Weekly structural research ยท MEX ยท Technology

SMSNN Stage Analysis

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close MXN 90,700.00Tenure NewBenchmark ^MXX
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Rotation Up ยท Emerging rotation

The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.

Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
  • Re-acceleration watch: Fast Activity is turning upward after a positive-structure recompression.
Direction 69โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 53/100directional strength
Maturity 22/100lifecycle context
Confidence 70/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance +83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +157.8%MXN 35,181.68 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-2590,700.0076,560.7554.27257Rotation Up6953
2026-09-1885,000.0075,639.6151.3312Deceleration5147
2026-09-1185,000.0074,587.6253.22100Deceleration4844
2026-09-0478,432.1473,392.1042.3331Deceleration1820
2026-08-2881,745.9072,415.5049.730Deceleration123
2026-08-2181,745.9071,091.0052.150Rotation Down-539
2026-08-1465,243.3769,766.5126.500Rotation Down-4360
2026-08-0765,243.3768,992.0923.530Rotation Down-2749
2026-07-3165,243.3768,260.6525.360Rotation Down-1138
2026-07-2476,000.0067,183.7149.430Deceleration2939
2026-07-1784,223.9065,747.8968.200Upward Expansion5053
2026-07-1084,223.9064,037.9572.4512Upward Expansion6465
2026-07-0398,378.6062,321.62104.540Upward Expansion6668
2026-06-2698,378.6060,117.36110.300Upward Expansion6775
2026-06-1996,570.0057,899.43111.430Upward Expansion6989
2026-06-12103,100.0055,876.25131.900Upward Expansion9799
2026-06-05103,100.0053,635.41146.610Upward Expansion100100
2026-05-2986,988.2551,394.56108.1288Upward Expansion9899
2026-05-2283,124.2649,540.75105.75364Upward Expansion9899
2026-05-1578,942.0747,815.74102.31185Upward Expansion9982
2026-05-0867,000.0046,100.7471.80317Upward Expansion9076
2026-05-0163,108.5044,783.8070.250Upward Expansion7670
2026-04-2463,108.5043,596.5970.320Upward Expansion8372
2026-04-1760,000.0042,409.1663.860Upward Expansion6967
2026-04-1060,000.0041,189.4266.37404Upward Expansion7369
2026-04-0358,500.0039,969.6966.010Upward Expansion6566
2026-03-2758,500.0038,799.9576.4226Upward Expansion6768
2026-03-2059,870.0037,630.2191.3238Upward Expansion7672
2026-03-1356,352.0036,400.2479.7296Upward Expansion6969
2026-03-0659,000.0035,287.5587.2417Upward Expansion8582
2026-02-2763,065.6234,050.1492.49489Upward Expansion10098
2026-02-2053,440.5032,677.2066.43330Upward Expansion9897
2026-02-1349,134.1831,625.1155.330Upward Expansion9598
2026-02-0649,134.1830,700.6559.0338Upward Expansion9899
2026-01-3042,011.0029,758.6544.590Upward Expansion7391
2026-01-2342,011.0029,045.5045.020Upward Expansion8594
2026-01-1642,011.0028,332.1448.986Upward Expansion9091
2026-01-0943,300.0027,618.7757.7632Deceleration9275
2026-01-0232,935.1226,875.5925.110Deceleration4954
2025-12-2632,925.5826,509.7822.890Deceleration5053
2025-12-1932,925.5826,038.3826.7429Upward Expansion4949
2025-12-1232,734.1825,566.9725.2727Upward Expansion5561
2025-12-0532,250.6525,135.5926.80911Upward Expansion6768
2025-11-2831,840.7724,693.3725.5512Upward Expansion6969
2025-11-2135,874.6224,291.4246.090Rotation Up8996
2025-11-1435,874.6223,755.0146.350Rotation Up9879
2025-11-0735,874.6223,218.6045.2221Upward Expansion10080
2025-10-3131,373.9122,647.8629.340Upward Expansion9899
2025-10-2431,373.9122,299.4533.2876Upward Expansion100100
2025-10-1727,492.0321,950.8116.230Upward Expansion8394
2025-10-1027,492.0321,731.5718.720Upward Expansion9698
2025-10-0327,492.0321,451.9316.130Upward Expansion9999
2025-09-2627,485.7321,229.0715.57124Upward Expansion100100
2025-09-1923,407.8521,006.410.260Upward Expansion7390
2025-09-1223,407.8520,919.69-1.300Upward Expansion7792
2025-09-0523,407.8520,796.290.240Upward Expansion8595
2025-08-2923,407.8520,639.982.63147Upward Expansion8794
2025-08-2222,971.0720,475.71-0.700Upward Expansion8694
2025-08-1522,971.0720,337.620.1415Upward Expansion9195
2025-08-0821,877.6620,221.17-4.690Upward Expansion7283
2025-08-0121,877.6620,141.16-3.330Upward Expansion7579
2025-07-2521,877.6620,061.16-4.6722Upward Expansion7972
2025-07-1821,400.4419,980.95-5.62445Upward Expansion7462
2025-07-1120,874.1619,916.64-9.0114Upward Expansion6154
2025-07-0420,616.5519,868.46-13.040Upward Expansion5461
2025-06-2720,610.0019,828.87-12.960Upward Expansion5556
2025-06-2020,610.0019,805.06-11.8514Upward Expansion5354
2025-06-1321,004.5219,781.25-12.5775Rotation Up6047
2025-06-0621,960.9419,744.28-10.1628Rotation Up5526
2025-05-3018,783.5019,688.88-23.220Downward Expansion-5959
2025-05-2318,783.5019,778.37-24.29400Rotation Down-6252
2025-05-1619,792.5819,867.86-20.06105Rotation Down-4132
2025-05-0918,984.1119,923.72-21.6612Rotation Down-5642
2025-05-0219,782.2720,048.79-17.660Rotation Down-2829
2025-04-2519,782.2720,147.26-19.160Rotation Down-2322
2025-04-1819,782.2720,245.52-13.72102Rotation Down-3017
2025-04-1118,752.6220,455.69-16.1150Rotation Down-4323
2025-04-0420,921.4120,700.18-6.680Rotation Up1425
2025-03-2820,914.8520,872.38-9.860Rotation Up1828
2025-03-2120,914.8521,068.47-9.042264Rotation Up2031
2025-03-1419,102.9321,317.68-16.67112Rotation Up-2739
2025-03-0720,806.0621,573.29-10.030Downward Expansion2654
2025-02-2820,806.0621,772.13-9.190Downward Expansion837
2025-02-2120,806.0621,986.36-11.678Downward Expansion-2944
2025-02-1419,706.0722,200.60-16.95182Downward Expansion-6668
2025-02-0718,718.4622,451.49-19.38474Downward Expansion-7471
2025-01-3118,479.6522,842.42-18.10195Downward Expansion-8976
2025-01-2418,828.3323,179.36-16.945Downward Expansion-8976
2025-01-1719,477.5823,445.06-11.840Downward Expansion-6688
2025-01-1019,477.5823,688.89-11.380Downward Expansion-6786
2025-01-0319,477.5823,925.45-10.350Downward Expansion-6989
2024-12-2719,471.2224,123.57-11.090Downward Expansion-7190
2024-12-2019,471.2224,243.43-11.6912Downward Expansion-7270
2024-12-1319,428.7924,402.12-15.440Downward Expansion-7791
2024-12-0619,428.7924,562.22-15.14895Downward Expansion-8293
2024-11-2919,895.6624,756.40-10.650Downward Expansion-7691
2024-11-2219,895.6624,865.19-11.910Downward Expansion-8284
2024-11-1519,895.6624,973.98-12.0930Downward Expansion-8876
2024-11-0820,298.7825,162.62-12.817Downward Expansion-9297
2024-11-0121,468.2725,337.83-5.750Downward Expansion-7993
2024-10-2521,468.2725,474.05-7.950Rotation Down-8695
2024-10-1821,468.2725,528.55-10.257Rotation Down-6989
2024-10-1122,736.3325,582.84-4.110Rotation Down-6086
2024-10-0422,736.3325,594.85-4.610Rotation Down-5682
2024-09-2722,729.8825,578.60-5.0011Rotation Down-5263
2024-09-2026,087.4525,597.8810.230Deceleration-019
2024-09-1326,087.4525,505.2510.910Deceleration1211
2024-09-0626,087.4525,412.6113.2243Deceleration2918
2024-08-3026,797.3525,319.9712.639Deceleration3925
2024-08-2328,391.1425,203.6718.59156Deceleration5735
2024-08-1626,771.2725,050.7911.140Deceleration3926
2024-08-0926,771.2724,951.6913.69139Upward Expansion4432
2024-08-0227,233.0424,852.5817.900Upward Expansion6254
2024-07-2627,233.0424,738.0916.990Upward Expansion6574
2024-07-1927,233.0424,623.5915.506Upward Expansion6782
2024-07-1230,446.3524,508.8926.465Upward Expansion9598
2024-07-0528,587.7324,287.0725.30236Upward Expansion8995
2024-06-2826,799.2824,127.2017.820Upward Expansion7383
2024-06-2126,792.5124,032.6717.411650Upward Expansion7876
2024-06-1426,574.5123,887.7718.06281Deceleration7959
2024-06-0725,421.0923,750.1311.702962Deceleration6530
2024-05-3123,067.0223,650.94-2.5511Deceleration108
2024-05-2424,231.8423,645.291.770Deceleration3520
2024-05-1724,231.8423,574.55-2.00155Upward Expansion3423
2024-05-1025,254.2123,540.172.04225Upward Expansion7540
2024-05-0323,159.3323,455.45-5.210Upward Expansion3536
2024-04-2623,159.3323,421.70-6.2725Upward Expansion4453
2024-04-1925,554.9323,394.107.140Upward Expansion8996
2024-04-1225,554.9323,286.426.040Deceleration9291
2024-04-0525,554.9323,193.793.49377Deceleration7658
2024-03-2923,103.4523,106.62-5.110Rotation Down-2546
2024-03-2223,096.8223,042.26-3.880Rotation Down-2566
2024-03-1523,096.8223,011.03-3.2750Rotation Down-2664
2024-03-0822,248.7822,979.80-4.625Rotation Down-5784
2024-03-0123,308.3222,976.84-1.120Deceleration967
2024-02-2323,308.3223,003.90-2.930Deceleration2641
2024-02-1623,308.3223,030.97-3.770Upward Expansion3545
2024-02-0923,308.3223,058.04-4.110Upward Expansion4555
2024-02-0223,308.3223,072.15-5.709Upward Expansion5060
2024-01-2623,804.6323,069.45-1.5712Upward Expansion6576
2024-01-1923,798.2123,052.930.760Upward Expansion6470
2024-01-1223,798.2123,043.700.510Rotation Up6361
2024-01-0523,798.2123,046.51-0.530Rotation Up3759
2023-12-2923,798.2123,067.35-2.570Rotation Up3462
2023-12-2223,791.7623,079.42-2.610Rotation Up3665
2023-12-1523,791.7623,047.49-2.390Rotation Up2857
2023-12-0823,791.7622,958.912.3943Balance3149
2023-12-0123,963.3522,857.504.0926Balance2726
2023-11-2422,445.4222,762.48-0.650Balance-4420
2023-11-1722,445.4222,723.76-0.190Balance-1812
2023-11-1022,445.4222,716.202.5771Balance-67
2023-11-0322,897.5822,694.294.6973Balance38
2023-10-2722,109.5922,657.306.03100Balance-2111
2023-10-2023,200.4322,646.5813.14185Deceleration99
2023-10-1322,712.6422,610.538.6231Deceleration-1618
2023-10-0622,146.9122,560.985.53355Deceleration-1718
Price vs TrendAbove+18.5%
Trend directionRising+16.4%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+157.8%
Fair Value directionMoving away-65.7%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+54.3%
Relative strength directionWeakening-56.0%
Price momentumPositive+55.0%
Volume balanceDemand-led8.30ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

69 / ยฑ100

+67.8 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

53 /100

+29.2 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance26
Rotation Up80
Upward Expansion75
Deceleration53
Rotation Down6
Downward Expansion11

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 5%Rotation Up 9%Upward Expansion 45%Deceleration 16%Rotation Down 13%Downward Expansion 13%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Rotation Up2026-09-252026-09-25New+0.0%
Deceleration2026-08-282026-09-18New+4.0%
Rotation Down2026-07-312026-08-21New+25.3%
Deceleration2026-07-242026-07-24New+0.0%
Upward Expansion2026-01-162026-07-17Extended+100.5%
Deceleration2025-12-262026-01-09New+31.5%
Upward Expansion2025-11-282025-12-19New+3.4%
Rotation Up2025-11-142025-11-21New+0.0%
Upward Expansion2025-06-202025-11-07Established+74.1%
Rotation Up2025-06-062025-06-13New-4.4%
Downward Expansion2025-05-302025-05-30New+0.0%
Rotation Down2025-04-112025-05-23Developing+0.2%
Rotation Up2025-03-142025-04-04New+9.5%
Downward Expansion2024-11-012025-03-07Established-3.1%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing0
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution74
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2A ยท Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MXX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
100/100
Current Relative Strength
54.27
Relative Strength direction
Weakening
Price momentum
+55.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+57.6%
Technology regime cohort
42th percentile12 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume4.90ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume8.30ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 0

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity MXN 85,807.35rising
Slow Activity MXN 80,883.58rising
Trend Reference MXN 76,560.75+18.5% close margin
Current Fair Value MXN 35,181.68+157.8% close margin
Structural low MXN 58,493.83shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Full positive ordering with expanding width confirms Upward Expansion. Loss of the fast/slow repair and renewed downside acceptance cancels it.

Range context +5.9%
Annualized volatility +60.9%
From structural high -12.0%
From structural low +230.0%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^MXX Regime survived Read
Near term12-2.9%-10.1% to +13.9%+25.0%+25.0%-3.5%+41.7%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate7-2.9%-7.8% to +37.0%+42.9%+42.9%-1.3%+14.3%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6+11.2%-21.3% to +120.0%+66.7%+66.7%+5.8%+0.0%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4-4.3%-33.5% to +195.0%+50.0%+50.0%-2.1%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context