Weekly structural research · LSE · Technology

PEB Stage Analysis

Pebble Beach Systems Group plc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close GBP 0.31Tenure NewBenchmark ^FTSE

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction 78−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 84/100directional strength

Maturity 28/100lifecycle context

Confidence 81/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance +100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +125.8%GBP 0.1373 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	0.31	0.2315	44.55	1534142	Upward Expansion	78	84
2026-10-02	0.295	0.2274	40.46	2773086	Upward Expansion	73	81
2026-09-25	0.29	0.2242	36.59	2009396	Upward Expansion	75	79
2026-09-18	0.30	0.2214	43.15	7297191	Upward Expansion	82	76
2026-09-11	0.255	0.2177	22.94	2061707	Deceleration	61	50
2026-09-04	0.25	0.2147	19.18	235749	Deceleration	49	27
2026-08-28	0.23	0.2126	10.40	61898	Deceleration	17	9
2026-08-21	0.23	0.2114	10.72	14069	Deceleration	17	10
2026-08-14	0.22	0.21	6.89	195722	Deceleration	16	11
2026-08-07	0.225	0.2087	8.24	51808	Deceleration	29	16
2026-07-31	0.232	0.2075	12.45	150325	Deceleration	33	18
2026-07-24	0.23	0.2063	13.47	120094	Deceleration	36	18
2026-07-17	0.225	0.2055	13.15	52239	Upward Expansion	40	26
2026-07-10	0.23	0.2047	18.16	229169	Upward Expansion	54	38
2026-07-03	0.24	0.2028	22.71	89780	Upward Expansion	57	41
2026-06-26	0.25	0.2007	31.60	51339	Upward Expansion	65	46
2026-06-19	0.255	0.1977	38.10	99484	Upward Expansion	75	55
2026-06-12	0.22	0.1946	19.69	138991	Upward Expansion	62	58
2026-06-05	0.225	0.1928	25.04	2480119	Upward Expansion	66	78
2026-05-29	0.27	0.1911	51.29	2519538	Upward Expansion	93	94
2026-05-22	0.235	0.1878	33.57	1088758	Upward Expansion	82	86
2026-05-15	0.235	0.1851	39.32	2191251	Upward Expansion	82	77
2026-05-08	0.215	0.1825	29.16	1329081	Balance	69	52
2026-05-01	0.205	0.1805	23.38	2406080	Balance	49	27
2026-04-24	0.1875	0.1789	14.24	795328	Balance	17	9
2026-04-17	0.1875	0.178	12.44	961267	Balance	12	15
2026-04-10	0.175	0.1774	6.97	713310	Balance	-12	20
2026-04-03	0.17	0.1772	6.74	328756	Deceleration	-16	18
2026-03-27	0.175	0.1767	16.30	307858	Deceleration	10	7
2026-03-20	0.1775	0.1767	20.11	503456	Deceleration	37	21
2026-03-13	0.1875	0.1765	24.33	943849	Deceleration	47	30
2026-03-06	0.20	0.1752	34.16	503590	Deceleration	53	28
2026-02-27	0.205	0.1735	31.68	769527	Deceleration	58	26
2026-02-20	0.19	0.1715	26.30	3101269	Deceleration	35	15
2026-02-13	0.165	0.1697	13.57	1694403	Deceleration	18	11
2026-02-06	0.1875	0.1672	31.27	171511	Deceleration	38	22
2026-01-30	0.192	0.164	37.95	1758366	Deceleration	43	25
2026-01-23	0.1875	0.1606	37.49	511724	Upward Expansion	52	31
2026-01-16	0.182	0.1573	33.77	698435	Upward Expansion	57	41
2026-01-09	0.19	0.1544	42.79	422732	Upward Expansion	62	65
2026-01-02	0.195	0.1512	50.53	783990	Upward Expansion	63	69
2025-12-26	0.205	0.1479	61.28	2218366	Upward Expansion	76	74
2025-12-19	0.2025	0.1436	61.00	1850004	Upward Expansion	78	58
2025-12-12	0.1725	0.1393	42.38	459484	Upward Expansion	55	34
2025-12-05	0.1775	0.1361	47.69	694682	Upward Expansion	63	37
2025-11-28	0.16	0.1327	33.58	494254	Upward Expansion	49	32
2025-11-21	0.16	0.1298	36.92	424624	Upward Expansion	53	39
2025-11-14	0.1675	0.1268	41.90	309214	Upward Expansion	53	39
2025-11-07	0.175	0.1232	49.50	1594996	Deceleration	63	41
2025-10-31	0.17	0.1194	45.88	381308	Deceleration	51	33
2025-10-24	0.155	0.1158	35.01	116754	Deceleration	40	27
2025-10-17	0.155	0.1128	40.17	474216	Deceleration	42	29
2025-10-10	0.155	0.1097	40.09	503203	Upward Expansion	46	37
2025-10-03	0.1575	0.1068	42.36	357397	Upward Expansion	50	45
2025-09-26	0.16	0.1038	48.90	401393	Upward Expansion	62	54
2025-09-19	0.17	0.101	60.69	388106	Upward Expansion	69	64
2025-09-12	0.17	0.098	61.16	1537586	Upward Expansion	72	67
2025-09-05	0.155	0.0949	49.03	1472318	Upward Expansion	67	67
2025-08-29	0.175	0.0925	69.63	2663979	Upward Expansion	83	90
2025-08-22	0.17	0.0896	64.16	3003877	Upward Expansion	85	94
2025-08-15	0.15	0.0869	48.64	1084099	Upward Expansion	78	92
2025-08-08	0.1475	0.0847	47.52	926267	Upward Expansion	84	94
2025-08-01	0.145	0.0832	46.55	2385702	Upward Expansion	89	93
2025-07-25	0.1375	0.0817	39.18	3601159	Rotation Up	88	75
2025-07-18	0.09	0.0804	-7.30	176719	Rotation Up	26	24
2025-07-11	0.09	0.0808	-7.65	219064	Rotation Up	30	31
2025-07-04	0.09	0.081	-7.20	250602	Rotation Up	32	48
2025-06-27	0.09	0.0815	-7.71	427823	Rotation Up	34	61
2025-06-20	0.095	0.082	-3.27	280717	Rotation Up	34	61
2025-06-13	0.095	0.0823	-5.05	603762	Balance	38	53
2025-06-06	0.095	0.0826	-5.85	437458	Balance	20	28
2025-05-30	0.075	0.083	-25.82	1469600	Downward Expansion	-14	16
2025-05-23	0.075	0.084	-26.24	96383	Downward Expansion	-26	22
2025-05-16	0.075	0.0847	-26.80	77174	Downward Expansion	-30	27
2025-05-09	0.075	0.0856	-26.33	271910	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2025-05-02	0.0725	0.0865	-29.58	369297	Downward Expansion	-47	35
2025-04-25	0.0725	0.0874	-28.60	860038	Downward Expansion	-62	49
2025-04-18	0.06	0.0884	-40.32	164287	Downward Expansion	-70	70
2025-04-11	0.06	0.0899	-38.58	220418	Downward Expansion	-72	64
2025-04-04	0.0625	0.0919	-37.35	81855	Downward Expansion	-70	77
2025-03-28	0.0635	0.0935	-41.29	356886	Downward Expansion	-72	80
2025-03-21	0.0635	0.095	-41.76	504903	Downward Expansion	-77	81
2025-03-14	0.067	0.0969	-38.88	104998	Downward Expansion	-76	79
2025-03-07	0.067	0.0985	-39.60	893305	Downward Expansion	-80	76
2025-02-28	0.0775	0.0996	-31.71	69354	Downward Expansion	-68	69
2025-02-21	0.0775	0.1002	-30.96	168062	Downward Expansion	-71	71
2025-02-14	0.0775	0.1013	-31.95	724537	Downward Expansion	-73	69
2025-02-07	0.085	0.1029	-25.57	106215	Downward Expansion	-65	65
2025-01-31	0.0862	0.1041	-24.63	195226	Downward Expansion	-65	59
2025-01-24	0.09	0.1054	-20.18	1170282	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2025-01-17	0.085	0.1067	-24.67	731470	Downward Expansion	-70	45
2025-01-10	0.1012	0.1084	-7.57	195307	Downward Expansion	-46	26
2025-01-03	0.1012	0.1096	-7.04	211723	Downward Expansion	-49	39
2024-12-27	0.0975	0.1107	-9.37	322885	Downward Expansion	-55	41
2024-12-20	0.1015	0.1118	-4.62	344450	Downward Expansion	-46	30
2024-12-13	0.095	0.1127	-12.73	246268	Downward Expansion	-59	30
2024-12-06	0.105	0.1135	-3.45	53733	Downward Expansion	-30	14
2024-11-29	0.105	0.1136	-2.68	37336	Downward Expansion	-32	15
2024-11-22	0.105	0.1136	-1.77	247858	Downward Expansion	-34	16
2024-11-15	0.105	0.1136	1.31	80810	Downward Expansion	-38	22
2024-11-08	0.105	0.1136	1.99	459606	Downward Expansion	-50	28
2024-11-01	0.105	0.1138	1.45	471057	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2024-10-25	0.0975	0.1138	-5.94	381390	Downward Expansion	-62	53
2024-10-18	0.1015	0.1141	-2.90	72604	Downward Expansion	-54	50
2024-10-11	0.1015	0.1139	-1.08	278016	Downward Expansion	-57	51
2024-10-04	0.1015	0.1136	-0.83	68687	Deceleration	-30	29
2024-09-27	0.1025	0.1136	0.22	270257	Deceleration	-27	18
2024-09-20	0.1025	0.1135	1.93	972915	Deceleration	-18	12
2024-09-13	0.122	0.1134	21.27	2990871	Deceleration	14	11
2024-09-06	0.11	0.1128	11.50	17714	Deceleration	-2	5
2024-08-30	0.1075	0.1124	6.90	167596	Deceleration	-18	15
2024-08-23	0.1225	0.1123	23.01	705193	Deceleration	-7	18
2024-08-16	0.115	0.111	16.62	788062	Deceleration	-19	29
2024-08-09	0.0975	0.1098	1.29	206020	Deceleration	-32	36
2024-08-02	0.0975	0.1092	1.70	512143	Deceleration	-13	23
2024-07-26	0.11	0.1085	13.67	1062464	Deceleration	17	18
2024-07-19	0.125	0.1074	32.11	296189	Deceleration	39	22
2024-07-12	0.1225	0.1058	29.20	571121	Upward Expansion	44	31
2024-07-05	0.1225	0.1043	31.31	138772	Upward Expansion	59	45
2024-06-28	0.13	0.1025	41.29	266495	Upward Expansion	64	60
2024-06-21	0.1375	0.1003	49.80	74359	Upward Expansion	71	76
2024-06-14	0.135	0.0978	50.53	86959	Upward Expansion	72	79
2024-06-07	0.135	0.0952	50.59	491393	Upward Expansion	76	79
2024-05-31	0.13	0.0927	46.25	106888	Upward Expansion	75	72
2024-05-24	0.13	0.0903	47.13	714820	Upward Expansion	78	64
2024-05-17	0.1175	0.0881	32.84	619840	Upward Expansion	69	44
2024-05-10	0.1075	0.0863	22.37	185761	Upward Expansion	56	36
2024-05-03	0.1075	0.0848	26.22	554203	Upward Expansion	58	41
2024-04-26	0.105	0.0834	24.97	152381	Upward Expansion	55	39
2024-04-19	0.105	0.0821	29.42	240652	Upward Expansion	57	44
2024-04-12	0.11	0.081	34.85	438268	Upward Expansion	66	46
2024-04-05	0.105	0.0798	31.06	149449	Deceleration	60	41
2024-03-29	0.1075	0.0789	34.48	808633	Deceleration	69	43
2024-03-22	0.095	0.0779	20.09	439831	Upward Expansion	45	35
2024-03-15	0.0925	0.0772	20.52	508819	Upward Expansion	59	46
2024-03-08	0.10	0.0764	31.89	80419	Upward Expansion	64	58
2024-03-01	0.10	0.0753	32.37	65324	Upward Expansion	66	75
2024-02-23	0.10	0.0744	32.97	273665	Upward Expansion	69	85
2024-02-16	0.1025	0.0734	36.96	341823	Upward Expansion	79	88
2024-02-09	0.10	0.0724	37.06	533046	Upward Expansion	83	86
2024-02-02	0.1035	0.0713	42.01	1735495	Upward Expansion	93	86
2024-01-26	0.0825	0.0701	13.70	232642	Upward Expansion	72	68
2024-01-19	0.08	0.0697	12.85	394685	Upward Expansion	68	69
2024-01-12	0.079	0.0695	9.15	225814	Rotation Up	68	72
2024-01-05	0.0775	0.0693	6.21	49278	Rotation Up	29	55
2023-12-29	0.0775	0.0691	5.55	41035	Rotation Up	30	48
2023-12-22	0.0775	0.0689	6.10	160558	Downward Expansion	29	31
2023-12-15	0.0765	0.0688	6.49	243387	Downward Expansion	-3	14
2023-12-08	0.0675	0.0686	-5.73	108245	Downward Expansion	-33	17
2023-12-01	0.0638	0.069	-10.81	284801	Downward Expansion	-52	31
2023-11-24	0.0625	0.0697	-12.28	521619	Downward Expansion	-56	39
2023-11-17	0.0588	0.0703	-17.91	152285	Downward Expansion	-62	51
2023-11-10	0.0588	0.0709	-16.66	200861	Downward Expansion	-64	57
2023-11-03	0.06	0.0715	-15.90	164389	Downward Expansion	-63	56
2023-10-27	0.0638	0.0719	-9.29	170508	Downward Expansion	-55	56
2023-10-20	0.0612	0.0722	-14.42	167046	Downward Expansion	-63	58

Price vs TrendAbove+33.9%

Trend directionRising+11.5%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+125.8%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+37.4%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+44.5%

Relative strength directionImproving+26.4%

Price momentumPositive+77.1%

Volume balanceDemand-led6.14×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

78 / ±100

+17.2 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

84 /100

+34.0 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

PEB Directional State ↗ PEB Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance10

Rotation Up84

Upward Expansion97

Deceleration39

Rotation Down8

Downward Expansion19

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 5%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 39%Deceleration 23%Downward Expansion 28%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-18	2026-10-09	New	+3.3%
Deceleration	2026-07-24	2026-09-11	Developing	+10.9%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-15	2026-07-17	Developing	-4.3%
Balance	2026-04-10	2026-05-08	Developing	+22.9%
Deceleration	2026-01-30	2026-04-03	Developing	-11.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-14	2026-01-23	Developing	+11.9%
Deceleration	2025-10-17	2025-11-07	New	+12.9%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-01	2025-10-10	Developing	+6.9%
Rotation Up	2025-06-20	2025-07-25	Developing	+44.7%
Balance	2025-06-06	2025-06-13	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2024-10-11	2025-05-30	Extended	-26.1%
Deceleration	2024-07-19	2024-10-04	Developing	-18.8%
Upward Expansion	2024-04-12	2024-07-12	Established	+11.4%
Deceleration	2024-03-29	2024-04-05	New	-2.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing20

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution50

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2C · Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^FTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 100/100
Current Relative Strength: 44.55
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +77.1%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +77.6%
Technology regime cohort: 76th percentile34 in cohort

Test PEB trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.38×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume6.14×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore PEB Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity GBP 0.297rising

Slow Activity GBP 0.2482rising

Trend Reference GBP 0.2315+33.9% close margin

Current Fair Value GBP 0.1373+125.8% close margin

Structural low GBP 0.17shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +9.5%

Annualized volatility +51.2%

From structural high -6.1%

From structural low +106.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^FTSE	Regime survived	Read
Near term	22	-2.7%-20.4% to +28.1%	+31.8%	+31.8%	-5.5%	+63.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	9	+9.3%-22.6% to +31.2%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+9.7%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	+24.3%-12.8% to +56.2%	+75.0%	+75.0%	+15.4%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	+6.2%+5.6% to +60.0%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+4.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

PEB Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map