Weekly structural research · VIE · Consumer Cyclical

LVSC Stage Analysis

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close EUR 33.91Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^ATX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -92−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 96/100directional strength

Maturity 66/100lifecycle context

Confidence 74/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -100.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -20.5%EUR 42.65 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	33.91	42.28	-40.21	41	Downward Expansion	-92	96
2026-09-18	35.20	42.72	-37.32	247	Downward Expansion	-92	93
2026-09-11	36.82	43.17	-35.95	161	Downward Expansion	-88	83
2026-09-04	38.38	43.55	-33.63	0	Downward Expansion	-78	75
2026-08-28	38.76	43.86	-32.91	247	Downward Expansion	-81	72
2026-08-21	40.00	44.03	-29.90	0	Downward Expansion	-67	57
2026-08-14	39.85	44.37	-31.75	0	Downward Expansion	-71	60
2026-08-07	39.41	44.74	-32.22	247	Downward Expansion	-80	68
2026-07-31	42.17	45.14	-25.86	0	Downward Expansion	-66	73
2026-07-24	40.17	45.55	-29.86	0	Downward Expansion	-70	88
2026-07-17	39.38	46.07	-30.73	0	Downward Expansion	-82	90
2026-07-10	40.63	46.63	-30.29	0	Downward Expansion	-73	78
2026-07-03	40.78	47.10	-31.34	0	Downward Expansion	-76	69
2026-06-26	41.58	47.63	-28.68	0	Downward Expansion	-73	55
2026-06-19	42.45	48.18	-28.82	0	Downward Expansion	-69	50
2026-06-12	43.68	48.58	-23.87	0	Downward Expansion	-61	58
2026-06-05	43.80	48.99	-21.64	0	Downward Expansion	-63	66
2026-05-29	43.66	49.35	-22.81	0	Downward Expansion	-65	69
2026-05-22	42.61	49.58	-22.72	0	Downward Expansion	-75	71
2026-05-15	43.73	49.80	-19.15	0	Downward Expansion	-73	61
2026-05-08	45.68	49.70	-16.04	0	Downward Expansion	-57	35
2026-05-01	45.93	49.59	-14.33	0	Downward Expansion	-46	30
2026-04-24	44.65	49.51	-16.11	250	Downward Expansion	-64	34
2026-04-17	48.97	49.53	-11.11	0	Downward Expansion	-44	28
2026-04-10	45.76	49.40	-14.69	0	Downward Expansion	-61	48
2026-04-03	46.40	49.37	-7.71	44	Rotation Down	-60	48
2026-03-27	45.07	49.33	-7.06	0	Rotation Down	-42	46
2026-03-20	46.02	49.44	-3.67	0	Deceleration	-38	38
2026-03-13	46.58	49.43	-3.77	0	Deceleration	-36	34
2026-03-06	46.47	49.40	-6.50	219	Deceleration	-30	32
2026-02-27	47.15	49.34	-10.20	0	Rotation Down	-26	31
2026-02-20	48.58	49.23	-9.49	194	Rotation Down	-25	47
2026-02-13	48.15	49.04	-7.71	180	Rotation Down	-26	47
2026-02-06	47.73	48.79	-9.44	0	Rotation Down	-26	40
2026-01-30	43.92	48.59	-16.09	884	Rotation Down	-29	40
2026-01-23	50.23	48.45	-3.22	0	Deceleration	17	28
2026-01-16	50.75	48.01	-1.60	0	Deceleration	34	25
2026-01-09	51.51	47.49	0.75	0	Upward Expansion	45	35
2026-01-02	54.46	46.94	6.94	0	Upward Expansion	51	47
2025-12-26	55.74	46.27	11.01	0	Upward Expansion	64	58
2025-12-19	56.26	45.59	11.75	0	Upward Expansion	68	65
2025-12-12	54.72	44.87	10.89	414	Upward Expansion	67	66
2025-12-05	56.54	44.28	14.40	0	Upward Expansion	71	88
2025-11-28	58.25	43.55	18.92	0	Upward Expansion	87	95
2025-11-21	54.48	42.68	15.87	214	Upward Expansion	71	89
2025-11-14	56.06	41.90	17.25	0	Upward Expansion	88	95
2025-11-07	54.54	40.96	16.25	3	Upward Expansion	89	88
2025-10-31	50.42	40.02	6.01	0	Deceleration	80	55
2025-10-24	49.13	39.33	5.89	0	Deceleration	62	32
2025-10-17	40.89	38.86	-10.61	214	Deceleration	17	23
2025-10-10	42.45	38.75	-9.59	192	Deceleration	38	26
2025-10-03	43.48	38.61	-9.82	0	Deceleration	44	39
2025-09-26	45.23	38.48	-4.76	0	Upward Expansion	49	48
2025-09-19	45.08	38.35	-4.94	0	Upward Expansion	63	61
2025-09-12	44.91	38.24	-5.75	0	Upward Expansion	66	65
2025-09-05	45.08	38.07	-4.34	95	Upward Expansion	68	77
2025-08-29	48.33	37.90	2.20	0	Upward Expansion	89	95
2025-08-22	45.68	37.73	-6.61	0	Upward Expansion	77	91
2025-08-15	45.72	37.55	-7.66	0	Upward Expansion	84	93
2025-08-08	44.77	37.41	-7.24	0	Rotation Up	83	93
2025-08-01	43.97	37.42	-3.49	0	Rotation Up	57	83
2025-07-25	42.69	37.53	-8.63	0	Rotation Up	55	80
2025-07-18	40.81	37.70	-10.90	0	Rotation Up	38	69
2025-07-11	41.57	37.95	-9.30	92	Balance	47	67
2025-07-04	39.81	38.21	-11.33	650	Balance	20	27
2025-06-27	36.91	38.55	-18.55	0	Balance	-3	9
2025-06-20	35.24	38.93	-21.12	556	Balance	-19	14
2025-06-13	34.84	39.30	-22.81	0	Downward Expansion	-30	19
2025-06-06	34.53	39.61	-25.53	0	Downward Expansion	-29	28
2025-05-30	35.45	39.97	-23.59	0	Downward Expansion	-30	32
2025-05-23	34.52	40.33	-25.24	0	Downward Expansion	-36	33
2025-05-16	37.07	40.74	-21.09	27	Downward Expansion	-42	31
2025-05-09	34.47	41.02	-24.82	0	Downward Expansion	-62	60
2025-05-02	32.29	41.43	-26.75	0	Downward Expansion	-67	84
2025-04-25	30.93	41.88	-29.30	0	Downward Expansion	-68	88
2025-04-18	27.91	42.30	-34.27	0	Downward Expansion	-82	93
2025-04-11	26.47	42.57	-34.91	75	Downward Expansion	-95	98
2025-04-04	29.76	42.85	-28.45	603	Downward Expansion	-93	95
2025-03-28	34.92	43.01	-25.02	0	Downward Expansion	-83	85
2025-03-21	37.55	42.96	-21.55	0	Deceleration	-48	59
2025-03-14	38.26	42.87	-21.30	0	Deceleration	-47	43
2025-03-07	39.51	42.78	-19.19	0	Rotation Down	-43	41
2025-02-28	41.46	42.58	-12.86	0	Rotation Down	-34	39
2025-02-21	41.75	42.29	-10.61	95	Rotation Down	-26	39
2025-02-14	39.96	42.04	-15.73	0	Rotation Down	-35	62
2025-02-07	39.97	41.90	-11.93	0	Deceleration	-39	49
2025-01-31	43.19	41.81	-5.03	0	Deceleration	-3	33
2025-01-24	40.05	41.61	-11.73	0	Deceleration	-25	41
2025-01-17	41.75	41.59	-6.76	36	Deceleration	4	22
2025-01-10	45.00	41.54	3.80	0	Upward Expansion	44	35
2025-01-03	47.13	41.33	8.68	0	Upward Expansion	61	56
2024-12-27	47.86	41.09	11.00	0	Upward Expansion	65	75
2024-12-20	48.25	40.80	13.37	0	Upward Expansion	65	72
2024-12-13	49.56	40.51	14.82	547	Upward Expansion	73	74
2024-12-06	49.81	40.24	17.70	0	Upward Expansion	80	66
2024-11-29	48.49	39.97	16.40	0	Upward Expansion	78	61
2024-11-22	46.39	39.72	11.81	420	Upward Expansion	69	56
2024-11-15	44.15	39.52	5.75	0	Upward Expansion	63	60
2024-11-08	45.21	39.51	8.35	220	Upward Expansion	66	73
2024-11-01	46.10	39.52	11.12	0	Rotation Up	68	87
2024-10-25	47.06	39.53	11.63	0	Rotation Up	50	82
2024-10-18	45.46	39.48	6.36	434	Rotation Up	45	80
2024-10-11	46.74	39.44	9.59	1831	Rotation Up	52	78
2024-10-04	45.73	39.39	7.40	160	Rotation Up	53	57
2024-09-27	43.67	39.35	1.44	1464	Rotation Up	11	25
2024-09-20	36.01	39.40	-15.75	0	Downward Expansion	-45	40
2024-09-13	34.74	39.81	-18.82	99	Downward Expansion	-50	49
2024-09-06	34.59	40.28	-19.21	0	Downward Expansion	-61	55
2024-08-30	33.48	40.68	-25.41	0	Downward Expansion	-74	66
2024-08-23	34.73	41.04	-22.53	14	Downward Expansion	-66	65
2024-08-16	35.49	41.33	-20.17	0	Downward Expansion	-68	77
2024-08-09	33.52	41.56	-23.82	0	Downward Expansion	-77	91
2024-08-02	32.79	41.87	-25.43	0	Downward Expansion	-92	97
2024-07-26	34.36	42.24	-25.63	244	Downward Expansion	-90	95
2024-07-19	35.63	42.49	-23.62	0	Downward Expansion	-87	90
2024-07-12	37.40	42.69	-21.17	0	Downward Expansion	-77	65
2024-07-05	37.11	42.83	-22.52	0	Downward Expansion	-86	67
2024-06-28	39.44	42.91	-16.05	0	Downward Expansion	-66	56
2024-06-21	40.25	42.95	-14.53	0	Downward Expansion	-64	71
2024-06-14	38.82	43.02	-16.82	0	Downward Expansion	-77	87
2024-06-07	39.71	43.14	-18.38	0	Rotation Down	-70	81
2024-05-31	39.23	43.21	-20.62	0	Rotation Down	-54	77
2024-05-24	39.69	43.34	-21.57	0	Rotation Down	-54	74
2024-05-17	41.52	43.42	-18.65	0	Rotation Down	-28	64
2024-05-10	41.52	43.39	-17.90	0	Rotation Down	-29	61
2024-05-03	41.12	43.35	-17.13	0	Rotation Down	-35	47
2024-04-26	40.44	43.32	-18.09	100	Rotation Down	-18	21
2024-04-19	43.63	43.36	-11.89	213	Deceleration	24	16
2024-04-12	45.65	43.25	-8.76	0	Deceleration	39	25
2024-04-05	46.51	43.18	-7.63	0	Deceleration	47	26
2024-03-29	45.44	43.07	-9.22	0	Deceleration	34	24
2024-03-22	44.17	43.14	-11.14	0	Upward Expansion	36	26
2024-03-15	45.16	43.22	-7.15	0	Upward Expansion	46	33
2024-03-08	44.66	43.25	-7.56	66	Upward Expansion	62	65
2024-03-01	45.25	43.36	-6.51	0	Rotation Up	66	80
2024-02-23	48.11	43.51	-1.01	0	Rotation Up	50	77
2024-02-16	48.82	43.58	-0.20	0	Rotation Up	63	78
2024-02-09	46.85	43.53	-2.85	0	Balance	46	56
2024-02-02	44.19	43.65	-10.63	0	Balance	8	20
2024-01-26	43.55	43.75	-12.55	0	Balance	2	15
2024-01-19	42.18	43.98	-12.78	0	Balance	-10	15
2024-01-12	42.77	44.20	-13.17	0	Balance	-11	15
2024-01-05	43.89	44.46	-11.91	0	Downward Expansion	-5	11
2023-12-29	41.98	44.69	-16.00	0	Downward Expansion	-52	36
2023-12-22	41.50	44.99	-16.38	0	Downward Expansion	-56	45
2023-12-15	41.79	45.25	-15.00	0	Downward Expansion	-56	44
2023-12-08	39.33	45.62	-18.96	0	Downward Expansion	-76	55
2023-12-01	40.80	46.06	-15.97	0	Downward Expansion	-54	37
2023-11-24	42.30	46.45	-11.31	0	Downward Expansion	-40	29
2023-11-17	42.58	46.77	-11.14	66	Downward Expansion	-43	31
2023-11-10	41.71	47.11	-10.95	0	Downward Expansion	-49	42
2023-11-03	43.02	47.36	-7.59	17	Downward Expansion	-53	50
2023-10-27	42.28	47.53	-4.01	17	Downward Expansion	-67	77
2023-10-20	40.40	47.76	-8.39	0	Downward Expansion	-71	87
2023-10-13	40.49	47.99	-11.45	570	Downward Expansion	-73	89
2023-10-06	40.29	48.23	-11.06	0	Downward Expansion	-77	90

Price vs TrendBelow-19.8%

Trend directionFalling-8.2%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-20.5%

Fair Value directionMoving away-16.6%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-40.2%

Relative strength directionWeakening-11.5%

Price momentumNegative-24.8%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.00×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-92 / ±100

-11.6 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

96 /100

+24.2 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

LVSC Directional State ↗ LVSC Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance1

Rotation Up9

Upward Expansion22

Deceleration37

Rotation Down89

Downward Expansion100

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 6%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 19%Deceleration 13%Rotation Down 12%Downward Expansion 42%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-04-10	2026-09-25	Established	-25.9%
Rotation Down	2026-03-27	2026-04-03	New	+2.9%
Deceleration	2026-03-06	2026-03-20	New	-1.0%
Rotation Down	2026-01-30	2026-02-27	Developing	+7.4%
Deceleration	2026-01-16	2026-01-23	New	-1.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-07	2026-01-09	Developing	-5.6%
Deceleration	2025-10-03	2025-10-31	Developing	+16.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-15	2025-09-26	Developing	-1.1%
Rotation Up	2025-07-18	2025-08-08	New	+9.7%
Balance	2025-06-20	2025-07-11	New	+18.0%
Downward Expansion	2025-03-28	2025-06-13	Developing	-0.2%
Deceleration	2025-03-14	2025-03-21	New	-1.8%
Rotation Down	2025-02-14	2025-03-07	New	-1.1%
Deceleration	2025-01-17	2025-02-07	New	-4.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing47

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution24

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^ATX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 85/100
Current Relative Strength: -40.21
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -24.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -56.5%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 76th percentile46 in cohort

Test LVSC trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.87×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.00×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 4

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore LVSC Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity EUR 35.76falling

Slow Activity EUR 40.41falling

Trend Reference EUR 42.28-19.8% close margin

Current Fair Value EUR 42.65-20.5% close margin

Structural low EUR 33.59shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +4.5%

Annualized volatility +25.1%

From structural high -43.2%

From structural low +1.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^ATX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	27	-0.3%-19.5% to +32.2%	+44.4%	+55.6%	-2.2%	+81.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	10	+0.4%-23.5% to +42.7%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-2.8%	+50.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	+15.7%-21.8% to +43.1%	+83.3%	+16.7%	+21.3%	+33.3%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+5.5%-25.1% to +47.0%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-1.6%	+50.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

LVSC Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map