Weekly structural research · GER · Real Estate

O5G Stage Analysis

CPI Property Group

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close EUR 0.79Tenure NewBenchmark ^GDAXI

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.
A price shock beyond the complete Activity structure bypassed the ordinary persistence gate.

Direction 83−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 77/100directional strength

Maturity 8/100lifecycle context

Confidence 75/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -2.9%EUR 0.8136 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	0.79	0.737	2.45	2022	Upward Expansion	83	77
2026-09-25	0.73	0.7352	-6.12	0	Downward Expansion	-59	43
2026-09-18	0.73	0.7355	-6.04	0	Downward Expansion	-57	30
2026-09-11	0.73	0.7358	-7.35	83	Downward Expansion	-58	26
2026-09-04	0.735	0.736	-8.77	0	Downward Expansion	-50	32
2026-08-28	0.735	0.7362	-10.92	0	Downward Expansion	-54	53
2026-08-21	0.735	0.7365	-9.80	0	Downward Expansion	-57	62
2026-08-14	0.73	0.7365	-11.73	0	Balance	-64	61
2026-08-07	0.73	0.7383	-11.64	0	Balance	-49	31
2026-07-31	0.73	0.7407	-9.60	36	Balance	-45	20
2026-07-24	0.74	0.7423	-6.78	0	Balance	-9	12
2026-07-17	0.74	0.7438	-6.05	500	Balance	-10	12
2026-07-10	0.74	0.7453	-7.18	0	Balance	-10	12
2026-07-03	0.74	0.7468	-10.01	0	Balance	-11	13
2026-06-26	0.74	0.7483	-6.32	1495	Balance	-20	16
2026-06-19	0.74	0.7478	-7.74	0	Balance	-27	15
2026-06-12	0.74	0.7495	-6.75	0	Balance	-32	15
2026-06-05	0.74	0.7512	-7.51	0	Downward Expansion	-47	32
2026-05-29	0.73	0.753	-10.26	0	Downward Expansion	-48	39
2026-05-22	0.73	0.7545	-9.80	10	Downward Expansion	-49	40
2026-05-15	0.715	0.757	-8.49	866	Balance	-61	40
2026-05-08	0.74	0.7598	-7.09	115	Balance	-33	17
2026-05-01	0.73	0.7622	-8.45	316	Balance	-40	19
2026-04-24	0.745	0.765	-6.26	73	Balance	-32	15
2026-04-17	0.74	0.767	-9.39	2238	Downward Expansion	-36	20
2026-04-10	0.745	0.7697	-5.82	1015	Downward Expansion	-38	20
2026-04-03	0.735	0.7722	-5.04	1260	Downward Expansion	-49	27
2026-03-27	0.725	0.7748	-3.13	8404	Downward Expansion	-55	31
2026-03-20	0.75	0.7778	-0.39	6579	Downward Expansion	-50	29
2026-03-13	0.73	0.78	-7.60	3248	Downward Expansion	-57	35
2026-03-06	0.735	0.7828	-7.78	16691	Downward Expansion	-57	40
2026-02-27	0.74	0.7855	-13.60	2140	Downward Expansion	-55	44
2026-02-20	0.74	0.788	-13.90	4517	Downward Expansion	-55	50
2026-02-13	0.735	0.791	-13.66	8198	Downward Expansion	-58	57
2026-02-06	0.74	0.7942	-12.72	19382	Downward Expansion	-57	52
2026-01-30	0.745	0.7973	-11.85	1554	Balance	-56	39
2026-01-23	0.735	0.8002	-14.63	8577	Balance	-61	31
2026-01-16	0.785	0.8032	-10.68	7575	Balance	-27	13
2026-01-09	0.80	0.8045	-9.21	1513	Balance	-24	13
2026-01-02	0.78	0.8057	-9.30	344	Downward Expansion	-34	16
2025-12-26	0.785	0.8075	-8.40	0	Downward Expansion	-37	18
2025-12-19	0.785	0.8093	-8.57	2238	Downward Expansion	-53	35
2025-12-12	0.785	0.8107	-8.53	56	Downward Expansion	-56	41
2025-12-05	0.785	0.8123	-8.23	7048	Downward Expansion	-59	44
2025-11-28	0.725	0.814	-14.83	5086	Downward Expansion	-90	63
2025-11-21	0.79	0.8175	-4.69	3736	Downward Expansion	-61	52
2025-11-14	0.79	0.8188	-8.14	1090	Downward Expansion	-65	69
2025-11-07	0.795	0.82	-6.76	4490	Downward Expansion	-63	74
2025-10-31	0.775	0.821	-10.92	1000	Downward Expansion	-92	88
2025-10-24	0.805	0.8223	-8.97	167	Downward Expansion	-59	52
2025-10-17	0.80	0.8232	-8.36	0	Downward Expansion	-70	60
2025-10-10	0.81	0.824	-9.08	0	Downward Expansion	-55	37
2025-10-03	0.815	0.8245	-9.41	100	Downward Expansion	-48	29
2025-09-26	0.805	0.8248	-8.50	5139	Downward Expansion	-65	36
2025-09-19	0.82	0.8258	-6.75	0	Downward Expansion	-40	24
2025-09-12	0.82	0.8258	-7.36	20	Downward Expansion	-52	38
2025-09-05	0.815	0.8257	-7.91	0	Downward Expansion	-58	60
2025-08-29	0.815	0.8257	-9.51	0	Balance	-57	59
2025-08-22	0.815	0.8255	-11.62	0	Balance	-31	48
2025-08-15	0.815	0.8257	-12.11	0	Balance	-27	37
2025-08-08	0.815	0.8252	-11.97	11	Balance	-18	24
2025-08-01	0.815	0.825	-9.77	2005	Balance	1	4
2025-07-25	0.83	0.8247	-11.60	10	Upward Expansion	37	16
2025-07-18	0.83	0.8233	-12.33	67	Upward Expansion	28	11
2025-07-11	0.835	0.8217	-12.18	0	Upward Expansion	34	15
2025-07-04	0.83	0.82	-11.39	46	Upward Expansion	29	13
2025-06-27	0.825	0.8185	-13.24	0	Upward Expansion	29	13
2025-06-20	0.825	0.8172	-11.19	563	Upward Expansion	36	19
2025-06-13	0.835	0.8158	-11.15	0	Upward Expansion	51	27
2025-06-06	0.835	0.8143	-14.44	360	Upward Expansion	52	29
2025-05-30	0.84	0.8128	-13.23	2746	Upward Expansion	59	34
2025-05-23	0.825	0.8112	-13.81	941	Upward Expansion	51	28
2025-05-16	0.835	0.8103	-13.61	0	Upward Expansion	57	40
2025-05-09	0.835	0.8085	-12.99	186	Upward Expansion	58	40
2025-05-02	0.83	0.8073	-12.33	742	Deceleration	54	31
2025-04-25	0.83	0.8062	-9.42	22	Deceleration	54	27
2025-04-18	0.825	0.8052	-5.98	0	Upward Expansion	39	21
2025-04-11	0.825	0.8043	-2.74	12	Upward Expansion	39	21
2025-04-04	0.815	0.8033	-5.66	803	Upward Expansion	39	22
2025-03-28	0.83	0.8028	-12.18	2132	Upward Expansion	55	33
2025-03-21	0.825	0.8022	-14.87	0	Upward Expansion	54	39
2025-03-14	0.825	0.8025	-15.81	0	Upward Expansion	56	40
2025-03-07	0.825	0.8033	-16.50	10404	Rotation Up	56	42
2025-02-28	0.835	0.8032	-14.41	10000	Rotation Up	40	36
2025-02-21	0.82	0.8023	-15.54	238	Rotation Up	30	26
2025-02-14	0.815	0.8027	-17.50	0	Rotation Up	28	36
2025-02-07	0.815	0.8032	-15.46	510	Rotation Up	20	32
2025-01-31	0.81	0.8033	-16.43	0	Rotation Up	17	35
2025-01-24	0.82	0.8038	-14.72	601	Balance	25	29
2025-01-17	0.80	0.8042	-15.44	341	Balance	-12	15
2025-01-10	0.81	0.8047	-12.13	12	Downward Expansion	-6	9
2025-01-03	0.805	0.8048	-11.90	732	Downward Expansion	-25	12
2024-12-27	0.79	0.8053	-14.44	2377	Downward Expansion	-51	28
2024-12-20	0.78	0.806	-15.66	3198	Downward Expansion	-58	37
2024-12-13	0.785	0.8068	-17.85	0	Downward Expansion	-54	33
2024-12-06	0.785	0.8082	-18.33	0	Downward Expansion	-55	34
2024-11-29	0.785	0.8097	-15.76	142	Downward Expansion	-54	30
2024-11-22	0.785	0.811	-15.01	1000	Downward Expansion	-55	30
2024-11-15	0.79	0.8132	-14.56	30	Downward Expansion	-51	28
2024-11-08	0.79	0.8177	-15.07	1500	Downward Expansion	-52	30
2024-11-01	0.79	0.8223	-15.82	2551	Downward Expansion	-52	30
2024-10-25	0.80	0.827	-16.24	19482	Downward Expansion	-51	31
2024-10-18	0.78	0.8313	-19.77	3635	Downward Expansion	-67	42
2024-10-11	0.80	0.8365	-17.17	0	Downward Expansion	-55	37
2024-10-04	0.795	0.841	-17.17	39	Downward Expansion	-60	45
2024-09-27	0.80	0.8457	-18.69	239	Downward Expansion	-57	51
2024-09-20	0.80	0.8502	-15.96	12844	Downward Expansion	-58	50
2024-09-13	0.795	0.8545	-16.86	46	Downward Expansion	-68	55
2024-09-06	0.80	0.8595	-14.95	87	Downward Expansion	-66	36
2024-08-30	0.81	0.8643	-17.04	1650	Downward Expansion	-41	23
2024-08-23	0.835	0.8683	-13.69	41	Downward Expansion	-24	18
2024-08-16	0.85	0.8715	-11.04	1828	Downward Expansion	-31	22
2024-08-09	0.82	0.8742	-11.61	0	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2024-08-02	0.81	0.8778	-12.69	260	Downward Expansion	-64	43
2024-07-26	0.83	0.8818	-14.51	0	Downward Expansion	-42	34
2024-07-19	0.83	0.8852	-13.64	669	Downward Expansion	-41	32
2024-07-12	0.82	0.8885	-17.58	2	Downward Expansion	-44	40
2024-07-05	0.825	0.8922	-16.24	600	Downward Expansion	-47	45
2024-06-28	0.83	0.8957	-15.05	397	Downward Expansion	-51	53
2024-06-21	0.815	0.899	-16.59	0	Downward Expansion	-64	63
2024-06-14	0.815	0.9027	-16.21	0	Downward Expansion	-66	65
2024-06-07	0.82	0.905	-18.51	269	Downward Expansion	-68	75
2024-05-31	0.81	0.9072	-19.61	731	Downward Expansion	-74	90
2024-05-24	0.805	0.9098	-21.29	5603	Downward Expansion	-84	94
2024-05-17	0.825	0.9128	-19.76	305	Downward Expansion	-79	92
2024-05-10	0.83	0.9152	-19.89	610	Rotation Down	-86	94
2024-05-03	0.825	0.9173	-17.34	700	Rotation Down	-64	81
2024-04-26	0.85	0.9197	-15.91	4000	Rotation Down	-49	58
2024-04-19	0.925	0.9212	-6.64	120	Deceleration	9	9
2024-04-12	0.93	0.9202	-7.31	1887	Deceleration	19	10
2024-04-05	0.93	0.9188	-8.72	0	Deceleration	30	15
2024-03-29	0.93	0.9175	-10.50	1347	Deceleration	33	19
2024-03-22	0.935	0.9167	-8.84	9450	Deceleration	37	24
2024-03-15	0.935	0.915	-7.68	0	Upward Expansion	40	26
2024-03-08	0.935	0.9133	-7.35	100	Upward Expansion	53	40
2024-03-01	0.935	0.9117	-7.15	200	Upward Expansion	56	60
2024-02-23	0.93	0.91	-6.15	1000	Upward Expansion	56	58
2024-02-16	0.945	0.9087	-3.18	200	Upward Expansion	60	46
2024-02-09	0.945	0.9068	-2.23	3100	Deceleration	62	43
2024-02-02	0.93	0.9057	-3.91	0	Deceleration	43	28
2024-01-26	0.93	0.905	-4.29	0	Upward Expansion	50	31
2024-01-19	0.93	0.9047	-2.12	0	Upward Expansion	52	33
2024-01-12	0.93	0.9038	-3.14	1000	Upward Expansion	54	35
2024-01-05	0.93	0.903	-2.65	0	Upward Expansion	57	45
2023-12-29	0.93	0.9022	-3.74	500	Upward Expansion	59	58
2023-12-22	0.93	0.9013	-3.79	0	Upward Expansion	60	66
2023-12-15	0.93	0.9005	-4.35	1143	Upward Expansion	60	65
2023-12-08	0.93	0.8997	-4.70	91	Balance	61	60
2023-12-01	0.93	0.899	-2.84	1310	Balance	34	38
2023-11-24	0.925	0.8983	-1.35	33686	Balance	20	12
2023-11-17	0.885	0.8978	-5.12	555	Balance	-51	34
2023-11-10	0.885	0.8987	-1.12	8650	Balance	-50	26
2023-11-03	0.89	0.8993	-0.47	747	Balance	-36	15
2023-10-27	0.895	0.8998	3.18	88	Balance	-18	8
2023-10-20	0.895	0.9002	2.12	1853	Balance	-20	9
2023-10-13	0.895	0.8992	-0.87	0	Downward Expansion	-31	14

Price vs TrendAbove+7.2%

Trend directionFalling-0.7%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-2.9%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+7.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+2.4%

Relative strength directionImproving+12.5%

Price momentumPositive+7.5%

Volume balanceDemand-led16.99×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

83 / ±100

+132.1 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

77 /100

+44.5 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

O5G Directional State ↗ O5G Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance23

Rotation Up69

Upward Expansion82

Deceleration53

Rotation Down16

Downward Expansion23

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 21%Rotation Up 4%Upward Expansion 20%Deceleration 6%Rotation Down 2%Downward Expansion 47%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-10-02	2026-10-02	New	+0.0%
Downward Expansion	2026-08-21	2026-09-25	Developing	-0.7%
Balance	2026-06-12	2026-08-14	Developing	-1.4%
Downward Expansion	2026-05-22	2026-06-05	New	+1.4%
Balance	2026-04-24	2026-05-15	New	-4.0%
Downward Expansion	2026-02-06	2026-04-17	Developing	+0.0%
Balance	2026-01-09	2026-01-30	New	-6.9%
Downward Expansion	2025-09-05	2026-01-02	Established	-4.3%
Balance	2025-08-01	2025-08-29	Developing	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-09	2025-07-25	Developing	-0.6%
Deceleration	2025-04-25	2025-05-02	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-14	2025-04-18	Developing	+0.0%
Rotation Up	2025-01-31	2025-03-07	Developing	+1.9%
Balance	2025-01-17	2025-01-24	New	+2.5%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing57

Stage 2 · Advancing77

Stage 3 · Distribution51

Stage 4 · Declining23

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2A · Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^GDAXI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 75/100
Current Relative Strength: 2.45
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +7.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -1.4%
Real Estate regime cohort: 100th percentile1 in cohort

Test O5G trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume9.75×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume16.99×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore O5G Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity EUR 0.7503rising

Slow Activity EUR 0.738rising

Trend Reference EUR 0.737+7.2% close margin

Current Fair Value EUR 0.8136-2.9% close margin

Structural low EUR 0.71shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +1.3%

Annualized volatility +13.4%

From structural high -3.7%

From structural low +17.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^GDAXI	Regime survived	Read
Near term	24	+0.0%-1.8% to +8.4%	+41.7%	+41.7%	+0.3%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	-0.3%-12.8% to +14.3%	+40.0%	+40.0%	-2.7%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	-0.3%-12.4% to +13.7%	+33.3%	+33.3%	-2.7%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-5.2%-15.6% to +23.3%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-16.1%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

O5G Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map