Weekly structural research · BUE · Healthcare

AZN Stage Analysis

AstraZeneca PLC

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close ARS 67,400.00Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^MERV

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction -36−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 19/100directional strength

Maturity 42/100lifecycle context

Confidence 77/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance -33.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +53.7%ARS 43,839.45 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	67,400.00	68,681.35	-3.01	2318	Downward Expansion	-36	19
2026-09-18	66,400.00	68,977.19	-9.01	12197	Downward Expansion	-41	25
2026-09-11	64,050.00	69,244.69	-15.31	4177	Downward Expansion	-57	33
2026-09-04	64,550.00	69,618.83	-14.11	7346	Downward Expansion	-57	40
2026-08-28	65,275.00	69,868.82	-11.62	10599	Downward Expansion	-59	55
2026-08-21	66,225.00	70,060.47	-8.67	1178	Downward Expansion	-61	66
2026-08-14	61,550.00	70,196.28	-16.28	300	Downward Expansion	-80	78
2026-08-07	63,825.00	70,524.60	-17.27	568	Downward Expansion	-71	71
2026-07-31	66,552.87	70,809.58	-19.13	51	Balance	-60	51
2026-07-24	67,098.35	70,941.97	-18.41	179	Balance	-54	24
2026-07-17	66,058.66	71,104.51	-17.63	2161	Balance	-47	25
2026-07-10	66,906.57	71,268.37	-18.66	988	Rotation Up	-23	17
2026-07-03	79,499.12	71,299.80	-1.00	48	Rotation Up	27	23
2026-06-26	72,625.00	70,921.48	-7.13	1207	Downward Expansion	-24	18
2026-06-19	65,900.00	70,871.46	-19.87	3	Downward Expansion	-70	56
2026-06-12	66,925.00	70,975.61	-20.06	343	Rotation Down	-64	39
2026-06-05	70,125.00	70,956.43	-9.02	2476	Rotation Down	-25	34
2026-05-29	68,850.00	70,700.58	-12.81	2931	Rotation Down	-29	46
2026-05-22	69,825.00	70,468.90	-1.44	4265	Rotation Down	-18	36
2026-05-15	67,325.00	70,316.38	0.44	549	Balance	-28	35
2026-05-08	67,750.00	70,249.70	-0.59	789	Balance	-4	10
2026-05-01	70,525.00	70,091.35	1.63	519	Balance	25	16
2026-04-24	70,875.00	69,901.33	2.22	664	Balance	42	33
2026-04-17	74,975.00	69,344.66	6.84	2266	Balance	55	40
2026-04-10	75,425.00	68,827.14	4.20	1276	Balance	55	25
2026-04-03	74,600.00	68,270.46	3.50	507	Balance	39	22
2026-03-27	69,725.00	67,677.11	4.12	1995	Balance	11	17
2026-03-20	67,500.00	67,152.93	3.72	730	Upward Expansion	18	12
2026-03-13	70,000.00	66,696.25	11.36	797	Upward Expansion	43	29
2026-03-06	72,100.00	66,072.91	15.98	1859	Upward Expansion	59	47
2026-02-27	76,275.00	65,303.73	22.61	847	Upward Expansion	70	61
2026-02-20	74,425.00	64,447.87	10.72	398	Upward Expansion	62	45
2026-02-13	75,274.45	63,530.36	14.90	2733	Upward Expansion	69	45
2026-02-06	72,049.48	62,508.69	4.75	8205	Upward Expansion	58	39
2026-01-30	71,024.48	61,614.52	-3.41	79	Upward Expansion	57	43
2026-01-23	70,299.49	60,680.35	-0.63	455	Upward Expansion	58	43
2026-01-16	71,399.48	59,734.52	7.07	2740	Upward Expansion	61	51
2026-01-09	72,374.48	58,673.69	3.79	2616	Upward Expansion	67	56
2026-01-02	70,524.48	57,740.35	0.74	519	Upward Expansion	62	52
2025-12-26	71,974.48	56,842.02	4.01	425	Upward Expansion	68	52
2025-12-19	70,974.48	55,906.18	2.38	1773	Upward Expansion	68	54
2025-12-12	67,849.51	54,906.18	3.79	897	Upward Expansion	61	53
2025-12-05	68,149.51	53,988.68	2.62	513	Upward Expansion	62	55
2025-11-28	71,124.48	53,017.02	8.35	1730	Upward Expansion	75	58
2025-11-21	69,024.50	52,071.18	15.95	1111	Upward Expansion	76	57
2025-11-14	66,349.52	51,160.35	3.63	1159	Upward Expansion	71	55
2025-11-07	62,449.55	50,262.85	2.34	1872	Upward Expansion	62	54
2025-10-31	61,899.55	49,651.18	-2.98	1036	Upward Expansion	64	59
2025-10-24	65,249.53	49,112.84	47.62	4963	Upward Expansion	73	72
2025-10-17	65,324.52	48,547.84	55.40	3465	Upward Expansion	79	69
2025-10-10	62,999.54	47,981.17	55.91	6998	Upward Expansion	77	68
2025-10-03	64,824.53	47,485.33	72.24	5231	Upward Expansion	89	73
2025-09-26	54,174.61	46,897.82	46.26	5581	Upward Expansion	67	66
2025-09-19	59,449.57	46,633.65	71.12	2577	Upward Expansion	83	93
2025-09-12	58,724.57	46,157.81	63.12	1352	Upward Expansion	86	93
2025-09-05	56,799.59	45,666.96	39.84	793	Upward Expansion	86	93
2025-08-29	53,999.61	45,211.11	33.55	2115	Upward Expansion	80	90
2025-08-22	53,799.61	44,809.42	24.71	2823	Upward Expansion	85	89
2025-08-15	51,299.63	44,362.73	13.45	1440	Upward Expansion	80	83
2025-08-08	49,024.64	43,975.21	2.21	2738	Upward Expansion	72	77
2025-08-01	50,599.37	43,666.86	5.35	2750	Balance	73	73
2025-07-25	46,899.42	43,283.52	-0.13	3144	Balance	39	47
2025-07-18	44,624.45	43,026.84	-0.48	5334	Balance	24	18
2025-07-11	45,224.44	42,805.99	3.18	1619	Balance	17	7
2025-07-04	42,999.46	42,507.65	-6.13	2950	Balance	-1	3
2025-06-27	41,924.48	42,294.30	-7.80	2402	Balance	-3	4
2025-06-20	39,574.50	42,146.79	-14.84	255	Balance	-8	10
2025-06-13	44,374.45	42,043.44	-8.31	1929	Balance	38	24
2025-06-06	43,574.46	41,762.60	-12.02	1135	Balance	24	13
2025-05-30	43,899.45	41,555.92	-17.11	4676	Rotation Down	9	16
2025-05-23	40,974.49	41,495.07	-25.48	4435	Rotation Down	-21	38
2025-05-16	40,324.50	41,592.55	-24.72	3896	Deceleration	-24	37
2025-05-09	38,999.51	41,810.03	-19.01	4660	Deceleration	-35	39
2025-05-02	42,749.46	42,020.01	-9.24	607	Deceleration	6	25
2025-04-25	41,699.48	42,179.16	-14.95	2141	Deceleration	13	26
2025-04-18	39,424.51	42,382.47	-16.49	6365	Upward Expansion	8	19
2025-04-11	44,099.45	42,664.95	-8.07	10837	Upward Expansion	49	39
2025-04-04	45,749.43	42,827.43	3.57	3301	Rotation Up	65	57
2025-03-28	48,299.40	43,047.41	-1.16	2912	Rotation Up	45	75
2025-03-21	48,324.40	43,325.71	-1.48	5630	Rotation Up	50	79
2025-03-14	48,124.40	43,583.19	4.18	3706	Rotation Up	54	79
2025-03-07	47,199.41	43,792.33	7.62	3416	Rotation Up	46	75
2025-02-28	46,249.43	43,975.64	10.42	3230	Rotation Up	45	72
2025-02-21	45,174.44	44,237.28	2.78	2602	Rotation Up	23	51
2025-02-14	43,998.94	44,451.41	1.12	2443	Balance	17	33
2025-02-07	43,123.96	44,726.40	-0.16	7893	Balance	7	21
2025-01-31	41,948.99	45,178.88	-6.72	3111	Downward Expansion	-17	20
2025-01-24	40,399.03	45,583.06	-8.59	3006	Downward Expansion	-35	24
2025-01-17	39,674.04	45,997.64	-6.64	5613	Downward Expansion	-40	28
2025-01-10	39,774.04	46,336.13	-14.71	6890	Downward Expansion	-44	36
2025-01-03	39,099.06	46,689.91	-12.40	4145	Downward Expansion	-49	48
2024-12-27	39,199.05	47,138.61	-5.45	4660	Downward Expansion	-52	55
2024-12-20	37,999.09	47,460.48	-2.51	7063	Downward Expansion	-65	62
2024-12-13	36,274.12	46,200.99	-1.31	7835	Rotation Down	-71	86
2024-12-06	36,599.12	44,999.00	9.22	7402	Rotation Down	-42	78
2024-11-29	37,499.09	43,786.18	11.45	10419	Rotation Down	-41	78
2024-11-22	36,474.12	42,543.36	13.06	7982	Rotation Down	-51	82
2024-11-15	35,949.13	41,334.71	21.87	13680	Deceleration	-61	83
2024-11-08	37,374.10	40,143.55	36.44	8241	Deceleration	-35	60
2024-11-01	42,073.99	38,904.90	64.76	8105	Deceleration	-24	44
2024-10-25	43,898.94	37,509.58	78.12	1928	Deceleration	-15	33
2024-10-18	46,848.88	36,053.43	102.07	1946	Deceleration	8	30
2024-10-11	45,298.91	34,498.96	107.80	3665	Deceleration	12	32
2024-10-04	47,523.86	32,996.14	130.39	2330	Deceleration	23	35
2024-09-27	47,798.85	31,419.16	146.36	1182	Upward Expansion	31	32
2024-09-20	47,898.84	29,833.02	145.46	2251	Upward Expansion	50	58
2024-09-13	48,973.82	28,243.54	163.96	13196	Upward Expansion	55	75
2024-09-06	52,348.74	26,618.21	213.59	1795	Upward Expansion	66	85
2024-08-30	56,648.64	24,880.39	261.68	1279	Upward Expansion	75	90
2024-08-23	56,048.65	22,999.23	310.75	2845	Upward Expansion	68	63
2024-08-16	54,398.69	21,138.08	321.39	2090	Upward Expansion	67	62
2024-08-09	52,698.73	19,331.92	362.11	1844	Upward Expansion	64	63
2024-08-02	54,098.45	17,582.43	474.59	2816	Upward Expansion	69	67
2024-07-26	51,598.52	15,786.28	471.81	932	Upward Expansion	67	68
2024-07-19	52,248.50	14,073.46	538.25	1343	Upward Expansion	69	69
2024-07-12	56,698.37	12,338.98	620.69	3051	Upward Expansion	82	74
2024-07-05	54,074.45	10,456.17	738.36	3515	Upward Expansion	78	88
2024-06-28	52,836.48	8,660.82	884.50	2292	Upward Expansion	76	92
2024-06-21	49,828.57	6,906.74	1066.43	206	Upward Expansion	81	93
2024-06-14	50,387.55	5,252.92	1407.91	2017	Upward Expansion	94	98
2024-06-07	52,559.99	3,580.47	2192.09	1898	Upward Expansion	95	98
2024-05-31	48,855.10	1,835.60	3360.71	1689	Deceleration	93	77
2024-05-24	214.49	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-05-17	214.49	214.21	-52.57	0	Deceleration	56	62
2024-05-10	214.49	214.20	-51.81	0	Deceleration	57	63
2024-05-03	214.49	214.18	-54.70	0	Deceleration	57	64
2024-04-26	214.49	214.17	-50.27	0	Deceleration	57	65
2024-04-19	214.49	214.15	-48.12	0	Upward Expansion	63	67
2024-04-12	214.49	214.13	-51.90	0	Upward Expansion	65	68
2024-04-05	214.49	214.12	-52.25	0	Upward Expansion	66	68
2024-03-29	214.49	214.10	-53.82	0	Upward Expansion	67	89
2024-03-22	214.49	214.08	-55.88	0	Upward Expansion	67	89
2024-03-15	214.49	214.07	-51.24	0	Upward Expansion	86	95
2024-03-08	214.49	214.05	-49.79	0	Upward Expansion	95	98
2024-03-01	214.49	214.03	-53.73	0	Upward Expansion	95	98
2024-02-23	214.49	214.01	-57.10	0	Deceleration	93	97
2024-02-16	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-02-09	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-02-02	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-01-26	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-01-19	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-01-12	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2024-01-05	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-29	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-22	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-15	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-08	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-12-01	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-11-24	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-11-17	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-11-10	214.00	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2023-11-03	214.00	213.87	-52.88	0	Deceleration	56	62
2023-10-27	214.00	213.86	-55.49	0	Deceleration	57	63
2023-10-20	214.00	213.85	-64.60	0	Deceleration	57	64
2023-10-13	214.00	213.85	-63.90	0	Deceleration	57	65
2023-10-06	214.00	213.84	-57.66	0	Upward Expansion	63	67

Price vs TrendBelow-1.9%

Trend directionFalling-3.4%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+53.7%

Fair Value directionMoving away-35.8%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-3.0%

Relative strength directionImproving+4.1%

Price momentumNegative-3.3%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.61×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-36 / ±100

+22.4 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

19 /100

-36.0 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

AZN Directional State ↗ AZN Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance46

Rotation Up24

Upward Expansion13

Deceleration45

Rotation Down32

Downward Expansion61

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 140 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 16%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 44%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 12%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-08-07	2026-09-25	Developing	+5.6%
Balance	2026-07-17	2026-07-31	New	+0.7%
Rotation Up	2026-07-03	2026-07-10	New	-15.8%
Downward Expansion	2026-06-19	2026-06-26	New	+10.2%
Rotation Down	2026-05-22	2026-06-12	New	-4.2%
Balance	2026-03-27	2026-05-15	Developing	-3.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-08	2026-03-20	Extended	+37.7%
Balance	2025-06-06	2025-08-01	Developing	+16.1%
Rotation Down	2025-05-23	2025-05-30	New	+7.1%
Deceleration	2025-04-25	2025-05-16	New	-3.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-04-11	2025-04-18	New	-10.6%
Rotation Up	2025-02-21	2025-04-04	Developing	+1.3%
Balance	2025-02-07	2025-02-14	New	+2.0%
Downward Expansion	2024-12-20	2025-01-31	Developing	+10.4%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing32

Stage 2 · Advancing22

Stage 3 · Distribution65

Stage 4 · Declining78

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4A · Breakdown. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MERV

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 72/100
Current Relative Strength: -3.01
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -3.3%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -6.9%
Healthcare regime cohort: 50th percentile2 in cohort

Test AZN trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.86×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.61×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+25.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore AZN Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity ARS 65,941.67rising

Slow Activity ARS 67,418.68falling

Trend Reference ARS 68,681.35-1.9% close margin

Current Fair Value ARS 43,839.45+53.7% close margin

Structural low ARS 61,000.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.0%

Annualized volatility +37.9%

From structural high -15.5%

From structural low +24.3%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^MERV	Regime survived	Read
Near term	4	+2.8%+0.2% to +10.9%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+2.8%	+50.0%	Too little matched history
Intermediate	2	+14.0%+0.8% to +27.2%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+18.7%	+50.0%	Too little matched history
Extended	1	+4.1%+4.1% to +4.1%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+20.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	1	+86.8%+86.8% to +86.8%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+59.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

AZN Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map