Weekly structural research · MEX · Industrials

OTIS Stage Analysis

Otis Worldwide Corporation

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close MXN 1,252.00Tenure ExtendedBenchmark ^MXX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction -33−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 49/100directional strength

Maturity 100/100lifecycle context

Confidence 60/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -23.9%MXN 1,645.57 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	1,252.00	1,314.52	-12.10	0	Downward Expansion	-33	49
2026-09-18	1,252.00	1,323.91	-10.40	0	Downward Expansion	-38	47
2026-09-11	1,252.00	1,334.59	-11.74	21	Downward Expansion	-35	55
2026-09-04	1,252.00	1,345.27	-13.52	18	Downward Expansion	-40	61
2026-08-28	1,252.00	1,355.94	-14.86	0	Downward Expansion	-56	84
2026-08-21	1,252.00	1,366.60	-15.76	0	Downward Expansion	-58	85
2026-08-14	1,252.00	1,377.27	-14.67	0	Downward Expansion	-59	64
2026-08-07	1,222.67	1,388.70	-20.43	0	Downward Expansion	-70	69
2026-07-31	1,222.70	1,401.11	-21.04	0	Downward Expansion	-71	70
2026-07-24	1,222.64	1,412.96	-21.03	0	Downward Expansion	-73	71
2026-07-17	1,222.70	1,424.81	-22.20	0	Downward Expansion	-76	92
2026-07-10	1,222.64	1,436.66	-22.92	0	Downward Expansion	-80	93
2026-07-03	1,230.00	1,451.71	-23.95	0	Downward Expansion	-70	90
2026-06-26	1,230.00	1,466.51	-24.92	0	Downward Expansion	-70	90
2026-06-19	1,230.00	1,481.31	-26.23	0	Downward Expansion	-69	89
2026-06-12	1,230.30	1,496.11	-27.29	0	Downward Expansion	-75	91
2026-06-05	1,230.30	1,510.90	-26.13	0	Downward Expansion	-85	95
2026-05-29	1,230.30	1,525.68	-29.51	280	Downward Expansion	-91	77
2026-05-22	1,228.90	1,540.45	-30.10	73	Downward Expansion	-94	77
2026-05-15	1,375.97	1,555.28	-22.15	0	Downward Expansion	-66	67
2026-05-08	1,375.53	1,565.20	-24.95	40	Downward Expansion	-67	83
2026-05-01	1,375.53	1,575.13	-23.49	0	Downward Expansion	-69	89
2026-04-24	1,375.53	1,585.07	-25.66	0	Downward Expansion	-70	90
2026-04-17	1,375.53	1,593.47	-26.93	0	Downward Expansion	-81	93
2026-04-10	1,375.53	1,603.08	-28.05	0	Downward Expansion	-90	96
2026-04-03	1,375.53	1,611.29	-28.58	37	Downward Expansion	-91	96
2026-03-27	1,428.49	1,618.72	-23.53	31	Downward Expansion	-80	49
2026-03-20	1,630.28	1,624.56	-10.29	0	Downward Expansion	7	34
2026-03-13	1,630.28	1,625.37	-13.13	0	Downward Expansion	-15	20
2026-03-06	1,630.28	1,626.17	-16.09	53	Downward Expansion	-30	36
2026-02-27	1,533.56	1,625.12	-26.31	4354	Downward Expansion	-96	78
2026-02-20	1,572.45	1,627.21	-25.28	0	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2026-02-13	1,572.45	1,636.29	-26.04	0	Downward Expansion	-70	69
2026-02-06	1,572.03	1,644.48	-26.06	0	Downward Expansion	-78	72
2026-01-30	1,572.03	1,652.68	-23.29	0	Downward Expansion	-84	74
2026-01-23	1,572.03	1,660.88	-24.69	49	Downward Expansion	-90	96
2026-01-16	1,594.86	1,669.08	-23.08	0	Downward Expansion	-66	88
2026-01-09	1,594.86	1,676.52	-22.52	6	Downward Expansion	-66	88
2026-01-02	1,578.22	1,686.12	-21.73	0	Downward Expansion	-95	98
2025-12-26	1,578.22	1,696.28	-24.19	0	Downward Expansion	-94	98
2025-12-19	1,578.22	1,706.43	-22.90	59	Downward Expansion	-90	82
2025-12-12	1,674.02	1,716.59	-19.84	0	Balance	-17	25
2025-12-05	1,674.02	1,723.56	-18.76	0	Downward Expansion	-19	27
2025-11-28	1,674.02	1,729.94	-19.63	0	Downward Expansion	-22	31
2025-11-21	1,674.02	1,734.59	-18.05	0	Downward Expansion	-24	41
2025-11-14	1,674.02	1,739.25	-19.22	0	Downward Expansion	-27	43
2025-11-07	1,673.60	1,749.74	-21.15	0	Downward Expansion	-28	27
2025-10-31	1,673.60	1,757.11	-20.93	0	Downward Expansion	-39	32
2025-10-24	1,673.60	1,768.98	-19.41	0	Downward Expansion	-37	27
2025-10-17	1,673.60	1,780.84	-20.75	0	Downward Expansion	-41	32
2025-10-10	1,673.60	1,792.70	-19.74	0	Downward Expansion	-45	39
2025-10-03	1,673.60	1,805.49	-22.03	46	Downward Expansion	-51	51
2025-09-26	1,627.64	1,818.28	-25.04	406	Downward Expansion	-66	64
2025-09-19	1,663.84	1,829.96	-22.54	19	Downward Expansion	-65	67
2025-09-12	1,621.64	1,840.43	-25.55	8	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2025-09-05	1,598.69	1,852.30	-25.34	16	Downward Expansion	-82	73
2025-08-29	1,603.66	1,864.69	-23.15	4074	Downward Expansion	-82	93
2025-08-22	1,654.41	1,876.91	-21.62	0	Downward Expansion	-66	84
2025-08-15	1,654.41	1,885.52	-20.58	68	Downward Expansion	-75	91
2025-08-08	1,598.79	1,894.13	-23.06	1830	Downward Expansion	-97	99
2025-08-01	1,596.15	1,904.59	-21.86	1588	Downward Expansion	-97	98
2025-07-25	1,844.99	1,915.14	-10.64	252	Downward Expansion	-67	88
2025-07-18	1,818.01	1,917.40	-10.38	0	Downward Expansion	-67	87
2025-07-11	1,818.01	1,920.99	-10.92	0	Downward Expansion	-70	87
2025-07-04	1,818.01	1,926.62	-13.02	0	Downward Expansion	-70	75
2025-06-27	1,818.01	1,932.25	-12.21	0	Downward Expansion	-75	71
2025-06-20	1,818.01	1,937.88	-10.55	52	Deceleration	-78	54
2025-06-13	1,882.94	1,943.52	-9.31	0	Deceleration	-44	37
2025-06-06	1,882.94	1,946.99	-10.32	0	Downward Expansion	-47	40
2025-05-30	1,882.94	1,950.44	-10.07	0	Downward Expansion	-59	48
2025-05-23	1,882.94	1,954.02	-10.78	0	Downward Expansion	-62	77
2025-05-16	1,882.94	1,959.93	-9.99	36	Downward Expansion	-65	84
2025-05-09	1,865.55	1,965.85	-8.34	9	Downward Expansion	-65	86
2025-05-02	1,813.61	1,970.22	-9.43	0	Rotation Down	-91	76
2025-04-25	1,813.61	1,977.29	-10.65	199	Rotation Down	-87	62
2025-04-18	1,988.83	1,985.44	5.12	1065	Rotation Down	-2	17
2025-04-11	1,894.74	1,979.74	3.59	66	Rotation Down	4	14
2025-04-04	2,029.51	1,976.68	11.56	0	Upward Expansion	66	87
2025-03-28	2,029.51	1,966.18	8.64	0	Upward Expansion	67	89
2025-03-21	2,029.51	1,955.68	10.26	157	Upward Expansion	69	89
2025-03-14	2,057.32	1,945.19	12.77	0	Upward Expansion	97	99
2025-03-07	2,057.32	1,933.76	12.65	234	Upward Expansion	99	97
2025-02-28	1,977.90	1,924.40	10.00	0	Rotation Up	69	65
2025-02-21	1,977.90	1,918.26	7.68	0	Rotation Up	65	62
2025-02-14	1,977.90	1,911.53	7.56	6180	Deceleration	66	59
2025-02-07	1,970.24	1,904.79	10.26	0	Deceleration	48	48
2025-01-31	1,970.24	1,896.77	14.39	1048	Deceleration	20	39
2025-01-24	1,912.70	1,888.75	11.55	0	Deceleration	-12	68
2025-01-17	1,912.70	1,884.05	15.44	0	Deceleration	-15	70
2025-01-10	1,912.70	1,879.35	17.00	0	Deceleration	-17	56
2025-01-03	1,912.70	1,873.99	19.34	0	Deceleration	-11	41
2024-12-27	1,912.70	1,870.83	19.41	61	Deceleration	19	33
2024-12-20	1,925.61	1,860.60	20.40	436	Deceleration	39	31
2024-12-13	1,987.00	1,850.44	20.26	0	Deceleration	46	48
2024-12-06	1,987.00	1,838.24	21.74	0	Deceleration	46	46
2024-11-29	1,987.00	1,824.25	26.36	0	Deceleration	48	49
2024-11-22	1,987.00	1,810.83	25.82	0	Upward Expansion	51	52
2024-11-15	1,987.00	1,796.16	26.67	0	Upward Expansion	55	61
2024-11-08	1,986.61	1,783.24	24.21	62	Upward Expansion	67	67
2024-11-01	1,990.18	1,770.90	28.32	6850	Upward Expansion	68	68
2024-10-25	2,060.48	1,758.45	30.85	0	Upward Expansion	79	93
2024-10-18	2,060.48	1,744.11	28.69	696	Upward Expansion	88	96
2024-10-11	1,996.70	1,729.77	27.00	4390	Upward Expansion	78	92
2024-10-04	2,025.77	1,717.55	29.13	8189	Upward Expansion	95	98
2024-09-27	2,057.88	1,702.34	31.63	1399	Upward Expansion	95	98
2024-09-20	1,817.89	1,686.06	18.46	37	Deceleration	88	86
2024-09-13	1,802.92	1,677.78	18.46	771	Deceleration	68	38
2024-09-06	1,714.60	1,669.99	15.26	0	Deceleration	26	39
2024-08-30	1,714.60	1,664.61	11.77	0	Deceleration	35	27
2024-08-23	1,714.60	1,657.33	11.00	0	Upward Expansion	45	34
2024-08-16	1,714.60	1,650.06	10.19	1074	Upward Expansion	60	50
2024-08-09	1,776.57	1,642.79	16.68	3691	Upward Expansion	64	65
2024-08-02	1,793.54	1,633.45	20.07	1525	Upward Expansion	77	67
2024-07-26	1,775.88	1,623.55	18.09	0	Upward Expansion	73	64
2024-07-19	1,775.88	1,614.23	16.68	6750	Upward Expansion	75	63
2024-07-12	1,729.66	1,604.92	11.38	0	Upward Expansion	65	64
2024-07-05	1,729.66	1,598.56	17.23	7875	Upward Expansion	67	84
2024-06-28	1,771.69	1,590.45	20.25	0	Upward Expansion	73	91
2024-06-21	1,771.69	1,579.46	19.91	664	Upward Expansion	83	94
2024-06-14	1,751.73	1,568.48	20.27	211	Upward Expansion	85	94
2024-06-07	1,817.84	1,558.15	23.55	1712	Upward Expansion	94	91
2024-05-31	1,605.93	1,544.25	5.27	330	Deceleration	55	45
2024-05-24	1,620.87	1,537.50	5.85	7	Deceleration	72	49
2024-05-17	1,620.87	1,530.25	1.96	471	Deceleration	55	35
2024-05-10	1,567.30	1,522.99	-1.62	3100	Deceleration	29	36
2024-05-03	1,584.56	1,517.53	0.45	150	Deceleration	38	30
2024-04-26	1,546.65	1,511.48	-3.12	7934	Upward Expansion	40	42
2024-04-19	1,599.56	1,506.71	3.68	8	Upward Expansion	66	67
2024-04-12	1,616.49	1,500.40	3.53	0	Upward Expansion	67	74
2024-04-05	1,616.49	1,493.52	0.87	5513	Upward Expansion	69	89
2024-03-29	1,630.28	1,486.65	2.99	0	Upward Expansion	93	97
2024-03-22	1,630.28	1,479.32	4.40	0	Upward Expansion	99	100
2024-03-15	1,630.28	1,471.98	5.12	3520	Upward Expansion	100	100
2024-03-08	1,569.40	1,467.26	3.57	0	Upward Expansion	71	90
2024-03-01	1,569.40	1,464.56	2.44	0	Upward Expansion	78	92
2024-02-23	1,569.40	1,462.60	0.44	0	Upward Expansion	88	95
2024-02-16	1,569.40	1,460.64	-0.46	1156	Upward Expansion	92	96
2024-02-09	1,553.03	1,458.68	-1.87	175	Deceleration	89	72
2024-02-02	1,496.43	1,457.27	-7.02	0	Deceleration	49	55
2024-01-26	1,496.43	1,457.75	-4.93	0	Deceleration	61	61
2024-01-19	1,496.43	1,458.22	-2.60	0	Rotation Up	36	54
2024-01-12	1,496.43	1,458.70	-2.94	0	Rotation Up	38	57
2024-01-05	1,496.43	1,459.17	-4.04	0	Rotation Up	40	59
2023-12-29	1,496.43	1,459.65	-6.20	0	Rotation Up	33	56
2023-12-22	1,496.43	1,460.12	-6.41	2922	Rotation Up	37	58
2023-12-15	1,538.81	1,460.60	-3.70	1355	Rotation Up	61	86
2023-12-08	1,486.56	1,459.66	-2.53	48	Rotation Up	42	59
2023-12-01	1,442.06	1,460.45	-4.75	0	Downward Expansion	9	48
2023-11-24	1,442.06	1,462.73	-3.20	0	Downward Expansion	-17	55
2023-11-17	1,442.06	1,465.01	-2.87	64	Downward Expansion	-46	48
2023-11-10	1,400.78	1,467.28	-3.15	42420	Downward Expansion	-73	70
2023-11-03	1,403.31	1,470.93	-2.90	0	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2023-10-27	1,403.31	1,474.50	1.72	0	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2023-10-20	1,403.31	1,478.07	3.28	0	Downward Expansion	-70	69
2023-10-13	1,403.31	1,481.64	1.01	0	Downward Expansion	-73	70
2023-10-06	1,403.31	1,485.21	0.34	0	Downward Expansion	-77	72

Price vs TrendBelow-4.8%

Trend directionFalling-7.7%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-23.9%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+2.2%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-12.1%

Relative strength directionImproving+12.8%

Price momentumNegative-12.4%

Volume balanceSupply-led×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-33 / ±100

+23.5 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

49 /100

-34.5 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

OTIS Directional State ↗ OTIS Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance38

Rotation Up26

Upward Expansion33

Deceleration53

Rotation Down36

Downward Expansion55

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 1%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 24%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 51%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2025-12-19	2026-09-25	Extended	-20.7%
Balance	2025-12-12	2025-12-12	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2025-06-27	2025-12-05	Established	-7.9%
Deceleration	2025-06-13	2025-06-20	New	-3.4%
Downward Expansion	2025-05-09	2025-06-06	Developing	+0.9%
Rotation Down	2025-04-11	2025-05-02	New	-4.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-07	2025-04-04	Developing	-1.4%
Rotation Up	2025-02-21	2025-02-28	New	+0.0%
Deceleration	2024-11-29	2025-02-14	Developing	-0.5%
Upward Expansion	2024-09-27	2024-11-22	Developing	-3.4%
Deceleration	2024-08-30	2024-09-20	New	+6.0%
Upward Expansion	2024-06-07	2024-08-23	Developing	-5.7%
Deceleration	2024-05-03	2024-05-31	Developing	+1.3%
Upward Expansion	2024-02-16	2024-04-26	Developing	-1.4%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing72

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution7

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MXX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 82/100
Current Relative Strength: -12.10
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -12.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -9.8%
Industrials regime cohort: 4th percentile23 in cohort

Test OTIS trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.00×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore OTIS Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity MXN 1,252.00rising

Slow Activity MXN 1,261.69falling

Trend Reference MXN 1,314.52-4.8% close margin

Current Fair Value MXN 1,645.57-23.9% close margin

Structural low MXN 1,222.64shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +0.2%

Annualized volatility +16.8%

From structural high -25.8%

From structural low +2.4%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^MXX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	27	+0.0%-15.6% to +19.2%	+44.4%	+44.4%	-2.4%	+88.9%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	9	-5.9%-14.3% to +12.2%	+44.4%	+55.6%	-4.5%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	-3.2%-17.8% to +4.4%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-12.8%	+50.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	+3.8%-26.3% to +19.4%	+66.7%	+33.3%	-10.4%	+33.3%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

OTIS Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map