Weekly structural research ยท SHZ ยท Consumer Cyclical

002251 Stage Analysis

Better Life Commercial Chain Share Co.,Ltd

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 3.45Tenure ExtendedBenchmark 399001.SZ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Downward Expansion ยท Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: moderate and expanding.
Direction -60โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 50/100directional strength
Maturity 73/100lifecycle context
Confidence 96/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Moderateexpanding separation
Price acceptance -50.0%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -18.9%CNY 4.25 ยท weakening
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-023.453.89-16.98168394438Downward Expansion-6050
2026-09-253.443.93-20.61292149506Downward Expansion-6236
2026-09-183.513.98-21.77500869319Downward Expansion-5625
2026-09-113.684.03-18.18761586669Downward Expansion-3317
2026-09-043.804.08-16.91133527006Downward Expansion-3317
2026-08-283.804.12-20.3588867100Downward Expansion-3822
2026-08-213.544.17-27.0566562695Downward Expansion-4325
2026-08-143.734.23-25.20116618839Downward Expansion-4329
2026-08-073.664.29-27.0566308689Downward Expansion-5739
2026-07-313.714.34-22.87108142964Downward Expansion-6146
2026-07-243.374.40-31.6385314287Downward Expansion-6972
2026-07-173.454.49-30.42152083455Downward Expansion-6978
2026-07-103.494.55-36.63135601610Downward Expansion-6878
2026-07-033.544.60-38.77107487074Downward Expansion-6974
2026-06-263.404.66-42.59129046787Downward Expansion-7749
2026-06-193.834.73-37.16662252262Downward Expansion-5129
2026-06-124.004.79-30.57238941591Downward Expansion-4626
2026-06-054.864.83-18.58343181894Downward Expansion-1515
2026-05-294.884.84-20.471226878341Downward Expansion-2932
2026-05-223.704.87-40.48243112113Downward Expansion-8476
2026-05-153.804.94-39.69354566629Downward Expansion-8676
2026-05-084.125.00-35.58146403716Downward Expansion-6964
2026-05-014.155.05-34.26222139620Downward Expansion-6865
2026-04-244.095.10-35.87303068324Downward Expansion-7683
2026-04-174.315.16-32.76239751530Downward Expansion-6782
2026-04-104.175.23-32.75152158883Downward Expansion-7489
2026-04-034.105.31-29.45168316523Downward Expansion-8493
2026-03-274.335.37-27.91296759778Downward Expansion-7889
2026-03-204.325.38-28.90286785219Downward Expansion-8386
2026-03-134.585.40-27.08243726006Downward Expansion-7578
2026-03-064.665.41-25.42365021098Downward Expansion-7471
2026-02-274.855.41-24.29210493123Downward Expansion-6763
2026-02-134.925.42-21.19261234623Balance-6256
2026-02-065.145.42-16.61398217884Balance-2633
2026-01-305.115.42-18.88373001907Balance-2627
2026-01-235.285.42-17.76473545443Balance-1815
2026-01-165.265.40-17.29914779531Balance02
2026-01-095.565.38-11.63785088168Balance3116
2026-01-025.315.36-11.84357108000Balance2111
2025-12-265.505.36-9.241033756508Balance2511
2025-12-195.925.361.271791245496Balance4015
2025-12-125.295.35-10.04904505697Balance-1019
2025-12-055.055.36-13.38677712450Balance-1814
2025-11-285.465.38-5.12830887188Balance129
2025-11-215.215.41-6.001086104299Balance59
2025-11-145.875.480.781529247310Balance77
2025-11-075.155.43-12.41517186952Balance-59
2025-10-315.245.40-10.51734019942Balance2012
2025-10-245.725.36-1.351035519607Upward Expansion3317
2025-10-175.745.314.321378426681Upward Expansion3417
2025-10-105.585.26-2.85348774397Upward Expansion3819
2025-10-035.725.22-1.12349970316Upward Expansion5538
2025-09-265.575.16-0.771067447290Upward Expansion5866
2025-09-195.785.114.641762442916Upward Expansion5971
2025-09-126.655.0622.462843172435Upward Expansion7981
2025-09-056.374.9721.352412323424Deceleration7566
2025-08-295.934.8913.042081508438Deceleration5326
2025-08-224.804.84-3.85673405714Deceleration-1930
2025-08-154.804.810.84541891545Deceleration118
2025-08-084.744.784.57495991453Deceleration-114
2025-08-014.914.7510.14719010320Deceleration1711
2025-07-255.124.7213.51592490059Deceleration2110
2025-07-184.904.6811.69376592312Deceleration99
2025-07-115.074.6518.38331006134Deceleration1113
2025-07-044.974.6218.72327975001Deceleration1115
2025-06-274.834.5917.31326002924Deceleration2020
2025-06-204.734.5619.69228460160Deceleration2221
2025-06-134.974.5224.96409044776Deceleration3422
2025-06-065.234.4831.43324508803Deceleration4129
2025-05-305.394.4338.50642705716Upward Expansion5640
2025-05-235.574.3642.99912412289Upward Expansion6256
2025-05-165.804.2849.30958447342Upward Expansion6686
2025-05-095.634.1847.17941001316Upward Expansion6687
2025-05-026.204.0967.551110460248Upward Expansion8393
2025-04-257.363.98100.611205835103Upward Expansion9696
2025-04-184.573.8328.29145718055Upward Expansion7441
2025-04-114.243.7618.60181086098Upward Expansion5730
2025-04-044.043.717.2892317801Upward Expansion4229
2025-03-283.973.662.87196499902Upward Expansion5539
2025-03-214.313.6210.84140998825Upward Expansion6754
2025-03-144.333.568.40133171453Upward Expansion6946
2025-03-074.103.514.0296723473Upward Expansion5537
2025-02-284.083.465.9899370316Upward Expansion5437
2025-02-214.133.433.72120623382Upward Expansion5944
2025-02-144.013.403.0994611355Upward Expansion5647
2025-02-074.033.375.7881533010Upward Expansion5746
2025-01-314.273.3516.7928170830Deceleration6946
2025-01-244.133.3211.3699627763Deceleration5436
2025-01-173.893.295.9387357824Upward Expansion4432
2025-01-103.743.275.3495196415Upward Expansion4838
2025-01-033.943.269.46143458978Upward Expansion6353
2024-12-274.003.243.04151118497Upward Expansion6663
2024-12-204.033.223.74173376514Upward Expansion6874
2024-12-134.243.218.07170988935Upward Expansion8486
2024-12-064.003.191.06186878029Rotation Up8082
2024-11-293.853.17-1.65100271474Rotation Up5275
2024-11-223.603.18-7.04123366084Rotation Up3165
2024-11-153.623.20-9.80210206160Rotation Up3863
2024-11-083.743.21-10.92190351591Downward Expansion4647
2024-11-013.353.22-15.40255573466Downward Expansion1221
2024-10-253.073.24-24.50139017842Downward Expansion-2221
2024-10-182.783.25-30.7695248902Downward Expansion-3625
2024-10-112.953.29-25.21108301858Downward Expansion-3925
2024-10-042.973.31-28.716843109Downward Expansion-4635
2024-09-272.833.32-25.5291099679Downward Expansion-6253
2024-09-202.563.34-21.2544143783Downward Expansion-7273
2024-09-132.763.36-14.6654650656Downward Expansion-6677
2024-09-062.533.35-23.6230988721Downward Expansion-7889
2024-08-302.673.37-22.0333122655Downward Expansion-7285
2024-08-232.703.40-20.1334963151Downward Expansion-7482
2024-08-162.673.45-23.1537798190Downward Expansion-8182
2024-08-092.813.49-20.3053872575Downward Expansion-7671
2024-08-023.063.53-15.3644419880Downward Expansion-6554
2024-07-263.103.57-15.1833693822Downward Expansion-6547
2024-07-193.273.59-13.8350665528Downward Expansion-5538
2024-07-123.253.62-14.0831840903Downward Expansion-5842
2024-07-053.373.65-9.4433187942Downward Expansion-5236
2024-06-283.333.69-12.1658805886Downward Expansion-5546
2024-06-213.313.73-14.9942857232Balance-5746
2024-06-143.493.78-12.4937000023Balance-5037
2024-06-073.243.82-19.0253576121Balance-5137
2024-05-313.493.87-14.0972268344Balance-4128
2024-05-243.803.93-7.3484660148Balance-2717
2024-05-173.583.97-15.48107801859Balance-2813
2024-05-103.404.02-20.21146487427Balance-2014
2024-05-034.094.07-3.0142481622Balance217
2024-04-264.194.090.58164491936Balance619
2024-04-194.024.11-1.83186814989Balance-213
2024-04-123.874.13-5.22150528985Downward Expansion-1919
2024-04-053.984.16-6.2082098233Downward Expansion-1921
2024-03-293.524.18-16.0588980725Downward Expansion-3422
2024-03-223.864.23-10.0992990355Downward Expansion-3824
2024-03-153.624.28-16.5199722624Downward Expansion-5642
2024-03-083.214.36-24.5377359920Downward Expansion-6359
2024-03-013.374.42-21.92136657736Downward Expansion-6482
2024-02-233.214.48-23.22110612276Downward Expansion-6686
2024-02-092.544.53-38.0494403851Downward Expansion-9396
2024-02-022.974.60-21.5043907200Downward Expansion-9189
2024-01-263.834.65-7.4074293278Downward Expansion-6954
2024-01-194.024.67-3.6267711512Downward Expansion-6153
2024-01-123.934.70-8.4545784023Downward Expansion-6870
2024-01-054.074.73-7.2446597833Downward Expansion-6269
2023-12-294.044.76-12.3064141937Downward Expansion-6575
2023-12-223.794.78-15.6086524405Downward Expansion-8179
2023-12-154.224.82-8.2687340050Downward Expansion-6868
2023-12-084.054.84-13.84133383398Balance-7969
2023-12-014.684.88-2.5671379366Balance-5045
2023-11-244.634.89-4.9477096739Balance-5440
2023-11-174.674.91-5.6796791106Balance-3923
2023-11-104.824.95-2.82218940643Balance-219
2023-11-034.624.99-5.66114389436Balance-2613
2023-10-275.235.047.66248832475Balance1414
2023-10-205.155.068.48237445849Balance-1911
2023-10-135.005.080.27266065892Balance-3013
2023-09-294.865.11-3.20150191126Balance-4827
2023-09-224.825.16-4.84123082929Balance-5136
Price vs TrendBelow-11.4%
Trend directionFalling-11.6%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-18.9%
Fair Value directionMoving away-0.0%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-17.0%
Relative strength directionImproving+21.8%
Price momentumNegative-15.9%
Volume balanceSupply-led0.23ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-60 / ยฑ100

-26.2 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

50 /100

+32.8 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance28
Rotation Up17
Upward Expansion9
Deceleration42
Rotation Down56
Downward Expansion80

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 24%Rotation Up 3%Upward Expansion 19%Deceleration 10%Downward Expansion 44%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Downward Expansion2026-02-272026-10-02Extended-28.9%
Balance2025-10-312026-02-13Established-6.1%
Upward Expansion2025-09-122025-10-24Developing-14.0%
Deceleration2025-06-062025-09-05Established+21.8%
Upward Expansion2025-02-072025-05-30Established+33.7%
Deceleration2025-01-242025-01-31New+3.4%
Upward Expansion2024-12-132025-01-17Developing-8.3%
Rotation Up2024-11-152024-12-06New+10.5%
Downward Expansion2024-06-282024-11-08Established+12.3%
Balance2024-04-192024-06-21Developing-17.7%
Downward Expansion2023-12-152024-04-12Established-8.3%
Balance2023-08-182023-12-08Established-18.5%
Downward Expansion2023-05-122023-08-11Established+2.4%
Rotation Down2023-04-282023-05-05New-0.6%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing64
Stage 2 ยท Advancing0
Stage 3 ยท Distribution7
Stage 4 ยท Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4B ยท Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
99/100
Current Relative Strength
-16.98
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-15.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-12.4%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort
68th percentile186 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume0.60ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.23ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution0 / 3

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 3.51falling
Slow Activity CNY 3.73falling
Trend Reference CNY 3.89-11.4% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 4.25-18.9% close margin
Structural low CNY 3.30shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +8.1%
Annualized volatility +57.4%
From structural high -46.1%
From structural low +4.5%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 399001.SZ Regime survived Read
Near term33-1.3%-35.4% to +42.5%+39.4%+60.6%+0.1%+78.8%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate13-0.3%-22.1% to +41.3%+46.2%+53.8%-1.0%+46.2%Usable descriptive sample
Extended7-4.5%-21.6% to +20.1%+28.6%+71.4%-0.3%+28.6%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle3-9.1%-19.8% to -4.5%+0.0%+100.0%-4.5%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context