Weekly structural research · NASDAQ · Industrials

SVRN Stage Analysis

OceanPal Inc.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 44.00Tenure NewBenchmark QQQ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction 87−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 95/100directional strength

Maturity 28/100lifecycle context

Confidence 78/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance +100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -91.6%USD 521.26 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	44.00	12.28	133.13	572913	Upward Expansion	87	95
2026-10-02	36.16	11.05	93.34	1834369	Upward Expansion	85	94
2026-09-25	47.26	10.18	155.67	1732590	Upward Expansion	98	99
2026-09-18	20.32	8.88	15.38	1001794	Upward Expansion	95	92
2026-09-11	11.95	8.50	-32.27	632925	Balance	51	45
2026-09-04	9.07	8.44	-49.89	895438	Balance	-15	14
2026-08-28	8.74	8.61	-52.48	60703	Downward Expansion	-31	19
2026-08-21	7.94	8.96	-57.74	51973	Downward Expansion	-54	37
2026-08-14	6.99	9.46	-64.91	76126	Downward Expansion	-57	48
2026-08-07	6.25	10.03	-69.92	86420	Downward Expansion	-63	54
2026-07-31	6.46	10.67	-69.09	46558	Balance	-64	51
2026-07-24	6.71	11.22	-69.66	47705	Balance	-63	43
2026-07-17	8.00	11.68	-67.42	25776	Balance	-44	29
2026-07-10	8.30	12.13	-81.94	65963	Balance	-42	25
2026-07-03	8.83	12.75	-85.72	22561	Balance	-36	20
2026-06-26	8.33	13.38	-89.52	50732	Balance	-37	21
2026-06-19	10.02	14.02	-90.82	59225	Balance	-21	12
2026-06-12	9.90	14.59	-92.09	63180	Downward Expansion	-21	16
2026-06-05	8.95	15.18	-93.74	132474	Downward Expansion	-28	19
2026-05-29	10.00	15.82	-93.71	136480	Downward Expansion	-37	24
2026-05-22	12.69	16.41	-92.27	358323	Downward Expansion	-38	30
2026-05-15	5.51	17.40	-96.80	60592	Downward Expansion	-74	55
2026-05-08	8.27	18.28	-95.50	28097	Downward Expansion	-48	39
2026-05-01	8.25	18.98	-95.51	40520	Downward Expansion	-45	34
2026-04-24	8.83	19.55	-95.34	60536	Downward Expansion	-44	36
2026-04-17	10.22	20.11	-94.75	108336	Downward Expansion	-48	42
2026-04-10	10.66	20.60	-94.45	263457	Downward Expansion	-60	56
2026-04-03	7.91	21.08	-95.89	460691	Downward Expansion	-64	64
2026-03-27	7.00	21.57	-96.42	32347860	Downward Expansion	-66	65
2026-03-20	4.94	22.20	-97.68	105548949	Downward Expansion	-81	72
2026-03-13	7.03	23.12	-96.91	11674509	Downward Expansion	-76	84
2026-03-06	10.08	24.55	-95.81	138388656	Downward Expansion	-68	86
2026-02-27	8.16	26.01	-96.80	7652768	Downward Expansion	-84	92
2026-02-20	9.10	27.77	-96.60	634605	Downward Expansion	-89	86
2026-02-13	10.18	30.59	-96.32	519057	Downward Expansion	-91	77
2026-02-06	13.91	57.58	-95.23	563746	Downward Expansion	-89	75
2026-01-30	19.37	79.78	-93.76	1018430	Downward Expansion	-82	74
2026-01-23	23.00	104.14	-92.89	385242	Downward Expansion	-68	68
2026-01-16	24.00	136.70	-92.85	727366	Downward Expansion	-66	68
2026-01-09	25.40	159.90	-92.79	586214	Downward Expansion	-66	68
2026-01-02	23.20	185.89	-93.54	764075	Downward Expansion	-67	68
2025-12-26	20.40	196.94	-94.63	687712	Downward Expansion	-79	73
2025-12-19	21.60	208.59	-94.44	764438	Downward Expansion	-82	73
2025-12-12	26.80	220.70	-93.27	344558	Downward Expansion	-71	70
2025-12-05	27.80	233.48	-93.39	616623	Downward Expansion	-69	69
2025-11-28	27.40	244.65	-93.66	227354	Downward Expansion	-69	69
2025-11-21	27.20	255.26	-93.63	903591	Downward Expansion	-72	88
2025-11-14	27.60	265.85	-93.96	492066	Downward Expansion	-63	87
2025-11-07	28.00	276.43	-94.10	790167	Downward Expansion	-61	86
2025-10-31	27.80	287.25	-94.52	7283212	Downward Expansion	-60	86
2025-10-24	42.40	300.10	-91.80	1928041	Downward Expansion	-53	84
2025-10-17	32.00	313.19	-93.91	4877224	Downward Expansion	-51	77
2025-10-10	29.20	327.35	-94.52	1683129	Downward Expansion	-60	74
2025-10-03	25.20	341.46	-95.54	778928	Downward Expansion	-62	75
2025-09-26	25.60	356.79	-95.57	1434080	Downward Expansion	-63	74
2025-09-19	25.20	373.35	-95.80	1663560	Downward Expansion	-63	64
2025-09-12	24.80	390.35	-95.89	2217006	Downward Expansion	-63	53
2025-09-05	22.60	407.94	-96.30	2510925	Downward Expansion	-63	57
2025-08-29	26.00	425.92	-95.82	3326143	Downward Expansion	-65	67
2025-08-22	32.60	444.05	-94.92	371933395	Downward Expansion	-63	72
2025-08-15	50.05	462.63	-92.49	99918120	Downward Expansion	-65	61
2025-08-08	53.75	481.29	-92.13	108311855	Balance	-66	49
2025-08-01	61.00	500.84	-90.98	645440186	Balance	-29	28
2025-07-25	93.55	519.97	-86.81	263304333	Upward Expansion	7	8
2025-07-18	820.00	536.68	13.44	57096082	Upward Expansion	61	44
2025-07-11	680.00	527.52	-5.50	17036516	Rotation Up	58	58
2025-07-04	750.00	527.52	2.83	920499	Rotation Up	31	42
2025-06-27	1,000.00	526.01	38.10	44367454	Rotation Up	53	49
2025-06-20	720.00	516.20	3.36	68391573	Deceleration	31	34
2025-06-13	805.00	516.20	14.53	73332793	Deceleration	22	28
2025-06-06	354.50	513.61	-50.25	47686	Downward Expansion	-51	36
2025-05-30	370.05	528.16	-48.20	20081	Downward Expansion	-47	35
2025-05-23	385.05	542.99	-46.38	56946	Downward Expansion	-48	40
2025-05-16	409.95	558.69	-45.64	213917	Downward Expansion	-62	51
2025-05-09	363.15	575.20	-49.91	48428	Downward Expansion	-66	62
2025-05-02	345.55	591.18	-53.73	359810	Downward Expansion	-70	76
2025-04-25	345.02	608.75	-53.50	57563	Downward Expansion	-75	87
2025-04-18	345.00	623.74	-51.76	30961	Downward Expansion	-81	87
2025-04-11	352.50	637.58	-53.12	133268	Downward Expansion	-85	89
2025-04-04	413.25	651.33	-42.38	43914	Downward Expansion	-76	81
2025-03-28	435.00	661.72	-46.69	33223	Downward Expansion	-75	79
2025-03-21	457.00	674.05	-46.63	47497	Downward Expansion	-73	71
2025-03-14	452.50	686.65	-48.33	46457	Downward Expansion	-78	65
2025-03-07	485.00	700.36	-47.14	88763	Downward Expansion	-77	66
2025-02-28	522.50	710.70	-45.69	47007	Downward Expansion	-72	68
2025-02-21	535.00	719.61	-46.89	50505	Downward Expansion	-72	70
2025-02-14	552.50	732.44	-46.99	45907	Downward Expansion	-69	63
2025-02-07	562.00	745.70	-45.35	49330	Downward Expansion	-68	55
2025-01-31	570.00	758.04	-45.40	37290	Downward Expansion	-69	51
2025-01-24	590.00	769.71	-45.14	80701	Downward Expansion	-67	50
2025-01-17	610.00	781.04	-43.40	48496	Downward Expansion	-64	52
2025-01-10	640.00	792.04	-40.00	105006	Downward Expansion	-64	58
2025-01-03	635.00	804.04	-42.91	94979	Downward Expansion	-66	74
2024-12-27	594.95	818.21	-47.91	104038	Downward Expansion	-75	81
2024-12-20	545.00	835.48	-52.52	208429	Downward Expansion	-90	86
2024-12-13	680.00	856.98	-42.98	104343	Downward Expansion	-73	76
2024-12-06	704.95	876.96	-41.12	66344	Downward Expansion	-69	76
2024-11-29	705.50	896.46	-39.85	59762	Downward Expansion	-71	74
2024-11-22	720.00	914.78	-39.00	67686	Downward Expansion	-69	67
2024-11-15	727.50	931.11	-37.97	83175	Downward Expansion	-69	46
2024-11-08	790.80	949.19	-35.63	52961	Downward Expansion	-35	19
2024-11-01	815.00	965.92	-30.86	55917	Downward Expansion	-24	16
2024-10-25	856.20	985.92	-29.53	54315	Downward Expansion	-26	21
2024-10-18	905.05	1,004.21	-26.52	133011	Downward Expansion	-29	21
2024-10-11	842.65	1,022.71	-32.36	63120	Downward Expansion	-42	28
2024-10-04	872.50	1,038.12	-30.07	87337	Downward Expansion	-48	38
2024-09-27	795.00	1,044.04	-37.05	76633	Downward Expansion	-62	54
2024-09-20	760.00	1,049.37	-40.30	64483	Downward Expansion	-64	62
2024-09-13	765.00	1,055.37	-39.37	37766	Downward Expansion	-66	63
2024-09-06	725.00	1,066.54	-39.39	45152	Downward Expansion	-77	65
2024-08-30	804.95	1,082.20	-36.84	45657	Downward Expansion	-67	61
2024-08-23	835.00	1,094.54	-35.27	39326	Downward Expansion	-62	65
2024-08-16	863.80	1,107.87	-32.54	68393	Downward Expansion	-63	60
2024-08-09	795.00	1,122.41	-34.76	141740	Downward Expansion	-75	63
2024-08-02	790.00	1,142.58	-35.20	475420	Downward Expansion	-80	62
2024-07-26	920.00	1,160.41	-27.19	146010	Downward Expansion	-66	57
2024-07-19	950.00	1,166.91	-26.95	80106	Downward Expansion	-64	67
2024-07-12	932.50	1,173.91	-31.24	86885	Downward Expansion	-67	78
2024-07-05	920.00	1,178.50	-32.43	50882	Downward Expansion	-72	80
2024-06-28	930.00	1,183.16	-29.34	207930	Downward Expansion	-74	78
2024-06-21	940.00	1,192.16	-28.77	98752	Balance	-76	77
2024-06-14	1,000.00	1,198.00	-24.27	79789	Balance	-43	53
2024-06-07	1,060.00	1,201.83	-17.20	61973	Balance	-25	25
2024-05-31	1,112.95	1,204.50	-12.24	71539	Balance	-19	13
2024-05-24	1,190.00	1,209.73	-9.52	169466	Balance	20	10
2024-05-17	1,279.35	1,212.40	-3.46	83850	Balance	28	14
2024-05-10	1,290.00	1,212.08	-2.59	70846	Upward Expansion	30	16
2024-05-03	1,255.00	1,211.75	-6.48	64070	Upward Expansion	31	17
2024-04-26	1,210.05	1,213.08	-11.71	58926	Upward Expansion	35	19
2024-04-19	1,270.00	1,221.58	-6.94	77263	Upward Expansion	55	49
2024-04-12	1,292.50	1,207.58	-13.68	84399	Upward Expansion	59	63
2024-04-05	1,415.00	1,191.67	-9.27	144616	Upward Expansion	63	53
2024-03-29	1,405.00	1,171.00	-14.02	77116	Balance	62	45
2024-03-22	1,460.00	1,152.67	-14.59	290664	Balance	55	30
2024-03-15	1,305.00	1,130.17	-24.66	268116	Rotation Down	-2	15
2024-03-08	1,050.00	1,114.17	-42.63	148347	Rotation Down	-30	52
2024-03-01	955.00	1,107.67	-51.64	126235	Balance	-40	48
2024-02-23	940.00	1,105.67	-54.22	103127	Balance	-31	29
2024-02-16	1,100.00	1,104.17	-49.02	106107	Balance	16	14
2024-02-09	1,195.00	1,095.33	-48.69	75154	Upward Expansion	37	19
2024-02-02	1,175.00	1,081.25	-52.01	84446	Upward Expansion	52	36
2024-01-26	1,235.00	1,066.42	-54.43	105245	Upward Expansion	58	62
2024-01-19	1,300.00	1,052.58	-55.98	147277	Upward Expansion	58	65
2024-01-12	1,400.00	1,037.42	-55.00	371529	Upward Expansion	72	67
2024-01-05	1,325.00	1,022.25	-58.71	247382	Balance	56	38
2023-12-29	1,115.00	1,034.42	-69.12	121449	Balance	17	13
2023-12-22	1,160.00	1,061.82	-70.31	173719	Balance	30	15
2023-12-15	1,070.00	1,090.15	-74.78	135219	Balance	-3	8
2023-12-08	1,060.00	1,122.15	-76.60	176032	Balance	-1	9
2023-12-01	1,200.00	1,166.15	-76.07	189128	Balance	6	11
2023-11-24	1,115.00	1,211.65	-79.88	66478	Balance	-13	13
2023-11-17	1,115.00	1,266.28	-81.58	70504	Balance	-17	12
2023-11-10	1,140.00	1,329.45	-82.52	122731	Balance	-3	14
2023-11-03	1,270.00	1,390.85	-81.51	169567	Balance	3	23
2023-10-27	1,270.00	1,458.68	-81.77	140215	Balance	4	29
2023-10-20	1,270.00	1,532.55	-83.54	304498	Balance	5	34

Price vs TrendAbove+258.2%

Trend directionRising+15.1%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-91.6%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+7.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+133.1%

Relative strength directionImproving+215.1%

Price momentumPositive+312.8%

Volume balanceDemand-led2.46×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

87 / ±100

+36.4 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

95 /100

+49.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

SVRN Directional State ↗ SVRN Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance18

Rotation Up89

Upward Expansion100

Deceleration39

Rotation Down8

Downward Expansion22

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 22%Rotation Up 2%Upward Expansion 11%Deceleration 1%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 63%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-09-18	2026-10-09	New	+116.5%
Balance	2026-09-04	2026-09-11	New	+31.8%
Downward Expansion	2026-08-07	2026-08-28	New	+39.9%
Balance	2026-06-19	2026-07-31	Developing	-35.5%
Downward Expansion	2025-08-15	2026-06-12	Extended	-80.2%
Balance	2025-08-01	2025-08-08	New	-11.9%
Upward Expansion	2025-07-18	2025-07-25	New	-88.6%
Rotation Up	2025-06-27	2025-07-11	New	-32.0%
Deceleration	2025-06-13	2025-06-20	New	-10.6%
Downward Expansion	2024-06-28	2025-06-06	Extended	-61.9%
Balance	2024-05-17	2024-06-21	Developing	-26.5%
Upward Expansion	2024-04-05	2024-05-10	Developing	-8.8%
Balance	2024-03-22	2024-03-29	New	-3.8%
Rotation Down	2024-03-08	2024-03-15	New	+24.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing55

Stage 2 · Advancing44

Stage 3 · Distribution15

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 1 · Stage 1B · Basing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 98/100
Current Relative Strength: 133.13
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +312.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +289.8%
Industrials regime cohort: 100th percentile47 in cohort

Test SVRN trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.51×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.46×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution5 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore SVRN Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 37.27rising

Slow Activity USD 15.57rising

Trend Reference USD 12.28+258.2% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 521.26-91.6% close margin

Structural low USD 5.32shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +19.1%

Annualized volatility +209.1%

From structural high -41.1%

From structural low +1310.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs QQQ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	5	-12.1%-93.9% to -11.3%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-14.8%	+40.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	3	-27.9%-96.1% to -7.7%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-40.9%	+33.3%	Too little matched history
Extended	2	-65.2%-97.1% to -33.4%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-81.3%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	-76.7%-99.0% to -54.3%	+0.0%	+0.0%	-101.1%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

SVRN Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map