Weekly structural research · NYSE · Industrials

DAC Stage Analysis

Danaos Corporation

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close USD 165.15Tenure DevelopingBenchmark SPY

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Re-accelerating

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 80−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 69/100directional strength

Maturity 43/100lifecycle context

Confidence 79/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +84.0%USD 89.78 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	165.15	132.28	30.79	731624	Upward Expansion	80	69
2026-09-25	154.14	130.42	23.01	715554	Upward Expansion	67	73
2026-09-18	161.19	129.18	31.25	709528	Upward Expansion	80	90
2026-09-11	159.33	127.42	30.77	462523	Upward Expansion	84	91
2026-09-04	155.26	125.66	27.48	560235	Upward Expansion	83	90
2026-08-28	150.68	123.83	24.71	622699	Upward Expansion	80	87
2026-08-21	149.75	122.21	25.39	517587	Upward Expansion	82	87
2026-08-14	141.92	120.52	17.97	622626	Upward Expansion	72	83
2026-08-07	140.72	119.05	17.77	709220	Upward Expansion	72	79
2026-07-31	141.63	117.60	23.26	594469	Upward Expansion	78	70
2026-07-24	140.22	116.01	24.09	581160	Deceleration	76	46
2026-07-17	125.01	114.44	10.65	536559	Deceleration	36	19
2026-07-10	127.52	113.30	11.52	442418	Deceleration	44	23
2026-07-03	121.49	112.14	8.08	333890	Upward Expansion	40	26
2026-06-26	122.18	111.31	11.42	538691	Upward Expansion	47	37
2026-06-19	125.09	110.41	11.77	303128	Upward Expansion	60	48
2026-06-12	131.30	109.28	18.77	293652	Upward Expansion	72	59
2026-06-05	129.17	107.99	17.98	436186	Upward Expansion	67	60
2026-05-29	125.21	106.67	11.99	410856	Upward Expansion	66	75
2026-05-22	129.95	105.46	18.28	501885	Upward Expansion	74	82
2026-05-15	129.28	103.97	19.22	508007	Upward Expansion	78	82
2026-05-08	133.70	102.49	24.10	674585	Upward Expansion	92	84
2026-05-01	118.94	100.77	13.58	401184	Upward Expansion	72	62
2026-04-24	116.57	99.70	12.72	213577	Upward Expansion	69	58
2026-04-17	116.99	98.80	14.06	489650	Upward Expansion	73	57
2026-04-10	114.23	97.91	16.76	317223	Upward Expansion	68	54
2026-04-03	114.63	97.18	21.97	228678	Upward Expansion	73	52
2026-03-27	109.98	96.47	21.71	334329	Upward Expansion	61	49
2026-03-20	110.93	95.79	20.60	381436	Upward Expansion	68	60
2026-03-13	106.29	95.14	13.96	430650	Upward Expansion	65	70
2026-03-06	109.16	94.58	15.65	673641	Upward Expansion	67	85
2026-02-27	117.14	93.99	22.09	573737	Upward Expansion	95	96
2026-02-20	108.32	93.03	13.00	322732	Upward Expansion	86	91
2026-02-13	106.42	92.39	12.61	477695	Upward Expansion	86	86
2026-02-06	100.54	91.74	5.37	394582	Upward Expansion	69	77
2026-01-30	101.89	91.29	6.84	342207	Upward Expansion	81	81
2026-01-23	99.19	90.72	4.73	331620	Upward Expansion	73	71
2026-01-16	97.86	90.23	3.28	381267	Upward Expansion	71	60
2026-01-09	97.24	89.78	2.52	359400	Upward Expansion	71	41
2026-01-02	93.81	89.42	0.64	248800	Upward Expansion	57	30
2025-12-26	93.28	89.09	-0.89	270240	Upward Expansion	56	36
2025-12-19	90.80	88.73	-2.04	312601	Upward Expansion	58	50
2025-12-12	92.49	88.41	0.04	402110	Upward Expansion	61	66
2025-12-05	96.59	88.08	4.02	369881	Upward Expansion	79	78
2025-11-28	95.44	87.52	3.30	339879	Upward Expansion	77	67
2025-11-21	91.17	86.97	2.53	606440	Deceleration	48	38
2025-11-14	92.32	86.50	1.85	331737	Deceleration	53	33
2025-11-07	89.75	85.87	-0.87	363551	Deceleration	32	14
2025-10-31	88.81	85.22	-3.45	286529	Deceleration	8	21
2025-10-24	85.45	84.47	-6.52	245869	Deceleration	-1	25
2025-10-17	84.70	84.15	-5.67	355775	Deceleration	-2	23
2025-10-10	82.16	83.92	-7.04	436803	Deceleration	-1	16
2025-10-03	86.68	83.73	-4.52	346619	Upward Expansion	34	21
2025-09-26	89.73	83.41	-0.26	273677	Upward Expansion	57	42
2025-09-19	90.36	82.93	0.06	390172	Upward Expansion	58	46
2025-09-12	92.34	82.59	3.54	350314	Upward Expansion	66	53
2025-09-05	93.15	82.17	6.20	291278	Upward Expansion	73	55
2025-08-29	89.75	81.59	2.78	405576	Upward Expansion	62	52
2025-08-22	91.29	81.10	4.52	374621	Upward Expansion	70	61
2025-08-15	89.52	80.50	2.82	274113	Upward Expansion	64	66
2025-08-08	91.50	79.97	6.12	415252	Upward Expansion	78	70
2025-08-01	88.19	79.39	4.85	278154	Upward Expansion	66	66
2025-07-25	89.19	79.02	3.43	234635	Upward Expansion	75	72
2025-07-18	86.92	78.54	2.25	314604	Upward Expansion	67	59
2025-07-11	87.04	78.06	2.95	524229	Upward Expansion	71	59
2025-07-04	84.87	77.66	-0.00	330048	Upward Expansion	62	56
2025-06-27	84.58	77.40	1.13	502626	Upward Expansion	62	56
2025-06-20	84.41	77.09	4.10	564971	Upward Expansion	64	62
2025-06-13	86.24	76.96	5.93	485512	Upward Expansion	74	69
2025-06-06	84.00	76.76	2.63	545418	Upward Expansion	70	69
2025-05-30	82.48	76.52	2.09	294734	Upward Expansion	66	67
2025-05-23	81.03	76.34	1.64	299739	Balance	60	58
2025-05-16	82.87	76.22	1.03	619584	Balance	41	37
2025-05-09	79.68	76.10	2.13	256813	Balance	10	18
2025-05-02	78.94	76.16	0.65	288228	Downward Expansion	-14	8
2025-04-25	77.02	76.24	1.02	454921	Downward Expansion	-40	39
2025-04-18	73.43	76.36	0.77	392400	Downward Expansion	-55	57
2025-04-11	70.31	76.43	-4.84	811106	Downward Expansion	-61	58
2025-04-04	66.33	76.55	-5.14	569099	Balance	-76	53
2025-03-28	75.93	76.75	-1.28	407219	Balance	-11	6
2025-03-21	77.80	76.79	-0.22	411081	Balance	8	5
2025-03-14	76.20	76.77	-1.65	394121	Balance	4	7
2025-03-07	77.25	76.79	-2.46	449346	Balance	9	15
2025-02-28	75.26	76.71	-7.82	489548	Balance	2	14
2025-02-21	80.27	76.74	-2.70	448483	Balance	21	22
2025-02-14	79.56	76.66	-5.09	750844	Downward Expansion	-13	10
2025-02-07	75.83	76.64	-8.23	496278	Downward Expansion	-46	24
2025-01-31	75.07	76.81	-9.44	393335	Downward Expansion	-49	29
2025-01-24	73.39	77.08	-12.53	432606	Downward Expansion	-54	29
2025-01-17	73.39	77.50	-11.32	664974	Downward Expansion	-55	29
2025-01-10	74.10	77.90	-8.10	460075	Downward Expansion	-54	38
2025-01-03	77.26	78.22	-6.29	424191	Downward Expansion	-50	43
2024-12-27	74.77	78.54	-10.10	459265	Downward Expansion	-53	53
2024-12-20	72.39	79.02	-12.61	553727	Balance	-65	55
2024-12-13	75.05	79.39	-11.32	633004	Balance	-54	33
2024-12-06	77.10	79.50	-9.62	820874	Balance	-34	13
2024-11-29	75.21	79.47	-11.18	642891	Balance	-44	17
2024-11-22	80.55	79.37	-4.00	545309	Balance	-17	9
2024-11-15	80.41	79.00	-2.64	945195	Balance	-19	12
2024-11-08	76.85	78.56	-8.90	410061	Balance	-37	21
2024-11-01	76.84	78.21	-4.62	405559	Balance	6	6
2024-10-25	77.67	77.92	-4.98	490871	Deceleration	35	26
2024-10-18	79.16	77.55	-4.25	536733	Deceleration	41	35
2024-10-11	81.54	77.10	-0.61	665222	Deceleration	39	33
2024-10-04	81.21	76.54	0.14	454058	Deceleration	36	23
2024-09-27	80.62	76.00	-0.31	651689	Deceleration	31	20
2024-09-20	75.71	75.53	-5.86	485486	Deceleration	-18	30
2024-09-13	73.92	75.24	-6.86	403339	Deceleration	-25	36
2024-09-06	72.26	74.95	-5.31	526079	Deceleration	-17	34
2024-08-30	76.92	74.80	-3.37	311869	Deceleration	4	17
2024-08-23	77.36	74.49	-2.54	631513	Deceleration	4	20
2024-08-16	76.69	74.25	-2.03	506645	Deceleration	4	22
2024-08-09	74.77	73.99	-0.73	645195	Deceleration	-4	22
2024-08-02	76.27	73.80	1.27	434357	Deceleration	21	26
2024-07-26	77.86	73.67	1.26	375885	Deceleration	35	28
2024-07-19	78.91	73.32	1.81	383634	Deceleration	42	32
2024-07-12	81.03	72.93	2.66	663242	Upward Expansion	49	47
2024-07-05	83.29	72.39	6.69	416636	Upward Expansion	63	60
2024-06-28	85.77	71.68	12.13	459069	Upward Expansion	67	66
2024-06-21	85.49	70.99	12.03	380448	Upward Expansion	67	69
2024-06-14	83.82	70.24	10.84	601084	Upward Expansion	68	88
2024-06-07	86.82	69.50	17.02	810866	Upward Expansion	82	93
2024-05-31	89.10	68.51	22.04	710967	Upward Expansion	97	99
2024-05-24	83.41	67.53	14.44	687578	Upward Expansion	96	98
2024-05-17	78.40	66.73	8.05	512741	Upward Expansion	92	96
2024-05-10	76.25	66.09	7.08	582192	Upward Expansion	90	86
2024-05-03	72.31	65.53	3.79	435990	Deceleration	79	69
2024-04-26	69.25	65.11	0.26	361859	Deceleration	53	39
2024-04-19	67.17	64.79	-0.00	402276	Deceleration	35	22
2024-04-12	66.53	64.54	-3.84	421087	Deceleration	29	19
2024-04-05	68.04	64.25	-3.06	468959	Deceleration	36	17
2024-03-29	66.47	63.94	-5.96	295565	Deceleration	11	12
2024-03-22	65.88	63.74	-6.37	462659	Deceleration	11	13
2024-03-15	64.57	63.54	-6.07	408925	Deceleration	6	12
2024-03-08	65.00	63.45	-5.39	555616	Deceleration	24	19
2024-03-01	66.71	63.34	-3.13	436306	Deceleration	33	21
2024-02-23	66.84	63.14	-1.99	401780	Deceleration	35	22
2024-02-16	65.27	63.03	-2.71	634503	Upward Expansion	41	26
2024-02-09	67.70	62.81	0.60	516848	Upward Expansion	47	36
2024-02-02	67.66	62.53	1.99	525504	Upward Expansion	60	47
2024-01-26	70.24	62.30	7.52	484596	Upward Expansion	69	69
2024-01-19	68.83	61.94	6.67	413692	Upward Expansion	66	75
2024-01-12	69.20	61.62	8.79	753203	Upward Expansion	67	80
2024-01-05	72.28	61.25	16.15	686878	Upward Expansion	89	89
2023-12-29	67.45	60.77	7.16	388696	Upward Expansion	76	75
2023-12-22	67.25	60.33	7.55	625919	Upward Expansion	80	78
2023-12-15	64.56	59.81	4.44	677898	Upward Expansion	67	71
2023-12-08	62.05	59.47	3.02	487891	Upward Expansion	58	64
2023-12-01	65.10	59.06	8.52	575298	Deceleration	76	67
2023-11-24	63.16	58.54	6.52	334691	Deceleration	66	40
2023-11-17	61.47	58.14	4.92	878313	Deceleration	44	17
2023-11-10	57.08	57.76	-0.14	610336	Deceleration	-2	8
2023-11-03	59.86	57.59	6.07	395355	Deceleration	30	15
2023-10-27	59.23	57.19	11.04	332545	Deceleration	28	15
2023-10-20	59.19	56.82	8.45	404802	Deceleration	29	17
2023-10-13	59.61	56.38	6.67	395197	Deceleration	22	15

Price vs TrendAbove+24.8%

Trend directionRising+14.0%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+84.0%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+36.7%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+30.8%

Relative strength directionImproving+22.7%

Price momentumPositive+44.1%

Volume balanceDemand-led2.98×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

80 / ±100

-3.1 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

69 /100

-20.3 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

DAC Directional State ↗ DAC Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance4

Rotation Up75

Upward Expansion87

Deceleration56

Rotation Down15

Downward Expansion12

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 12%Upward Expansion 53%Deceleration 28%Downward Expansion 8%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-07-31	2026-10-02	Developing	+16.6%
Deceleration	2026-07-10	2026-07-24	New	+10.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-28	2026-07-03	Extended	+27.3%
Deceleration	2025-10-10	2025-11-21	Developing	+11.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-30	2025-10-03	Established	+5.1%
Balance	2025-05-09	2025-05-23	New	+1.7%
Downward Expansion	2025-04-11	2025-05-02	New	+12.3%
Balance	2025-02-21	2025-04-04	Developing	-17.4%
Downward Expansion	2024-12-27	2025-02-14	Developing	+6.4%
Balance	2024-11-01	2024-12-20	Developing	-5.8%
Deceleration	2024-07-19	2024-10-25	Established	-1.6%
Upward Expansion	2024-05-10	2024-07-12	Developing	+6.3%
Deceleration	2024-02-23	2024-05-03	Developing	+8.2%
Upward Expansion	2023-12-08	2024-02-16	Developing	+5.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing17

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution53

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus SPY

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 99/100
Current Relative Strength: 30.79
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +44.1%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +26.4%
Industrials regime cohort: 63th percentile43 in cohort

Test DAC trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume1.38×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume2.98×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution7 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore DAC Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity USD 159.99rising

Slow Activity USD 140.74rising

Trend Reference USD 132.28+24.8% close margin

Current Fair Value USD 89.78+84.0% close margin

Structural low USD 112.68shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +5.4%

Annualized volatility +29.6%

From structural high -0.1%

From structural low +102.5%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs SPY	Regime survived	Read
Near term	31	+0.0%-21.7% to +17.3%	+51.6%	+51.6%	-2.0%	+74.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	12	+5.2%-10.3% to +22.7%	+75.0%	+75.0%	-1.6%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	+7.3%-18.8% to +39.9%	+57.1%	+57.1%	-0.9%	+57.1%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+23.4%-13.5% to +53.8%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+10.1%	+75.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

DAC Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map