Weekly structural research · GER · Financial Services

INN1 Stage Analysis

ING Groep N.V.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close EUR 30.69Tenure EstablishedBenchmark ^GDAXI

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Upward Expansion · Established expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and contracting.

Direction 67−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 65/100directional strength

Maturity 98/100lifecycle context

Confidence 92/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Widecontracting separation

Price acceptance +83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +69.8%EUR 18.07 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	30.69	27.23	19.23	223191	Upward Expansion	67	65
2026-09-25	31.78	26.94	23.41	145015	Upward Expansion	69	68
2026-09-18	31.73	26.68	24.55	150318	Upward Expansion	72	70
2026-09-11	32.10	26.44	25.57	128818	Upward Expansion	85	73
2026-09-04	31.97	26.14	23.69	207343	Upward Expansion	90	80
2026-08-28	30.45	25.89	16.36	20764	Upward Expansion	72	89
2026-08-21	29.83	25.68	16.60	26851	Upward Expansion	68	88
2026-08-14	30.78	25.47	19.65	20114	Upward Expansion	87	95
2026-08-07	30.49	25.25	19.82	16838	Upward Expansion	91	95
2026-07-31	30.00	25.03	21.92	38831	Upward Expansion	91	93
2026-07-24	28.55	24.81	19.36	31574	Upward Expansion	78	88
2026-07-17	27.97	24.63	19.02	33837	Upward Expansion	69	83
2026-07-10	28.05	24.47	19.11	16867	Upward Expansion	74	87
2026-07-03	27.91	24.28	16.08	23247	Upward Expansion	76	78
2026-06-26	27.23	24.07	19.16	30516	Upward Expansion	69	67
2026-06-19	27.87	23.89	21.34	33923	Upward Expansion	82	76
2026-06-12	25.96	23.65	15.61	42548	Upward Expansion	63	69
2026-06-05	25.96	23.50	15.84	31788	Upward Expansion	65	73
2026-05-29	26.71	23.34	18.33	185171	Upward Expansion	77	79
2026-05-22	26.43	23.15	18.94	267614	Upward Expansion	78	77
2026-05-15	25.32	22.93	19.20	155942	Upward Expansion	68	70
2026-05-08	25.54	22.75	19.15	329370	Upward Expansion	72	69
2026-05-01	24.76	22.57	16.51	259752	Balance	63	46
2026-04-24	23.83	22.45	13.54	225642	Balance	41	33
2026-04-17	24.70	22.37	15.65	304959	Balance	49	27
2026-04-10	23.87	22.24	16.76	324638	Rotation Down	21	17
2026-04-03	22.27	22.14	12.67	263370	Rotation Down	-21	31
2026-03-27	21.09	22.06	11.51	489180	Upward Expansion	-30	38
2026-03-20	21.26	22.01	12.56	259263	Upward Expansion	-12	26
2026-03-13	21.86	21.98	11.04	290803	Upward Expansion	10	14
2026-03-06	22.03	21.94	11.70	573053	Upward Expansion	24	16
2026-02-27	23.90	21.87	13.58	166523	Upward Expansion	57	43
2026-02-20	24.40	21.69	16.75	280395	Upward Expansion	69	51
2026-02-13	23.13	21.51	12.95	303483	Upward Expansion	60	47
2026-02-06	24.63	21.36	22.00	497739	Upward Expansion	77	65
2026-01-30	24.13	21.16	21.33	362179	Upward Expansion	73	66
2026-01-23	23.43	20.95	17.00	248438	Upward Expansion	67	65
2026-01-16	24.32	20.77	20.25	323335	Upward Expansion	83	91
2026-01-09	23.70	20.52	18.16	560645	Upward Expansion	78	90
2026-01-02	23.54	20.29	21.59	96685	Upward Expansion	81	90
2025-12-26	23.08	20.10	20.96	68011	Upward Expansion	78	86
2025-12-19	23.07	19.92	22.01	127355	Upward Expansion	84	83
2025-12-12	22.37	19.73	19.63	255446	Upward Expansion	77	62
2025-12-05	21.83	19.59	18.32	197976	Upward Expansion	71	63
2025-11-28	21.58	19.43	18.63	218789	Upward Expansion	68	61
2025-11-21	20.72	19.29	18.31	185827	Upward Expansion	58	47
2025-11-14	21.57	19.13	19.76	230845	Deceleration	73	52
2025-11-07	21.22	18.91	19.93	384090	Deceleration	59	36
2025-10-31	20.98	18.68	17.25	401911	Deceleration	52	27
2025-10-24	19.91	18.46	10.37	123595	Upward Expansion	42	27
2025-10-17	19.80	18.35	11.97	137506	Upward Expansion	50	42
2025-10-10	20.11	18.25	12.08	301564	Upward Expansion	63	57
2025-10-03	21.16	18.14	17.55	248539	Upward Expansion	69	77
2025-09-26	21.42	18.01	22.56	251202	Upward Expansion	81	72
2025-09-19	20.86	17.81	20.28	147384	Upward Expansion	75	62
2025-09-12	20.78	17.62	19.79	146407	Upward Expansion	78	65
2025-09-05	19.81	17.42	14.96	116125	Upward Expansion	64	66
2025-08-29	19.62	17.24	12.56	184009	Upward Expansion	66	79
2025-08-22	20.56	17.08	15.83	128800	Upward Expansion	80	89
2025-08-15	20.56	16.88	16.09	233150	Upward Expansion	87	89
2025-08-08	19.77	16.67	12.76	218679	Upward Expansion	82	84
2025-08-01	18.58	16.47	9.41	256919	Upward Expansion	65	76
2025-07-25	19.16	16.30	9.22	195401	Upward Expansion	79	82
2025-07-18	18.60	16.11	5.63	162275	Upward Expansion	72	72
2025-07-11	18.46	15.94	4.84	248008	Upward Expansion	72	54
2025-07-04	18.00	15.76	4.21	182166	Upward Expansion	64	40
2025-06-27	17.81	15.61	1.99	186579	Upward Expansion	52	34
2025-06-20	16.82	15.46	-0.95	161029	Upward Expansion	45	32
2025-06-13	17.04	15.34	-0.43	209414	Upward Expansion	59	45
2025-06-06	17.61	15.22	-0.55	368606	Upward Expansion	64	68
2025-05-30	17.69	15.08	1.08	203019	Upward Expansion	67	76
2025-05-23	17.58	14.96	1.92	488497	Upward Expansion	67	78
2025-05-16	17.94	14.85	3.32	349018	Upward Expansion	77	80
2025-05-09	17.24	14.73	0.35	334884	Deceleration	70	58
2025-05-02	17.30	14.63	2.46	652193	Deceleration	69	34
2025-04-25	15.97	14.53	-1.87	589239	Deceleration	35	30
2025-04-18	14.95	14.50	-3.69	690024	Deceleration	26	27
2025-04-11	14.35	14.50	-3.77	2144898	Upward Expansion	24	18
2025-04-04	14.47	14.51	-4.25	1555023	Upward Expansion	50	45
2025-03-28	16.61	14.51	1.00	592409	Upward Expansion	68	88
2025-03-21	16.66	14.44	-0.48	600978	Upward Expansion	74	90
2025-03-14	16.85	14.37	0.36	708477	Upward Expansion	89	95
2025-03-07	17.14	14.28	2.22	980799	Upward Expansion	98	98
2025-02-28	15.56	14.16	-5.03	495671	Rotation Up	87	87
2025-02-21	15.04	14.10	-6.91	615480	Rotation Up	51	70
2025-02-14	14.89	14.10	-8.59	581723	Rotation Up	40	65
2025-02-07	14.50	14.09	-7.93	938268	Rotation Up	27	53
2025-01-31	14.56	14.10	-7.13	288005	Rotation Up	31	44
2025-01-24	14.58	14.10	-5.36	405815	Downward Expansion	30	32
2025-01-17	14.42	14.08	-4.09	668135	Downward Expansion	-6	15
2025-01-10	13.68	14.06	-5.85	406399	Downward Expansion	-40	24
2025-01-03	13.62	14.05	-4.68	193452	Downward Expansion	-44	30
2024-12-27	13.50	14.07	-5.88	129528	Downward Expansion	-57	38
2024-12-20	13.22	14.10	-7.33	303375	Downward Expansion	-64	47
2024-12-13	13.30	14.14	-9.19	737524	Downward Expansion	-63	60
2024-12-06	13.48	14.18	-7.94	505251	Downward Expansion	-63	69
2024-11-29	13.19	14.20	-6.52	320207	Downward Expansion	-73	77
2024-11-22	13.21	14.23	-4.87	225062	Rotation Down	-75	75
2024-11-15	13.46	14.22	-2.43	237936	Rotation Down	-46	58
2024-11-08	13.47	14.20	-2.30	243940	Balance	-38	43
2024-11-01	14.17	14.17	2.64	234589	Balance	6	14
2024-10-25	14.12	14.13	1.40	137415	Balance	16	15
2024-10-18	14.37	14.08	2.28	167436	Upward Expansion	33	15
2024-10-11	14.30	14.01	3.39	235599	Upward Expansion	46	27
2024-10-04	14.41	13.93	5.74	195776	Upward Expansion	55	42
2024-09-27	14.86	13.83	7.17	281073	Upward Expansion	61	56
2024-09-20	15.02	13.69	12.97	143182	Upward Expansion	70	59
2024-09-13	14.74	13.54	11.40	115819	Upward Expansion	61	42
2024-09-06	14.31	13.39	10.80	177591	Deceleration	47	31
2024-08-30	14.71	13.25	10.60	95673	Deceleration	51	27
2024-08-23	14.38	13.10	9.95	113110	Deceleration	37	24
2024-08-16	14.10	12.99	9.88	170954	Deceleration	35	19
2024-08-09	13.66	12.88	10.26	469030	Upward Expansion	42	30
2024-08-02	13.80	12.78	12.02	289810	Upward Expansion	63	52
2024-07-26	14.96	12.69	16.75	253858	Upward Expansion	76	77
2024-07-19	14.77	12.57	17.34	196037	Upward Expansion	74	65
2024-07-12	14.71	12.45	13.78	254828	Deceleration	79	61
2024-07-05	14.49	12.35	14.14	232830	Deceleration	64	46
2024-06-28	14.02	12.24	12.33	210888	Deceleration	50	43
2024-06-21	13.64	12.13	10.16	299327	Upward Expansion	52	49
2024-06-14	13.47	12.03	10.21	407610	Upward Expansion	66	63
2024-06-07	14.39	11.94	14.70	509147	Upward Expansion	70	72
2024-05-31	14.36	11.79	15.35	167473	Upward Expansion	71	86
2024-05-24	14.37	11.66	14.76	274827	Upward Expansion	77	91
2024-05-17	14.50	11.51	16.20	604187	Upward Expansion	88	95
2024-05-10	14.11	11.36	13.25	473563	Upward Expansion	88	92
2024-05-03	13.95	11.24	17.30	602253	Upward Expansion	92	79
2024-04-26	13.09	11.13	9.73	587878	Upward Expansion	78	83
2024-04-19	12.75	11.05	9.94	526663	Upward Expansion	70	88
2024-04-12	12.49	10.97	6.97	604134	Upward Expansion	68	88
2024-04-05	13.06	10.91	10.66	437394	Upward Expansion	90	96
2024-03-29	12.71	10.83	6.26	280669	Upward Expansion	89	94
2024-03-22	12.26	10.77	4.61	431464	Balance	87	86
2024-03-15	11.79	10.73	2.50	722163	Balance	68	52
2024-03-08	11.30	10.69	-0.82	474795	Balance	33	21
2024-03-01	10.66	10.68	-6.07	427661	Rotation Down	-15	21
2024-02-23	10.63	10.69	-4.85	391697	Rotation Down	-29	39
2024-02-16	10.39	10.70	-5.50	571551	Rotation Down	-31	43
2024-02-09	10.07	10.71	-7.52	724117	Deceleration	-46	40
2024-02-02	10.21	10.72	-6.40	1218727	Deceleration	-22	26
2024-01-26	10.99	10.72	0.32	574920	Deceleration	28	21
2024-01-19	10.65	10.69	-0.46	380648	Upward Expansion	26	16
2024-01-12	10.75	10.65	-0.38	614480	Upward Expansion	53	36
2024-01-05	11.08	10.63	3.31	617197	Upward Expansion	62	69
2023-12-29	11.32	10.58	4.56	83962	Upward Expansion	66	78
2023-12-22	11.40	10.53	5.69	327772	Upward Expansion	74	80
2023-12-15	11.45	10.48	5.96	447433	Upward Expansion	78	75
2023-12-08	11.27	10.43	4.43	393859	Deceleration	75	49
2023-12-01	10.77	10.37	2.16	243654	Deceleration	44	28
2023-11-24	10.63	10.31	3.22	509686	Deceleration	33	18
2023-11-17	10.65	10.26	4.30	415027	Deceleration	18	14
2023-11-10	10.17	10.21	4.23	672637	Deceleration	-17	32
2023-11-03	10.28	10.19	5.87	923581	Deceleration	3	19
2023-10-27	9.92	10.14	5.82	276211	Deceleration	-11	21
2023-10-20	10.09	10.10	7.08	243800	Deceleration	-2	11
2023-10-13	10.47	10.04	8.55	263989	Deceleration	29	20

Price vs TrendAbove+12.7%

Trend directionRising+9.8%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+69.8%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+0.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+19.2%

Relative strength directionImproving+3.1%

Price momentumPositive+37.8%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.44×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

67 / ±100

-23.8 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

65 /100

-15.2 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

INN1 Directional State ↗ INN1 Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance6

Rotation Up59

Upward Expansion88

Deceleration66

Rotation Down27

Downward Expansion12

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-13 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 6%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 64%Deceleration 17%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 6%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Upward Expansion	2026-05-08	2026-10-02	Established	+20.1%
Balance	2026-04-17	2026-05-01	New	+0.3%
Rotation Down	2026-04-03	2026-04-10	New	+7.2%
Upward Expansion	2025-11-21	2026-03-27	Established	+1.8%
Deceleration	2025-10-31	2025-11-14	New	+2.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-16	2025-10-24	Established	+11.0%
Deceleration	2025-04-18	2025-05-09	New	+15.3%
Upward Expansion	2025-03-07	2025-04-11	Developing	-16.3%
Rotation Up	2025-01-31	2025-02-28	Developing	+6.9%
Downward Expansion	2024-11-29	2025-01-24	Developing	+10.6%
Rotation Down	2024-11-15	2024-11-22	New	-1.9%
Balance	2024-10-25	2024-11-08	New	-4.6%
Upward Expansion	2024-09-13	2024-10-18	Developing	-2.5%
Deceleration	2024-08-16	2024-09-06	New	+1.5%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing11

Stage 2 · Advancing100

Stage 3 · Distribution60

Stage 4 · Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2B · Advancing. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^GDAXI

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 92/100
Current Relative Strength: 19.23
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +37.8%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +28.9%
Financial Services regime cohort: 93th percentile27 in cohort

Test INN1 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume2.66×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.44×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore INN1 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity EUR 31.46rising

Slow Activity EUR 29.02rising

Trend Reference EUR 27.23+12.7% close margin

Current Fair Value EUR 18.07+69.8% close margin

Structural low EUR 22.12shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +3.3%

Annualized volatility +21.5%

From structural high -5.2%

From structural low +57.5%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^GDAXI	Regime survived	Read
Near term	42	+1.1%-24.6% to +19.6%	+57.1%	+57.1%	+0.8%	+76.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	17	+8.2%-19.4% to +23.1%	+76.5%	+76.5%	+3.3%	+70.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	9	+15.0%-20.8% to +45.1%	+77.8%	+77.8%	+11.2%	+66.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+18.4%-8.9% to +28.5%	+75.0%	+75.0%	+6.5%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

INN1 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Volume & Price ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Volume & Price

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map