Weekly structural research · NYSE · Consumer Cyclical

PRKS Stage Analysis

United Parks & Resorts Inc

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 32.67Tenure NewBenchmark SPY

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Rotation Down · Supply rotation

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion.

The Trend gate is mixed within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -45−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 75/100directional strength

Maturity 20/100lifecycle context

Confidence 75/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Mixedstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -30.0%USD 46.70 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-09	32.67	39.54	-22.86	3458653	Rotation Down	-45	75
2026-10-02	32.46	39.48	-23.45	3440148	Rotation Down	-41	72
2026-09-25	33.25	39.54	-22.86	3060646	Rotation Down	-43	70
2026-09-18	34.19	39.59	-20.65	5193064	Deceleration	-44	58
2026-09-11	36.50	39.63	-16.31	2823867	Deceleration	-17	26
2026-09-04	40.45	39.55	-8.88	3144011	Deceleration	6	11
2026-08-28	42.49	39.43	-5.20	2596320	Deceleration	34	20
2026-08-21	45.33	39.27	0.72	2337071	Deceleration	38	26
2026-08-14	44.93	39.01	-2.32	2320385	Deceleration	39	27
2026-08-07	45.03	38.77	-2.68	4560313	Deceleration	41	28
2026-07-31	44.63	38.52	-0.77	4612223	Upward Expansion	45	35
2026-07-24	44.83	38.24	0.26	2833119	Upward Expansion	59	47
2026-07-17	45.11	37.95	-0.37	2204404	Upward Expansion	63	62
2026-07-10	46.87	37.60	1.39	2863186	Upward Expansion	66	80
2026-07-03	48.44	37.26	5.72	3038547	Upward Expansion	77	86
2026-06-26	47.12	36.83	4.61	4731602	Upward Expansion	77	83
2026-06-19	46.64	36.46	0.67	4875326	Upward Expansion	80	81
2026-06-12	45.15	36.02	-2.02	5000759	Upward Expansion	80	73
2026-06-05	40.77	35.58	-11.26	3616269	Upward Expansion	66	53
2026-05-29	40.13	35.45	-15.29	5141618	Balance	65	51
2026-05-22	36.78	35.72	-21.80	4506204	Balance	13	16
2026-05-15	36.13	36.15	-23.23	7710419	Balance	11	14
2026-05-08	39.22	36.69	-17.36	5517657	Balance	9	16
2026-05-01	35.27	37.07	-24.64	4901736	Downward Expansion	-22	19
2026-04-24	33.80	37.74	-27.81	4583788	Downward Expansion	-28	21
2026-04-17	36.07	38.33	-23.30	5154108	Downward Expansion	-29	16
2026-04-10	37.33	38.84	-17.86	4779688	Downward Expansion	-32	26
2026-04-03	33.65	39.28	-23.82	3776872	Downward Expansion	-63	52
2026-03-27	29.73	39.98	-31.02	5290312	Downward Expansion	-79	74
2026-03-20	31.27	40.74	-29.81	3974481	Downward Expansion	-76	70
2026-03-13	30.86	41.48	-32.74	4716002	Downward Expansion	-82	69
2026-03-06	34.18	42.17	-27.41	4358090	Downward Expansion	-66	56
2026-02-27	34.79	42.65	-28.28	10134839	Downward Expansion	-64	61
2026-02-20	35.44	43.05	-28.00	3922146	Downward Expansion	-60	53
2026-02-13	33.96	43.58	-30.91	5241554	Downward Expansion	-72	49
2026-02-06	37.03	44.04	-26.37	9969103	Downward Expansion	-39	30
2026-01-30	37.65	44.39	-25.98	4565617	Downward Expansion	-38	27
2026-01-23	37.49	44.77	-26.65	3989072	Downward Expansion	-42	31
2026-01-16	37.86	45.10	-26.79	3915153	Deceleration	-44	37
2026-01-09	37.43	45.31	-28.49	8572036	Deceleration	-47	44
2026-01-02	36.22	45.43	-30.45	2772590	Downward Expansion	-49	47
2025-12-26	35.99	45.65	-32.38	2275491	Downward Expansion	-60	54
2025-12-19	34.66	45.94	-34.63	4946624	Downward Expansion	-67	60
2025-12-12	36.64	46.31	-31.52	4239538	Downward Expansion	-64	79
2025-12-05	35.53	46.73	-34.61	3888453	Downward Expansion	-67	87
2025-11-28	36.09	47.12	-34.12	4236169	Downward Expansion	-68	88
2025-11-21	33.45	47.45	-37.37	9509972	Rotation Down	-83	93
2025-11-14	31.97	47.80	-41.92	6947819	Rotation Down	-65	80
2025-11-07	36.81	48.21	-33.83	12389386	Rotation Down	-46	51
2025-10-31	48.40	48.38	-15.22	3805656	Deceleration	16	13
2025-10-24	49.70	48.16	-12.77	3210814	Deceleration	32	18
2025-10-17	52.24	48.04	-6.95	3546324	Deceleration	38	24
2025-10-10	50.63	47.95	-8.51	3326906	Upward Expansion	40	25
2025-10-03	55.21	47.85	-2.90	3857815	Upward Expansion	65	37
2025-09-26	51.72	47.65	-8.21	3625885	Upward Expansion	52	32
2025-09-19	51.21	47.61	-9.63	5055598	Upward Expansion	55	36
2025-09-12	50.66	47.65	-9.81	5454203	Upward Expansion	60	56
2025-09-05	54.43	47.71	-1.91	10142863	Upward Expansion	70	71
2025-08-29	52.58	47.66	-5.21	2676671	Rotation Up	66	63
2025-08-22	53.45	47.66	-3.83	3568151	Rotation Up	45	42
2025-08-15	51.75	47.61	-6.72	5497852	Rotation Up	41	35
2025-08-08	48.64	47.62	-11.62	6878725	Rotation Up	17	22
2025-08-01	46.63	47.84	-13.43	3149788	Rotation Up	17	29
2025-07-25	51.31	48.20	-7.34	3642178	Balance	34	40
2025-07-18	47.97	48.34	-12.50	3641288	Balance	-3	18
2025-07-11	47.46	48.54	-13.47	3305523	Balance	-8	14
2025-07-04	49.01	48.82	-11.40	3093846	Downward Expansion	-9	6
2025-06-27	47.33	49.18	-13.36	4395239	Downward Expansion	-47	30
2025-06-20	44.05	49.56	-17.00	2727393	Downward Expansion	-54	49
2025-06-13	41.06	49.99	-23.10	3188144	Downward Expansion	-67	52
2025-06-06	42.85	50.52	-20.43	3140470	Downward Expansion	-59	31
2025-05-30	44.79	50.98	-15.89	3287104	Downward Expansion	-38	19
2025-05-23	45.76	51.24	-13.00	3492099	Downward Expansion	-31	19
2025-05-16	49.23	51.49	-9.11	4632255	Downward Expansion	-33	18
2025-05-09	47.18	51.61	-8.61	4168794	Downward Expansion	-42	28
2025-05-02	45.91	51.73	-11.84	4001806	Downward Expansion	-58	44
2025-04-25	44.02	51.93	-13.33	4224952	Downward Expansion	-62	67
2025-04-18	44.38	52.17	-9.01	2272346	Downward Expansion	-64	74
2025-04-11	41.84	52.43	-15.80	5782683	Downward Expansion	-76	78
2025-04-04	41.72	52.74	-11.77	5450807	Downward Expansion	-83	78
2025-03-28	46.30	53.08	-11.47	3541725	Downward Expansion	-72	68
2025-03-21	49.29	53.18	-7.63	4073221	Rotation Down	-59	59
2025-03-14	47.69	53.16	-10.48	4963726	Rotation Down	-41	47
2025-03-07	49.36	53.19	-9.77	5639358	Deceleration	-36	32
2025-02-28	50.50	53.12	-10.85	7677157	Deceleration	-24	21
2025-02-21	52.36	53.01	-8.83	4409723	Deceleration	-16	24
2025-02-14	52.58	53.11	-10.03	2889871	Deceleration	-15	29
2025-02-07	52.91	53.30	-8.29	3006746	Deceleration	-14	24
2025-01-31	52.56	53.43	-9.26	3052133	Deceleration	-14	20
2025-01-24	51.81	53.47	-11.66	6580740	Deceleration	1	10
2025-01-17	52.23	53.55	-9.77	4310240	Deceleration	15	11
2025-01-10	55.24	53.51	-2.15	2608982	Deceleration	34	18
2025-01-03	57.39	53.31	-0.55	2872893	Deceleration	42	21
2024-12-27	55.43	53.09	-4.73	1631939	Upward Expansion	40	23
2024-12-20	54.08	52.98	-6.80	4585417	Upward Expansion	55	35
2024-12-13	55.85	52.86	-5.83	2392765	Upward Expansion	61	56
2024-12-06	59.82	52.74	-0.13	3167897	Upward Expansion	75	76
2024-11-29	58.64	52.53	-1.55	2815530	Upward Expansion	73	73
2024-11-22	56.81	52.26	-3.77	3531570	Upward Expansion	67	66
2024-11-15	57.05	52.06	-2.05	4307281	Upward Expansion	71	66
2024-11-08	56.77	51.88	-4.79	6077112	Balance	73	58
2024-11-01	52.57	51.76	-7.87	3595611	Balance	12	14
2024-10-25	53.22	51.89	-8.34	3050639	Balance	16	12
2024-10-18	52.67	51.99	-10.31	3635528	Balance	-7	6
2024-10-11	51.02	52.03	-12.57	4591708	Balance	-23	12
2024-10-04	51.70	52.04	-10.59	3929035	Balance	-22	13
2024-09-27	51.26	52.07	-11.36	3475474	Balance	-24	16
2024-09-20	52.18	52.15	-9.60	4396434	Balance	-24	14
2024-09-13	51.17	51.97	-10.41	4858970	Balance	-34	17
2024-09-06	52.06	51.84	-5.56	4273110	Rotation Down	-46	34
2024-08-30	49.22	51.74	-14.64	3925025	Rotation Down	-56	59
2024-08-23	48.69	51.71	-15.70	4527608	Rotation Down	-28	36
2024-08-16	48.45	51.78	-15.38	5541264	Balance	-29	31
2024-08-09	47.34	51.87	-14.41	8635088	Balance	-13	14
2024-08-02	47.10	51.98	-15.27	6587553	Upward Expansion	13	13
2024-07-26	55.50	52.14	-2.91	5699345	Upward Expansion	58	62
2024-07-19	58.41	52.05	1.07	5605600	Upward Expansion	72	68
2024-07-12	56.72	51.79	-3.99	4643730	Balance	64	49
2024-07-05	53.72	51.65	-8.50	3403939	Balance	39	19
2024-06-28	54.31	51.59	-6.27	4829940	Balance	38	17
2024-06-21	51.03	51.47	-12.43	3342582	Balance	-9	17
2024-06-14	49.24	51.43	-15.51	4150851	Balance	-16	19
2024-06-07	50.57	51.42	-12.49	4163913	Balance	8	7
2024-05-31	52.29	51.29	-9.03	2574858	Balance	18	8
2024-05-24	50.47	51.12	-13.15	3814884	Balance	16	10
2024-05-17	52.15	50.81	-10.86	3510431	Balance	25	15
2024-05-10	53.62	50.49	-7.43	7073930	Balance	32	19
2024-05-03	50.48	50.12	-11.80	4078526	Balance	20	17
2024-04-26	50.78	49.92	-11.31	3402749	Upward Expansion	32	18
2024-04-19	51.74	49.77	-7.73	5094090	Upward Expansion	55	37
2024-04-12	52.97	49.61	-8.84	4253517	Upward Expansion	60	61
2024-04-05	56.70	49.47	-4.44	5359277	Upward Expansion	75	73
2024-03-29	56.21	49.20	-6.66	5439917	Upward Expansion	73	70
2024-03-22	53.92	48.98	-10.80	4805375	Balance	64	53
2024-03-15	51.34	48.84	-13.75	3710386	Balance	37	33
2024-03-08	52.54	48.74	-12.48	3650968	Balance	42	22
2024-03-01	53.45	48.71	-11.93	5241107	Balance	33	17
2024-02-23	47.01	48.74	-22.57	2186847	Balance	-24	27
2024-02-16	47.09	48.92	-22.02	2588567	Balance	-14	19
2024-02-09	49.08	49.10	-19.88	2893921	Balance	24	17
2024-02-02	48.26	49.24	-20.94	3698520	Rotation Up	-4	9
2024-01-26	50.90	49.49	-16.21	4200529	Rotation Up	11	12
2024-01-19	51.22	49.66	-15.50	4309635	Rotation Up	15	18
2024-01-12	50.55	49.80	-16.18	2577836	Rotation Up	26	23
2024-01-05	51.87	50.07	-12.95	2890759	Rotation Up	22	27
2023-12-29	52.83	50.26	-13.31	2958270	Rotation Up	30	43
2023-12-22	50.76	50.44	-16.80	2687587	Rotation Up	23	37
2023-12-15	52.38	50.60	-13.83	4133322	Rotation Up	31	37
2023-12-08	51.84	50.72	-13.09	3844001	Downward Expansion	12	29
2023-12-01	50.76	50.90	-14.99	4331464	Downward Expansion	4	23
2023-11-24	49.92	51.04	-16.08	2657442	Downward Expansion	-15	25
2023-11-17	48.80	51.17	-17.45	3870036	Downward Expansion	-38	23
2023-11-10	46.84	51.31	-19.30	4836709	Downward Expansion	-50	42
2023-11-03	47.27	51.65	-17.86	4482906	Downward Expansion	-65	58
2023-10-27	41.14	52.02	-24.85	4174817	Downward Expansion	-80	90
2023-10-20	42.49	52.69	-24.89	5183475	Downward Expansion	-78	88

Price vs TrendBelow-17.4%

Trend directionRising+2.6%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-30.0%

Fair Value directionMoving away-28.9%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-22.9%

Relative strength directionWeakening-24.3%

Price momentumNegative-12.5%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.32×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-45 / ±100

-27.2 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

75 /100

+48.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

PRKS Directional State ↗ PRKS Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance13

Rotation Up16

Upward Expansion26

Deceleration43

Rotation Down79

Downward Expansion70

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 23%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 19%Deceleration 14%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 28%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Rotation Down	2026-09-25	2026-10-09	New	-1.7%
Deceleration	2026-08-07	2026-09-18	Developing	-24.1%
Upward Expansion	2026-06-05	2026-07-31	Developing	+9.5%
Balance	2026-05-08	2026-05-29	New	+2.3%
Downward Expansion	2026-01-23	2026-05-01	Established	-5.9%
Deceleration	2026-01-09	2026-01-16	New	+1.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-11-28	2026-01-02	Developing	+0.4%
Rotation Down	2025-11-07	2025-11-21	New	-9.1%
Deceleration	2025-10-17	2025-10-31	New	-7.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-05	2025-10-10	Developing	-7.0%
Rotation Up	2025-08-01	2025-08-29	Developing	+12.8%
Balance	2025-07-11	2025-07-25	New	+8.1%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-28	2025-07-04	Established	+5.9%
Rotation Down	2025-03-14	2025-03-21	New	+3.4%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing53

Stage 2 · Advancing16

Stage 3 · Distribution32

Stage 4 · Declining84

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4A · Breakdown. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 99/100
Current Relative Strength: -22.86
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -12.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -27.4%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 56th percentile41 in cohort

Test PRKS trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.96×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.32×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore PRKS Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 33.19falling

Slow Activity USD 40.25falling

Trend Reference USD 39.54-17.4% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 46.70-30.0% close margin

Structural low USD 31.12shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Complete bearish ordering below the Trend Line confirms Downward Expansion; a repaired fast/slow cross and upside acceptance cancel the failure.

Range context +11.8%

Annualized volatility +37.6%

From structural high -40.0%

From structural low +13.6%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs SPY	Regime survived	Read
Near term	4	-0.1%-12.3% to +7.2%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-1.7%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Intermediate	4	-0.8%-13.9% to +16.7%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-7.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	4	+6.4%-23.3% to +7.5%	+75.0%	+25.0%	-7.6%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	2	+2.2%-5.4% to +9.8%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-17.9%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

PRKS Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map