Weekly structural research · TOR · Financial Services

POW Stage Analysis

Power Corporation of Canada

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close CAD 94.28Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^GSPTSE

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction 61−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 53/100directional strength

Maturity 100/100lifecycle context

Confidence 72/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +50.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +78.0%CAD 52.98 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	94.28	83.27	15.56	15318400	Upward Expansion	61	53
2026-09-18	94.56	82.38	16.60	12318600	Upward Expansion	65	56
2026-09-11	94.37	81.41	17.44	9205900	Upward Expansion	64	54
2026-09-04	95.28	80.40	16.60	8163700	Upward Expansion	74	63
2026-08-28	92.27	79.35	13.45	5634200	Upward Expansion	63	62
2026-08-21	91.39	78.54	12.70	758700	Upward Expansion	66	66
2026-08-14	95.00	77.80	17.32	1673100	Upward Expansion	74	70
2026-08-07	93.49	77.02	17.17	2757300	Upward Expansion	68	77
2026-07-31	95.80	76.29	24.60	2119300	Upward Expansion	86	91
2026-07-24	92.90	75.47	21.10	3092100	Upward Expansion	80	87
2026-07-17	91.87	74.78	20.83	2290200	Upward Expansion	81	86
2026-07-10	91.04	74.09	20.32	2361200	Upward Expansion	83	89
2026-07-03	89.74	73.44	19.50	746300	Upward Expansion	84	90
2026-06-26	85.80	72.76	15.81	2655000	Upward Expansion	68	86
2026-06-19	88.33	72.23	19.82	3732400	Upward Expansion	88	95
2026-06-12	85.95	71.58	17.34	1942900	Upward Expansion	86	94
2026-06-05	83.32	71.00	16.09	3055600	Upward Expansion	80	91
2026-05-29	82.69	70.42	14.58	7859400	Upward Expansion	84	93
2026-05-22	80.87	69.81	13.48	4798600	Upward Expansion	83	93
2026-05-15	79.14	69.20	13.64	5571700	Upward Expansion	82	90
2026-05-08	78.79	68.55	12.83	8555800	Upward Expansion	89	91
2026-05-01	75.62	67.96	9.30	11414000	Upward Expansion	80	81
2026-04-24	73.04	67.41	5.79	13340900	Deceleration	62	64
2026-04-17	73.36	66.87	5.06	10894700	Deceleration	63	44
2026-04-10	70.07	66.32	2.45	12269300	Deceleration	35	21
2026-04-03	68.40	65.90	1.92	15942600	Deceleration	27	15
2026-03-27	65.52	65.50	1.10	24364100	Deceleration	-17	20
2026-03-20	64.23	65.20	1.23	17420200	Deceleration	-8	15
2026-03-13	65.58	64.93	-0.38	13272200	Deceleration	-0	13
2026-03-06	65.29	64.60	-2.34	10690900	Deceleration	-3	20
2026-02-27	67.83	64.29	-2.20	9529600	Deceleration	1	25
2026-02-20	65.33	63.84	-4.23	8591300	Deceleration	-1	30
2026-02-13	64.01	63.46	-3.93	9113200	Deceleration	-11	30
2026-02-06	63.85	63.08	-2.24	15277400	Deceleration	9	20
2026-01-30	67.98	62.68	6.05	12827200	Upward Expansion	45	38
2026-01-23	69.26	62.13	4.57	9016500	Upward Expansion	52	51
2026-01-16	71.46	61.55	8.73	9265900	Upward Expansion	65	63
2026-01-09	71.68	60.86	11.07	9796800	Upward Expansion	68	65
2026-01-02	71.21	60.15	13.47	7710300	Upward Expansion	68	67
2025-12-26	72.11	59.44	15.14	4699600	Upward Expansion	77	70
2025-12-19	71.09	58.74	14.98	11789800	Upward Expansion	74	70
2025-12-12	71.78	58.00	17.54	9873400	Upward Expansion	85	74
2025-12-05	69.22	57.20	14.76	7287900	Upward Expansion	72	76
2025-11-28	69.84	56.52	16.10	8199900	Upward Expansion	83	93
2025-11-21	68.98	55.83	19.91	10359900	Upward Expansion	87	95
2025-11-14	68.40	55.16	18.94	9131600	Upward Expansion	93	97
2025-11-07	65.91	54.47	16.83	12337500	Upward Expansion	92	96
2025-10-31	64.49	53.79	13.52	8687100	Upward Expansion	90	94
2025-10-24	62.54	53.27	10.21	11932400	Upward Expansion	87	88
2025-10-17	59.55	52.80	6.19	8218100	Upward Expansion	69	66
2025-10-10	61.15	52.40	10.33	13584300	Upward Expansion	90	73
2025-10-03	59.04	51.90	4.74	16259700	Upward Expansion	83	69
2025-09-26	56.82	51.52	3.48	21246700	Upward Expansion	66	61
2025-09-19	57.06	51.18	4.17	12227200	Upward Expansion	71	66
2025-09-12	57.46	50.79	6.92	8917700	Upward Expansion	80	75
2025-09-05	56.30	50.39	5.96	5262300	Upward Expansion	70	81
2025-08-29	56.47	50.02	8.38	9248900	Upward Expansion	76	88
2025-08-22	56.11	49.53	8.96	6871300	Upward Expansion	76	88
2025-08-15	55.78	49.03	10.45	8318100	Upward Expansion	78	89
2025-08-08	55.95	48.53	11.91	7328000	Upward Expansion	86	91
2025-08-01	54.36	48.02	12.28	7720700	Upward Expansion	81	85
2025-07-25	53.95	47.59	10.04	9096400	Upward Expansion	82	80
2025-07-18	52.75	47.22	8.69	10191400	Upward Expansion	76	74
2025-07-11	51.88	46.87	8.46	21080500	Upward Expansion	70	65
2025-07-04	51.29	46.59	7.45	8505100	Upward Expansion	66	60
2025-06-27	51.90	46.36	10.54	21483100	Upward Expansion	74	64
2025-06-20	50.83	46.11	9.47	14951800	Upward Expansion	67	61
2025-06-13	50.22	45.87	8.51	10327000	Upward Expansion	64	54
2025-06-06	50.03	45.62	8.75	10302900	Upward Expansion	64	47
2025-05-30	51.00	45.41	12.23	9025000	Upward Expansion	76	51
2025-05-23	48.87	45.09	9.16	5486000	Upward Expansion	62	44
2025-05-16	48.01	44.84	7.15	7374800	Upward Expansion	59	45
2025-05-09	48.59	44.63	11.39	8822800	Upward Expansion	63	50
2025-05-02	49.31	44.39	14.87	8634400	Upward Expansion	70	46
2025-04-25	48.79	44.10	15.64	12678200	Upward Expansion	70	46
2025-04-18	47.73	43.80	16.16	12150100	Upward Expansion	63	46
2025-04-11	45.60	43.52	14.38	20632600	Upward Expansion	61	49
2025-04-04	48.77	43.30	25.00	21502900	Upward Expansion	75	63
2025-03-28	48.49	42.95	17.20	23040700	Upward Expansion	79	72
2025-03-21	47.38	42.60	14.08	14615100	Upward Expansion	73	79
2025-03-14	46.42	42.25	14.09	14422800	Upward Expansion	66	80
2025-03-07	47.66	41.90	16.58	15005900	Upward Expansion	83	90
2025-02-28	46.59	41.44	11.50	8892600	Upward Expansion	80	87
2025-02-21	45.37	41.05	9.91	4668200	Upward Expansion	72	78
2025-02-14	45.18	40.77	8.18	7647700	Deceleration	72	65
2025-02-07	45.40	40.47	9.07	9021600	Deceleration	58	31
2025-01-31	41.80	40.19	0.22	6327800	Deceleration	6	19
2025-01-24	41.11	39.97	-1.20	11528900	Deceleration	5	23
2025-01-17	40.61	39.77	-0.94	13858100	Deceleration	-1	19
2025-01-10	40.68	39.56	0.40	17418400	Deceleration	19	25
2025-01-03	41.63	39.37	1.56	9715100	Upward Expansion	41	27
2024-12-27	42.82	39.20	5.65	15325800	Upward Expansion	50	45
2024-12-20	42.26	38.98	5.23	18771100	Upward Expansion	63	58
2024-12-13	43.45	38.79	5.46	11472500	Upward Expansion	67	66
2024-12-06	44.42	38.54	6.17	16147000	Upward Expansion	78	70
2024-11-29	44.19	38.28	5.88	9144900	Upward Expansion	81	77
2024-11-22	43.66	37.95	5.55	6055600	Upward Expansion	80	74
2024-11-15	42.75	37.60	5.73	7689400	Upward Expansion	73	75
2024-11-08	43.64	37.30	8.65	7812900	Upward Expansion	91	92
2024-11-01	41.58	36.95	5.95	9378100	Upward Expansion	72	86
2024-10-25	41.37	36.71	4.72	9787100	Upward Expansion	71	86
2024-10-18	41.59	36.48	3.96	14254400	Upward Expansion	80	90
2024-10-11	41.41	36.23	5.16	15861600	Upward Expansion	84	92
2024-10-04	40.69	36.01	4.82	23069400	Upward Expansion	82	89
2024-09-27	39.76	35.83	3.39	20371800	Upward Expansion	77	85
2024-09-20	39.42	35.68	3.00	25391000	Upward Expansion	79	85
2024-09-13	38.94	35.56	3.08	12167100	Upward Expansion	77	80
2024-09-06	38.10	35.41	4.38	15328900	Upward Expansion	69	69
2024-08-30	38.26	35.29	2.36	9838400	Balance	71	46
2024-08-23	36.60	35.19	-1.76	4644100	Balance	43	21
2024-08-16	35.98	35.15	-2.49	6750900	Balance	35	16
2024-08-09	33.95	35.10	-5.00	6697400	Balance	9	6
2024-08-02	35.01	35.09	-1.81	6800900	Balance	43	33
2024-07-26	36.91	35.06	0.77	11402000	Balance	61	52
2024-07-19	36.13	34.97	-0.77	12625700	Balance	51	33
2024-07-12	36.87	34.87	1.32	19912700	Balance	51	22
2024-07-05	35.33	34.77	-0.19	20393600	Balance	27	19
2024-06-28	35.16	34.71	0.17	29677100	Upward Expansion	30	17
2024-06-21	34.31	34.66	-0.72	36317700	Upward Expansion	25	14
2024-06-14	35.04	34.61	1.09	19634100	Upward Expansion	55	41
2024-06-07	36.45	34.53	3.50	14542500	Upward Expansion	64	69
2024-05-31	36.06	34.32	1.39	10943500	Upward Expansion	59	67
2024-05-24	36.69	34.15	3.05	6271100	Upward Expansion	70	64
2024-05-17	35.84	33.88	0.16	4509800	Deceleration	57	41
2024-05-10	36.56	33.66	3.00	10538400	Deceleration	54	27
2024-05-03	34.49	33.47	-1.09	19226900	Deceleration	9	17
2024-04-26	33.17	33.34	-4.89	16789900	Deceleration	-5	20
2024-04-19	33.57	33.26	-3.03	13444600	Deceleration	3	15
2024-04-12	33.23	33.21	-4.38	14713700	Deceleration	-1	13
2024-04-05	34.30	33.22	-2.84	17432600	Deceleration	32	19
2024-03-29	34.61	33.15	-1.45	18989300	Deceleration	38	22
2024-03-22	34.10	33.09	-2.00	35992200	Upward Expansion	42	27
2024-03-15	34.77	33.00	0.59	17909400	Upward Expansion	58	45
2024-03-08	35.36	32.92	2.98	9298200	Upward Expansion	64	50
2024-03-01	35.18	32.86	3.42	10434500	Upward Expansion	62	50
2024-02-23	35.83	32.80	6.15	7930900	Upward Expansion	78	63
2024-02-16	34.41	32.69	2.92	6408000	Upward Expansion	62	67
2024-02-09	34.56	32.63	4.75	4736700	Upward Expansion	64	73
2024-02-02	35.06	32.56	6.13	7228000	Upward Expansion	70	75
2024-01-26	35.64	32.46	7.91	10107600	Upward Expansion	82	72
2024-01-19	34.35	32.31	5.38	18330500	Upward Expansion	69	59
2024-01-12	33.69	32.14	3.17	15544900	Upward Expansion	61	49
2024-01-05	34.23	32.03	5.26	12991500	Upward Expansion	71	68
2023-12-29	34.02	31.89	4.78	12976900	Upward Expansion	71	72
2023-12-22	33.29	31.77	3.19	20883000	Upward Expansion	64	71
2023-12-15	33.64	31.67	6.34	19586300	Rotation Up	67	74
2023-12-08	33.80	31.58	8.20	12614600	Rotation Up	64	55
2023-12-01	33.41	31.48	6.70	10265200	Rotation Up	50	42
2023-11-24	33.08	31.40	7.83	6744400	Rotation Down	26	27
2023-11-17	32.44	31.33	5.70	11858900	Rotation Down	6	9
2023-11-10	30.19	31.28	1.27	7591900	Rotation Down	-33	46
2023-11-03	30.93	31.28	3.07	9047600	Rotation Down	-35	57
2023-10-27	28.75	31.24	1.56	16825300	Rotation Down	-46	70
2023-10-20	29.21	31.27	1.26	16207500	Rotation Down	-44	61
2023-10-13	30.74	31.28	4.79	9310700	Deceleration	-25	32
2023-10-06	30.74	31.20	6.21	20437300	Deceleration	-4	14

Price vs TrendAbove+13.2%

Trend directionRising+11.4%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+78.0%

Fair Value directionMoving away-1.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+15.6%

Relative strength directionWeakening-0.2%

Price momentumPositive+43.9%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.37×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

61 / ±100

-2.6 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

53 /100

-8.8 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

POW Directional State ↗ POW Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance22

Rotation Up48

Upward Expansion80

Deceleration71

Rotation Down28

Downward Expansion9

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 6%Rotation Up 2%Upward Expansion 71%Deceleration 18%Rotation Down 4%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-05-01	2026-09-25	Established	+24.7%
Deceleration	2026-02-06	2026-04-24	Developing	+14.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-21	2026-01-30	Extended	+49.8%
Deceleration	2025-01-10	2025-02-14	Developing	+11.1%
Upward Expansion	2024-09-06	2025-01-03	Established	+9.3%
Balance	2024-07-05	2024-08-30	Developing	+8.3%
Upward Expansion	2024-05-24	2024-06-28	Developing	-4.2%
Deceleration	2024-03-29	2024-05-17	Developing	+3.6%
Upward Expansion	2023-12-22	2024-03-22	Established	+2.5%
Rotation Up	2023-12-01	2023-12-15	New	+0.7%
Rotation Down	2023-10-20	2023-11-24	Developing	+13.2%
Deceleration	2023-09-15	2023-10-13	Developing	-8.0%
Upward Expansion	2023-07-21	2023-09-08	Developing	-1.7%
Balance	2023-06-16	2023-07-14	Developing	+6.8%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing6

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution65

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^GSPTSE

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 90/100
Current Relative Strength: 15.56
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: +43.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +31.9%
Financial Services regime cohort: 42th percentile24 in cohort

Test POW trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume3.19×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.37×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore POW Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CAD 94.37rising

Slow Activity CAD 88.96rising

Trend Reference CAD 83.27+13.2% close margin

Current Fair Value CAD 52.98+78.0% close margin

Structural low CAD 65.42shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.5%

Annualized volatility +16.1%

From structural high -3.5%

From structural low +66.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^GSPTSE	Regime survived	Read
Near term	44	+2.2%-6.6% to +9.3%	+68.2%	+68.2%	+1.3%	+81.8%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	16	+7.2%-9.7% to +26.7%	+81.2%	+81.2%	+2.5%	+75.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	8	+10.6%-17.9% to +25.1%	+87.5%	+87.5%	+2.4%	+62.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+16.6%-8.8% to +44.0%	+75.0%	+75.0%	+3.9%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

POW Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map