expansion	70	69
2025-06-06	8.90	7.94	19.29	23074020	Upward Expansion	66	59
2025-05-30	8.60	7.87	17.47	24552550	Deceleration	61	50
2025-05-23	8.41	7.80	14.14	38525867	Deceleration	55	38
2025-05-16	8.20	7.74	11.00	25923000	Deceleration	48	25
2025-05-09	8.02	7.68	9.31	41359725	Deceleration	41	16
2025-05-02	8.08	7.61	12.77	52996890	Deceleration	29	13
2025-04-25	7.78	7.58	8.48	46720464	Deceleration	10	10
2025-04-18	7.48	7.54	5.73	43410904	Deceleration	7	11
2025-04-11	7.38	7.47	3.81	74457503	Deceleration	5	6
2025-04-04	7.71	7.41	2.62	37821425	Deceleration	38	25
2025-03-28	7.62	7.35	-1.18	67146679	Deceleration	37	29
2025-03-21	8.03	7.29	2.88	211456387	Deceleration	42	30
2025-03-14	9.85	7.22	22.12	37009034	Deceleration	66	32
2025-03-07	7.29	7.10	-8.44	25851504	Deceleration	11	9
2025-02-28	7.04	7.08	-10.07	35385020	Deceleration	9	6
2025-02-21	7.30	7.06	-10.45	61086332	Deceleration	29	16
2025-02-14	8.29	7.03	3.30	130073118	Deceleration	51	28
2025-02-07	7.77	6.96	-1.68	48016164	Deceleration	31	16
2025-01-31	7.94	6.89	3.84	14007831	Deceleration	31	20
2025-01-24	7.77	6.83	-0.83	75833567	Deceleration	28	21
2025-01-17	7.36	6.78	-6.00	37223588	Deceleration	32	21
2025-01-10	6.74	6.74	-11.81	46330849	Upward Expansion	31	20
2025-01-03	7.92	6.74	1.22	40573159	Upward Expansion	60	46
2024-12-27	8.19	6.69	-3.64	58768297	Upward Expansion	65	68
2024-12-20	8.62	6.65	0.62	88082867	Upward Expansion	69	77
2024-12-13	9.19	6.60	5.61	95838590	Upward Expansion	87	85
2024-12-06	8.62	6.53	-2.33	134749384	Upward Expansion	85	80
2024-11-29	7.45	6.49	-14.77	67697802	Rotation Up	69	69
2024-11-22	7.40	6.49	-14.72	132284925	Rotation Up	43	53
2024-11-15	7.16	6.49	-20.50	42106040	Balance	39	47
2024-11-08	6.96	6.49	-26.19	39281424	Balance	25	28
2024-11-01	6.39	6.51	-28.33	39263245	Balance	-11	9
2024-10-25	6.58	6.57	-27.89	28512320	Balance	-5	15
2024-10-18	6.32	6.63	-29.49	26257094	Balance	-13	18
2024-10-11	6.10	6.74	-30.41	48751823	Downward Expansion	-29	19
2024-10-04	7.09	6.81	-23.48	15927712	Downward Expansion	-8	9
2024-09-27	6.52	6.84	-22.74	30008891	Downward Expansion	-48	32
2024-09-20	5.64	6.90	-21.95	8950920	Downward Expansion	-65	64
2024-09-13	5.58	6.99	-22.53	13501920	Downward Expansion	-69	67
2024-09-06	5.76	7.04	-22.27	15596813	Downward Expansion	-65	55
2024-08-30	5.92	7.12	-22.94	20564928	Downward Expansion	-59	38
2024-08-23	5.79	7.28	-23.68	24088149	Downward Expansion	-64	35
2024-08-16	6.18	7.45	-20.95	52657378	Downward Expansion	-43	24
2024-08-09	6.82	7.61	-13.54	82595805	Downward Expansion	-40	25
2024-08-02	6.39	7.76	-20.76	63047661	Downward Expansion	-48	40
2024-07-26	6.38	7.91	-21.85	71874855	Downward Expansion	-62	52
2024-07-19	6.19	8.05	-27.21	58448776	Downward Expansion	-65	58
2024-07-12	5.76	8.22	-32.27	21453540	Downward Expansion	-78	75
2024-07-05	6.16	8.40	-26.66	14538007	Downward Expansion	-71	75
2024-06-28	6.20	8.55	-27.83	19583212	Downward Expansion	-73	77
2024-06-21	6.21	8.70	-29.81	12482462	Downward Expansion	-77	74
2024-06-14	6.57	8.84	-27.73	13750692	Downward Expansion	-71	63
2024-06-07	6.44	8.97	-29.35	26281804	Downward Expansion	-77	66
2024-05-31	7.05	9.09	-23.69	32752647	Downward Expansion	-67	66
2024-05-24	7.09	9.17	-23.83	20881828	Downward Expansion	-68	68
2024-05-17	7.24	9.23	-24.72	26945063	Downward Expansion	-65	67
2024-05-10	7.30	9.30	-24.45	20838606	Downward Expansion	-66	72
2024-05-03	7.54	9.41	-20.88	12833015	Downward Expansion	-62	63
2024-04-26	7.47	9.51	-20.57	27905191	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2024-04-19	6.93	9.63	-24.83	45653577	Downward Expansion	-76	62
2024-04-12	7.83	9.77	-14.60	25725167	Downward Expansion	-65	38
2024-04-05	8.16	9.92	-13.80	16270742	Downward Expansion	-50	31
2024-03-29	8.40	10.04	-9.73	31872380	Downward Expansion	-48	32
2024-03-22	9.38	10.14	-0.60	41528081	Downward Expansion	-57	38
2024-03-15	8.40	10.25	-11.02	26465751	Downward Expansion	-63	52
2024-03-08	7.99	10.31	-12.87	33717192	Downward Expansion	-67	79
2024-03-01	8.18	10.40	-11.16	47124545	Downward Expansion	-66	79
2024-02-23	8.35	10.53	-5.34	59278265	Downward Expansion	-67	78
2024-02-09	7.12	10.63	-16.65	63182519	Downward Expansion	-86	81
2024-02-02	8.27	10.75	6.20	36189403	Downward Expansion	-74	48
2024-01-26	10.66	10.82	26.37	36074904	Balance	-4	5
2024-01-19	10.87	10.82	29.47	32800620	Rotation Up	12	12
2024-01-12	11.02	10.82	29.23	30717148	Rotation Up	14	14
2024-01-05	11.21	10.82	30.52	22665645	Rotation Up	22	24
2023-12-29	10.96	10.75	23.15	34268765	Rotation Up	16	18
2023-12-22	10.60	10.67	23.78	48212614	Rotation Up	22	21
2023-12-15	11.34	10.62	30.97	41783196	Rotation Up	34	29
2023-12-08	10.95	10.57	25.15	42466396	Balance	14	19
2023-12-01	10.75	10.53	21.85	25423678	Balance	7	14
2023-11-24	10.73	10.48	21.07	28459540	Rotation Down	0	10
2023-11-17	10.51	10.41	17.85	30499779	Rotation Down	-12	11
2023-11-10	10.28	10.37	16.22	42563253	Rotation Down	-27	28
2023-11-03	10.22	10.32	18.05	73001894	Rotation Down	-23	44
2023-10-27	9.24	10.28	8.63	22142324	Rotation Down	-27	49
2023-10-20	9.00	10.26	8.91	19246762	Upward Expansion	-31	39
2023-10-13	9.23	10.24	6.87	42539920	Upward Expansion	-8	17
2023-09-29	10.66	10.21	23.44	30377194	Upward Expansion	24	16
2023-09-22	10.55	10.14	21.91	68385868	Upward Expansion	29	14

Price vs TrendAbove+3.2%

Trend directionFalling-11.4%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-0.1%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+20.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-1.0%

Relative strength directionImproving+38.3%

Price momentumNegative-5.0%

Volume balanceDemand-led3.22×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

27 / ±100

+22.6 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

47 /100

+27.0 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

002905 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance26

Rotation Up68

Upward Expansion54

Deceleration18

Rotation Down15

Downward Expansion24

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 8%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 21%Deceleration 23%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 38%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Rotation Up	2026-09-25	2026-10-02	New	-0.7%
Balance	2026-09-11	2026-09-18	New	-0.1%
Downward Expansion	2026-04-03	2026-09-04	Established	-7.8%
Balance	2026-03-13	2026-03-27	New	+6.3%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-06	2026-03-06	New	-22.4%
Deceleration	2025-10-17	2026-01-30	Established	+21.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-06-06	2025-10-10	Established	+13.6%
Deceleration	2025-01-17	2025-05-30	Established	+16.8%
Upward Expansion	2024-12-06	2025-01-10	Developing	-21.8%
Rotation Up	2024-11-22	2024-11-29	New	+0.7%
Balance	2024-10-18	2024-11-15	Developing	+13.3%
Downward Expansion	2024-02-02	2024-10-11	Extended	-26.2%
Balance	2024-01-26	2024-01-26	New	+0.0%
Rotation Up	2023-12-15	2024-01-19	Developing	-4.1%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing64

Stage 2 · Advancing35

Stage 3 · Distribution19

Stage 4 · Declining65

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4C · Repair watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 60/100
Current Relative Strength: -1.02
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -5.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -1.5%
Communication Services regime cohort: 75th percentile12 in cohort

Test 002905 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.74×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.22×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 002905 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CNY 8.67rising

Slow Activity CNY 8.11rising

Trend Reference CNY 8.45+3.2% close margin

Current Fair Value CNY 8.73-0.1% close margin

Structural low CNY 6.78shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Full positive ordering with expanding width confirms Upward Expansion. Loss of the fast/slow repair and renewed downside acceptance cancels it.

Range context +7.2%

Annualized volatility +28.5%

From structural high -42.0%

From structural low +28.6%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs 399001.SZ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	4	-1.7%-35.4% to +16.5%	+25.0%	+25.0%	+2.8%	+25.0%	Too little matched history
Intermediate	3	-8.5%-17.3% to -1.4%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-6.6%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	3	-1.5%-45.2% to +13.6%	+33.3%	+33.3%	+11.0%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	-4.7%-24.0% to +14.6%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-4.0%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

002905 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map