Weekly structural research · VIE · Consumer Cyclical

WOL Stage Analysis

Wolford Aktiengesellschaft

Week ending 25 Sep 2026Close EUR 2.36Tenure ExtendedBenchmark ^ATX

Screen this regime Supporting research Report data ↗

Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction

Downward Expansion · Established contraction

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation.

The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
Activity structure: moderate and contracting.

Direction -23−100 bearish to +100 bullish

Energy 15/100directional strength

Maturity 100/100lifecycle context

Confidence 65/100evidence agreement

Trend gate Downstructural direction

Activity structure Moderatecontracting separation

Price acceptance -16.7%position within the Activity structure

Fair Value context -32.4%EUR 3.49 · improving

Trend Architecture map · Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value

Background stage key

BalanceDirection is contained.
Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.

View chart values · 156 observations

Week	Close	Trend	Relative Strength	Volume	Regime	Direction	Energy
2026-09-25	2.36	2.58	-35.04	0	Downward Expansion	-23	15
2026-09-18	2.36	2.60	-34.80	100	Downward Expansion	-34	20
2026-09-11	2.32	2.63	-37.76	20046	Downward Expansion	-39	27
2026-09-04	2.38	2.65	-36.95	2930	Downward Expansion	-40	29
2026-08-28	2.34	2.68	-38.38	1485	Downward Expansion	-42	29
2026-08-21	2.18	2.70	-42.16	1500	Downward Expansion	-56	44
2026-08-14	2.30	2.73	-40.75	500	Downward Expansion	-51	50
2026-08-07	2.50	2.75	-35.68	113	Downward Expansion	-65	64
2026-07-31	2.18	2.78	-42.93	16	Downward Expansion	-68	88
2026-07-24	2.00	2.81	-48.39	4	Downward Expansion	-86	94
2026-07-17	2.02	2.86	-47.90	3716	Downward Expansion	-90	96
2026-07-10	2.22	2.90	-44.65	0	Downward Expansion	-80	90
2026-07-03	2.34	2.95	-43.26	0	Downward Expansion	-74	81
2026-06-26	2.30	2.99	-43.62	1183	Downward Expansion	-82	78
2026-06-19	2.50	3.03	-40.78	1400	Downward Expansion	-72	61
2026-06-12	2.62	3.06	-36.09	3	Downward Expansion	-65	51
2026-06-05	2.78	3.10	-31.03	50	Downward Expansion	-54	45
2026-05-29	2.74	3.13	-33.46	463	Downward Expansion	-57	36
2026-05-22	2.76	3.16	-31.96	2600	Downward Expansion	-56	32
2026-05-15	2.70	3.18	-32.56	825	Downward Expansion	-64	37
2026-05-08	2.98	3.21	-26.55	245	Downward Expansion	-40	24
2026-05-01	2.98	3.23	-25.91	1321	Downward Expansion	-53	33
2026-04-24	2.70	3.26	-32.93	5320	Downward Expansion	-69	44
2026-04-17	2.98	3.29	-29.18	3725	Downward Expansion	-57	40
2026-04-10	2.90	3.32	-29.93	7844	Downward Expansion	-61	52
2026-04-03	2.90	3.35	-26.14	573	Downward Expansion	-64	52
2026-03-27	2.80	3.38	-26.69	7683	Downward Expansion	-71	46
2026-03-20	3.06	3.41	-19.43	628	Downward Expansion	-54	35
2026-03-13	3.06	3.42	-21.13	2709	Downward Expansion	-53	32
2026-03-06	3.04	3.44	-24.21	4148	Downward Expansion	-56	34
2026-02-27	3.04	3.46	-28.72	117	Downward Expansion	-49	31
2026-02-20	3.18	3.48	-27.53	1305	Downward Expansion	-42	29
2026-02-13	3.14	3.49	-26.90	1965	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2026-02-06	3.18	3.50	-27.23	2892	Downward Expansion	-61	60
2026-01-30	3.06	3.52	-30.03	1159	Downward Expansion	-64	73
2026-01-23	2.98	3.54	-31.61	2192	Downward Expansion	-74	77
2026-01-16	2.94	3.57	-32.64	8354	Downward Expansion	-79	76
2026-01-09	3.20	3.59	-26.60	7708	Downward Expansion	-67	65
2026-01-02	3.30	3.60	-24.47	7145	Downward Expansion	-62	54
2025-12-26	3.28	3.61	-24.21	2693	Balance	-67	50
2025-12-19	3.42	3.63	-21.66	3619	Balance	-57	43
2025-12-12	3.60	3.63	-16.37	500	Balance	-44	35
2025-12-05	3.60	3.62	-17.01	2088	Balance	-17	21
2025-11-28	3.40	3.61	-20.82	4579	Balance	-32	22
2025-11-21	3.54	3.61	-13.82	1442	Balance	4	3
2025-11-14	3.68	3.60	-11.53	252	Balance	27	10
2025-11-07	3.70	3.58	-9.08	100	Balance	16	11
2025-10-31	3.58	3.57	-13.10	1899	Balance	7	14
2025-10-24	3.60	3.55	-10.17	3804	Upward Expansion	21	17
2025-10-17	3.58	3.55	-8.97	1172	Upward Expansion	23	13
2025-10-10	3.50	3.56	-12.72	1537	Upward Expansion	23	12
2025-10-03	3.74	3.56	-8.61	1105	Upward Expansion	53	39
2025-09-26	3.80	3.56	-5.15	1366	Upward Expansion	58	50
2025-09-19	3.76	3.56	-5.63	1150	Balance	55	46
2025-09-12	3.76	3.57	-6.03	600	Balance	55	43
2025-09-05	3.78	3.57	-4.62	10	Balance	55	38
2025-08-29	3.70	3.58	-7.01	300	Balance	20	11
2025-08-22	3.60	3.59	-12.82	5960	Balance	1	3
2025-08-15	3.60	3.59	-14.01	540	Balance	-0	5
2025-08-08	3.56	3.60	-12.93	2173	Balance	-10	9
2025-08-01	3.54	3.61	-8.53	400	Balance	-7	5
2025-07-25	3.52	3.62	-11.57	1339	Balance	-6	5
2025-07-18	3.60	3.64	-7.83	724	Balance	11	15
2025-07-11	3.78	3.66	-3.15	1066	Balance	19	20
2025-07-04	3.54	3.68	-7.20	2550	Balance	-8	10
2025-06-27	3.88	3.67	0.91	3287	Balance	24	23
2025-06-20	3.52	3.62	-6.86	364	Balance	-9	18
2025-06-13	3.52	3.59	-7.57	273	Balance	6	14
2025-06-06	3.70	3.56	-5.47	1414	Balance	12	18
2025-05-30	3.90	3.53	-0.40	12219	Deceleration	17	15
2025-05-23	3.20	3.50	-17.80	7021	Deceleration	-23	20
2025-05-16	3.50	3.49	-11.84	4120	Rotation Down	-16	17
2025-05-09	3.20	3.47	-17.51	2310	Rotation Down	-35	34
2025-05-02	3.32	3.46	-11.17	358	Rotation Down	-33	43
2025-04-25	3.30	3.44	-11.02	8388	Rotation Down	-24	55
2025-04-18	3.10	3.43	-13.87	8973	Rotation Down	-37	62
2025-04-11	3.32	3.43	-3.44	2348	Deceleration	-25	47
2025-04-04	3.02	3.42	-13.70	790	Deceleration	-21	38
2025-03-28	3.62	3.42	-7.51	3633	Deceleration	18	15
2025-03-21	3.84	3.40	-4.32	1310	Deceleration	35	19
2025-03-14	3.64	3.37	-10.55	610	Deceleration	35	18
2025-03-07	3.70	3.36	-9.54	1193	Upward Expansion	38	21
2025-02-28	3.84	3.34	-3.62	2063	Upward Expansion	50	29
2025-02-21	3.98	3.31	1.49	1264	Upward Expansion	54	32
2025-02-14	3.84	3.28	-3.53	600	Deceleration	42	28
2025-02-07	3.98	3.25	4.53	999	Deceleration	45	30
2025-01-31	3.98	3.21	4.43	2877	Deceleration	46	30
2025-01-24	3.74	3.18	-1.93	268	Upward Expansion	52	32
2025-01-17	3.80	3.17	0.67	2277	Upward Expansion	55	38
2025-01-10	3.98	3.16	8.40	1073	Upward Expansion	60	62
2025-01-03	3.84	3.16	3.99	4171	Rotation Up	61	71
2024-12-27	4.00	3.16	8.24	1600	Rotation Up	35	52
2024-12-20	4.14	3.16	12.70	5522	Rotation Up	43	43
2024-12-13	4.48	3.15	19.31	24495	Rotation Up	37	30
2024-12-06	3.20	3.14	-13.57	12742	Downward Expansion	-36	26
2024-11-29	2.50	3.17	-32.42	10580	Downward Expansion	-66	49
2024-11-22	2.50	3.22	-33.23	2096	Downward Expansion	-73	50
2024-11-15	2.50	3.27	-34.65	405	Downward Expansion	-78	49
2024-11-08	2.90	3.31	-25.19	3070	Downward Expansion	-55	35
2024-11-01	3.00	3.35	-23.18	3979	Downward Expansion	-57	41
2024-10-25	2.80	3.39	-30.27	5262	Downward Expansion	-72	54
2024-10-18	2.90	3.43	-29.50	13358	Downward Expansion	-66	64
2024-10-11	2.90	3.47	-30.13	5170	Downward Expansion	-70	66
2024-10-04	2.92	3.51	-30.24	331	Downward Expansion	-69	59
2024-09-27	2.98	3.55	-30.37	2988	Downward Expansion	-63	48
2024-09-20	2.96	3.60	-30.93	305	Downward Expansion	-66	49
2024-09-13	3.12	3.65	-27.68	5910	Downward Expansion	-48	41
2024-09-06	3.00	3.69	-30.70	213	Downward Expansion	-53	47
2024-08-30	3.08	3.73	-32.39	184	Downward Expansion	-50	48
2024-08-23	3.00	3.78	-34.11	292	Downward Expansion	-67	58
2024-08-16	3.10	3.84	-31.45	850	Downward Expansion	-62	59
2024-08-09	3.10	3.88	-30.84	1612	Downward Expansion	-66	65
2024-08-02	3.10	3.94	-30.82	8178	Downward Expansion	-68	72
2024-07-26	2.98	4.00	-36.70	810	Downward Expansion	-73	90
2024-07-19	2.92	4.05	-38.66	1051	Downward Expansion	-85	94
2024-07-12	3.02	4.12	-37.77	1505	Downward Expansion	-89	96
2024-07-05	3.00	4.18	-38.80	7618	Downward Expansion	-96	98
2024-06-28	3.50	4.25	-27.40	5447	Downward Expansion	-83	90
2024-06-21	3.40	4.30	-29.67	7663	Downward Expansion	-94	91
2024-06-14	3.84	4.35	-20.02	5185	Downward Expansion	-73	56
2024-06-07	3.94	4.39	-21.22	105	Downward Expansion	-66	49
2024-05-31	3.94	4.43	-22.39	544	Downward Expansion	-66	44
2024-05-24	4.00	4.46	-23.00	5854	Downward Expansion	-60	40
2024-05-17	4.00	4.48	-23.65	439	Downward Expansion	-63	46
2024-05-10	4.12	4.50	-20.61	6508	Downward Expansion	-60	47
2024-05-03	4.00	4.51	-21.40	460	Downward Expansion	-64	54
2024-04-26	3.98	4.54	-21.27	1229	Downward Expansion	-65	49
2024-04-19	3.94	4.56	-22.21	1160	Downward Expansion	-72	56
2024-04-12	4.06	4.58	-20.69	3088	Downward Expansion	-65	67
2024-04-05	4.20	4.60	-18.72	3706	Downward Expansion	-64	77
2024-03-29	3.98	4.61	-22.79	37199	Downward Expansion	-75	85
2024-03-22	4.00	4.64	-22.07	1492	Downward Expansion	-77	75
2024-03-15	4.02	4.66	-20.32	8047	Downward Expansion	-79	64
2024-03-08	4.20	4.67	-16.77	11383	Downward Expansion	-72	47
2024-03-01	4.54	4.69	-10.54	2914	Downward Expansion	-59	48
2024-02-23	4.40	4.70	-13.76	0	Downward Expansion	-63	62
2024-02-16	4.40	4.72	-14.83	3832	Downward Expansion	-65	65
2024-02-09	4.28	4.73	-16.70	2129	Rotation Down	-79	71
2024-02-02	4.54	4.74	-14.29	14848	Rotation Down	-27	41
2024-01-26	4.56	4.75	-14.72	1881	Balance	-25	34
2024-01-19	4.58	4.75	-11.90	986	Balance	-23	21
2024-01-12	4.76	4.76	-10.30	5058	Balance	22	14
2024-01-05	4.76	4.77	-11.48	4513	Balance	26	15
2023-12-29	4.76	4.77	-12.09	6092	Balance	32	16
2023-12-22	5.00	4.78	-7.41	6093	Rotation Up	47	25
2023-12-15	4.80	4.78	-10.43	1040	Rotation Up	52	30
2023-12-08	5.05	4.79	-4.85	1807	Rotation Up	39	49
2023-12-01	4.86	4.79	-8.58	329	Rotation Up	31	55
2023-11-24	5.00	4.79	-4.48	1483	Rotation Up	24	50
2023-11-17	5.05	4.79	-4.39	100	Rotation Up	28	45
2023-11-10	5.10	4.79	-1.69	859	Downward Expansion	32	29
2023-11-03	5.00	4.79	-3.48	9080	Downward Expansion	-8	6
2023-10-27	4.46	4.80	-9.58	2271	Downward Expansion	-62	36
2023-10-20	4.66	4.82	-6.71	4795	Downward Expansion	-52	32
2023-10-13	4.42	4.85	-15.38	4597	Downward Expansion	-70	45
2023-10-06	4.70	4.90	-10.27	1094	Downward Expansion	-51	31

Price vs TrendBelow-8.4%

Trend directionFalling-9.8%

Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-32.4%

Fair Value directionClosing upward+5.3%

Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-35.0%

Relative strength directionImproving+8.6%

Price momentumNegative-15.7%

Volume balanceSupply-led0.18×

Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-23 / ±100

+18.9 points since 2026-08-28

Energy

15 /100

-14.0 points since 2026-08-28

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

WOL Directional State ↗ WOL Momentum Intelligence ↗

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated

Balance51

Rotation Up26

Upward Expansion25

Deceleration53

Rotation Down23

Downward Expansion49

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind today’s regime

2023-10-06 to 2026-09-25 · 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 19%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 7%Deceleration 6%Rotation Down 5%Downward Expansion 56%

Recent Trend Architecture ledger

Regime	Recognized	Last observation	Tenure	Move inside regime
Downward Expansion	2026-01-02	2026-09-25	Extended	-28.5%
Balance	2025-10-31	2025-12-26	Developing	-8.4%
Upward Expansion	2025-09-26	2025-10-24	Developing	-5.3%
Balance	2025-06-06	2025-09-19	Established	+1.6%
Deceleration	2025-05-23	2025-05-30	New	+21.9%
Rotation Down	2025-04-18	2025-05-16	Developing	+12.9%
Deceleration	2025-03-14	2025-04-11	Developing	-8.8%
Upward Expansion	2025-02-21	2025-03-07	New	-7.0%
Deceleration	2025-01-31	2025-02-14	New	-3.5%
Upward Expansion	2025-01-10	2025-01-24	New	-6.0%
Rotation Up	2024-12-13	2025-01-03	New	-14.3%
Downward Expansion	2024-02-16	2024-12-06	Extended	-27.3%
Rotation Down	2024-02-02	2024-02-09	New	-5.7%
Balance	2023-12-29	2024-01-26	Developing	-4.2%

Classic Stage Analysis comparison

Stage 1 · Basing67

Stage 2 · Advancing0

Stage 3 · Distribution7

Stage 4 · Declining100

Legacy result: Stage 4 · Stage 4B · Declining. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus ^ATX

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation: 100/100
Current Relative Strength: -35.04
Relative Strength direction: Improving
Price momentum: -15.7%
Excess performance vs benchmark: -47.5%
Consumer Cyclical regime cohort: 4th percentile46 in cohort

Test WOL trend persistence

Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry

Relative volume0.00×

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume0.18×

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution1 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+25.0%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Explore WOL Volume & Price ↗

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders

Fast Activity EUR 2.35rising

Slow Activity EUR 2.42falling

Trend Reference EUR 2.58-8.4% close margin

Current Fair Value EUR 3.49-32.4% close margin

Structural low EUR 2.00shock / repair context

What changes the read?

Fan contraction and a persistent upward fast/slow rotation are required before the declining structure is considered repaired.

Range context +6.1%

Annualized volatility +44.2%

From structural high -37.6%

From structural low +18.0%

Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon	Samples	Median move	Positive periods	Directional follow-through	Median excess vs ^ATX	Regime survived	Read
Near term	41	-0.9%-23.9% to +65.6%	+43.9%	+56.1%	-2.4%	+90.2%	Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate	14	-9.2%-22.5% to +53.6%	+21.4%	+78.6%	-10.8%	+78.6%	Usable descriptive sample
Extended	8	-12.4%-30.5% to +4.6%	+25.0%	+75.0%	-13.7%	+75.0%	Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle	4	-24.1%-35.1% to +20.1%	+25.0%	+75.0%	-18.7%	+75.0%	Too little matched history

Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

WOL Stage Analysis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Send a message

Evidence context

What the Activity Line geometry says now

The weekly architecture is expanding downward.

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction

Energy

Why this architecture regime won

The context behind today’s regime

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Relative Strength ?

Lagging benchmark

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Weekly volume with architecture context

References that would change the structural read

What followed this architecture in this market?

Test the structure from another angle

Trend Persistence ↗

Directional State ↗

Momentum Intelligence ↗

Similar Charts ↗

RMI Reversal Map ↗

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Evidence roles

Fair Value and RS

Known limitations

Relative Strength

Trend Persistence

Directional State

Momentum Intelligence

Similar Charts

RMI Reversal Map