Weekly structural research ยท AMS ยท Technology

EAS2P Stage Analysis

Ease2pay N.V.

Week ending 9 Oct 2026Close EUR 0.548Tenure DevelopingBenchmark ^AEX
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: wide and stable.
Direction 66โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 68/100directional strength
Maturity 34/100lifecycle context
Confidence 77/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Widestable separation
Price acceptance +66.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +15.3%EUR 0.4755 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-090.5480.425314.64105935Upward Expansion6668
2026-10-020.5460.420415.52142196Upward Expansion6885
2026-09-250.590.41525.46315962Upward Expansion9397
2026-09-180.5380.408716.40195996Upward Expansion8895
2026-09-110.5080.40419.53388352Upward Expansion8493
2026-09-040.5040.40057.10154623Upward Expansion9193
2026-08-280.4950.39715.08199135Upward Expansion8980
2026-08-210.4010.3949-14.5720499Balance910
2026-08-140.4090.3957-14.0434346Balance2917
2026-08-070.400.3964-15.65204Balance1913
2026-07-310.3950.3979-16.018815Rotation Up1431
2026-07-240.400.40-14.5514741Rotation Up1631
2026-07-170.4050.4014-13.8910091Balance1526
2026-07-100.420.4032-10.3122622Balance718
2026-07-030.410.4042-12.4812874Downward Expansion-147
2026-06-260.3920.4059-14.79161841Downward Expansion-4728
2026-06-190.380.4088-18.971133Downward Expansion-5236
2026-06-120.3640.4106-22.868229Downward Expansion-6846
2026-06-050.3790.4142-16.943569Downward Expansion-5737
2026-05-290.3880.4176-14.8361549Downward Expansion-5035
2026-05-220.3880.4213-15.9889014Downward Expansion-5136
2026-05-150.3790.4247-15.50210991Downward Expansion-5634
2026-05-080.3820.4281-15.81116442Downward Expansion-4524
2026-05-010.3780.4315-16.92847917Downward Expansion-4723
2026-04-240.4170.4339-9.4796229Downward Expansion-3620
2026-04-170.4050.4353-12.55215668Downward Expansion-4533
2026-04-100.390.4372-14.8679112Downward Expansion-5946
2026-04-030.380.4389-14.4162670Downward Expansion-6549
2026-03-270.380.4413-13.2581236Downward Expansion-6956
2026-03-200.3880.4432-11.6379136Downward Expansion-6656
2026-03-130.400.4433-12.6020570Downward Expansion-6260
2026-03-060.3850.4425-14.1590042Downward Expansion-7269
2026-02-270.4020.4422-14.4832339Rotation Down-6568
2026-02-200.400.4418-14.2560107Rotation Down-4157
2026-02-130.400.4416-12.22197893Rotation Down-4356
2026-02-060.4020.4414-11.98153563Rotation Down-4555
2026-01-300.4280.4408-6.99250526Rotation Down-2339
2026-01-230.4250.4399-7.50123218Deceleration-2635
2026-01-160.430.4391-7.34161464Deceleration-519
2026-01-090.4460.4378-1.8763469Deceleration810
2026-01-020.4560.43622.4120130Deceleration1512
2025-12-260.4440.43542.4344056Deceleration911
2025-12-190.4580.43485.2122560Deceleration2914
2025-12-120.450.43413.9874458Deceleration2820
2025-12-050.460.4345.3013620Deceleration3322
2025-11-280.480.434310.2794609Deceleration4322
2025-11-210.4350.43361.6552684Upward Expansion3523
2025-11-140.470.43266.6690489Upward Expansion6045
2025-11-070.4820.42979.1965507Upward Expansion6254
2025-10-310.500.426310.63225693Upward Expansion7471
2025-10-240.490.42247.6178722Upward Expansion7262
2025-10-170.480.41877.78409637Upward Expansion7069
2025-10-100.4850.415510.42239174Upward Expansion8078
2025-10-030.450.41220.0868626Upward Expansion6471
2025-09-260.4590.40954.1482612Upward Expansion6875
2025-09-190.460.40734.97158181Upward Expansion6865
2025-09-120.4430.40453.0543116Deceleration5946
2025-09-050.450.4035.47200632Deceleration5031
2025-08-290.4390.40132.771116575Deceleration148
2025-08-220.390.3998-10.6652182Deceleration-2529
2025-08-150.3760.3996-12.7564392Deceleration-3234
2025-08-080.3760.4009-12.89118819Deceleration-2425
2025-08-010.390.4021-9.61117286Balance-1722
2025-07-250.3930.4035-11.6565535Balance-1516
2025-07-180.3950.4048-12.5093953Balance-1416
2025-07-110.3850.4054-16.25237606Balance-2020
2025-07-040.400.4075-12.36233960Balance-212
2025-06-270.4010.4092-13.72955611Balance-914
2025-06-200.390.4113-15.4690297Rotation Up-1416
2025-06-130.400.4138-15.7888860Rotation Up-16
2025-06-060.430.4167-10.6960312Rotation Up2521
2025-05-300.4270.4186-11.1189393Rotation Up3041
2025-05-230.4360.4194-9.26100920Rotation Up2449
2025-05-160.4490.421-8.4177438Rotation Up2646
2025-05-090.4670.423-2.56221942Downward Expansion3737
2025-05-020.45990.4241-3.50299584Downward Expansion1419
2025-04-250.40490.4263-13.0438362Downward Expansion-3420
2025-04-180.38210.4301-16.5228895Downward Expansion-5133
2025-04-110.3820.4349-13.9172753Downward Expansion-5436
2025-04-040.3810.4396-16.94101115Downward Expansion-5844
2025-03-280.380.4441-23.7516731Downward Expansion-6250
2025-03-210.3840.4492-24.1741325Downward Expansion-5849
2025-03-140.3860.454-23.5957153Downward Expansion-5954
2025-03-070.370.4587-27.79116633Downward Expansion-7055
2025-02-280.3930.4639-24.8796360Downward Expansion-6050
2025-02-210.3750.4694-30.1750672Downward Expansion-7362
2025-02-140.3990.4759-27.2032508Downward Expansion-6259
2025-02-070.3990.4817-26.1917551Downward Expansion-6462
2025-01-310.3940.4874-27.5729636Downward Expansion-6962
2025-01-240.3820.4923-28.8354694Downward Expansion-7963
2025-01-170.4150.4972-24.5024187Downward Expansion-6752
2025-01-100.4140.5079-23.37261448Downward Expansion-7164
2025-01-030.430.5121-20.6425110Downward Expansion-6559
2024-12-270.4320.5164-20.5314031Downward Expansion-6662
2024-12-200.4130.5211-24.2984816Downward Expansion-7759
2024-12-130.450.5263-20.0283931Downward Expansion-6448
2024-12-060.450.53-20.6861869Downward Expansion-6848
2024-11-290.4650.5334-17.7343365Downward Expansion-6345
2024-11-220.4650.537-18.1341240Downward Expansion-6862
2024-11-150.4860.5407-13.3123610Downward Expansion-6165
2024-11-080.4880.5438-14.5959160Downward Expansion-6269
2024-11-010.450.5471-22.6538277Downward Expansion-8480
2024-10-250.4850.5514-18.7758612Downward Expansion-6959
2024-10-180.5080.5543-15.9427562Downward Expansion-5849
2024-10-110.500.556-18.9468128Downward Expansion-6552
2024-10-040.5260.5581-14.8934642Downward Expansion-5241
2024-09-270.520.5599-16.9293898Downward Expansion-5647
2024-09-200.5260.5626-14.7863912Downward Expansion-5238
2024-09-130.5220.5657-16.3026692Downward Expansion-5232
2024-09-060.5160.5693-15.8130207Downward Expansion-5438
2024-08-300.5340.5717-17.2730183Balance-5039
2024-08-230.5260.5735-18.2545447Balance-5238
2024-08-160.5280.5756-18.4245914Balance-5237
2024-08-090.5260.5773-17.35111214Balance-5332
2024-08-020.5580.5797-12.4532603Balance-4623
2024-07-260.570.581-14.1750486Balance-3317
2024-07-190.5720.582-14.7143105Balance-3520
2024-07-120.570.5841-19.2853690Balance-3215
2024-07-050.5420.5875-23.2558000Balance-3013
2024-06-280.530.5891-25.03518938Rotation Up-1210
2024-06-210.7340.59112.22654371Rotation Up3226
2024-06-140.540.5859-24.8839294Downward Expansion-5728
2024-06-070.560.5869-23.5665245Downward Expansion-4923
2024-05-310.5720.5884-21.1148962Downward Expansion-4726
2024-05-240.570.5893-23.33143942Downward Expansion-4931
2024-05-170.560.5889-25.6075306Downward Expansion-5234
2024-05-100.5540.5892-26.4747996Downward Expansion-5528
2024-05-030.5720.5897-22.4651526Downward Expansion-3617
2024-04-260.5760.5902-21.8732088Downward Expansion-3515
2024-04-190.580.5917-19.7832019Downward Expansion-4420
2024-04-120.5860.5937-21.9120792Downward Expansion-4831
2024-04-050.580.5933-23.56174026Downward Expansion-5249
2024-03-290.570.5955-26.1341232Downward Expansion-5355
2024-03-220.560.5982-28.2562494Balance-5953
2024-03-150.5620.6019-27.4047536Balance-4834
2024-03-080.580.6049-27.6394550Balance-2512
2024-03-010.6020.6069-25.8577822Balance36
2024-02-230.620.6131-25.5868938Balance-128
2024-02-160.6280.6183-26.58108093Balance-125
2024-02-090.590.6245-32.1235566Balance-4826
2024-02-020.5860.6325-31.9035216Balance-4225
2024-01-260.590.6393-32.6565431Balance-3823
2024-01-190.580.649-32.1470904Balance-4024
2024-01-120.5960.6581-32.19105376Balance-2312
2024-01-050.5980.6675-33.29100333Balance-1713
2023-12-290.600.6753-35.32198414Balance-1613
2023-12-220.6360.6845-32.95145792Balance-1513
2023-12-150.670.695-31.62838960Downward Expansion-2112
2023-12-080.590.6927-40.3924191Downward Expansion-4128
2023-12-010.590.6933-40.9972043Downward Expansion-4329
2023-11-240.580.695-42.9449428Downward Expansion-4732
2023-11-170.570.6993-44.7183864Downward Expansion-6141
2023-11-100.6040.7089-41.8548642Downward Expansion-5841
2023-11-030.5980.7218-43.02132819Downward Expansion-6146
2023-10-270.560.7362-46.3232040Downward Expansion-6656
2023-10-200.5680.7542-46.9720109Downward Expansion-6751
Price vs TrendAbove+28.9%
Trend directionRising+6.9%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+15.3%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+29.8%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+14.6%
Relative strength directionImproving+25.0%
Price momentumPositive+40.5%
Volume balanceDemand-led7.10ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

66 / ยฑ100

-18.0 points since 2026-09-11

Energy

68 /100

-25.7 points since 2026-09-11

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance14
Rotation Up76
Upward Expansion86
Deceleration56
Rotation Down9
Downward Expansion13

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-20 to 2026-10-09 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 22%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 11%Deceleration 10%Rotation Down 3%Downward Expansion 48%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-08-282026-10-09Developing+10.7%
Balance2026-08-072026-08-21New+0.2%
Rotation Up2026-07-242026-07-31New-1.2%
Balance2026-07-102026-07-17New-3.6%
Downward Expansion2026-03-062026-07-03Established+6.5%
Rotation Down2026-01-302026-02-27Developing-6.1%
Deceleration2025-11-282026-01-23Developing-11.5%
Upward Expansion2025-09-192025-11-21Developing-5.4%
Deceleration2025-08-082025-09-12Developing+17.8%
Balance2025-06-272025-08-01Developing-2.7%
Rotation Up2025-05-162025-06-20Developing-13.1%
Downward Expansion2024-09-062025-05-09Extended-9.5%
Balance2024-07-052024-08-30Developing-1.5%
Rotation Up2024-06-212024-06-28New-27.8%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing27
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution44
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2C ยท Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^AEX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
98/100
Current Relative Strength
14.64
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+40.5%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+28.6%
Technology regime cohort
50th percentile2 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.14ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume7.10ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution6 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity EUR 0.5519rising
Slow Activity EUR 0.4521rising
Trend Reference EUR 0.4253+28.9% close margin
Current Fair Value EUR 0.4755+15.3% close margin
Structural low EUR 0.358shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +7.9%
Annualized volatility +40.3%
From structural high -8.4%
From structural low +53.1%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs ^AEX Regime survived Read
Near term5+3.1%-4.3% to +19.2%+60.0%+60.0%+1.6%+60.0%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate2-0.0%-0.4% to +0.3%+50.0%+50.0%+0.3%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended2-10.6%-15.7% to -5.5%+0.0%+0.0%-7.7%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle2-2.6%-22.1% to +17.0%+50.0%+50.0%-3.6%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context