Weekly structural research ยท MIL ยท Technology

DHH Stage Analysis

Dominion Hosting Holding S.p.A.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close EUR 23.50Tenure NewBenchmark FTSEMIB.MI
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Rotation Down ยท Structural failure

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion.

  • The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
  • A price shock beyond the complete Activity structure bypassed the ordinary persistence gate.
Direction -53โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 70/100directional strength
Maturity 7/100lifecycle context
Confidence 91/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Mixedstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +7.4%EUR 21.88 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-0923.5025.20-6.012005Rotation Down-5370
2026-10-0224.7025.12-2.988756Deceleration-2126
2026-09-2525.4024.99-3.106028Deceleration-819
2026-09-1826.3024.850.642340Deceleration920
2026-09-1126.3024.69-1.445246Deceleration824
2026-09-0425.1024.58-5.5850Deceleration-1132
2026-08-2825.8024.53-4.13513Deceleration2937
2026-08-2126.0024.48-3.46122Deceleration3431
2026-08-1426.4024.43-3.59275Deceleration4233
2026-08-0726.5024.35-3.421028Upward Expansion4746
2026-07-3126.8024.270.611570Upward Expansion5358
2026-07-2427.4024.133.621146Upward Expansion6466
2026-07-1727.8023.995.1360Upward Expansion6685
2026-07-1028.1023.844.988090Upward Expansion7590
2026-07-0327.4023.602.162780Upward Expansion6888
2026-06-2627.8023.386.872044Upward Expansion7891
2026-06-1927.9023.164.208526Upward Expansion8592
2026-06-1227.1022.913.92880Upward Expansion8587
2026-06-0525.9022.752.555459Upward Expansion7974
2026-05-2925.8022.641.92275760Balance7961
2026-05-2222.9022.55-8.582449Balance4926
2026-05-1523.0022.56-7.671283Balance5034
2026-05-0823.2022.53-7.311600Balance5233
2026-05-0123.2022.54-5.455582Balance5028
2026-04-2423.5022.56-3.256146Balance1718
2026-04-1722.8022.59-8.688538Balance-1919
2026-04-1021.8022.63-10.662213Balance-3318
2026-04-0323.5022.77-0.001314Balance-1610
2026-03-2723.0022.752.617484Downward Expansion-4331
2026-03-2021.0022.66-5.211095Downward Expansion-6269
2026-03-1321.3022.65-7.262099Balance-5862
2026-03-0620.7022.62-9.832531Balance-4140
2026-02-2721.2022.60-14.031790Balance-2426
2026-02-2021.5022.57-11.834756Upward Expansion1211
2026-02-1323.0022.52-3.962483Upward Expansion5331
2026-02-0623.6022.40-2.674982Upward Expansion5953
2026-01-3024.2022.260.228786Upward Expansion6468
2026-01-2324.6022.123.018118Upward Expansion7168
2026-01-1624.0021.96-2.0013731Upward Expansion6257
2026-01-0924.1021.84-1.8014402Deceleration5540
2026-01-0222.7021.71-7.173284Deceleration3525
2025-12-2623.0021.64-4.962549Deceleration3417
2025-12-1923.3021.56-4.58380952Deceleration2115
2025-12-1221.0021.48-12.043188Deceleration-2035
2025-12-0520.8021.46-13.285855Deceleration-2126
2025-11-2821.3021.44-11.767886Deceleration416
2025-11-2120.4021.41-14.829518Deceleration-512
2025-11-1422.3021.42-10.493610Deceleration3117
2025-11-0722.5021.34-8.10801Deceleration3320
2025-10-3123.2021.26-6.474598Deceleration3822
2025-10-2423.0021.18-6.4016963Upward Expansion4227
2025-10-1722.3021.13-8.288976Upward Expansion4838
2025-10-1023.5021.10-4.604127Upward Expansion6456
2025-10-0323.6021.05-7.4814946Upward Expansion6684
2025-09-2624.5021.02-3.2228878Upward Expansion7489
2025-09-1924.1020.94-4.5122911Rotation Up7690
2025-09-1226.0020.901.8017975Rotation Up6784
2025-09-0522.7020.76-9.2914644Rotation Up4552
2025-08-2920.4020.76-20.11841Balance-1314
2025-08-2220.7020.87-21.69844Balance-1615
2025-08-1520.4020.97-22.432460Downward Expansion-3217
2025-08-0820.1021.06-22.57226Downward Expansion-3822
2025-08-0120.3021.13-19.452426Downward Expansion-5333
2025-07-2519.9021.24-23.441576Downward Expansion-5853
2025-07-1819.6521.34-24.412936Downward Expansion-6260
2025-07-1119.3521.45-25.871172Downward Expansion-7061
2025-07-0419.8021.58-24.112940Downward Expansion-6143
2025-06-2719.9521.75-24.60412Downward Expansion-5834
2025-06-2020.2021.90-23.3516929Downward Expansion-5530
2025-06-1320.4022.05-23.615412Downward Expansion-4324
2025-06-0620.4022.19-26.409236Downward Expansion-4326
2025-05-3020.8022.34-24.277717Downward Expansion-4128
2025-05-2320.8022.50-23.305106Downward Expansion-4532
2025-05-1620.3022.67-27.48893Downward Expansion-5941
2025-05-0920.2022.84-25.5910080Downward Expansion-6245
2025-05-0220.6023.03-22.072256Downward Expansion-6050
2025-04-2520.8023.18-19.051970Downward Expansion-6258
2025-04-1819.8023.33-19.773191Downward Expansion-7470
2025-04-1120.1023.52-13.657538Downward Expansion-7367
2025-04-0420.8023.61-11.933073Downward Expansion-6958
2025-03-2821.4023.74-18.594381Downward Expansion-6548
2025-03-2121.4023.89-18.907161Downward Expansion-7050
2025-03-1422.0024.07-15.53887Downward Expansion-6240
2025-03-0722.8024.27-11.982069Downward Expansion-5639
2025-02-2822.2024.43-14.086504Downward Expansion-6250
2025-02-2122.6024.63-11.669610Downward Expansion-5639
2025-02-1422.0024.82-12.6015904Downward Expansion-6740
2025-02-0722.6025.03-7.686064Downward Expansion-6134
2025-01-3123.8025.26-0.831066Downward Expansion-4331
2025-01-2423.6025.46-0.41882Downward Expansion-5639
2025-01-1723.0025.57-2.642357Downward Expansion-5953
2025-01-1022.4025.69-1.512370Downward Expansion-6967
2025-01-0323.4025.826.25135Downward Expansion-6065
2024-12-2723.0025.774.921501Downward Expansion-6766
2024-12-2023.0025.716.665139Downward Expansion-6962
2024-12-1323.4025.645.6244713Downward Expansion-6755
2024-12-0624.8025.5113.01938Deceleration-2432
2024-11-2924.4025.2816.373177Deceleration-2832
2024-11-2224.6024.9817.8711678Deceleration-2519
2024-11-1524.8024.6717.287029Deceleration-47
2024-11-0824.8024.3519.4115562Deceleration158
2024-11-0125.6024.0521.134746Deceleration2717
2024-10-2525.8023.7022.733260Deceleration2618
2024-10-1825.4023.3220.296503Deceleration2417
2024-10-1126.0022.9727.207166Deceleration1413
2024-10-0425.2022.6026.872202Deceleration719
2024-09-2725.2022.2523.5810341Deceleration722
2024-09-2025.4021.9028.854064Deceleration924
2024-09-1323.0021.5218.211732Deceleration-221
2024-09-0624.6021.2428.11419Deceleration3525
2024-08-3025.8020.9230.92480Deceleration4134
2024-08-2327.0020.5440.86887Deceleration4645
2024-08-1628.0020.1349.972899Upward Expansion4951
2024-08-0927.4019.6754.091674Upward Expansion6159
2024-08-0228.4019.2660.242827Upward Expansion6464
2024-07-2628.2018.8252.434832Upward Expansion6767
2024-07-1928.2018.3952.283130Upward Expansion6868
2024-07-1229.6017.9559.7811237Upward Expansion8187
2024-07-0529.8017.4665.4436801Upward Expansion9193
2024-06-2827.0016.9855.367101Upward Expansion8488
2024-06-2126.4016.5852.626343Upward Expansion9096
2024-06-1426.4016.1856.9724047Upward Expansion9799
2024-06-0721.8015.8023.4016991Upward Expansion8293
2024-05-3121.2015.5420.862473Upward Expansion8695
2024-05-2421.0015.2920.0013531Upward Expansion9397
2024-05-1719.5015.048.788361Upward Expansion9289
2024-05-1018.0014.862.5839416Upward Expansion8675
2024-05-0315.2014.75-10.795000Upward Expansion5047
2024-04-2615.3014.74-12.1210111Upward Expansion5249
2024-04-1915.4014.75-11.133518Upward Expansion5545
2024-04-1215.7014.75-9.342610Balance6341
2024-04-0515.0014.74-14.2542144Balance118
2024-03-2914.5014.77-19.3512189Balance-2011
2024-03-2214.9014.82-16.729054Balance-108
2024-03-1514.8014.85-16.834398Balance-1810
2024-03-0814.9014.87-15.4120860Downward Expansion-3718
2024-03-0114.5014.90-16.8914038Downward Expansion-4727
2024-02-2314.0014.94-19.624506Downward Expansion-6135
2024-02-1614.8014.99-13.052921Downward Expansion-3416
2024-02-0914.8015.02-11.884537Downward Expansion-3622
2024-02-0214.6015.06-12.262619Downward Expansion-3623
2024-01-2614.7015.10-10.9812927Downward Expansion-3118
2024-01-1914.1015.14-14.6314294Downward Expansion-4217
2024-01-1215.0015.18-10.177338Downward Expansion-712
2024-01-0515.2015.18-9.231763Downward Expansion1316
2023-12-2915.5015.19-7.50832Downward Expansion516
2023-12-2215.0015.17-10.9138116Downward Expansion-1819
2023-12-1514.8015.17-12.63554Downward Expansion-2221
2023-12-0815.4015.18-9.63264Downward Expansion-1121
2023-12-0115.0015.15-10.926461Downward Expansion-3521
2023-11-2414.5015.14-12.834599Downward Expansion-5741
2023-11-1714.8015.18-11.586664Downward Expansion-6468
2023-11-1014.0015.21-13.74350Downward Expansion-6888
2023-11-0313.7015.24-16.41160Downward Expansion-8192
2023-10-2713.6015.33-13.256429Downward Expansion-9193
2023-10-2014.0015.42-11.441982Rotation Down-8781
Price vs TrendBelow-6.7%
Trend directionRising+3.8%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+7.4%
Fair Value directionMoving away-26.4%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-6.0%
Relative strength directionWeakening-11.0%
Price momentumPositive+7.8%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.24ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-53 / ยฑ100

-61.4 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

70 /100

+46.1 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance14
Rotation Up14
Upward Expansion34
Deceleration49
Rotation Down75
Downward Expansion52

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 12%Rotation Up 2%Upward Expansion 25%Deceleration 22%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 37%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Rotation Down2026-10-092026-10-09New+0.0%
Deceleration2026-08-142026-10-02Developing-6.4%
Upward Expansion2026-06-052026-08-07Developing+2.3%
Balance2026-04-032026-05-29Developing+9.8%
Downward Expansion2026-03-202026-03-27New+9.5%
Balance2026-02-272026-03-13New+0.5%
Upward Expansion2026-01-162026-02-20Developing-10.4%
Deceleration2025-10-312026-01-09Developing+3.9%
Upward Expansion2025-09-262025-10-24Developing-6.1%
Rotation Up2025-09-052025-09-19New+6.2%
Balance2025-08-222025-08-29New-1.4%
Downward Expansion2024-12-132025-08-15Extended-12.8%
Deceleration2024-08-232024-12-06Established-8.1%
Upward Expansion2024-04-192024-08-16Established+81.8%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing25
Stage 2 ยท Advancing42
Stage 3 ยท Distribution58
Stage 4 ยท Declining58

Legacy result: Stage 3 ยท Stage 3B ยท Distribution. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus FTSEMIB.MI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
87/100
Current Relative Strength
-6.01
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
+7.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+3.3%
Technology regime cohort
100th percentile3 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.12ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.24ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity EUR 24.76falling
Slow Activity EUR 25.81rising
Trend Reference EUR 25.20-6.7% close margin
Current Fair Value EUR 21.88+7.4% close margin
Structural low EUR 21.40shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Complete bearish ordering below the Trend Line confirms Downward Expansion; a repaired fast/slow cross and upside acceptance cancel the failure.

Range context +3.3%
Annualized volatility +24.3%
From structural high -17.8%
From structural low +20.2%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs FTSEMIB.MI Regime survived Read
Near term2-2.7%-5.4% to +0.0%+0.0%+50.0%-3.8%+0.0%Too little matched history
Intermediate2+2.3%+1.4% to +3.3%+100.0%+0.0%-2.1%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended1-1.3%-1.3% to -1.3%+0.0%+100.0%-8.5%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle1+30.0%+30.0% to +30.0%+100.0%+0.0%+1.4%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context