Weekly structural research · NYSE · Consumer Defensive

EPC Stage Analysis

Edgewell Personal Care Co

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 27.80Tenure NewBenchmark SPY

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 37−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 21/100directional strength

Maturity 48/100lifecycle context

Confidence 95/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -2.7%USD 28.59 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	27.80	24.48	15.33	2564584	Deceleration	37	21
2026-10-02	26.97	24.21	13.61	2805824	Deceleration	36	19
2026-09-25	27.82	24.01	17.30	2851054	Deceleration	41	26
2026-09-18	27.18	23.83	16.54	3930906	Upward Expansion	44	30
2026-09-11	26.93	23.67	15.76	2252468	Upward Expansion	49	36
2026-09-04	28.71	23.49	22.68	2403205	Upward Expansion	62	45
2026-08-28	28.89	23.21	23.71	2152098	Upward Expansion	63	47
2026-08-21	28.41	22.89	22.32	2722494	Upward Expansion	62	46
2026-08-14	28.26	22.59	20.07	2492701	Upward Expansion	63	49
2026-08-07	28.22	22.26	20.20	4302202	Upward Expansion	65	53
2026-07-31	27.19	21.92	20.05	2385116	Upward Expansion	63	53
2026-07-24	27.63	21.56	23.07	3541542	Upward Expansion	65	75
2026-07-17	29.66	21.22	30.99	3764454	Upward Expansion	83	88
2026-07-10	26.48	20.80	15.13	3483937	Upward Expansion	68	80
2026-07-03	27.21	20.49	19.35	3817904	Upward Expansion	76	79
2026-06-26	27.72	20.14	24.05	9854685	Balance	80	58
2026-06-19	23.11	19.80	1.02	4527672	Balance	48	28
2026-06-12	22.94	19.60	0.74	4116203	Rotation Down	30	17
2026-06-05	19.73	19.42	-13.24	4485117	Rotation Down	-21	33
2026-05-29	17.40	19.37	-26.23	2611774	Rotation Down	-26	38
2026-05-22	17.54	19.43	-25.60	4551662	Rotation Down	-26	31
2026-05-15	15.82	19.48	-33.22	6603878	Rotation Down	-10	13
2026-05-08	21.10	19.62	-12.09	4758023	Upward Expansion	56	45
2026-05-01	22.40	19.55	-5.49	3224857	Upward Expansion	62	66
2026-04-24	23.25	19.47	-2.24	2137809	Upward Expansion	73	70
2026-04-17	23.24	19.34	-3.00	2077233	Deceleration	76	58
2026-04-10	21.74	19.23	-6.39	3015934	Deceleration	53	29
2026-04-03	20.84	19.21	-8.21	3142993	Deceleration	39	23
2026-03-27	20.87	19.28	-6.22	4442718	Deceleration	41	24
2026-03-20	19.30	19.36	-16.21	4254978	Rotation Up	16	17
2026-03-13	19.62	19.49	-17.27	4155723	Rotation Up	34	38
2026-03-06	20.98	19.58	-13.93	4292121	Rotation Up	39	69
2026-02-27	22.42	19.59	-10.93	3475304	Rotation Up	53	78
2026-02-20	22.40	19.66	-12.32	3704561	Rotation Up	49	73
2026-02-13	21.59	19.79	-15.33	5648162	Rotation Up	45	53
2026-02-06	20.46	19.90	-21.41	3214094	Downward Expansion	15	30
2026-01-30	19.19	20.09	-27.24	2816836	Downward Expansion	-2	18
2026-01-23	19.29	20.25	-27.53	2565946	Downward Expansion	-21	18
2026-01-16	18.41	20.36	-31.96	2552688	Downward Expansion	-40	30
2026-01-09	17.95	20.50	-34.81	3136087	Downward Expansion	-47	40
2026-01-02	16.63	20.65	-39.43	2382447	Downward Expansion	-68	56
2025-12-26	17.24	20.97	-38.72	2120923	Downward Expansion	-62	56
2025-12-19	17.28	21.29	-38.59	3939815	Downward Expansion	-64	60
2025-12-12	17.16	21.59	-39.80	3782615	Downward Expansion	-66	64
2025-12-05	16.50	21.94	-43.28	3352213	Downward Expansion	-80	70
2025-11-28	17.46	22.26	-40.71	2859664	Downward Expansion	-72	84
2025-11-21	17.13	22.66	-40.54	5278438	Downward Expansion	-80	87
2025-11-14	17.72	23.08	-40.54	4766590	Downward Expansion	-80	84
2025-11-07	18.31	23.46	-39.30	3625410	Downward Expansion	-78	84
2025-10-31	18.95	23.81	-39.00	3161070	Downward Expansion	-70	60
2025-10-24	19.25	24.13	-38.44	2786889	Downward Expansion	-68	64
2025-10-17	19.80	24.48	-36.21	2722942	Downward Expansion	-66	75
2025-10-10	19.21	24.77	-37.81	2342779	Downward Expansion	-73	82
2025-10-03	19.98	25.10	-37.60	3436108	Downward Expansion	-67	78
2025-09-26	19.29	25.47	-39.75	3799089	Downward Expansion	-78	79
2025-09-19	19.86	25.83	-38.95	4611993	Downward Expansion	-78	66
2025-09-12	21.22	26.15	-34.79	4444908	Downward Expansion	-72	48
2025-09-05	22.87	26.40	-29.49	2364376	Downward Expansion	-57	44
2025-08-29	23.33	26.65	-28.74	2648283	Downward Expansion	-58	56
2025-08-22	23.27	26.94	-29.82	2628508	Downward Expansion	-59	56
2025-08-15	22.27	27.25	-33.46	4670806	Downward Expansion	-67	48
2025-08-08	21.40	27.59	-36.20	9202231	Downward Expansion	-75	43
2025-08-01	24.44	27.88	-26.24	3100444	Downward Expansion	-39	23
2025-07-25	26.22	28.12	-23.64	2572048	Downward Expansion	-38	22
2025-07-18	24.83	28.33	-27.39	4810077	Downward Expansion	-47	36
2025-07-11	26.32	28.60	-23.37	4919126	Downward Expansion	-62	52
2025-07-04	23.91	28.86	-31.23	2432524	Downward Expansion	-67	82
2025-06-27	22.58	29.24	-34.63	3766276	Downward Expansion	-77	87
2025-06-20	22.56	29.65	-33.21	4534696	Downward Expansion	-83	86
2025-06-13	22.49	30.05	-34.25	3577500	Downward Expansion	-89	82
2025-06-06	26.28	30.41	-24.23	3074712	Downward Expansion	-65	63
2025-05-30	26.68	30.68	-22.50	2376846	Downward Expansion	-64	68
2025-05-23	26.47	30.91	-22.39	2445551	Downward Expansion	-68	63
2025-05-16	27.61	31.13	-21.75	3501790	Downward Expansion	-59	41
2025-05-09	26.13	31.35	-22.69	5223892	Downward Expansion	-72	41
2025-05-02	29.53	31.60	-13.77	1871899	Downward Expansion	-39	24
2025-04-25	29.77	31.71	-11.06	1858788	Downward Expansion	-52	33
2025-04-18	29.02	31.88	-9.80	1457371	Downward Expansion	-56	39
2025-04-11	28.79	32.07	-12.19	3021149	Downward Expansion	-59	43
2025-04-04	28.66	32.31	-8.04	2582360	Downward Expansion	-62	45
2025-03-28	29.60	32.57	-13.91	2232970	Downward Expansion	-56	40
2025-03-21	28.41	32.86	-19.06	3097214	Downward Expansion	-71	47
2025-03-14	29.31	33.19	-16.54	2622518	Downward Expansion	-65	44
2025-03-07	30.87	33.43	-14.58	3299707	Downward Expansion	-59	50
2025-02-28	30.25	33.59	-19.33	3171229	Downward Expansion	-61	65
2025-02-21	29.56	33.83	-22.41	2363564	Downward Expansion	-66	66
2025-02-14	28.63	34.12	-26.59	5034989	Downward Expansion	-79	55
2025-02-07	30.38	34.45	-21.57	2554469	Downward Expansion	-70	44
2025-01-31	32.01	34.71	-18.10	1875498	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2025-01-24	32.51	34.89	-18.13	1840684	Downward Expansion	-59	59
2025-01-17	32.41	35.09	-17.45	2516166	Downward Expansion	-62	69
2025-01-10	30.30	35.27	-21.03	1947556	Downward Expansion	-79	80
2025-01-03	31.40	35.48	-20.29	1601842	Downward Expansion	-73	67
2024-12-27	32.78	35.67	-17.70	1001719	Downward Expansion	-59	36
2024-12-20	32.80	35.80	-17.56	3254921	Downward Expansion	-60	28
2024-12-13	34.00	35.94	-16.55	2319953	Downward Expansion	-35	19
2024-12-06	35.33	36.09	-14.22	2622223	Downward Expansion	-31	17
2024-11-29	35.02	36.18	-14.56	1589125	Downward Expansion	-38	21
2024-11-22	34.44	36.21	-15.35	1727415	Downward Expansion	-43	29
2024-11-15	33.25	36.24	-17.28	2280780	Downward Expansion	-63	43
2024-11-08	34.62	36.30	-16.08	2300347	Downward Expansion	-57	40
2024-11-01	33.58	36.28	-15.12	1802392	Downward Expansion	-61	54
2024-10-25	33.03	36.31	-18.12	1325547	Downward Expansion	-71	74
2024-10-18	34.24	36.43	-16.46	1945503	Downward Expansion	-64	73
2024-10-11	33.37	36.48	-18.35	2228753	Rotation Down	-73	79
2024-10-04	32.93	36.55	-18.93	1884137	Rotation Down	-53	69
2024-09-27	34.93	36.67	-14.28	1981326	Rotation Down	-37	53
2024-09-20	34.74	36.71	-14.76	2908568	Balance	-31	38
2024-09-13	35.88	36.77	-11.24	2589474	Balance	-0	2
2024-09-06	36.50	36.78	-6.60	1503884	Balance	8	6
2024-08-30	38.36	36.81	-6.25	2078999	Upward Expansion	41	19
2024-08-23	38.27	36.70	-6.58	1855825	Upward Expansion	37	21
2024-08-16	36.55	36.62	-9.83	2453580	Upward Expansion	20	17
2024-08-09	35.65	36.58	-8.90	2651326	Upward Expansion	14	9
2024-08-02	37.38	36.59	-4.87	2572758	Upward Expansion	53	33
2024-07-26	38.31	36.46	-4.89	2122382	Upward Expansion	58	44
2024-07-19	38.44	36.34	-5.64	1831590	Upward Expansion	61	54
2024-07-12	38.36	36.22	-7.94	1674026	Upward Expansion	63	55
2024-07-05	37.38	36.07	-9.75	1242728	Upward Expansion	52	35
2024-06-28	38.34	35.92	-6.10	2340684	Deceleration	62	38
2024-06-21	37.97	35.74	-7.47	2000555	Deceleration	60	32
2024-06-14	36.62	35.58	-10.73	1495777	Upward Expansion	47	26
2024-06-07	37.09	35.46	-8.69	1511039	Upward Expansion	54	46
2024-05-31	36.66	35.30	-9.13	2215575	Upward Expansion	57	60
2024-05-24	37.01	35.22	-9.14	1808208	Upward Expansion	58	64
2024-05-17	38.37	35.06	-6.34	1835726	Upward Expansion	72	68
2024-05-10	37.98	34.88	-6.38	2384992	Deceleration	57	41
2024-05-03	35.94	34.71	-10.41	1613518	Deceleration	20	13
2024-04-26	35.57	34.63	-11.41	1548733	Deceleration	10	16
2024-04-19	34.83	34.60	-11.60	1226704	Deceleration	9	14
2024-04-12	34.01	34.64	-16.99	1411174	Deceleration	1	9
2024-04-05	34.62	34.72	-17.37	1314893	Deceleration	23	14
2024-03-29	36.72	34.77	-13.77	1157531	Deceleration	47	26
2024-03-22	35.74	34.77	-16.33	1674692	Upward Expansion	38	21
2024-03-15	35.40	34.76	-15.88	2221343	Upward Expansion	42	27
2024-03-08	36.54	34.74	-13.81	1866304	Upward Expansion	56	37
2024-03-01	36.01	34.74	-15.78	1574427	Rotation Up	57	51
2024-02-23	36.61	34.76	-14.20	1137216	Rotation Up	35	47
2024-02-16	36.11	34.78	-14.55	2157170	Rotation Up	32	46
2024-02-09	37.34	34.78	-12.55	3160918	Rotation Up	47	55
2024-02-02	35.31	34.74	-16.66	1981976	Rotation Up	19	39
2024-01-26	35.71	34.79	-15.07	2199040	Rotation Up	24	37
2024-01-19	35.49	34.89	-15.14	1540442	Balance	22	28
2024-01-12	35.78	35.03	-13.88	2195735	Balance	7	18
2024-01-05	33.68	35.19	-17.83	1385136	Balance	-16	15
2023-12-29	34.67	35.37	-17.20	990496	Balance	-19	16
2023-12-22	34.66	35.51	-17.34	1483512	Downward Expansion	-27	15
2023-12-15	33.83	35.64	-18.97	2796898	Downward Expansion	-40	25
2023-12-08	32.99	35.87	-19.47	1667721	Downward Expansion	-53	36
2023-12-01	33.05	36.15	-19.61	1936327	Downward Expansion	-46	38
2023-11-24	33.18	36.38	-19.09	944077	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2023-11-17	33.07	36.64	-18.96	1953597	Downward Expansion	-61	48
2023-11-10	32.24	36.94	-19.58	1912352	Downward Expansion	-72	57
2023-11-03	34.09	37.19	-14.20	2345349	Downward Expansion	-65	72
2023-10-27	32.31	37.37	-14.27	1424605	Downward Expansion	-76	85
2023-10-20	32.99	37.62	-14.98	1641273	Downward Expansion	-72	80

Price vs TrendAbove+13.6%

Trend directionRising+11.7%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-2.7%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+6.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+15.3%

Relative strength directionImproving+0.2%

Price momentumPositive+27.9%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.85×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

37 / ±100

-12.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

21 /100

-14.8 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

EPC Directional State ↗ EPC Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance46

Rotation Up30

Upward Expansion57

Deceleration86

Rotation Down26

Downward Expansion18

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 6%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 21%Deceleration 10%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 51%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-09-25	2026-10-09	New	-0.1%
Upward Expansion	2026-07-03	2026-09-18	Developing	-0.1%
Balance	2026-06-19	2026-06-26	New	+19.9%
Rotation Down	2026-05-15	2026-06-12	Developing	+45.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-04-24	2026-05-08	New	-9.2%
Deceleration	2026-03-27	2026-04-17	New	+11.3%
Rotation Up	2026-02-13	2026-03-20	Developing	-10.6%
Downward Expansion	2024-10-18	2026-02-06	Extended	-40.2%
Rotation Down	2024-09-27	2024-10-11	New	-4.5%
Balance	2024-09-06	2024-09-20	New	-4.8%
Upward Expansion	2024-07-05	2024-08-30	Developing	+2.6%
Deceleration	2024-06-21	2024-06-28	New	+1.0%
Upward Expansion	2024-05-17	2024-06-14	Developing	-4.6%
Deceleration	2024-03-29	2024-05-10	Developing	+3.4%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing29

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution41

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 94/100
Current Relative Strength: 15.33
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +27.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +13.0%
Consumer Defensive regime cohort: 46th percentile13 in cohort

Test EPC trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.72×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.85×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore EPC Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 27.44falling

Slow Activity USD 26.18rising

Trend Reference USD 24.48+13.6% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 28.59-2.7% close margin

Structural low USD 15.62shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +8.9%

Annualized volatility +63.3%

From structural high -6.9%

From structural low +78.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs SPY	Regime survived	Read
Near term	10	+2.2%-7.1% to +11.4%	+70.0%	+70.0%	-0.2%	+40.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	-0.2%-16.5% to +32.8%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-0.9%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	+9.9%-4.9% to +33.3%	+80.0%	+80.0%	+7.7%	+40.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	-14.7%-19.4% to +1.0%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-17.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

EPC Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map