Weekly structural research · MEX · Industrials

SUN Stage Analysis

Schneider Electric S.E.

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close MXN 5,803.93Tenure NewBenchmark ^MXX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Deceleration · Recompressing

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down.

The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: compressed and contracting.

Direction 34−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 20/100directional strength

Maturity 54/100lifecycle context

Confidence 87/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Upstructural direction

Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation

Price acceptance +0.0%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context +23.8%MXN 4,686.53 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	5,803.93	5,541.45	9.88	130	Deceleration	34	20
2026-09-18	5,601.40	5,532.68	8.99	48	Upward Expansion	33	20
2026-09-11	5,943.10	5,522.03	14.87	197	Upward Expansion	67	44
2026-09-04	5,651.99	5,505.68	7.97	392	Upward Expansion	62	55
2026-08-28	5,846.29	5,486.96	10.85	0	Upward Expansion	64	87
2026-08-21	5,846.29	5,457.86	10.74	579	Upward Expansion	63	86
2026-08-14	6,226.53	5,419.12	20.71	0	Upward Expansion	89	96
2026-08-07	5,985.75	5,372.61	12.04	0	Rotation Up	84	79
2026-07-31	5,875.45	5,334.94	10.17	287	Rotation Up	67	30
2026-07-24	5,288.36	5,305.09	0.10	0	Rotation Down	-17	38
2026-07-17	5,255.25	5,294.81	-1.15	964	Rotation Down	-14	22
2026-07-10	5,361.64	5,284.13	0.85	0	Upward Expansion	32	26
2026-07-03	5,500.77	5,269.41	2.44	0	Upward Expansion	57	46
2026-06-26	5,653.75	5,248.78	4.95	0	Deceleration	76	61
2026-06-19	5,623.83	5,223.05	3.64	0	Deceleration	59	42
2026-06-12	5,449.82	5,215.36	-0.02	0	Deceleration	41	29
2026-06-05	5,449.82	5,213.47	2.61	280	Upward Expansion	47	41
2026-05-29	5,516.37	5,211.58	0.09	1800	Upward Expansion	61	52
2026-05-22	5,419.60	5,207.47	-1.40	111	Upward Expansion	65	80
2026-05-15	5,619.94	5,201.36	2.71	0	Upward Expansion	65	87
2026-05-08	5,615.74	5,189.77	-0.12	811	Upward Expansion	64	85
2026-05-01	5,683.70	5,178.32	3.98	0	Upward Expansion	77	85
2026-04-24	5,683.70	5,170.34	1.89	0	Deceleration	76	61
2026-04-17	5,683.70	5,146.81	0.99	981	Deceleration	27	19
2026-04-10	4,910.01	5,121.12	-13.06	0	Deceleration	-38	41
2026-04-03	4,910.01	5,123.59	-13.00	0	Deceleration	-35	32
2026-03-27	4,910.01	5,118.65	-9.56	566	Upward Expansion	12	11
2026-03-20	5,295.97	5,107.80	1.00	0	Upward Expansion	62	66
2026-03-13	5,295.97	5,083.98	-1.70	36	Upward Expansion	65	77
2026-03-06	5,334.95	5,066.52	-3.72	1052	Upward Expansion	66	82
2026-02-27	5,540.75	5,047.76	-5.99	507	Rotation Up	90	90
2026-02-20	5,281.92	5,020.67	-10.89	160	Rotation Up	58	51
2026-02-13	5,452.45	5,017.12	-8.49	100	Rotation Up	37	34
2026-02-06	5,090.60	4,999.44	-14.10	741	Rotation Down	-4	19
2026-01-30	4,973.21	4,993.43	-12.59	66	Rotation Down	-36	55
2026-01-23	4,684.07	4,992.21	-18.84	7145	Rotation Down	-53	76
2026-01-16	4,831.14	4,998.36	-15.52	205	Rotation Down	-40	59
2026-01-09	4,855.82	4,999.60	-14.25	401	Rotation Down	-42	61
2026-01-02	4,979.91	5,000.02	-9.97	0	Rotation Down	-25	56
2025-12-26	4,979.91	4,999.40	-12.49	1735	Rotation Down	-23	43
2025-12-19	4,934.88	4,996.88	-11.52	171	Deceleration	-23	41
2025-12-12	4,920.11	4,991.75	-13.25	26	Deceleration	2	29
2025-12-05	4,881.75	4,987.12	-12.51	0	Deceleration	8	20
2025-11-28	4,881.75	4,982.38	-13.20	2891	Upward Expansion	24	24
2025-11-21	5,393.18	4,977.65	-1.94	0	Upward Expansion	69	81
2025-11-14	5,393.18	4,955.87	-2.90	0	Upward Expansion	72	78
2025-11-07	5,393.18	4,924.75	-4.76	0	Upward Expansion	76	84
2025-10-31	5,393.18	4,893.64	-4.07	1269	Upward Expansion	80	89
2025-10-24	5,236.08	4,873.84	-4.65	429	Upward Expansion	67	84
2025-10-17	5,272.25	4,861.77	-5.14	0	Upward Expansion	72	86
2025-10-10	5,272.25	4,859.32	-3.48	307	Upward Expansion	77	85
2025-10-03	5,444.28	4,847.67	-2.78	611	Upward Expansion	91	76
2025-09-26	4,977.94	4,826.07	-11.69	243	Balance	53	41
2025-09-19	4,912.79	4,834.78	-11.54	812	Balance	14	13
2025-09-12	4,984.35	4,839.37	-11.40	380	Downward Expansion	-19	22
2025-09-05	4,761.61	4,841.57	-13.76	896	Downward Expansion	-64	74
2025-08-29	4,584.57	4,853.10	-14.77	455	Balance	-82	87
2025-08-22	4,581.29	4,866.71	-15.83	10	Balance	-83	61
2025-08-15	4,772.29	4,880.43	-11.23	0	Balance	-36	25
2025-08-08	4,772.29	4,887.78	-10.87	172	Balance	-21	11
2025-08-01	4,727.81	4,895.13	-9.91	722	Rotation Up	-8	17
2025-07-25	5,175.44	4,903.96	-2.14	155	Rotation Up	59	81
2025-07-18	4,922.04	4,897.87	-5.04	60	Rotation Up	25	46
2025-07-11	4,910.44	4,900.23	-5.67	280	Balance	24	46
2025-07-04	4,936.56	4,902.98	-7.28	551	Balance	6	23
2025-06-27	4,868.46	4,904.85	-7.58	0	Balance	-4	20
2025-06-20	4,868.46	4,909.00	-5.69	0	Balance	-6	20
2025-06-13	4,868.46	4,913.14	-7.64	1839	Balance	-18	22
2025-06-06	4,961.33	4,917.29	-6.97	1657	Balance	-7	18
2025-05-30	4,904.19	4,918.34	-7.56	2467	Downward Expansion	-24	19
2025-05-23	4,780.89	4,921.29	-10.59	4530	Downward Expansion	-37	20
2025-05-16	4,781.22	4,928.36	-9.81	5579	Downward Expansion	-41	25
2025-05-09	4,739.72	4,935.41	-8.12	0	Downward Expansion	-58	44
2025-05-02	4,739.72	4,943.85	-6.67	0	Downward Expansion	-63	72
2025-04-25	4,739.72	4,951.42	-7.77	749	Downward Expansion	-63	76
2025-04-18	4,459.77	4,958.99	-6.77	0	Downward Expansion	-85	87
2025-04-11	4,459.77	4,975.90	-3.65	1937	Downward Expansion	-86	75
2025-04-04	4,799.36	4,990.63	4.25	32	Balance	-40	39
2025-03-28	4,873.97	4,994.04	3.03	123	Balance	-16	19
2025-03-21	5,198.48	4,994.97	11.50	140	Balance	59	25
2025-03-14	4,922.85	4,985.08	6.66	5463	Rotation Down	-7	11
2025-03-07	4,796.36	4,970.97	3.87	305	Rotation Down	7	9
2025-02-28	5,239.16	4,958.58	15.17	445	Upward Expansion	96	98
2025-02-21	5,050.50	4,931.43	8.92	0	Upward Expansion	65	86
2025-02-14	5,050.50	4,908.41	8.94	1060	Upward Expansion	71	88
2025-02-07	5,107.48	4,884.59	13.53	1836	Upward Expansion	93	98
2025-01-31	4,992.81	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-01-24	4,992.81	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-01-17	4,992.81	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-01-10	4,992.81	—	—	0	Not yet classified	—	—
2025-01-03	4,992.81	4,791.65	25.44	0	Upward Expansion	58	85
2024-12-27	4,992.81	4,764.12	25.83	0	Upward Expansion	58	85
2024-12-20	4,992.81	4,736.59	26.35	0	Upward Expansion	58	85
2024-12-13	4,992.81	4,709.93	22.60	0	Upward Expansion	57	85
2024-12-06	4,992.81	4,681.53	24.73	0	Upward Expansion	63	87
2024-11-29	4,992.81	4,653.13	30.09	0	Upward Expansion	65	88
2024-11-22	4,992.81	4,610.07	30.11	0	Upward Expansion	66	88
2024-11-15	4,992.81	4,567.02	31.59	0	Upward Expansion	67	68
2024-11-08	4,992.81	4,523.96	29.66	0	Upward Expansion	69	69
2024-11-01	4,992.81	4,480.91	34.29	0	Upward Expansion	71	70
2024-10-25	4,992.81	4,444.40	32.86	0	Upward Expansion	73	70
2024-10-18	4,992.81	4,407.88	31.16	0	Upward Expansion	75	87
2024-10-11	4,992.81	4,371.37	33.98	753	Upward Expansion	80	90
2024-10-04	4,966.92	4,327.58	34.09	0	Upward Expansion	77	92
2024-09-27	4,966.92	4,284.65	35.01	0	Upward Expansion	83	94
2024-09-20	4,966.92	4,241.72	37.97	120	Upward Expansion	84	94
2024-09-13	4,901.76	4,198.79	38.13	0	Upward Expansion	80	93
2024-09-06	4,901.76	4,158.88	42.23	0	Upward Expansion	88	96
2024-08-30	4,901.76	4,105.96	38.85	0	Upward Expansion	95	98
2024-08-23	4,901.76	4,053.04	38.81	482	Upward Expansion	96	95
2024-08-16	4,499.66	4,000.12	27.34	40	Upward Expansion	82	71
2024-08-09	4,424.57	3,960.60	28.68	0	Deceleration	63	63
2024-08-02	4,424.57	3,919.78	31.74	435	Deceleration	58	55
2024-07-26	4,359.89	3,885.63	29.57	235	Deceleration	49	52
2024-07-19	4,336.00	3,853.63	27.93	0	Upward Expansion	52	56
2024-07-12	4,336.00	3,822.43	25.97	0	Upward Expansion	66	67
2024-07-05	4,336.00	3,768.81	33.27	0	Upward Expansion	67	68
2024-06-28	4,336.00	3,715.18	34.18	380	Upward Expansion	69	69
2024-06-21	4,641.21	3,661.56	43.80	0	Upward Expansion	98	92
2024-06-14	4,641.21	3,597.77	46.74	360	Upward Expansion	99	80
2024-06-07	4,166.98	3,533.97	31.22	0	Upward Expansion	69	89
2024-05-31	4,166.98	3,485.98	26.92	130	Upward Expansion	78	92
2024-05-24	4,193.08	3,437.99	27.94	1961	Upward Expansion	93	97
2024-05-17	4,140.71	3,389.14	22.36	0	Upward Expansion	94	81
2024-05-10	4,140.71	3,346.86	22.72	332	Deceleration	92	72
2024-05-03	3,701.18	3,304.59	11.42	0	Deceleration	47	43
2024-04-26	3,701.18	3,276.97	10.42	0	Upward Expansion	55	60
2024-04-19	3,701.18	3,249.35	14.66	0	Upward Expansion	66	68
2024-04-12	3,701.18	3,221.73	13.75	515	Upward Expansion	67	88
2024-04-05	3,897.39	3,192.75	17.13	0	Upward Expansion	82	94
2024-03-29	3,897.39	3,162.42	19.15	0	Upward Expansion	91	97
2024-03-22	3,897.39	3,132.09	21.36	40	Upward Expansion	97	99
2024-03-15	3,679.06	3,101.75	15.77	0	Upward Expansion	68	86
2024-03-08	3,679.06	3,078.70	18.76	0	Upward Expansion	75	89
2024-03-01	3,679.06	3,055.65	17.84	0	Upward Expansion	84	86
2024-02-23	3,679.06	3,030.69	15.89	430	Upward Expansion	92	77
2024-02-16	3,704.54	3,005.73	16.00	1318	Upward Expansion	96	77
2024-02-09	3,314.09	2,979.92	3.71	0	Upward Expansion	69	68
2024-02-02	3,314.09	2,967.13	2.07	0	Upward Expansion	70	68
2024-01-26	3,314.09	2,954.33	4.57	0	Upward Expansion	69	82
2024-01-19	3,314.09	2,946.96	7.34	400	Upward Expansion	66	88
2024-01-12	3,200.15	2,939.59	3.50	1078	Rotation Up	66	68
2024-01-05	3,399.93	2,936.01	8.89	0	Rotation Up	67	87
2023-12-29	3,399.93	2,923.78	6.86	0	Rotation Up	59	65
2023-12-22	3,399.93	2,911.56	7.10	2186	Rotation Up	51	57
2023-12-15	2,727.34	2,899.34	-13.68	0	Downward Expansion	-65	88
2023-12-08	2,727.34	2,909.53	-9.31	0	Downward Expansion	-66	68
2023-12-01	2,727.34	2,919.73	-8.36	0	Downward Expansion	-67	88
2023-11-24	2,727.34	2,929.82	-6.53	0	Downward Expansion	-67	89
2023-11-17	2,727.34	2,939.91	-5.87	0	Downward Expansion	-76	92
2023-11-10	2,727.34	2,944.41	-3.03	0	Downward Expansion	-89	96
2023-11-03	2,727.34	2,948.92	-2.76	0	Downward Expansion	-95	80
2023-10-27	2,727.34	2,953.43	2.06	840	Downward Expansion	-97	98
2023-10-20	2,872.54	2,957.94	9.37	0	Downward Expansion	-67	88
2023-10-13	2,872.54	2,964.07	7.30	0	Downward Expansion	-67	88
2023-10-06	2,872.54	2,970.20	6.94	0	Downward Expansion	-70	90

Price vs TrendAbove+4.7%

Trend directionRising+4.7%

Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+23.8%

Fair Value directionMoving away-3.0%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+9.9%

Relative strength directionImproving+4.9%

Price momentumPositive+18.2%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.31×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

34 / ±100

-29.8 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

20 /100

-66.1 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

SUN Directional State ↗ SUN Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance44

Rotation Up24

Upward Expansion60

Deceleration91

Rotation Down31

Downward Expansion17

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 152 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 10%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 51%Deceleration 11%Rotation Down 7%Downward Expansion 14%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Deceleration	2026-09-25	2026-09-25	New	+0.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-08-14	2026-09-18	Developing	-10.0%
Rotation Up	2026-07-31	2026-08-07	New	+1.9%
Rotation Down	2026-07-17	2026-07-24	New	+0.6%
Upward Expansion	2026-07-03	2026-07-10	New	-2.5%
Deceleration	2026-06-12	2026-06-26	New	+3.7%
Upward Expansion	2026-05-01	2026-06-05	Developing	-4.1%
Deceleration	2026-04-03	2026-04-24	New	+15.8%
Upward Expansion	2026-03-06	2026-03-27	New	-8.0%
Rotation Up	2026-02-13	2026-02-27	New	+1.6%
Rotation Down	2025-12-26	2026-02-06	Developing	+2.2%
Deceleration	2025-12-05	2025-12-19	New	+1.1%
Upward Expansion	2025-10-03	2025-11-28	Developing	-10.3%
Balance	2025-09-19	2025-09-26	New	+1.3%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing23

Stage 2 · Advancing94

Stage 3 · Distribution61

Stage 4 · Declining6

Legacy result: Stage 2 · Stage 2A · Early advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^MXX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 66/100
Current Relative Strength: 9.88
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: +18.2%
Excess performance vs benchmark: +20.7%
Industrials regime cohort: 57th percentile14 in cohort

Test SUN trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.54×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.31×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+75.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore SUN Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity MXN 5,760.32falling

Slow Activity MXN 5,651.36rising

Trend Reference MXN 5,541.45+4.7% close margin

Current Fair Value MXN 4,686.53+23.8% close margin

Structural low MXN 4,910.01shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Renewed positive order and expanding width produce re-acceleration; fast/slow failure with downside acceptance produces Rotation Down.

Range context +3.8%

Annualized volatility +31.8%

From structural high -6.8%

From structural low +23.9%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^MXX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	9	+5.9%-1.6% to +15.8%	+88.9%	+88.9%	+6.8%	+22.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	6	+12.4%+2.4% to +19.5%	+100.0%	+100.0%	+14.0%	+16.7%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	4	+6.0%-2.3% to +34.9%	+75.0%	+75.0%	+7.4%	+0.0%	Too little matched history
Full cycle	3	+32.5%-32.1% to +36.1%	+66.7%	+66.7%	+27.6%	+0.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

SUN Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Leading benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map