Weekly structural research · SHZ · Industrials

300709 Stage Analysis

Jiangsu Gian Technology Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 34.39Tenure NewBenchmark 399001.SZ

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Early contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
Activity structure: wide and expanding.

Direction -72−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 66/100directional strength

Maturity 20/100lifecycle context

Confidence 88/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Wideexpanding separation

Price acceptance -66.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -9.3%CNY 37.92 · weakening

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-10-02	34.39	42.81	-13.96	15757456	Downward Expansion	-72	66
2026-09-25	37.74	43.08	-9.25	23768273	Downward Expansion	-58	40
2026-09-18	38.48	43.27	-10.30	36445550	Balance	-44	25
2026-09-11	37.34	43.30	-12.43	94180658	Balance	-17	12
2026-09-04	43.34	43.34	0.15	130477446	Balance	-8	9
2026-08-28	41.58	43.27	-7.45	22659979	Rotation Down	-13	14
2026-08-21	40.76	43.51	-10.77	14169920	Rotation Down	-20	30
2026-08-14	40.15	43.82	-14.27	14921780	Rotation Down	-23	52
2026-08-07	38.49	44.10	-18.25	9078450	Rotation Down	-24	45
2026-07-31	32.58	44.39	-27.61	11852149	Upward Expansion	-37	45
2026-07-24	34.46	44.84	-25.17	7420186	Upward Expansion	-23	32
2026-07-17	37.65	45.12	-18.47	13635817	Upward Expansion	11	11
2026-07-10	47.44	45.33	-7.01	16155160	Upward Expansion	60	52
2026-07-03	50.80	45.25	-4.26	11766164	Upward Expansion	63	69
2026-06-26	61.51	45.02	14.28	15892777	Upward Expansion	83	85
2026-06-19	63.01	44.29	15.41	95088618	Upward Expansion	89	79
2026-06-12	48.34	43.62	-4.96	36306493	Rotation Up	61	59
2026-06-05	50.99	43.51	-2.30	19414056	Rotation Up	39	54
2026-05-29	43.37	43.41	-18.52	43474072	Rotation Up	17	34
2026-05-22	48.94	43.54	-8.63	60262347	Balance	34	38
2026-05-15	46.97	43.38	-12.51	56874121	Balance	25	19
2026-05-08	43.38	43.45	-19.35	23340493	Downward Expansion	-25	13
2026-05-01	41.55	43.71	-20.63	39873382	Downward Expansion	-37	18
2026-04-24	38.12	43.98	-26.56	32209145	Downward Expansion	-63	34
2026-04-17	42.06	44.45	-18.96	29405190	Downward Expansion	-52	31
2026-04-10	42.05	44.72	-15.88	37391632	Downward Expansion	-56	44
2026-04-03	38.60	45.27	-17.59	29669277	Downward Expansion	-63	50
2026-03-27	38.36	45.74	-20.85	29923028	Downward Expansion	-67	43
2026-03-20	38.99	46.12	-20.56	30860142	Downward Expansion	-66	38
2026-03-13	42.78	46.38	-15.94	45018501	Downward Expansion	-53	37
2026-03-06	42.60	46.52	-16.06	45501013	Downward Expansion	-56	64
2026-02-27	43.38	46.55	-16.79	37882181	Downward Expansion	-56	60
2026-02-13	39.55	46.56	-22.54	20177747	Downward Expansion	-66	67
2026-02-06	38.54	46.63	-23.90	34263772	Rotation Up	-67	49
2026-01-30	41.22	46.73	-20.84	57482805	Rotation Up	-31	18
2026-01-23	48.80	46.66	-8.23	41219161	Rotation Up	30	40
2026-01-16	49.82	46.32	-5.55	60159413	Balance	37	34
2026-01-09	48.71	45.88	-6.77	55587134	Balance	20	19
2026-01-02	47.16	45.47	-5.88	33111368	Balance	4	8
2025-12-26	46.14	45.15	-8.48	54696686	Deceleration	-9	8
2025-12-19	42.82	44.88	-12.29	20326562	Deceleration	-30	22
2025-12-12	43.87	44.69	-11.21	30703808	Rotation Down	-19	32
2025-12-05	44.99	44.58	-8.45	45723417	Rotation Down	-19	39
2025-11-28	43.92	44.19	-9.60	26673622	Rotation Down	-19	39
2025-11-21	39.71	43.81	-15.45	20377220	Deceleration	-34	38
2025-11-14	43.00	43.55	-13.40	18061953	Deceleration	-3	14
2025-11-07	44.86	43.17	-11.21	25841222	Deceleration	4	13
2025-10-31	47.94	42.71	-5.25	29948312	Deceleration	25	19
2025-10-24	47.22	42.39	-6.23	22514764	Deceleration	28	20
2025-10-17	44.33	42.09	-8.17	33623450	Deceleration	26	19
2025-10-10	48.99	41.93	-4.25	17988569	Deceleration	41	28
2025-10-03	51.10	41.79	-1.68	18565993	Upward Expansion	54	37
2025-09-26	49.88	41.49	-1.65	56748320	Upward Expansion	60	49
2025-09-19	52.14	41.18	4.05	73009664	Upward Expansion	64	57
2025-09-12	50.10	41.01	1.31	93629533	Upward Expansion	66	67
2025-09-05	58.58	40.73	21.72	124636841	Upward Expansion	92	94
2025-08-29	52.85	40.19	9.28	92865770	Upward Expansion	87	91
2025-08-22	49.70	39.71	7.07	90355615	Upward Expansion	83	86
2025-08-15	46.63	39.41	5.20	63210904	Upward Expansion	75	81
2025-08-08	46.95	39.15	11.02	82189798	Rotation Up	80	78
2025-08-01	43.70	38.79	5.05	47116656	Rotation Up	44	63
2025-07-25	43.50	38.50	3.32	44549248	Rotation Up	37	58
2025-07-18	41.78	38.43	1.97	50882930	Rotation Up	30	48
2025-07-11	41.50	38.40	4.01	53556412	Balance	29	34
2025-07-04	39.25	38.41	0.66	38965025	Balance	-3	6
2025-06-27	38.40	38.40	0.24	30685832	Balance	-9	6
2025-06-20	36.72	38.40	-0.13	39252072	Balance	-25	13
2025-06-13	36.30	38.48	-1.94	21025392	Downward Expansion	-24	16
2025-06-06	37.51	38.66	1.12	18531335	Downward Expansion	-21	22
2025-05-30	38.24	38.90	5.13	37800211	Downward Expansion	-24	21
2025-05-23	37.10	39.01	1.52	48215403	Downward Expansion	-34	18
2025-05-16	40.39	39.31	10.44	97522656	Downward Expansion	-30	23
2025-05-09	33.51	39.64	-7.33	27246903	Downward Expansion	-62	67
2025-05-02	32.45	39.96	-7.98	10770409	Downward Expansion	-64	74
2025-04-25	31.96	40.15	-9.42	33858909	Downward Expansion	-69	75
2025-04-18	31.37	40.19	-9.86	26894577	Downward Expansion	-74	74
2025-04-11	31.08	40.11	-11.07	51637499	Balance	-76	56
2025-04-04	38.33	40.05	4.02	17269235	Balance	-14	14
2025-03-28	38.45	39.85	2.19	21833179	Upward Expansion	17	9
2025-03-21	39.49	39.82	4.22	63282179	Upward Expansion	28	13
2025-03-14	44.71	39.54	14.91	51592266	Upward Expansion	60	44
2025-03-07	42.17	39.02	9.84	47126132	Upward Expansion	49	40
2025-02-28	40.68	38.57	8.21	85457739	Upward Expansion	51	43
2025-02-21	46.81	38.13	20.79	109485016	Deceleration	70	58
2025-02-14	41.76	37.45	11.06	52996210	Deceleration	40	27
2025-02-07	42.39	36.83	15.50	38286947	Deceleration	41	23
2025-01-31	38.43	36.26	9.94	7741210	Deceleration	13	8
2025-01-24	40.62	35.77	15.27	48615153	Deceleration	17	14
2025-01-17	39.04	35.25	12.80	47849281	Deceleration	13	13
2025-01-10	36.06	34.78	8.49	35400288	Deceleration	7	9
2025-01-03	35.06	34.45	4.70	39644713	Deceleration	11	7
2024-12-27	41.36	34.10	14.87	53450708	Deceleration	38	21
2024-12-20	40.94	33.66	14.29	46129297	Deceleration	34	18
2024-12-13	41.78	33.21	16.32	81471657	Deceleration	36	20
2024-12-06	39.04	32.74	8.32	37167332	Deceleration	33	21
2024-11-29	38.26	32.35	8.18	32988007	Deceleration	38	24
2024-11-22	39.19	32.05	12.85	45684169	Upward Expansion	42	29
2024-11-15	41.71	31.76	16.78	67742840	Upward Expansion	57	43
2024-11-08	44.68	31.31	20.65	73107629	Upward Expansion	63	65
2024-11-01	41.55	30.80	20.19	113101994	Upward Expansion	65	76
2024-10-25	46.07	30.47	32.19	125228221	Upward Expansion	71	82
2024-10-18	50.41	30.04	50.10	180354612	Upward Expansion	87	85
2024-10-11	42.94	29.52	33.50	158148635	Upward Expansion	79	67
2024-10-04	38.29	29.33	15.20	37390715	Rotation Up	74	42
2024-09-27	32.98	29.31	10.79	108048747	Rotation Up	31	20
2024-09-20	29.06	29.13	15.96	45137645	Rotation Up	27	26
2024-09-13	29.41	29.01	19.68	111860914	Rotation Up	31	46
2024-09-06	32.16	28.75	29.83	179996965	Rotation Up	26	53
2024-08-30	37.55	28.36	49.54	230357720	Rotation Up	50	62
2024-08-23	30.97	27.94	27.81	110670093	Downward Expansion	29	32
2024-08-16	29.26	27.79	19.61	121102554	Downward Expansion	20	23
2024-08-09	28.77	27.76	18.14	77697986	Downward Expansion	-17	14
2024-08-02	27.27	27.78	10.89	121249608	Downward Expansion	-38	22
2024-07-26	26.50	27.90	7.96	87188710	Downward Expansion	-57	39
2024-07-19	23.11	28.00	-8.53	33189925	Downward Expansion	-71	60
2024-07-12	25.24	28.24	0.75	33679790	Downward Expansion	-61	55
2024-07-05	23.71	28.42	-3.20	22022611	Downward Expansion	-71	67
2024-06-28	25.21	28.69	1.39	34103959	Downward Expansion	-64	65
2024-06-21	24.89	28.92	-1.96	33548875	Downward Expansion	-67	63
2024-06-14	26.18	29.27	1.11	24821276	Downward Expansion	-60	57
2024-06-07	24.51	29.61	-5.13	43863447	Balance	-71	55
2024-05-31	28.14	29.91	7.91	45440969	Balance	-42	31
2024-05-24	27.54	29.85	5.66	56875593	Balance	-45	30
2024-05-17	27.50	29.67	3.12	35865280	Balance	-45	26
2024-05-10	27.48	29.58	3.44	46477261	Balance	-8	14
2024-05-03	29.30	29.40	12.47	29305862	Balance	20	17
2024-04-26	30.53	29.15	19.04	59557498	Upward Expansion	26	18
2024-04-19	27.98	28.87	11.99	69044665	Upward Expansion	20	14
2024-04-12	29.62	28.72	19.86	48039983	Upward Expansion	48	28
2024-04-05	31.49	28.45	24.18	43475846	Upward Expansion	59	59
2024-03-29	33.08	28.06	33.51	78472417	Upward Expansion	62	61
2024-03-22	34.94	27.68	40.15	129182441	Upward Expansion	64	56
2024-03-15	37.21	27.28	50.35	200854874	Deceleration	77	57
2024-03-08	37.65	26.80	58.39	158165509	Deceleration	61	38
2024-03-01	27.55	26.32	16.88	87955774	Rotation Down	-23	46
2024-02-23	25.66	26.18	13.97	96360321	Rotation Down	-28	63
2024-02-09	21.46	26.13	-1.41	57861342	Rotation Down	-42	72
2024-02-02	20.41	26.18	3.02	31160593	Deceleration	-50	67
2024-01-26	25.08	26.32	16.97	27075830	Deceleration	-8	21
2024-01-19	26.46	26.35	23.51	20587897	Deceleration	5	11
2024-01-12	28.42	26.36	30.16	22220529	Deceleration	31	19
2024-01-05	29.13	26.37	32.28	25474364	Deceleration	34	20
2023-12-29	30.92	26.29	35.17	35716456	Deceleration	37	23
2023-12-22	29.53	26.10	34.18	21279834	Deceleration	40	27
2023-12-15	30.28	25.86	35.70	24841587	Upward Expansion	46	36
2023-12-08	30.73	25.56	35.85	29513459	Upward Expansion	61	52
2023-12-01	31.69	25.27	38.21	37212591	Upward Expansion	66	81
2023-11-24	32.22	25.04	39.35	64167792	Upward Expansion	65	85
2023-11-17	35.50	24.98	52.16	90331702	Upward Expansion	81	92
2023-11-10	36.23	24.69	56.38	156906585	Rotation Up	90	90
2023-11-03	33.52	24.40	47.61	233230280	Rotation Up	49	61
2023-10-27	26.28	24.10	17.54	50866110	Balance	10	18
2023-10-20	22.23	24.08	1.58	30715969	Downward Expansion	-33	17
2023-10-13	24.87	24.08	7.76	53859329	Downward Expansion	-15	11
2023-09-29	22.05	24.02	-4.93	12963261	Downward Expansion	-38	21
2023-09-22	21.87	24.05	-6.65	16737881	Downward Expansion	-52	28

Price vs TrendBelow-19.7%

Trend directionFalling-4.5%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-9.3%

Fair Value directionMoving away-48.1%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-14.0%

Relative strength directionWeakening-9.7%

Price momentumNegative-10.9%

Volume balanceDemand-led1.25×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-72 / ±100

-64.6 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

66 /100

+57.5 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

300709 Directional State ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance28

Rotation Up15

Upward Expansion14

Deceleration38

Rotation Down65

Downward Expansion87

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 14%Rotation Up 12%Upward Expansion 24%Deceleration 20%Rotation Down 6%Downward Expansion 24%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-09-25	2026-10-02	New	-8.9%
Balance	2026-09-04	2026-09-18	New	-11.2%
Rotation Down	2026-08-07	2026-08-28	New	+8.0%
Upward Expansion	2026-06-19	2026-07-31	Developing	-48.3%
Rotation Up	2026-05-29	2026-06-12	New	+11.5%
Balance	2026-05-15	2026-05-22	New	+4.2%
Downward Expansion	2026-02-13	2026-05-08	Developing	+9.7%
Rotation Up	2026-01-23	2026-02-06	New	-21.0%
Balance	2026-01-02	2026-01-16	New	+5.6%
Deceleration	2025-12-19	2025-12-26	New	+7.8%
Rotation Down	2025-11-28	2025-12-12	New	-0.1%
Deceleration	2025-10-10	2025-11-21	Developing	-18.9%
Upward Expansion	2025-08-15	2025-10-03	Developing	+9.6%
Rotation Up	2025-07-18	2025-08-08	New	+12.4%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing44

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution32

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 78/100
Current Relative Strength: -13.96
Relative Strength direction: Weakening
Price momentum: -10.9%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -7.4%
Industrials regime cohort: 62th percentile447 in cohort

Test 300709 trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.45×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.25×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution2 / 1

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+0.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+50.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore 300709 Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity CNY 37.09falling

Slow Activity CNY 42.09falling

Trend Reference CNY 42.81-19.7% close margin

Current Fair Value CNY 37.92-9.3% close margin

Structural low CNY 32.43shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +13.9%

Annualized volatility +79.8%

From structural high -48.0%

From structural low +6.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs 399001.SZ	Regime survived	Read
Near term	23	+3.6%-14.3% to +45.7%	+65.2%	+34.8%	+5.1%	+69.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	9	+17.3%-15.7% to +76.3%	+66.7%	+33.3%	+13.1%	+22.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	7	+13.9%-17.2% to +63.0%	+85.7%	+14.3%	+12.4%	+0.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	+29.5%+1.7% to +73.6%	+100.0%	+0.0%	+24.6%	+25.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

300709 Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map