Weekly structural research ยท NASDAQ ยท Healthcare

HELP Stage Analysis

Cybin Inc. Common Stock

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close USD 12.61Tenure DevelopingBenchmark QQQ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Upward Expansion ยท Early expansion

The weekly architecture is expanding upward.

Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing.

  • The Trend gate is up within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: weakening.
  • Activity structure: wide and contracting.
Direction 66โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 61/100directional strength
Maturity 71/100lifecycle context
Confidence 92/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Upstructural direction
Activity structure Widecontracting separation
Price acceptance +83.3%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context +29.1%USD 9.77 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-09-2512.617.2958.179416401Upward Expansion6661
2026-09-1812.377.1262.3512750679Upward Expansion6664
2026-09-1112.976.9374.046274017Upward Expansion7670
2026-09-0412.226.7065.416584375Upward Expansion7085
2026-08-2812.186.4967.108749455Upward Expansion7590
2026-08-2112.596.3174.727014590Upward Expansion9096
2026-08-1411.996.1463.8110819314Upward Expansion9497
2026-08-0711.616.0061.6613006313Rotation Up9898
2026-07-317.825.8615.115249361Rotation Up5278
2026-07-247.625.8812.2811199674Rotation Up5274
2026-07-177.255.904.5110438702Rotation Up4053
2026-07-106.875.90-5.906134718Downward Expansion3741
2026-07-036.245.89-13.705197721Downward Expansion619
2026-06-266.485.89-10.5514465467Downward Expansion-1110
2026-06-194.675.88-39.092314228Downward Expansion-6162
2026-06-124.305.91-43.322709647Downward Expansion-6673
2026-06-054.155.96-45.033311773Downward Expansion-7373
2026-05-294.556.02-43.562039363Downward Expansion-6153
2026-05-224.686.11-41.224126242Downward Expansion-5942
2026-05-154.676.16-41.473131183Downward Expansion-5933
2026-05-085.316.21-34.374873058Downward Expansion-3620
2026-05-015.156.23-33.645841317Downward Expansion-3921
2026-04-245.616.26-27.2919132202Downward Expansion-3922
2026-04-175.506.27-27.904215843Downward Expansion-5537
2026-04-105.226.29-28.302511746Downward Expansion-6061
2026-04-035.126.32-27.302993832Downward Expansion-6068
2026-03-274.526.37-33.773924357Downward Expansion-6772
2026-03-204.626.47-35.143360391Balance-6862
2026-03-134.646.55-36.875357205Balance-3434
2026-03-065.256.63-30.1613028722Balance-2820
2026-02-277.356.71-4.342995698Balance2919
2026-02-206.816.71-12.132893763Rotation Up-317
2026-02-136.096.75-21.253240096Rotation Up-1923
2026-02-065.986.83-24.523017846Rotation Up-1916
2026-01-306.626.88-18.991570746Rotation Up59
2026-01-237.546.93-8.981194638Rotation Up2829
2026-01-167.746.95-7.272319011Rotation Up3254
2026-01-097.536.95-11.213173349Rotation Up2452
2026-01-028.286.98-1.005092482Rotation Up3854
2025-12-268.347.00-2.844412492Balance3940
2025-12-197.186.98-15.813942119Balance08
2025-12-126.686.99-22.003854562Downward Expansion-3320
2025-12-055.996.99-32.103308609Downward Expansion-5138
2025-11-286.187.03-30.291885612Downward Expansion-5135
2025-11-215.597.04-34.743006447Downward Expansion-6133
2025-11-145.937.09-33.793803337Downward Expansion-4423
2025-11-075.987.13-34.515403322Downward Expansion-4223
2025-10-317.267.16-24.0310954055Downward Expansion-2719
2025-10-246.177.11-34.932811739Downward Expansion-5646
2025-10-176.037.13-35.912551404Downward Expansion-6062
2025-10-106.027.17-35.513345763Downward Expansion-6269
2025-10-036.087.22-37.084096240Downward Expansion-6373
2025-09-265.867.26-39.284638784Downward Expansion-7071
2025-09-196.007.34-38.842382633Downward Expansion-7063
2025-09-126.097.44-37.252697105Balance-6154
2025-09-056.737.56-29.844971712Balance-3436
2025-08-297.487.63-21.812127627Balance-2224
2025-08-227.157.71-26.092277141Balance-4230
2025-08-157.067.81-28.421870996Balance-4323
2025-08-087.457.88-24.861152910Balance-2411
2025-08-017.567.93-21.731720415Balance-13
2025-07-257.998.01-19.932682765Balance-34
2025-07-188.328.05-16.732222146Balance-139
2025-07-117.648.09-23.331847918Balance-2110
2025-07-047.948.16-21.533083364Balance-710
2025-06-278.158.26-18.781451354Balance-317
2025-06-207.788.33-19.82949277Balance-420
2025-06-138.358.40-14.521569381Balance-020
2025-06-068.908.51-10.081590607Downward Expansion616
2025-05-307.968.57-18.501773298Downward Expansion-3018
2025-05-237.478.64-23.162790693Deceleration-4128
2025-05-166.728.74-33.51932756Deceleration-4735
2025-05-097.058.89-26.67863327Downward Expansion-4432
2025-05-026.508.99-33.60919383Downward Expansion-6242
2025-04-256.999.08-27.361100370Downward Expansion-5947
2025-04-187.359.16-19.951779532Downward Expansion-6256
2025-04-116.809.23-28.771827255Downward Expansion-6575
2025-04-045.699.25-36.901429076Downward Expansion-8485
2025-03-286.729.33-34.17801576Downward Expansion-7578
2025-03-217.319.43-31.35607271Downward Expansion-6975
2025-03-147.579.52-29.98978391Downward Expansion-6971
2025-03-077.299.61-35.591041019Downward Expansion-7466
2025-02-288.169.70-31.332179958Balance-6452
2025-02-219.099.77-26.871338847Balance-5127
2025-02-149.539.83-25.991772196Balance-3314
2025-02-079.009.89-28.772792404Balance-4018
2025-01-319.9110.00-22.15920041Balance-2413
2025-01-2410.0310.00-23.06903779Balance-3319
2025-01-179.1310.01-29.70787653Balance-4334
2025-01-108.8910.04-30.43858422Balance-4431
2025-01-0310.1010.11-23.871043950Balance-3220
2024-12-279.1510.14-32.55711753Balance-4423
2024-12-209.6110.28-29.591198469Balance-1711
2024-12-139.7810.41-30.951055333Balance-118
2024-12-0610.8010.53-24.331423099Balance119
2024-11-2910.3810.63-25.931286535Balance-119
2024-11-229.8210.72-30.586085027Balance-1210
2024-11-1511.6010.84-17.944249906Balance2319
2024-11-0810.7810.92-27.391314480Balance-313
2024-11-019.9911.02-30.06461003Balance-1115
2024-10-2510.4111.21-30.18659004Downward Expansion-2018
2024-10-1811.4111.39-25.601027853Downward Expansion-1214
2024-10-119.7811.54-37.23514792Downward Expansion-3923
2024-10-049.2511.80-41.34979517Downward Expansion-5437
2024-09-279.6011.98-40.472216109Downward Expansion-5846
2024-09-209.1812.09-43.7011098455Downward Expansion-6159
2024-09-137.6012.26-53.7425836996Downward Expansion-7873
2024-09-067.9912.43-49.0021648560Downward Expansion-7864
2024-08-309.6912.57-42.2349816899Downward Expansion-6348
2024-08-2310.1812.70-40.1222901194Downward Expansion-5847
2024-08-1610.0312.83-40.7330510472Downward Expansion-6247
2024-08-0910.0612.95-37.7622751185Downward Expansion-6542
2024-08-0210.2613.13-36.6821550986Downward Expansion-5432
2024-07-2610.9013.30-35.2017313617Downward Expansion-4933
2024-07-1911.4013.46-34.5518899649Downward Expansion-5841
2024-07-1212.1613.60-33.5134277447Downward Expansion-6363
2024-07-0510.0513.73-45.7215166175Downward Expansion-7182
2024-06-2810.3013.92-43.2336649250Downward Expansion-7181
2024-06-2110.0314.16-45.2218248957Downward Expansion-8080
2024-06-1410.9914.41-40.1424676849Downward Expansion-7368
2024-06-0711.0114.61-38.1039608754Balance-7252
2024-05-3113.3014.79-23.298196814Balance-5229
2024-05-2413.5315.10-23.1610102159Balance-5133
2024-05-1713.3015.43-23.5414855559Balance-5544
2024-05-1013.7815.60-19.2414485155Balance-5143
2024-05-0313.3015.87-21.0213659251Balance-4635
2024-04-2613.3016.14-20.4914003924Balance-4428
2024-04-1913.9716.37-13.6112222979Balance-3618
2024-04-1213.9116.60-19.0725819136Balance-2312
2024-04-0515.7716.56-9.3429007142Balance-818
2024-03-2915.7116.45-10.8918074866Balance-919
2024-03-2215.8616.32-10.9838679509Downward Expansion-2119
2024-03-1517.4816.170.4289176356Downward Expansion-1315
2024-03-0814.8416.00-16.0829182088Downward Expansion-4632
2024-03-0112.7315.91-29.7714976899Downward Expansion-6765
2024-02-2314.2515.92-20.9214093425Downward Expansion-6162
2024-02-1612.8115.94-28.9413130345Rotation Down-6873
2024-02-0912.2516.02-33.8525929328Rotation Down-5066
2024-02-0213.4216.16-27.0213026573Rotation Down-4151
2024-01-2614.0616.29-23.4018609996Rotation Down-2635
2024-01-1913.9116.30-24.3715357027Rotation Down-2733
2024-01-1215.3916.20-14.7724427912Rotation Down-1928
2024-01-0515.3916.04-12.9210922799Deceleration-1827
2023-12-2915.5815.83-15.226915613Deceleration-1620
2023-12-2215.5815.65-15.1115176865Deceleration512
2023-12-1516.0615.50-11.9218170118Deceleration811
2023-12-0815.7315.34-10.6917416621Deceleration1815
2023-12-0117.4815.20-0.4129239997Deceleration2821
2023-11-2417.5615.020.068888128Deceleration3319
2023-11-1717.1014.88-2.1820713146Upward Expansion4025
2023-11-1016.2614.77-5.6425759761Upward Expansion5334
2023-11-0322.6314.7234.0733028918Upward Expansion6752
2023-10-2723.5214.4648.1120077581Upward Expansion7773
2023-10-2018.4314.1613.2113012520Upward Expansion6476
2023-10-1321.9014.0529.6925387290Upward Expansion7484
2023-10-0621.4313.8125.8915379755Upward Expansion7681
Price vs TrendAbove+72.9%
Trend directionRising+23.5%
Price vs current Fair ValuePremium+29.1%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+65.1%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLeading+58.2%
Relative strength directionImproving+68.7%
Price momentumPositive+179.0%
Volume balanceDemand-led3.23ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

66 / ยฑ100

-8.2 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

61 /100

-29.7 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance5
Rotation Up60
Upward Expansion87
Deceleration66
Rotation Down24
Downward Expansion11

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 31%Rotation Up 8%Upward Expansion 9%Deceleration 6%Rotation Down 4%Downward Expansion 42%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Upward Expansion2026-08-142026-09-25Developing+5.2%
Rotation Up2026-07-172026-08-07New+60.1%
Downward Expansion2026-03-272026-07-10Established+52.0%
Balance2026-02-272026-03-20New-37.1%
Rotation Up2026-01-022026-02-20Developing-17.8%
Balance2025-12-192025-12-26New+16.2%
Downward Expansion2025-09-192025-12-12Established+11.3%
Balance2025-06-132025-09-12Established-27.1%
Downward Expansion2025-05-302025-06-06New+11.8%
Deceleration2025-05-162025-05-23New+11.2%
Downward Expansion2025-03-072025-05-09Developing-3.3%
Balance2024-11-012025-02-28Established-18.3%
Downward Expansion2024-06-142024-10-25Established-5.3%
Balance2024-03-292024-06-07Developing-29.9%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing25
Stage 2 ยท Advancing100
Stage 3 ยท Distribution45
Stage 4 ยท Declining0

Legacy result: Stage 2 ยท Stage 2C ยท Late advance. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus QQQ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Leading benchmark

Architecture confirmation
99/100
Current Relative Strength
58.17
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
+179.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
+146.6%
Healthcare regime cohort
76th percentile198 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume1.30ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume3.23ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution5 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+100.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationWeakening

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+0.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity USD 12.54rising
Slow Activity USD 8.81rising
Trend Reference USD 7.29+72.9% close margin
Current Fair Value USD 9.77+29.1% close margin
Structural low USD 3.76shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Sustained fan recompression, a fast-line rollover or repeated closes inside/below the fan move the read toward Deceleration or Rotation Down.

Range context +14.6%
Annualized volatility +78.9%
From structural high -16.8%
From structural low +235.4%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs QQQ Regime survived Read
Near term3+5.6%-22.8% to +8.2%+66.7%+66.7%+4.8%+66.7%Too little matched history
Intermediate1-28.2%-28.2% to -28.2%+0.0%+0.0%-37.3%+0.0%Too little matched history
Extended1-26.4%-26.4% to -26.4%+0.0%+0.0%-47.6%+0.0%Too little matched history
Full cycle1-56.8%-56.8% to -56.8%+0.0%+0.0%-91.4%+0.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context