Weekly structural research · MEX · Technology

INTC Stage Analysis

Intel Corporation

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close MXN 2,182.27Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^MXX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction 62−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 42/100directional strength

Maturity 54/100lifecycle context

Confidence 63/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +183.2%MXN 770.66 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	2,182.27	1,627.76	78.49	65279	Deceleration	62	42
2026-09-18	1,870.00	1,581.18	60.64	31640	Deceleration	32	17
2026-09-11	1,748.84	1,544.15	52.22	23971	Deceleration	1	20
2026-09-04	1,606.33	1,512.42	40.82	20458	Deceleration	-1	28
2026-08-28	1,529.40	1,487.87	35.36	21184	Deceleration	-9	29
2026-08-21	1,522.84	1,463.93	36.66	4213	Deceleration	-10	23
2026-08-14	1,747.24	1,439.39	62.88	10035	Deceleration	7	22
2026-08-07	1,735.34	1,408.82	59.16	2871	Deceleration	7	25
2026-07-31	1,582.45	1,378.31	48.56	6117	Deceleration	16	27
2026-07-24	1,605.78	1,349.20	55.25	3098	Deceleration	31	27
2026-07-17	1,682.02	1,317.31	65.58	3355	Upward Expansion	46	35
2026-07-10	1,921.89	1,283.34	93.87	3320	Upward Expansion	62	57
2026-07-03	2,123.07	1,242.95	118.32	105	Upward Expansion	65	64
2026-06-26	2,266.63	1,197.51	140.35	6084	Upward Expansion	74	67
2026-06-19	2,330.00	1,146.79	154.49	237	Upward Expansion	84	71
2026-06-12	2,149.08	1,090.53	143.28	8864	Upward Expansion	81	70
2026-06-05	1,728.24	1,040.52	108.71	7341	Upward Expansion	68	67
2026-05-29	2,042.69	1,006.29	145.24	38089	Upward Expansion	74	74
2026-05-22	2,072.00	962.98	159.20	46827	Upward Expansion	84	94
2026-05-15	1,890.60	917.54	147.38	120530	Upward Expansion	81	93
2026-05-08	2,145.63	877.22	183.15	112118	Upward Expansion	99	100
2026-05-01	1,639.53	828.44	132.35	72214	Upward Expansion	97	99
2026-04-24	1,424.58	796.36	104.28	121382	Upward Expansion	95	98
2026-04-17	1,184.09	770.69	72.86	43925	Upward Expansion	91	90
2026-04-10	1,083.29	749.38	60.77	139434	Deceleration	85	72
2026-04-03	856.26	728.14	29.67	19325	Deceleration	58	32
2026-03-27	781.00	714.87	24.72	23361	Deceleration	34	18
2026-03-20	788.70	703.95	31.76	28597	Deceleration	36	21
2026-03-13	818.00	693.03	34.29	33942	Deceleration	42	22
2026-03-06	774.90	681.18	24.92	49588	Upward Expansion	37	20
2026-02-27	785.00	667.72	20.21	13613	Upward Expansion	43	30
2026-02-20	758.99	653.70	16.59	19075	Upward Expansion	56	38
2026-02-13	797.01	641.21	22.65	56519	Upward Expansion	61	47
2026-02-06	870.00	629.14	35.78	93544	Upward Expansion	76	70
2026-01-30	811.03	614.72	33.97	65155	Upward Expansion	65	67
2026-01-23	786.78	601.35	29.97	257641	Upward Expansion	62	63
2026-01-16	830.00	589.34	40.27	98565	Upward Expansion	77	63
2026-01-09	820.16	575.17	41.93	131737	Deceleration	78	47
2026-01-02	709.00	560.59	27.61	82887	Deceleration	46	28
2025-12-26	649.00	549.77	14.76	16543	Upward Expansion	43	32
2025-12-19	663.17	540.86	20.74	22307	Upward Expansion	56	44
2025-12-12	710.00	531.65	28.50	10678	Upward Expansion	57	46
2025-12-05	760.00	522.06	41.41	262966	Upward Expansion	72	51
2025-11-28	745.12	510.59	39.36	30207	Upward Expansion	65	48
2025-11-21	641.92	499.23	23.95	17241	Upward Expansion	51	48
2025-11-14	649.00	490.86	24.54	24034	Upward Expansion	64	59
2025-11-07	701.37	481.99	32.52	56624	Upward Expansion	67	65
2025-10-31	743.13	471.88	42.07	44258	Upward Expansion	81	85
2025-10-24	708.87	460.73	39.93	94380	Upward Expansion	77	90
2025-10-17	680.97	452.57	33.99	99180	Upward Expansion	73	90
2025-10-10	682.29	446.50	37.68	38000	Upward Expansion	83	93
2025-10-03	677.11	439.80	34.34	70205	Upward Expansion	91	95
2025-09-26	654.43	431.04	29.98	134605	Upward Expansion	94	91
2025-09-19	544.96	425.50	10.62	158563	Rotation Up	85	76
2025-09-12	446.09	424.36	-10.20	13884	Rotation Up	30	53
2025-09-05	458.00	425.61	-5.81	21365	Rotation Up	33	42
2025-08-29	453.62	423.44	-3.85	71335	Balance	21	33
2025-08-22	460.98	421.79	-3.25	235376	Balance	24	20
2025-08-15	462.63	420.50	-1.28	202113	Balance	-7	11
2025-08-08	371.00	419.96	-20.34	38535	Balance	-60	54
2025-08-01	364.40	420.84	-20.29	186419	Balance	-60	32
2025-07-25	384.30	422.81	-16.84	87191	Balance	-29	16
2025-07-18	434.99	423.73	-5.07	19446	Balance	18	23
2025-07-11	437.30	422.22	-5.86	44584	Downward Expansion	-10	16
2025-07-04	410.00	421.28	-14.56	49934	Downward Expansion	-32	17
2025-06-27	426.33	421.67	-11.07	50888	Downward Expansion	-31	17
2025-06-20	404.91	423.64	-14.52	40417	Downward Expansion	-54	43
2025-06-13	382.92	426.85	-21.45	157425	Downward Expansion	-58	54
2025-06-06	384.41	430.72	-22.70	31182	Downward Expansion	-57	42
2025-05-30	381.44	435.47	-23.70	17325	Downward Expansion	-58	30
2025-05-23	387.00	438.48	-23.81	63424	Downward Expansion	-56	28
2025-05-16	422.29	440.73	-16.74	24078	Downward Expansion	-48	26
2025-05-09	416.02	441.62	-16.25	35500	Downward Expansion	-53	43
2025-05-02	404.13	442.90	-17.82	23532	Downward Expansion	-55	54
2025-04-25	390.95	443.92	-22.10	39991	Balance	-57	51
2025-04-18	382.72	446.56	-18.86	12776	Balance	-59	38
2025-04-11	398.08	448.22	-13.72	68852	Balance	-27	17
2025-04-04	408.85	447.60	-11.84	33218	Balance	-10	7
2025-03-28	464.00	446.58	-3.80	7451	Balance	38	20
2025-03-21	498.99	445.53	3.59	66835	Balance	52	35
2025-03-14	481.03	441.87	-0.44	180376	Balance	46	39
2025-03-07	414.45	438.76	-15.44	149227	Balance	26	27
2025-02-28	488.29	437.47	-0.56	26236	Balance	57	47
2025-02-21	510.78	434.91	0.41	270189	Balance	57	32
2025-02-14	483.63	437.06	-6.19	155566	Downward Expansion	-10	6
2025-02-07	392.75	440.82	-22.63	93638	Downward Expansion	-60	33
2025-01-31	404.09	448.43	-18.78	228726	Downward Expansion	-45	25
2025-01-24	422.21	454.27	-16.16	118439	Downward Expansion	-37	21
2025-01-17	446.55	459.14	-9.68	113548	Downward Expansion	-48	29
2025-01-10	397.27	463.14	-20.02	73619	Downward Expansion	-64	63
2025-01-03	423.65	468.56	-14.63	12517	Downward Expansion	-58	62
2024-12-27	411.77	473.25	-18.41	47663	Balance	-57	53
2024-12-20	389.74	476.83	-24.16	272773	Balance	-58	45
2024-12-13	409.07	480.93	-24.43	507269	Balance	-48	30
2024-12-06	421.80	484.99	-22.51	198907	Rotation Up	-35	16
2024-11-29	485.50	487.71	-8.96	119003	Rotation Up	20	39
2024-11-22	501.00	489.00	-7.89	27372	Rotation Up	22	41
2024-11-15	499.01	490.49	-9.00	36031	Balance	21	28
2024-11-08	526.99	493.38	-7.16	152240	Balance	14	21
2024-11-01	471.80	495.69	-15.34	124024	Balance	-14	15
2024-10-25	454.50	501.17	-20.79	75497	Downward Expansion	-30	18
2024-10-18	448.90	510.08	-24.18	59732	Downward Expansion	-33	23
2024-10-11	454.44	518.94	-22.97	186316	Downward Expansion	-37	24
2024-10-04	434.89	527.77	-27.16	192871	Downward Expansion	-42	29
2024-09-27	470.05	537.93	-22.17	535079	Downward Expansion	-48	39
2024-09-20	432.49	547.42	-27.98	369991	Downward Expansion	-62	52
2024-09-13	379.44	557.59	-36.96	117545	Downward Expansion	-72	66
2024-09-06	378.34	569.66	-36.55	107266	Downward Expansion	-75	80
2024-08-30	432.35	581.66	-30.61	109349	Downward Expansion	-67	87
2024-08-23	389.43	591.60	-38.53	153740	Downward Expansion	-73	90
2024-08-16	387.55	603.53	-39.81	141630	Downward Expansion	-82	93
2024-08-09	375.97	618.17	-40.79	92908	Downward Expansion	-89	91
2024-08-02	411.27	632.22	-34.64	124491	Downward Expansion	-80	51
2024-07-26	575.46	644.66	-10.01	21751	Balance	-13	19
2024-07-19	596.23	653.97	-8.30	143180	Downward Expansion	-14	20
2024-07-12	621.02	661.24	-6.65	86567	Downward Expansion	-19	23
2024-07-05	579.48	667.01	-8.37	39456	Downward Expansion	-38	28
2024-06-28	568.11	672.41	-10.23	14097	Downward Expansion	-41	30
2024-06-21	566.74	678.50	-11.02	95955	Downward Expansion	-45	40
2024-06-14	559.88	684.40	-11.14	85623	Downward Expansion	-50	51
2024-06-07	564.24	690.71	-11.82	87606	Downward Expansion	-63	61
2024-05-31	519.17	694.69	-22.01	40765	Downward Expansion	-66	66
2024-05-24	512.83	699.60	-23.39	38131	Downward Expansion	-71	82
2024-05-17	530.82	704.07	-23.71	31098	Downward Expansion	-68	88
2024-05-10	503.41	707.86	-27.88	150007	Downward Expansion	-84	94
2024-05-03	524.26	712.96	-24.19	44586	Downward Expansion	-86	94
2024-04-26	545.53	717.39	-22.17	34929	Rotation Down	-89	95
2024-04-19	585.67	719.79	-13.60	13350	Rotation Down	-58	79
2024-04-12	596.38	720.42	-13.05	381141	Rotation Down	-61	73
2024-04-05	636.27	722.10	-9.67	18176	Deceleration	-46	55
2024-03-29	721.87	723.10	3.73	9657	Deceleration	1	18
2024-03-22	714.53	719.85	4.33	18773	Deceleration	-1	13
2024-03-15	719.32	714.65	6.13	6425	Deceleration	1	9
2024-03-08	739.86	709.32	12.08	62143	Deceleration	12	11
2024-03-01	754.57	704.18	13.80	19432	Deceleration	15	15
2024-02-23	737.59	699.01	9.89	7255	Deceleration	14	20
2024-02-16	741.58	694.85	10.31	33495	Deceleration	26	27
2024-02-09	738.48	689.39	10.11	18847	Deceleration	33	24
2024-02-02	730.59	683.11	7.79	54902	Deceleration	40	26
2024-01-26	747.37	677.03	13.28	234279	Upward Expansion	48	38
2024-01-19	826.72	671.27	29.24	5296	Upward Expansion	71	63
2024-01-12	797.42	662.72	25.27	20726	Upward Expansion	64	63
2024-01-05	784.44	656.95	22.75	2637	Upward Expansion	66	77
2023-12-29	854.75	648.82	31.71	87204	Upward Expansion	89	93
2023-12-22	814.40	638.54	26.60	22132	Upward Expansion	85	91
2023-12-15	794.12	628.37	24.75	8843	Upward Expansion	83	90
2023-12-08	741.46	619.51	23.04	2478	Upward Expansion	67	85
2023-12-01	750.65	611.71	26.27	14450	Upward Expansion	76	87
2023-11-24	743.72	605.07	28.02	9302	Upward Expansion	79	84
2023-11-17	749.45	598.99	30.33	15123	Upward Expansion	86	77
2023-11-10	683.50	592.15	22.81	9662	Upward Expansion	70	50
2023-11-03	666.39	588.50	20.12	5776	Upward Expansion	65	46
2023-10-27	646.94	586.31	22.60	10011	Upward Expansion	57	44
2023-10-20	644.48	584.29	24.23	2305	Upward Expansion	58	43
2023-10-13	656.39	580.93	24.14	1476	Upward Expansion	66	44
2023-10-06	657.41	577.84	24.03	3879	Upward Expansion	70	53

Price vs TrendAbove+34.1%

Trend directionRising+23.6%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+183.2%

Fair Value directionMoving away-53.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+78.5%

Relative strength directionWeakening-61.9%

Price momentumPositive+179.4%

Volume balanceDemand-led8.68×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

62 / ±100

+71.4 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

42 /100

+13.7 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

INTC Directional State ↗ INTC Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance29

Rotation Up66

Upward Expansion66

Deceleration66

Rotation Down12

Downward Expansion14

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 4%Upward Expansion 34%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 2%Downward Expansion 28%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-07-24	2026-09-25	Developing	+35.9%
Upward Expansion	2026-04-17	2026-07-17	Established	+42.1%
Deceleration	2026-03-13	2026-04-10	Developing	+32.4%
Upward Expansion	2026-01-16	2026-03-06	Developing	-6.6%
Deceleration	2026-01-02	2026-01-09	New	+15.7%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-26	2025-12-26	Established	-0.8%
Rotation Up	2025-09-05	2025-09-19	New	+19.0%
Balance	2025-07-18	2025-08-29	Developing	+4.3%
Downward Expansion	2025-05-02	2025-07-11	Developing	+8.2%
Balance	2025-02-21	2025-04-25	Developing	-23.5%
Downward Expansion	2025-01-03	2025-02-14	Developing	+14.2%
Balance	2024-12-13	2024-12-27	New	+0.7%
Rotation Up	2024-11-22	2024-12-06	New	-15.8%
Balance	2024-11-01	2024-11-15	New	+5.8%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing0

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution76

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2C · Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MXX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 100/100
Current Relative Strength: 78.49
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +179.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +182.0%
Technology regime cohort: 31th percentile29 in cohort

Test INTC trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume3.08×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume8.68×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution4 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore INTC Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity MXN 1,892.00rising

Slow Activity MXN 1,779.92rising

Trend Reference MXN 1,627.76+34.1% close margin

Current Fair Value MXN 770.66+183.2% close margin

Structural low MXN 739.20shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +9.6%

Annualized volatility +85.4%

From structural high -6.3%

From structural low +258.9%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^MXX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	9	+3.3%-24.4% to +98.1%	+55.6%	+55.6%	+7.9%	+55.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	4	+10.5%-28.2% to +147.9%	+75.0%	+75.0%	+4.8%	+25.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	3	-2.3%-43.7% to +199.4%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-9.2%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	-37.1%-44.7% to -29.4%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-28.8%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

INTC Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map