Weekly structural research · VIE · Consumer Cyclical

GYT Stage Analysis

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close EUR 4.49Tenure NewBenchmark ^ATX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -82−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 90/100directional strength

Maturity 24/100lifecycle context

Confidence 82/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -83.3%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -48.2%EUR 8.67 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	4.49	5.57	-42.00	24	Downward Expansion	-82	90
2026-09-18	4.43	5.65	-42.38	7695	Downward Expansion	-90	89
2026-09-11	4.80	5.76	-39.26	9293	Downward Expansion	-84	84
2026-09-04	5.35	5.87	-32.98	22	Downward Expansion	-60	66
2026-08-28	5.28	5.98	-33.95	22	Balance	-52	55
2026-08-21	5.08	6.07	-35.85	1000	Balance	-66	51
2026-08-14	5.28	6.17	-35.09	1872	Balance	-49	27
2026-08-07	5.76	6.25	-29.23	1762	Balance	-1	18
2026-07-31	5.92	6.32	-25.81	16	Downward Expansion	1	25
2026-07-24	6.30	6.37	-22.26	1762	Downward Expansion	14	33
2026-07-17	6.23	6.41	-23.27	1665	Downward Expansion	10	29
2026-07-10	5.98	6.46	-28.83	1762	Downward Expansion	-25	28
2026-07-03	5.78	6.51	-33.24	800	Downward Expansion	-37	29
2026-06-26	5.99	6.56	-30.37	0	Downward Expansion	-47	39
2026-06-19	5.41	6.61	-39.32	22	Downward Expansion	-64	60
2026-06-12	5.41	6.66	-37.79	107	Downward Expansion	-66	74
2026-06-05	4.89	6.69	-43.19	4	Downward Expansion	-79	91
2026-05-29	5.24	6.75	-40.82	0	Downward Expansion	-68	86
2026-05-22	5.12	6.77	-41.71	182	Downward Expansion	-77	87
2026-05-15	4.91	6.81	-43.90	6532	Downward Expansion	-86	80
2026-05-08	5.76	6.84	-35.46	6582	Downward Expansion	-55	44
2026-05-01	6.04	6.85	-32.50	0	Downward Expansion	-47	40
2026-04-24	6.04	6.88	-33.03	590	Downward Expansion	-60	50
2026-04-17	6.05	6.90	-36.26	1764	Downward Expansion	-64	57
2026-04-10	6.04	6.93	-35.67	5962	Rotation Down	-67	82
2026-04-03	5.71	6.98	-36.17	1764	Rotation Down	-45	79
2026-03-27	5.71	7.03	-34.84	1329	Rotation Down	-41	77
2026-03-20	5.47	7.08	-37.33	6628	Rotation Down	-54	78
2026-03-13	6.13	7.14	-31.31	1000	Deceleration	-45	51
2026-03-06	6.53	7.18	-29.36	0	Deceleration	-7	26
2026-02-27	7.00	7.20	-28.90	1630	Upward Expansion	22	18
2026-02-20	7.49	7.25	-26.13	1429	Upward Expansion	59	45
2026-02-13	8.07	7.31	-18.87	7535	Rotation Up	65	70
2026-02-06	8.78	7.35	-13.17	4787	Rotation Up	66	84
2026-01-30	7.93	7.37	-21.16	0	Rotation Up	40	64
2026-01-23	8.03	7.43	-19.75	0	Rotation Up	48	60
2026-01-16	7.87	7.47	-21.34	0	Rotation Up	37	44
2026-01-09	7.84	7.50	-21.51	0	Rotation Up	40	50
2026-01-02	7.48	7.56	-25.06	0	Rotation Up	8	33
2025-12-26	7.34	7.62	-25.73	0	Rotation Up	5	30
2025-12-19	7.64	7.71	-23.27	0	Rotation Up	15	36
2025-12-12	7.49	7.78	-23.49	4118	Downward Expansion	9	31
2025-12-05	7.30	7.85	-25.99	800	Downward Expansion	-16	30
2025-11-28	7.50	7.93	-23.78	0	Downward Expansion	-18	29
2025-11-21	6.91	8.00	-27.54	3118	Downward Expansion	-48	48
2025-11-14	6.51	8.09	-33.38	1110	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2025-11-07	6.53	8.16	-32.59	5830	Downward Expansion	-66	83
2025-10-31	5.96	8.21	-39.81	1560	Downward Expansion	-74	88
2025-10-24	6.26	8.31	-35.36	0	Downward Expansion	-68	86
2025-10-17	5.84	8.37	-39.01	7995	Downward Expansion	-86	93
2025-10-10	6.14	8.45	-37.69	1694	Downward Expansion	-86	89
2025-10-03	6.67	8.53	-34.04	4391	Downward Expansion	-76	80
2025-09-26	6.75	8.60	-32.27	0	Downward Expansion	-78	78
2025-09-19	7.10	8.68	-28.83	0	Downward Expansion	-71	80
2025-09-12	7.28	8.77	-27.68	1086	Downward Expansion	-67	83
2025-09-05	7.23	8.83	-27.64	1086	Downward Expansion	-70	85
2025-08-29	7.25	8.87	-27.95	1486	Downward Expansion	-73	86
2025-08-22	7.41	8.92	-29.27	0	Downward Expansion	-73	83
2025-08-15	7.19	8.97	-32.57	1286	Balance	-82	81
2025-08-08	7.18	9.04	-31.31	2172	Balance	-44	55
2025-08-01	8.66	9.09	-12.55	200	Balance	-2	8
2025-07-25	9.19	9.08	-10.03	0	Upward Expansion	27	13
2025-07-18	9.18	9.05	-9.11	0	Upward Expansion	29	13
2025-07-11	9.58	9.03	-5.86	1086	Upward Expansion	36	17
2025-07-04	9.57	9.03	-4.41	0	Upward Expansion	35	18
2025-06-27	9.22	9.03	-9.04	400	Upward Expansion	30	19
2025-06-20	8.93	9.07	-10.70	1242	Upward Expansion	29	15
2025-06-13	9.51	9.08	-6.05	0	Upward Expansion	52	32
2025-06-06	9.29	9.06	-10.81	0	Upward Expansion	56	43
2025-05-30	10.08	9.05	-3.43	1242	Upward Expansion	69	65
2025-05-23	9.72	8.97	-6.64	1242	Upward Expansion	60	62
2025-05-16	9.45	8.90	-10.93	0	Upward Expansion	54	54
2025-05-09	9.86	8.85	-5.11	2602	Balance	63	49
2025-05-02	9.61	8.79	-3.96	900	Balance	46	27
2025-04-25	9.58	8.72	-3.52	2484	Balance	17	11
2025-04-18	8.45	8.67	-12.33	2584	Balance	-23	23
2025-04-11	8.28	8.63	-10.15	3731	Balance	-28	32
2025-04-04	8.75	8.59	-6.98	2692	Balance	-15	21
2025-03-28	8.06	8.53	-23.40	844	Balance	-26	27
2025-03-21	8.46	8.53	-22.18	0	Balance	4	11
2025-03-14	8.38	8.51	-24.42	1176	Balance	7	7
2025-03-07	8.71	8.49	-22.14	1176	Balance	42	31
2025-02-28	9.13	8.43	-16.35	0	Balance	48	38
2025-02-21	9.85	8.41	-8.20	0	Balance	66	42
2025-02-14	9.28	8.45	-14.89	3528	Balance	43	19
2025-02-07	8.23	8.51	-21.16	0	Balance	6	7
2025-01-31	8.85	8.58	-15.82	0	Balance	40	21
2025-01-24	8.94	8.63	-15.35	0	Balance	2	5
2025-01-17	9.33	8.67	-11.20	0	Balance	9	12
2025-01-10	8.48	8.71	-17.13	4834	Balance	-9	21
2025-01-03	8.40	8.78	-18.55	0	Rotation Up	-6	15
2024-12-27	8.51	8.88	-17.81	1205	Rotation Up	7	8
2024-12-20	8.35	8.97	-19.22	2385	Rotation Up	14	26
2024-12-13	9.56	9.07	-9.95	3822	Rotation Up	29	62
2024-12-06	9.66	9.15	-8.27	0	Rotation Up	29	63
2024-11-29	10.29	9.23	-1.81	1274	Rotation Up	49	52
2024-11-22	9.29	9.27	-11.77	0	Downward Expansion	15	29
2024-11-15	8.86	9.33	-17.14	0	Downward Expansion	-1	16
2024-11-08	9.17	9.40	-14.88	7370	Downward Expansion	-13	15
2024-11-01	7.53	9.49	-30.15	1274	Downward Expansion	-50	39
2024-10-25	7.83	9.63	-29.15	1274	Downward Expansion	-40	31
2024-10-18	7.87	9.80	-30.36	0	Downward Expansion	-43	35
2024-10-11	7.94	9.93	-30.19	0	Downward Expansion	-47	42
2024-10-04	7.74	10.05	-32.43	0	Downward Expansion	-51	51
2024-09-27	7.85	10.17	-32.77	0	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2024-09-20	7.37	10.27	-36.95	2907	Downward Expansion	-66	65
2024-09-13	7.03	10.40	-40.18	400	Downward Expansion	-78	74
2024-09-06	7.05	10.55	-40.28	0	Downward Expansion	-82	89
2024-08-30	7.86	10.73	-36.76	200	Downward Expansion	-67	88
2024-08-23	7.96	10.90	-35.94	400	Downward Expansion	-68	89
2024-08-16	7.74	11.08	-37.20	0	Downward Expansion	-82	93
2024-08-09	7.05	11.24	-42.32	4845	Downward Expansion	-94	84
2024-08-02	8.51	11.41	-30.32	4945	Downward Expansion	-88	59
2024-07-26	10.98	11.54	-14.33	0	Downward Expansion	-47	36
2024-07-19	11.05	11.61	-14.48	969	Downward Expansion	-62	52
2024-07-12	10.45	11.69	-20.50	675	Downward Expansion	-67	85
2024-07-05	10.10	11.79	-23.76	0	Downward Expansion	-83	92
2024-06-28	10.38	11.89	-20.13	0	Downward Expansion	-80	86
2024-06-21	10.44	11.97	-19.73	0	Downward Expansion	-81	81
2024-06-14	10.72	12.05	-16.71	0	Downward Expansion	-74	68
2024-06-07	11.16	12.13	-16.55	0	Downward Expansion	-60	37
2024-05-31	11.29	12.14	-16.65	0	Downward Expansion	-46	21
2024-05-24	11.42	12.16	-17.40	0	Downward Expansion	-43	19
2024-05-17	11.94	12.16	-14.32	0	Downward Expansion	-46	25
2024-05-10	12.00	12.15	-12.83	30	Downward Expansion	-50	43
2024-05-03	11.40	12.13	-15.39	806	Downward Expansion	-55	58
2024-04-26	11.08	12.12	-16.77	0	Balance	-65	54
2024-04-19	11.14	12.14	-16.04	0	Balance	-51	23
2024-04-12	11.68	12.16	-12.32	806	Balance	-5	12
2024-04-05	11.96	12.17	-10.33	5	Balance	-2	11
2024-03-29	12.78	12.17	-3.19	765	Rotation Down	9	8
2024-03-22	11.96	12.16	-8.27	765	Rotation Down	-31	40
2024-03-15	11.39	12.15	-10.14	0	Rotation Down	-36	64
2024-03-08	11.30	12.16	-9.89	765	Rotation Down	-26	61
2024-03-01	10.85	12.17	-13.39	1530	Rotation Down	-42	64
2024-02-23	11.42	12.21	-8.94	0	Balance	-33	40
2024-02-16	11.41	12.31	-9.51	3986	Balance	-10	10
2024-02-09	12.46	12.41	0.36	3060	Upward Expansion	32	19
2024-02-02	12.88	12.44	1.73	3060	Upward Expansion	35	18
2024-01-26	13.53	12.43	6.69	1530	Upward Expansion	53	27
2024-01-19	12.50	12.39	2.31	3060	Upward Expansion	3	14
2024-01-12	12.03	12.38	-2.79	1530	Upward Expansion	24	15
2024-01-05	12.47	12.40	0.01	1530	Upward Expansion	59	43
2023-12-29	13.12	12.39	5.30	869	Rotation Up	64	64
2023-12-22	13.36	12.37	8.56	0	Rotation Up	43	65
2023-12-15	13.55	12.37	11.77	1738	Rotation Up	42	66
2023-12-08	12.96	12.35	8.99	3614	Rotation Up	30	55
2023-12-01	12.90	12.37	9.06	4345	Rotation Up	30	44
2023-11-24	12.90	12.28	11.51	869	Rotation Down	30	31
2023-11-17	12.93	12.17	11.42	7821	Rotation Down	0	11
2023-11-10	11.72	12.06	3.62	4345	Rotation Down	-38	23
2023-11-03	11.63	12.00	3.55	5214	Rotation Down	-24	26
2023-10-27	11.58	11.93	8.93	1069	Rotation Down	-27	34
2023-10-20	11.61	11.88	8.45	2607	Rotation Down	-28	35
2023-10-13	11.54	11.80	3.74	1738	Rotation Down	-31	38
2023-10-06	10.99	11.74	-0.59	1738	Deceleration	-34	33

Price vs TrendBelow-19.4%

Trend directionFalling-13.1%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-48.2%

Fair Value directionMoving away-13.0%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-42.0%

Relative strength directionWeakening-11.6%

Price momentumNegative-21.4%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.23×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-82 / ±100

-29.3 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

90 /100

+34.9 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

GYT Directional State ↗ GYT Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance14

Rotation Up8

Upward Expansion21

Deceleration37

Rotation Down83

Downward Expansion97

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 20%Rotation Up 13%Upward Expansion 12%Deceleration 2%Rotation Down 10%Downward Expansion 43%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-09-04	2026-09-25	New	-16.1%
Balance	2026-08-07	2026-08-28	New	-8.2%
Downward Expansion	2026-04-17	2026-07-31	Established	-2.2%
Rotation Down	2026-03-20	2026-04-10	New	+10.5%
Deceleration	2026-03-06	2026-03-13	New	-6.1%
Upward Expansion	2026-02-20	2026-02-27	New	-6.5%
Rotation Up	2025-12-19	2026-02-13	Developing	+5.6%
Downward Expansion	2025-08-22	2025-12-12	Established	+1.0%
Balance	2025-08-01	2025-08-15	New	-17.0%
Upward Expansion	2025-05-16	2025-07-25	Developing	-2.8%
Balance	2025-01-10	2025-05-09	Established	+16.2%
Rotation Up	2024-11-29	2025-01-03	Developing	-18.3%
Downward Expansion	2024-05-03	2024-11-22	Extended	-18.5%
Balance	2024-04-05	2024-04-26	New	-7.4%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing52

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution18

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^ATX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 100/100
Current Relative Strength: -42.00
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -21.4%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -53.1%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 61th percentile46 in cohort

Test GYT trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.01×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.23×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 4

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore GYT Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity EUR 4.70falling

Slow Activity EUR 5.41falling

Trend Reference EUR 5.57-19.4% close margin

Current Fair Value EUR 8.67-48.2% close margin

Structural low EUR 4.29shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +7.6%

Annualized volatility +43.5%

From structural high -50.4%

From structural low +4.7%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^ATX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	29	+4.1%-27.5% to +36.3%	+51.7%	+48.3%	-1.0%	+75.9%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	11	+2.9%-25.3% to +43.7%	+54.5%	+45.5%	-3.9%	+54.5%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	6	-4.4%-34.0% to +27.7%	+50.0%	+50.0%	+3.6%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-7.2%-31.5% to +17.0%	+50.0%	+50.0%	-6.5%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

GYT Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map