Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Real Estate

MDRR Stage Analysis

Medalist Diversified Reit Inc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 10.50Tenure DevelopingBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction -22−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 24/100directional strength

Maturity 35/100lifecycle context

Confidence 62/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -8.6%USD 11.50 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	10.50	11.36	-22.62	1461	Upward Expansion	-22	24
2026-10-02	10.41	11.39	-23.85	9533	Upward Expansion	-12	12
2026-09-25	11.86	11.42	-13.35	6615	Upward Expansion	47	24
2026-09-18	11.33	11.41	-15.05	61370	Upward Expansion	41	30
2026-09-11	11.99	11.42	-9.91	28821	Upward Expansion	54	44
2026-09-04	12.10	11.42	-10.22	3096	Balance	58	42
2026-08-28	12.00	11.39	-11.26	1383	Balance	54	41
2026-08-21	11.35	11.39	-16.16	3822	Balance	15	18
2026-08-14	11.46	11.41	-17.92	831	Balance	15	18
2026-08-07	12.17	11.43	-12.11	114662	Balance	32	26
2026-07-31	11.40	11.43	-13.60	5593	Balance	-25	10
2026-07-24	11.14	11.46	-15.41	7376	Balance	-31	12
2026-07-17	11.54	11.48	-13.98	4041	Balance	-11	5
2026-07-10	11.14	11.53	-20.60	3260	Balance	-20	9
2026-07-03	11.45	11.60	-17.30	28337	Balance	-12	9
2026-06-26	11.15	11.65	-18.96	9514	Balance	-27	18
2026-06-19	11.63	11.73	-19.57	19317	Balance	-18	14
2026-06-12	11.36	11.78	-19.80	25887	Downward Expansion	-36	21
2026-06-05	11.80	11.85	-15.27	6216	Downward Expansion	-37	26
2026-05-29	10.90	11.89	-25.65	12415	Downward Expansion	-58	57
2026-05-22	10.21	11.96	-28.85	8264	Downward Expansion	-78	64
2026-05-15	11.15	12.06	-22.02	5571	Downward Expansion	-58	37
2026-05-08	11.15	12.13	-22.75	5059	Downward Expansion	-56	28
2026-05-01	11.41	12.21	-17.27	5372	Downward Expansion	-39	22
2026-04-24	11.20	12.26	-18.10	6935	Downward Expansion	-48	28
2026-04-17	11.89	12.32	-11.78	2634	Downward Expansion	-41	26
2026-04-10	11.24	12.38	-11.93	13053	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2026-04-03	11.23	12.46	-8.71	3849	Downward Expansion	-58	40
2026-03-27	11.35	12.53	-4.92	2324	Downward Expansion	-56	42
2026-03-20	11.13	12.57	-10.25	8929	Downward Expansion	-62	45
2026-03-13	11.53	12.60	-9.35	6893	Downward Expansion	-55	38
2026-03-06	11.35	12.58	-12.14	7319	Downward Expansion	-60	41
2026-02-27	11.48	12.55	-12.64	33591	Downward Expansion	-59	47
2026-02-20	11.69	12.53	-11.79	7209	Rotation Down	-56	42
2026-02-13	11.93	12.49	-9.26	13181	Rotation Down	-28	31
2026-02-06	11.18	12.46	-16.25	8516	Rotation Down	-43	39
2026-01-30	12.13	12.45	-11.31	3265	Rotation Down	-28	25
2026-01-23	11.93	12.39	-13.17	1922	Rotation Down	-23	34
2026-01-16	12.03	12.34	-12.53	32373	Rotation Down	-21	35
2026-01-09	12.18	12.32	-12.44	14123	Deceleration	-19	28
2026-01-02	12.26	12.29	-10.29	9741	Deceleration	3	16
2025-12-26	11.87	12.27	-14.85	10800	Deceleration	-3	11
2025-12-19	12.85	12.26	-7.17	18575	Upward Expansion	37	20
2025-12-12	13.35	12.22	-3.51	39182	Upward Expansion	53	30
2025-12-05	12.95	12.16	-8.23	16120	Upward Expansion	50	30
2025-11-28	13.42	12.13	-4.09	5069	Upward Expansion	55	33
2025-11-21	13.40	12.07	0.29	2535	Deceleration	56	33
2025-11-14	13.34	12.01	-3.30	10683	Deceleration	46	29
2025-11-07	12.85	11.93	-7.12	5773	Upward Expansion	42	29
2025-10-31	13.20	11.89	-7.65	2237	Upward Expansion	45	34
2025-10-24	13.23	11.84	-5.94	2591	Upward Expansion	47	34
2025-10-17	13.22	11.82	-4.10	2707	Upward Expansion	58	39
2025-10-10	13.35	11.78	-1.01	4149	Upward Expansion	62	46
2025-10-03	12.93	11.73	-6.34	10288	Upward Expansion	62	64
2025-09-26	13.21	11.70	-3.45	9019	Upward Expansion	65	75
2025-09-19	13.54	11.68	-1.58	12782	Rotation Up	69	76
2025-09-12	13.64	11.64	1.05	8176	Rotation Up	47	65
2025-09-05	13.49	11.60	1.60	20140	Rotation Up	38	44
2025-08-29	12.52	11.54	-5.10	59275	Downward Expansion	24	20
2025-08-22	12.04	11.53	-9.21	42649	Downward Expansion	-13	10
2025-08-15	10.72	11.53	-20.19	13256	Downward Expansion	-50	30
2025-08-08	10.43	11.56	-22.38	6660	Downward Expansion	-59	35
2025-08-01	11.12	11.62	-14.64	1497	Downward Expansion	-51	30
2025-07-25	10.37	11.65	-22.44	2150	Downward Expansion	-66	58
2025-07-18	10.93	11.74	-17.97	1591	Downward Expansion	-57	57
2025-07-11	11.03	11.83	-16.53	7574	Downward Expansion	-56	56
2025-07-04	10.27	11.86	-22.85	12596	Downward Expansion	-69	61
2025-06-27	10.51	11.92	-20.16	9532	Downward Expansion	-66	48
2025-06-20	11.29	11.96	-10.94	2294	Downward Expansion	-53	31
2025-06-13	11.42	11.98	-10.08	11239	Downward Expansion	-49	23
2025-06-06	11.71	12.00	-8.44	9701	Downward Expansion	-35	18
2025-05-30	11.49	11.99	-8.49	1013	Downward Expansion	-38	18
2025-05-23	11.71	12.00	-5.15	5875	Downward Expansion	-34	16
2025-05-16	11.49	12.00	-9.23	5949	Downward Expansion	-49	23
2025-05-09	11.98	12.01	1.01	2647	Downward Expansion	-48	33
2025-05-02	11.62	12.01	-2.19	2667	Downward Expansion	-49	44
2025-04-25	11.64	12.02	1.29	19652	Balance	-50	45
2025-04-18	10.85	12.01	0.50	24595	Balance	-39	38
2025-04-11	11.66	12.05	5.38	7614	Balance	-17	15
2025-04-04	11.91	12.06	15.90	4269	Balance	8	5
2025-03-28	12.59	12.07	10.60	4438	Balance	38	15
2025-03-21	11.91	12.05	2.42	7566	Balance	12	7
2025-03-14	12.00	12.05	3.36	7801	Balance	25	11
2025-03-07	11.95	12.05	0.20	7940	Balance	27	14
2025-02-28	12.71	12.01	3.12	29316	Balance	52	25
2025-02-21	12.21	11.96	-4.15	19544	Balance	39	16
2025-02-14	12.35	11.94	-5.21	63746	Balance	31	13
2025-02-07	11.87	11.92	-6.30	6547	Balance	16	15
2025-01-31	12.15	11.92	-4.03	7193	Upward Expansion	24	18
2025-01-24	12.05	11.90	-6.12	1436	Upward Expansion	25	20
2025-01-17	11.69	11.87	-7.53	22311	Upward Expansion	22	11
2025-01-10	12.25	11.85	-0.31	3622	Upward Expansion	56	53
2025-01-03	11.99	11.81	-4.53	10017	Upward Expansion	59	63
2024-12-27	13.02	11.79	2.78	17417	Upward Expansion	76	78
2024-12-20	13.51	11.73	7.67	36889	Upward Expansion	89	77
2024-12-13	12.08	11.65	-5.73	23619	Deceleration	58	41
2024-12-06	11.96	11.60	-6.06	28871	Deceleration	52	30
2024-11-29	11.84	11.56	-4.12	11090	Deceleration	35	17
2024-11-22	11.81	11.52	-3.83	32974	Deceleration	33	15
2024-11-15	11.89	11.48	-1.55	35732	Deceleration	26	11
2024-11-08	11.65	11.45	-6.99	16890	Deceleration	20	10
2024-11-01	11.79	11.41	-0.98	17298	Deceleration	31	13
2024-10-25	11.61	11.38	-4.34	20066	Deceleration	33	16
2024-10-18	11.82	11.36	-2.86	25026	Deceleration	34	16
2024-10-11	11.77	11.35	-3.38	24499	Upward Expansion	37	19
2024-10-04	11.93	11.35	-1.19	24639	Upward Expansion	41	20
2024-09-27	11.50	11.30	-4.82	19903	Upward Expansion	48	25
2024-09-20	12.14	11.25	1.11	18939	Upward Expansion	56	40
2024-09-13	11.69	11.18	-1.44	30562	Upward Expansion	52	44
2024-09-06	12.25	11.13	9.13	31521	Upward Expansion	58	51
2024-08-30	12.02	11.06	0.97	32542	Upward Expansion	54	32
2024-08-23	12.08	10.99	0.55	15526	Upward Expansion	56	26
2024-08-16	11.78	10.91	-1.09	49439	Upward Expansion	41	17
2024-08-09	10.91	10.83	-3.76	13063	Upward Expansion	27	12
2024-08-02	11.08	10.78	-2.20	26467	Upward Expansion	49	30
2024-07-26	11.66	10.73	-0.57	124640	Upward Expansion	54	38
2024-07-19	11.69	10.68	-3.18	165397	Upward Expansion	58	39
2024-07-12	12.05	10.61	-4.46	74124	Upward Expansion	70	42
2024-07-05	11.51	10.53	-9.24	45738	Upward Expansion	60	34
2024-06-28	11.04	10.48	-10.11	21383	Upward Expansion	54	40
2024-06-21	11.04	10.45	-10.37	59326	Upward Expansion	56	55
2024-06-14	11.32	10.40	-8.08	32744	Upward Expansion	63	60
2024-06-07	11.17	10.36	-6.40	5496	Upward Expansion	56	41
2024-05-31	11.15	10.32	-4.27	7379	Deceleration	56	33
2024-05-24	11.27	10.28	-5.09	51665	Deceleration	61	30
2024-05-17	10.59	10.24	-9.97	64018	Deceleration	32	17
2024-05-10	10.63	10.22	-8.10	17587	Deceleration	35	18
2024-05-03	10.62	10.20	-7.42	8734	Deceleration	35	21
2024-04-26	10.72	10.18	-6.05	25376	Upward Expansion	40	23
2024-04-19	10.88	10.16	-1.51	13664	Upward Expansion	45	30
2024-04-12	10.48	10.13	-10.80	46640	Upward Expansion	58	44
2024-04-05	11.03	10.12	-7.60	15297	Upward Expansion	65	79
2024-03-29	11.02	10.09	-9.31	8118	Upward Expansion	66	81
2024-03-22	11.42	10.06	-7.46	37208	Upward Expansion	78	79
2024-03-15	11.70	10.01	-3.28	120505	Rotation Up	89	78
2024-03-08	10.50	9.97	-15.03	68770	Rotation Up	29	38
2024-03-01	10.14	9.96	-20.41	26782	Balance	17	20
2024-02-23	10.12	9.99	-20.04	17019	Balance	14	17
2024-02-16	10.02	10.01	-20.94	19169	Downward Expansion	-20	15
2024-02-09	10.25	10.04	-21.56	30525	Downward Expansion	-17	8
2024-02-02	9.93	10.04	-23.76	15135	Downward Expansion	-45	31
2024-01-26	9.53	10.04	-27.12	29378	Downward Expansion	-52	43
2024-01-19	9.36	10.04	-29.22	14011	Downward Expansion	-59	35
2024-01-12	9.38	10.05	-28.36	19854	Downward Expansion	-58	29
2024-01-05	9.80	10.07	-23.83	56580	Downward Expansion	-46	23
2023-12-29	10.00	10.07	-25.26	48969	Downward Expansion	-45	22
2023-12-22	9.78	10.07	-27.37	64689	Downward Expansion	-50	32
2023-12-15	9.51	10.09	-29.31	37949	Balance	-63	43
2023-12-08	10.00	10.12	-23.76	15836	Balance	-46	26
2023-12-01	10.00	10.13	-23.93	10459	Balance	-48	29
2023-11-24	9.78	10.14	-26.17	4916	Balance	-56	29
2023-11-17	9.91	10.18	-25.25	26307	Balance	-51	22
2023-11-10	10.02	10.21	-23.61	17942	Balance	-48	21
2023-11-03	10.12	10.28	-21.24	7157	Balance	-47	21
2023-10-27	10.00	10.35	-17.84	16491	Balance	-51	25
2023-10-20	10.00	10.44	-20.56	33527	Balance	-50	25

Price vs TrendBelow-7.5%

Trend directionFalling-0.7%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-8.6%

Fair Value directionMoving away-6.4%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-22.6%

Relative strength directionWeakening-2.0%

Price momentumNegative-6.6%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.22×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-22 / ±100

-75.5 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

24 /100

-19.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

MDRR Directional State ↗ MDRR Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance40

Rotation Up24

Upward Expansion22

Deceleration54

Rotation Down57

Downward Expansion40

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 22%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 31%Deceleration 12%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 28%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-11	2026-10-09	Developing	-12.4%
Balance	2026-06-19	2026-09-04	Developing	+4.0%
Downward Expansion	2026-02-27	2026-06-12	Established	-1.1%
Rotation Down	2026-01-16	2026-02-20	Developing	-2.9%
Deceleration	2025-12-26	2026-01-09	New	+2.6%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-28	2025-12-19	New	-4.3%
Deceleration	2025-11-14	2025-11-21	New	+0.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-26	2025-11-07	Developing	-2.7%
Rotation Up	2025-09-05	2025-09-19	New	+0.4%
Downward Expansion	2025-05-02	2025-08-29	Established	+7.7%
Balance	2025-02-07	2025-04-25	Developing	-1.9%
Upward Expansion	2024-12-20	2025-01-31	Developing	-10.1%
Deceleration	2024-10-18	2024-12-13	Developing	+2.2%
Upward Expansion	2024-06-07	2024-10-11	Established	+5.4%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing63

Stage 2 · Advancing13

Stage 3 · Distribution45

Stage 4 · Declining87

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4A · Breakdown. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 81/100
Current Relative Strength: -22.62
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -6.6%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -29.5%
Real Estate regime cohort: 50th percentile4 in cohort

Test MDRR trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.08×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.22×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+37.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore MDRR Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 10.96falling

Slow Activity USD 11.39falling

Trend Reference USD 11.36-7.5% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 11.50-8.6% close margin

Structural low USD 9.47shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +9.2%

Annualized volatility +36.8%

From structural high -26.8%

From structural low +10.9%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	14	-3.2%-13.5% to +8.5%	+42.9%	+42.9%	-3.9%	+57.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	-6.7%-26.3% to +11.3%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-7.8%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	-8.0%-26.5% to +6.3%	+25.0%	+25.0%	-5.3%	+25.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	-10.2%-29.0% to +4.4%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-35.5%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

MDRR Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map