Weekly structural research ยท NYSE ยท Healthcare

SYK Stage Analysis

Stryker Corporation

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close USD 277.33Tenure NewBenchmark SPY
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and expanding.
Direction -66โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 78/100directional strength
Maturity 17/100lifecycle context
Confidence 84/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Wideexpanding separation
Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -19.4%USD 343.92 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-09277.33313.56-24.7212565727Downward Expansion-6678
2026-10-02275.43315.51-24.9912675268Downward Expansion-6781
2026-09-25271.49318.45-26.8112474924Downward Expansion-7482
2026-09-18274.24322.28-25.7416972637Downward Expansion-7473
2026-09-11274.68325.78-26.3019023203Balance-7351
2026-09-04302.16328.79-20.2511422741Balance-4621
2026-08-28329.64330.63-13.6310047346Balance1317
2026-08-21329.45331.93-13.8713050303Balance1420
2026-08-14339.21332.75-13.1410194934Balance2229
2026-08-07339.03333.54-13.5711488327Balance312
2026-07-31325.70334.46-14.5613985608Balance-911
2026-07-24330.25335.18-12.9910079652Balance-512
2026-07-17319.87335.91-16.8013758519Balance-1116
2026-07-10329.78337.03-16.1511705932Downward Expansion-1918
2026-07-03326.54337.78-16.4311293616Downward Expansion-3120
2026-06-26331.78338.97-13.8615411091Downward Expansion-3221
2026-06-19306.94340.22-22.7310557612Downward Expansion-4636
2026-06-12311.33342.20-21.5311269888Downward Expansion-4736
2026-06-05304.81343.83-23.3212734765Downward Expansion-6044
2026-05-29304.24345.48-25.9815012913Downward Expansion-6260
2026-05-22315.60347.15-22.7814868850Downward Expansion-6375
2026-05-15305.90349.29-25.1016565014Downward Expansion-6379
2026-05-08284.67351.51-30.7514363253Downward Expansion-8583
2026-05-01293.91354.11-27.5514250911Downward Expansion-8462
2026-04-24327.51356.60-19.238101641Downward Expansion-6541
2026-04-17343.32357.89-15.4611049298Downward Expansion-5854
2026-04-10339.15358.92-13.237851209Downward Expansion-6269
2026-04-03331.54360.29-12.597479486Downward Expansion-6470
2026-03-27326.57362.22-11.4810887585Downward Expansion-7160
2026-03-20334.77364.29-11.6913033139Rotation Up-6342
2026-03-13335.87366.17-13.4013169522Rotation Up-5020
2026-03-06363.59367.61-8.118481068Rotation Up1328
2026-02-27386.43367.99-4.646956097Balance3243
2026-02-20379.21367.60-7.158277724Balance2521
2026-02-13365.07368.31-9.8611200810Balance-138
2026-02-06357.33369.03-13.1812783849Downward Expansion-3215
2026-01-30368.57370.00-11.0010681626Downward Expansion-2116
2026-01-23354.09370.80-14.487533233Downward Expansion-4222
2026-01-16362.81371.99-13.069410733Downward Expansion-3822
2026-01-09366.56372.29-12.7910076704Downward Expansion-5235
2026-01-02347.25372.53-16.345588664Downward Expansion-6865
2025-12-26352.39373.63-16.254640672Downward Expansion-6152
2025-12-19353.37374.52-15.1011190188Downward Expansion-6036
2025-12-12352.26375.17-15.528524405Downward Expansion-6333
2025-12-05362.14376.45-13.927182587Downward Expansion-4424
2025-11-28369.26376.95-12.225964912Downward Expansion-5031
2025-11-21366.37377.13-10.008317904Downward Expansion-5452
2025-11-14360.35376.97-13.4110277735Downward Expansion-5646
2025-11-07354.19376.40-15.1110028233Rotation Down-6747
2025-10-31354.40376.16-16.708475306Rotation Down-4436
2025-10-24379.82375.76-10.426764814Rotation Down-2018
2025-10-17372.49375.11-10.586168007Rotation Down-2945
2025-10-10362.72374.92-11.607957758Rotation Down-2846
2025-10-03368.59375.00-12.509004754Deceleration-2028
2025-09-26366.28375.21-12.248362722Deceleration-414
2025-09-19374.03375.72-10.836499831Deceleration116
2025-09-12380.50375.86-8.384657511Deceleration4627
2025-09-05389.40375.87-4.994160770Deceleration5133
2025-08-29388.51375.78-5.064382687Deceleration4020
2025-08-22391.30375.72-4.526280526Upward Expansion4123
2025-08-15379.08375.66-7.286289627Upward Expansion3015
2025-08-08374.78375.66-7.496047154Upward Expansion3118
2025-08-01374.99375.21-5.208292553Upward Expansion4932
2025-07-25400.54374.62-1.245948140Upward Expansion7470
2025-07-18386.51373.34-3.196522877Upward Expansion5657
2025-07-11386.57372.43-2.565370438Upward Expansion5752
2025-07-04392.35371.86-1.334022590Balance6342
2025-06-27389.80371.44-0.248633698Balance6030
2025-06-20371.98371.33-1.465172393Balance-06
2025-06-13373.71371.58-1.174442105Balance1213
2025-06-06380.24371.940.184405005Balance1729
2025-05-30379.00371.621.465090784Balance1524
2025-05-23373.03371.061.646208283Balance420
2025-05-16390.46370.223.735568147Balance1725
2025-05-09377.29369.355.636584172Balance-1814
2025-05-02374.62368.464.559926967Rotation Down-3220
2025-04-25361.58367.513.947153298Rotation Down-5955
2025-04-18343.20367.273.205641084Rotation Down-4261
2025-04-11346.95367.802.8513816927Rotation Down-3954
2025-04-04342.51368.377.2412170027Balance-3746
2025-03-28360.22368.732.576060026Balance-2123
2025-03-21366.75368.542.798447570Balance1615
2025-03-14365.19367.902.819123449Upward Expansion1712
2025-03-07374.84366.813.027255802Upward Expansion3820
2025-02-28381.65365.061.547703210Upward Expansion5333
2025-02-21378.28363.21-0.454364296Upward Expansion5646
2025-02-14380.65361.48-1.625562406Upward Expansion5965
2025-02-07386.80359.971.255282338Upward Expansion6268
2025-01-31386.69358.210.9410131064Upward Expansion6459
2025-01-24389.68356.380.566820428Deceleration6838
2025-01-17378.91354.54-0.507348328Deceleration4421
2025-01-10361.36353.12-2.356050093Deceleration2122
2025-01-03357.27352.36-5.413299729Deceleration2022
2024-12-27361.95351.88-4.733438729Upward Expansion3521
2024-12-20359.48350.98-4.819174395Upward Expansion4431
2024-12-13369.34349.97-4.035022703Upward Expansion6149
2024-12-06379.61348.61-1.945217069Upward Expansion6575
2024-11-29386.64346.770.764846651Upward Expansion7583
2024-11-22379.44344.630.056883040Upward Expansion7378
2024-11-15384.60342.963.098972132Upward Expansion8274
2024-11-08370.68340.79-2.645319190Upward Expansion7158
2024-11-01361.99339.62-0.388628809Upward Expansion6137
2024-10-25347.86339.04-5.585066027Upward Expansion4024
2024-10-18364.37339.15-2.134880811Upward Expansion6838
2024-10-11350.60338.52-5.024409659Upward Expansion5332
2024-10-04346.29338.33-5.073887380Upward Expansion5946
2024-09-27354.42338.47-2.605097853Upward Expansion6370
2024-09-20358.89338.18-0.855993707Upward Expansion6676
2024-09-13364.24337.811.986105545Balance7779
2024-09-06353.10337.072.823881702Balance3853
2024-08-30354.57336.46-0.995936542Balance2934
2024-08-23347.56335.81-2.664610653Balance22
2024-08-16332.41334.39-5.614694382Balance-4941
2024-08-09322.51333.59-4.848044915Balance-5950
2024-08-02326.18333.05-3.8011058901Balance-2628
2024-07-26326.29331.82-5.857238794Deceleration-1712
2024-07-19335.42330.72-4.057288346Deceleration198
2024-07-12333.86329.23-6.473793577Deceleration2710
2024-07-05331.78327.54-6.353153351Deceleration3818
2024-06-28334.73325.90-3.905691420Deceleration3826
2024-06-21336.29324.43-3.695163814Deceleration3929
2024-06-14338.59322.78-2.584548197Deceleration4030
2024-06-07342.85320.880.165967413Deceleration4628
2024-05-31334.77318.36-0.977313952Deceleration2514
2024-05-24329.32316.20-2.986259794Deceleration713
2024-05-17328.48313.75-3.287420334Deceleration617
2024-05-10324.45311.45-3.046555895Deceleration422
2024-05-03322.36309.03-2.0410212280Deceleration723
2024-04-26329.39306.940.547313972Deceleration3127
2024-04-19319.40304.85-0.127420972Upward Expansion3326
2024-04-12335.71303.471.524225106Upward Expansion5049
2024-04-05344.51301.782.534161734Upward Expansion6259
2024-03-29351.24299.703.524057755Upward Expansion7266
2024-03-22345.31297.232.095828142Upward Expansion6665
2024-03-15344.93294.754.185926488Upward Expansion6871
2024-03-08350.45292.275.734121868Upward Expansion7789
2024-03-01345.90289.754.167101258Upward Expansion7490
2024-02-23347.67287.435.774357910Upward Expansion8594
2024-02-16342.06285.035.907156780Upward Expansion8795
2024-02-09334.87283.223.486526072Upward Expansion8794
2024-02-02334.96281.885.0411529805Upward Expansion9395
2024-01-26304.91280.27-3.026732259Upward Expansion6877
2024-01-19308.52280.01-0.836444448Upward Expansion7779
2024-01-12306.42279.37-0.316339000Rotation Up7871
2024-01-05289.21278.69-4.144560644Rotation Up2936
2023-12-29293.25278.14-4.403507979Rotation Up3839
2023-12-22290.56277.38-4.986127046Rotation Up2739
2023-12-15283.38276.52-6.509456527Rotation Up1938
2023-12-08282.35276.32-4.636675291Rotation Up1934
2023-12-01290.84276.15-1.525730152Rotation Up2832
2023-11-24286.79275.68-1.953061115Downward Expansion1321
2023-11-17281.65275.82-2.567813837Downward Expansion-1813
2023-11-10267.24276.26-5.217174584Downward Expansion-5331
2023-11-03269.78276.81-2.8511839998Downward Expansion-5953
2023-10-27255.80277.13-2.2912634412Downward Expansion-6773
2023-10-20259.49277.85-3.228911203Downward Expansion-6169
Price vs TrendBelow-11.6%
Trend directionFalling-6.2%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-19.4%
Fair Value directionMoving away-16.0%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-24.7%
Relative strength directionWeakening-8.6%
Price momentumNegative-18.2%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.67ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-66 / ยฑ100

+7.4 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

78 /100

+27.5 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance11
Rotation Up9
Upward Expansion18
Deceleration37
Rotation Down78
Downward Expansion94

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 20%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 28%Deceleration 15%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 25%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-09-182026-10-09New+1.1%
Balance2026-07-172026-09-11Developing-14.1%
Downward Expansion2026-03-272026-07-10Established+1.0%
Rotation Up2026-03-062026-03-20New-7.9%
Balance2026-02-132026-02-27New+5.8%
Downward Expansion2025-11-142026-02-06Established-0.8%
Rotation Down2025-10-102025-11-07Developing-2.4%
Deceleration2025-08-292025-10-03Developing-5.1%
Upward Expansion2025-07-112025-08-22Developing+1.2%
Balance2025-05-092025-07-04Developing+4.0%
Rotation Down2025-04-112025-05-02New+8.0%
Balance2025-03-212025-04-04New-6.6%
Upward Expansion2025-01-312025-03-14Developing-5.6%
Deceleration2025-01-032025-01-24New+9.1%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing49
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution24
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
93/100
Current Relative Strength
-24.72
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
-18.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-33.1%
Healthcare regime cohort
52th percentile23 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.98ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.67ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 5

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 275.07falling
Slow Activity USD 307.63falling
Trend Reference USD 313.56-11.6% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 343.92-19.4% close margin
Structural low USD 266.15shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +7.5%
Annualized volatility +31.5%
From structural high -29.0%
From structural low +4.2%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs SPY Regime survived Read
Near term17-0.3%-7.2% to +7.7%+47.1%+52.9%-0.3%+70.6%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate7+1.3%-18.2% to +21.7%+57.1%+42.9%-0.4%+57.1%Usable descriptive sample
Extended4+4.9%-15.1% to +33.3%+50.0%+50.0%+2.3%+50.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2+23.3%+7.4% to +39.2%+100.0%+0.0%+7.6%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context