Weekly structural research · MCE · Consumer Cyclical

ITX Stage Analysis

Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close EUR 53.24Tenure NewBenchmark ^IBEX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction -23−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 38/100directional strength

Maturity 52/100lifecycle context

Confidence 60/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +15.3%EUR 46.17 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	53.24	53.85	-5.38	9826127	Deceleration	-23	38
2026-09-25	53.26	53.77	-8.43	8596207	Rotation Down	-5	27
2026-09-18	51.74	53.86	-10.28	14448804	Rotation Down	-3	17
2026-09-11	54.02	54.02	-8.01	10901449	Upward Expansion	30	26
2026-09-04	57.44	54.09	-3.34	6451136	Upward Expansion	65	75
2026-08-28	58.32	54.05	-1.74	895801	Upward Expansion	70	84
2026-08-21	58.22	53.91	-1.40	1363944	Upward Expansion	71	80
2026-08-14	57.60	53.77	-3.29	992435	Upward Expansion	68	71
2026-08-07	58.66	53.68	-1.54	1038972	Rotation Up	78	50
2026-07-31	56.44	53.58	-3.31	1661374	Rotation Up	53	28
2026-07-24	54.46	53.54	-5.74	982435	Rotation Up	16	17
2026-07-17	53.74	53.56	-5.30	1526228	Rotation Up	29	27
2026-07-10	54.96	53.59	-4.06	967844	Rotation Up	35	53
2026-07-03	57.20	53.59	-2.60	799316	Rotation Up	46	65
2026-06-26	56.00	53.48	-2.63	1146218	Rotation Up	30	57
2026-06-19	55.74	53.20	-2.80	3931102	Rotation Up	28	48
2026-06-12	55.94	52.86	0.45	2198229	Balance	28	33
2026-06-05	55.00	52.59	0.89	2194966	Balance	18	12
2026-05-29	53.30	52.32	-2.49	9554411	Balance	-11	9
2026-05-22	50.78	52.11	-5.37	6958880	Balance	-23	28
2026-05-15	49.48	52.02	-6.13	15493898	Balance	-32	27
2026-05-08	51.32	51.93	-4.44	23238590	Balance	-7	6
2026-05-01	50.58	51.73	-5.51	7636672	Balance	-11	12
2026-04-24	51.67	51.60	-3.35	18515440	Balance	23	15
2026-04-17	54.09	51.34	-3.50	12261278	Rotation Down	28	17
2026-04-10	53.09	51.01	-4.15	10124560	Rotation Down	-18	32
2026-04-03	49.94	50.73	-6.85	9285705	Rotation Down	-25	44
2026-03-27	48.66	50.42	-5.50	11861143	Deceleration	-37	45
2026-03-20	49.71	50.16	-3.21	18116520	Deceleration	-13	29
2026-03-13	50.75	49.92	-3.39	16663198	Deceleration	13	16
2026-03-06	51.00	49.63	-3.17	15165853	Upward Expansion	29	28
2026-02-27	55.86	49.31	-1.76	8232105	Upward Expansion	61	54
2026-02-20	56.69	48.77	0.24	6433121	Upward Expansion	69	57
2026-02-13	56.10	48.28	1.62	8579230	Upward Expansion	68	54
2026-02-06	56.18	47.76	-0.27	8705017	Upward Expansion	72	56
2026-01-30	54.07	47.29	-4.15	11205328	Upward Expansion	52	51
2026-01-23	54.07	46.89	-2.91	6753566	Upward Expansion	64	61
2026-01-16	54.92	46.51	-2.79	8876978	Upward Expansion	67	66
2026-01-09	55.51	46.10	-1.90	11353506	Upward Expansion	72	87
2026-01-02	55.39	45.72	-1.77	4828860	Upward Expansion	74	90
2025-12-26	55.13	45.43	-0.94	3472033	Upward Expansion	76	91
2025-12-19	54.70	45.13	-2.22	15327484	Upward Expansion	83	93
2025-12-12	54.82	44.82	-0.73	11217719	Upward Expansion	90	92
2025-12-05	53.93	44.57	-1.83	19055673	Upward Expansion	90	68
2025-11-28	47.44	44.27	-12.58	16551683	Upward Expansion	63	41
2025-11-21	45.75	44.23	-13.43	8745225	Upward Expansion	58	42
2025-11-14	47.91	44.25	-12.97	8957681	Upward Expansion	71	67
2025-11-07	46.74	44.14	-13.34	27143683	Rotation Up	65	68
2025-10-31	47.09	44.01	-14.04	6544697	Rotation Up	41	65
2025-10-24	48.03	43.86	-12.03	27819133	Rotation Up	55	73
2025-10-17	46.65	43.72	-13.76	9097605	Rotation Up	39	62
2025-10-10	45.39	43.64	-15.98	9827141	Rotation Up	26	53
2025-10-03	46.72	43.55	-14.73	13944383	Balance	41	48
2025-09-26	43.79	43.59	-19.38	11351917	Balance	-3	18
2025-09-19	44.37	43.78	-18.42	15425468	Downward Expansion	-9	12
2025-09-12	44.65	43.96	-18.70	14259756	Downward Expansion	-14	11
2025-09-05	40.65	44.19	-24.16	7257684	Downward Expansion	-52	33
2025-08-29	40.78	44.50	-24.83	9807959	Downward Expansion	-51	32
2025-08-22	42.53	44.81	-24.47	5700936	Downward Expansion	-45	35
2025-08-15	42.02	44.94	-25.32	5980761	Downward Expansion	-58	44
2025-08-08	41.35	45.10	-24.75	9430836	Downward Expansion	-62	55
2025-08-01	39.75	45.31	-24.52	11811208	Downward Expansion	-78	76
2025-07-25	41.93	45.57	-21.41	8539431	Downward Expansion	-64	72
2025-07-18	40.65	45.75	-22.77	14407168	Downward Expansion	-78	80
2025-07-11	41.95	45.98	-20.80	10323334	Downward Expansion	-67	75
2025-07-04	42.07	46.17	-20.75	7515099	Downward Expansion	-67	70
2025-06-27	42.59	46.53	-20.09	10035595	Balance	-63	58
2025-06-20	42.73	46.77	-19.50	12846320	Balance	-61	42
2025-06-13	44.18	47.02	-17.50	17099207	Balance	-41	19
2025-06-06	46.51	47.16	-15.52	10096386	Balance	-12	11
2025-05-30	46.11	47.26	-15.87	10478090	Balance	-26	14
2025-05-23	45.49	47.39	-16.88	8237617	Balance	-26	17
2025-05-16	47.38	47.57	-13.37	12115958	Downward Expansion	-21	19
2025-05-09	44.92	47.67	-14.87	11781083	Downward Expansion	-36	21
2025-05-02	46.30	47.83	-11.68	12796557	Downward Expansion	-41	23
2025-04-25	46.25	47.91	-11.28	19817296	Downward Expansion	-57	38
2025-04-18	44.52	48.03	-11.82	6751135	Downward Expansion	-62	53
2025-04-11	43.10	48.17	-10.37	20562895	Downward Expansion	-66	73
2025-04-04	42.39	48.30	-12.92	12286354	Downward Expansion	-76	83
2025-03-28	43.90	48.34	-16.00	11914888	Downward Expansion	-70	77
2025-03-21	44.38	48.41	-15.59	17527340	Rotation Down	-70	70
2025-03-14	42.59	48.47	-17.06	17478665	Rotation Down	-49	46
2025-03-07	47.88	48.50	-8.82	10546518	Balance	25	17
2025-02-28	49.38	48.29	-6.61	9420173	Deceleration	49	41
2025-02-21	49.80	48.01	-2.97	8178378	Deceleration	50	37
2025-02-14	51.60	47.75	0.58	6143062	Deceleration	53	35
2025-02-07	50.01	47.44	-0.34	8254030	Deceleration	39	19
2025-01-31	50.06	47.25	2.51	10595839	Deceleration	32	16
2025-01-24	46.45	47.00	-1.63	8131629	Deceleration	-24	33
2025-01-17	46.89	46.90	0.00	10318274	Deceleration	-4	17
2025-01-10	47.61	46.80	3.39	6851879	Deceleration	4	19
2025-01-03	47.46	46.64	3.93	3752738	Deceleration	2	18
2024-12-27	47.32	46.49	5.04	3140820	Deceleration	10	10
2024-12-20	47.54	46.27	6.39	12618971	Deceleration	30	19
2024-12-13	47.67	46.06	4.40	16430360	Upward Expansion	40	31
2024-12-06	53.01	45.82	13.33	7657777	Upward Expansion	76	51
2024-11-29	49.55	45.39	10.39	12584067	Upward Expansion	44	32
2024-11-22	50.29	45.08	12.33	7792743	Upward Expansion	54	40
2024-11-15	48.45	44.79	8.88	13972334	Upward Expansion	50	43
2024-11-08	49.38	44.52	12.24	23313193	Upward Expansion	63	55
2024-11-01	50.03	44.21	11.42	10157744	Upward Expansion	66	63
2024-10-25	51.07	43.93	14.56	27743957	Upward Expansion	77	79
2024-10-18	50.26	43.66	12.27	11168691	Upward Expansion	75	85
2024-10-11	49.81	43.40	13.72	8202067	Upward Expansion	74	87
2024-10-04	48.54	43.12	11.92	9661727	Upward Expansion	68	83
2024-09-27	49.91	42.75	12.52	9997624	Upward Expansion	85	86
2024-09-20	48.69	42.35	12.24	11087790	Upward Expansion	84	82
2024-09-13	47.16	41.98	11.16	10951217	Upward Expansion	77	77
2024-09-06	43.62	41.63	6.57	7757899	Upward Expansion	56	65
2024-08-30	45.85	41.37	10.06	8145308	Upward Expansion	70	67
2024-08-23	46.24	41.06	12.62	6793573	Deceleration	72	40
2024-08-16	43.61	40.71	9.86	5478916	Deceleration	42	21
2024-08-09	41.39	40.45	7.70	8198244	Deceleration	22	19
2024-08-02	40.98	40.27	6.68	7553775	Deceleration	27	15
2024-07-26	42.08	40.05	5.06	6491477	Upward Expansion	42	28
2024-07-19	42.34	39.86	6.74	8946086	Upward Expansion	57	41
2024-07-12	44.26	39.65	10.30	7336425	Upward Expansion	73	59
2024-07-05	42.51	39.35	8.46	7712647	Upward Expansion	63	65
2024-06-28	43.39	39.09	11.83	10965977	Upward Expansion	69	76
2024-06-21	43.83	38.82	12.44	13503042	Upward Expansion	77	75
2024-06-14	43.02	38.50	11.15	11653766	Upward Expansion	72	62
2024-06-07	42.75	38.16	6.83	10496113	Deceleration	69	44
2024-05-31	40.77	37.79	2.94	9455084	Deceleration	42	28
2024-05-24	41.47	37.46	5.67	6603560	Deceleration	50	31
2024-05-17	40.39	37.06	2.54	11224447	Deceleration	41	29
2024-05-10	40.14	36.72	4.23	11896777	Deceleration	42	31
2024-05-03	40.08	36.41	6.80	12629722	Upward Expansion	45	35
2024-04-26	41.72	36.13	8.52	34671622	Upward Expansion	68	53
2024-04-19	40.25	35.81	9.26	18182686	Upward Expansion	63	59
2024-04-12	40.17	35.53	9.99	7202188	Upward Expansion	66	81
2024-04-05	41.59	35.28	11.99	10295982	Upward Expansion	68	88
2024-03-29	42.94	34.96	14.56	7191495	Upward Expansion	88	94
2024-03-22	42.54	34.58	15.45	8511231	Upward Expansion	93	95
2024-03-15	41.48	34.19	16.87	18064873	Upward Expansion	93	90
2024-03-08	37.42	33.83	9.06	8542428	Upward Expansion	66	68
2024-03-01	37.82	33.59	13.40	9260414	Upward Expansion	76	72
2024-02-23	37.73	33.34	13.08	6902031	Upward Expansion	81	66
2024-02-16	36.44	33.13	12.55	6915678	Upward Expansion	68	53
2024-02-09	35.94	32.96	11.52	8769752	Upward Expansion	61	50
2024-02-02	36.46	32.82	11.90	8546084	Upward Expansion	73	56
2024-01-26	35.76	32.63	11.69	7534288	Upward Expansion	64	50
2024-01-19	35.76	32.50	13.14	9544388	Upward Expansion	66	54
2024-01-12	35.92	32.33	11.59	7823475	Upward Expansion	70	58
2024-01-05	34.61	32.17	7.32	6968265	Upward Expansion	66	61
2023-12-29	36.28	32.02	13.64	2650858	Upward Expansion	78	89
2023-12-22	35.93	31.78	13.07	7530232	Upward Expansion	79	90
2023-12-15	35.34	31.52	12.00	22564980	Upward Expansion	77	88
2023-12-08	34.85	31.28	9.64	9834662	Upward Expansion	75	85
2023-12-01	35.25	31.07	12.34	10732073	Upward Expansion	84	84
2023-11-24	34.28	30.85	12.04	14606673	Balance	77	64
2023-11-17	32.81	30.64	9.74	13358502	Balance	50	23
2023-11-10	31.53	30.48	10.36	15369068	Balance	15	18
2023-11-03	30.85	30.35	9.38	20527552	Upward Expansion	3	20
2023-10-27	29.50	30.22	9.46	64051616	Upward Expansion	-12	22
2023-10-20	30.21	30.15	11.25	10649304	Upward Expansion	12	12
2023-10-13	30.83	30.00	11.60	10555101	Upward Expansion	36	23

Price vs TrendBelow-1.1%

Trend directionRising+0.6%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+15.3%

Fair Value directionMoving away-14.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-5.4%

Relative strength directionWeakening-2.8%

Price momentumPositive+6.6%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.32×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-23 / ±100

-87.8 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

38 /100

-36.7 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

ITX Directional State ↗ ITX Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance35

Rotation Up17

Upward Expansion20

Deceleration70

Rotation Down69

Downward Expansion45

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 13%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 46%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 13%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-10-02	2026-10-02	New	+0.0%
Rotation Down	2026-09-18	2026-09-25	New	+2.9%
Upward Expansion	2026-08-14	2026-09-11	Developing	-6.2%
Rotation Up	2026-06-19	2026-08-07	Developing	+5.2%
Balance	2026-04-24	2026-06-12	Developing	+8.3%
Rotation Down	2026-04-03	2026-04-17	New	+8.3%
Deceleration	2026-03-13	2026-03-27	New	-4.1%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-14	2026-03-06	Established	+6.5%
Rotation Up	2025-10-10	2025-11-07	Developing	+3.0%
Balance	2025-09-26	2025-10-03	New	+6.7%
Downward Expansion	2025-07-04	2025-09-19	Developing	+5.5%
Balance	2025-05-23	2025-06-27	Developing	-6.4%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-28	2025-05-16	Developing	+7.9%
Rotation Down	2025-03-14	2025-03-21	New	+4.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing41

Stage 2 · Advancing42

Stage 3 · Distribution84

Stage 4 · Declining58

Legacy result: Stage 3 · Stage 3C · Breakdown watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^IBEX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 84/100
Current Relative Strength: -5.38
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +6.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -2.1%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 60th percentile5 in cohort

Test ITX trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.27×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.32×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 4

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore ITX Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity EUR 53.33falling

Slow Activity EUR 54.86falling

Trend Reference EUR 53.85-1.1% close margin

Current Fair Value EUR 46.17+15.3% close margin

Structural low EUR 48.29shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +3.9%

Annualized volatility +22.4%

From structural high -10.0%

From structural low +17.5%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^IBEX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	11	+4.6%-17.5% to +11.9%	+63.6%	+63.6%	+2.8%	+45.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	+6.1%-6.7% to +19.3%	+83.3%	+83.3%	+2.4%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	5	+6.4%-10.1% to +23.0%	+60.0%	+60.0%	-5.6%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	3	-3.7%-18.8% to +42.0%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-11.1%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

ITX Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map