Weekly structural research ยท SHZ ยท Communication Services

000665 Stage Analysis

Hubei Radio & Television Information Network Co., Ltd.

Week ending 2 Oct 2026Close CNY 4.11Tenure NewBenchmark 399001.SZ
Executive diagnosis

What the Activity Line geometry says now

Structure, not prediction
Balance ยท Balance after decline

Directional pressure has compressed into balance.

Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base.

  • The Trend gate is down within the current regime.
  • Fast Activity versus Slow Activity: improving.
  • Activity structure: compressed and contracting.
Direction -11โˆ’100 bearish to +100 bullish
Energy 11/100directional strength
Maturity 25/100lifecycle context
Confidence 58/100evidence agreement
Trend gate Downstructural direction
Activity structure Compressedcontracting separation
Price acceptance +16.7%position within the Activity structure
Fair Value context -12.2%CNY 4.68 ยท improving
Trend Architecture map ยท Historical context

Weekly close, Activity, Trend and Fair Value

Follow price and Trend first, then add Activity Lines to inspect the structure. Subtle bands show the regime recognized at each completed observation; the dashed line marks current Fair Value, not a historical forecast.

CloseTrendCurrent Fair Value
Background stage key
  • BalanceDirection is contained.
  • Rotation UpStructure is turning higher.
  • Upward ExpansionUptrend is established.
  • DecelerationUptrend is losing energy.
  • Rotation DownStructure is turning lower.
  • Downward ExpansionDowntrend is established.
View chart values ยท 156 observations
WeekCloseTrendRelative StrengthVolumeRegimeDirectionEnergy
2026-10-024.114.28-9.5794690937Balance-1111
2026-09-254.084.32-13.7485522938Balance-1516
2026-09-184.074.37-16.6472940488Balance-1816
2026-09-114.124.42-15.3680418736Downward Expansion-2214
2026-09-044.164.47-15.6319675900Downward Expansion-3421
2026-08-283.944.51-23.3611863340Downward Expansion-4027
2026-08-213.844.57-26.8810828280Downward Expansion-4530
2026-08-144.104.63-24.2750598371Downward Expansion-4537
2026-08-073.954.70-27.7611974772Downward Expansion-5250
2026-07-313.904.76-25.7517808837Downward Expansion-6459
2026-07-243.604.81-33.1811863519Downward Expansion-7668
2026-07-173.744.87-30.9816143100Downward Expansion-7078
2026-07-103.844.93-36.1335361983Downward Expansion-6885
2026-07-033.754.99-40.4812351705Downward Expansion-7791
2026-06-263.675.07-43.1214381067Downward Expansion-8794
2026-06-193.935.14-40.7553392342Downward Expansion-8290
2026-06-124.075.23-35.0713308453Downward Expansion-8084
2026-06-054.235.31-34.9314994895Downward Expansion-7870
2026-05-294.405.37-34.10117531376Downward Expansion-7350
2026-05-224.595.43-31.94132209355Downward Expansion-6745
2026-05-154.715.46-30.62102685928Downward Expansion-6445
2026-05-084.995.51-27.1194734254Downward Expansion-6046
2026-05-014.795.55-28.4879783867Downward Expansion-6463
2026-04-244.645.59-30.3761682540Downward Expansion-7482
2026-04-174.755.63-28.9567136682Downward Expansion-7078
2026-04-104.765.68-26.4045798057Downward Expansion-7279
2026-04-034.675.72-23.1060613039Downward Expansion-8079
2026-03-274.995.78-20.7599998128Downward Expansion-7171
2026-03-205.065.81-20.7790636832Downward Expansion-7270
2026-03-135.105.84-23.3082479451Downward Expansion-7566
2026-03-065.315.87-19.9691526709Downward Expansion-6555
2026-02-275.505.89-19.0172229975Downward Expansion-5851
2026-02-135.525.89-16.54162796005Balance-5342
2026-02-065.605.88-14.2285059087Balance-5037
2026-01-305.425.87-18.69124859999Balance-4923
2026-01-235.735.86-15.44146872326Balance-68
2026-01-165.725.84-14.58372205592Balance-97
2026-01-095.985.81-9.62335496924Balance-1613
2026-01-025.825.79-7.99238857683Rotation Down-2739
2025-12-265.495.78-13.6383071880Rotation Down-2546
2025-12-195.475.77-10.92105943597Balance-2335
2025-12-125.445.74-12.33118454876Balance-2324
2025-12-055.715.73-7.39141347529Balance97
2025-11-285.955.71-2.34148008962Upward Expansion4625
2025-11-215.865.67-0.18426268256Upward Expansion4528
2025-11-146.555.636.15184938884Upward Expansion6449
2025-11-076.525.564.58349387946Deceleration6433
2025-10-316.045.50-2.70189545559Deceleration3719
2025-10-246.125.46-0.58640379863Deceleration4021
2025-10-175.665.44-3.38136205271Deceleration3519
2025-10-106.165.430.2490948590Upward Expansion4527
2025-10-036.165.46-0.6579399794Upward Expansion4728
2025-09-265.945.43-1.66292554323Upward Expansion4329
2025-09-195.885.37-1.46176309550Upward Expansion5843
2025-09-126.155.324.26200082170Upward Expansion6355
2025-09-056.095.266.20385349883Upward Expansion6257
2025-08-296.355.2010.12552107321Upward Expansion7570
2025-08-226.055.129.87282920296Upward Expansion6971
2025-08-155.935.0513.04368780259Upward Expansion6870
2025-08-086.034.9820.63717929365Upward Expansion7469
2025-08-015.744.9016.90436438836Upward Expansion6861
2025-07-255.704.8414.80211455969Deceleration6747
2025-07-185.234.808.33162837068Deceleration4925
2025-07-115.284.7812.03198763481Deceleration4220
2025-07-045.084.7710.18140938262Deceleration4320
2025-06-275.124.7612.82190358430Deceleration4839
2025-06-204.904.7412.45243541051Deceleration4941
2025-06-135.184.7118.03596653944Deceleration5144
2025-06-065.744.6830.49413178493Deceleration6542
2025-05-304.974.6515.58167049752Deceleration3417
2025-05-234.804.6311.11218213689Deceleration3015
2025-05-165.044.6016.46356063794Deceleration3215
2025-05-094.994.5616.42410949637Deceleration2616
2025-05-024.934.5218.22126647542Deceleration2119
2025-04-254.544.509.20146881126Deceleration1720
2025-04-184.614.4712.79196584036Deceleration2720
2025-04-114.604.4412.39319843029Upward Expansion3723
2025-04-044.984.4015.63271833934Upward Expansion6067
2025-03-285.264.3519.55476120056Upward Expansion6376
2025-03-215.534.2925.10876031958Upward Expansion6476
2025-03-146.894.2252.05923097636Upward Expansion9185
2025-03-075.274.1018.77148393333Balance7658
2025-02-284.204.04-3.11154728201Balance3323
2025-02-214.484.02-0.41273476904Balance4023
2025-02-144.413.980.03162822559Balance3113
2025-02-074.153.95-4.2481669010Balance415
2025-01-313.903.93-6.6025410032Balance-1725
2025-01-243.893.92-8.62137576246Balance-1524
2025-01-173.913.91-7.45140612384Balance519
2025-01-103.683.90-10.16172176497Upward Expansion1114
2025-01-034.023.90-3.48325752361Upward Expansion3623
2024-12-274.343.89-3.68342764821Upward Expansion5742
2024-12-204.843.866.90536528449Upward Expansion6454
2024-12-134.913.837.10424033479Upward Expansion7150
2024-12-064.843.804.29183339396Upward Expansion7349
2024-11-294.313.76-6.05128310917Upward Expansion5849
2024-11-224.173.74-8.24153986618Upward Expansion6059
2024-11-154.333.73-8.24196215201Upward Expansion6168
2024-11-084.793.70-2.71316102805Upward Expansion8576
2024-11-014.283.67-7.51446471200Rotation Up7246
2024-10-254.043.67-14.31148330417Rotation Up4153
2024-10-183.793.67-17.9695922029Rotation Up2042
2024-10-113.713.70-17.84180728432Rotation Up1836
2024-10-044.203.72-11.6972964634Balance4356
2024-09-273.913.72-9.46205833448Balance712
2024-09-203.593.72-2.4755135748Downward Expansion-3519
2024-09-133.393.74-7.0727649367Downward Expansion-5436
2024-09-063.403.74-8.8037040667Downward Expansion-5129
2024-08-303.493.75-9.2455344804Downward Expansion-4827
2024-08-233.343.79-11.7735348219Downward Expansion-5934
2024-08-163.523.82-9.3237530286Downward Expansion-5131
2024-08-093.483.85-11.1434823168Downward Expansion-5435
2024-08-023.503.89-12.6739368065Downward Expansion-5738
2024-07-263.393.94-16.2130747883Downward Expansion-6547
2024-07-193.473.99-17.5529382324Downward Expansion-6044
2024-07-123.514.06-16.5562347403Downward Expansion-6041
2024-07-053.534.13-14.9388159040Downward Expansion-5936
2024-06-283.564.19-16.03139001585Downward Expansion-5938
2024-06-213.534.26-19.15127891504Downward Expansion-6239
2024-06-143.944.34-12.08100548848Downward Expansion-5132
2024-06-073.464.38-23.1050383012Downward Expansion-6946
2024-05-313.704.43-19.1338980107Downward Expansion-5837
2024-05-243.864.46-16.5779764704Downward Expansion-5235
2024-05-173.864.49-19.4362662388Downward Expansion-5648
2024-05-103.774.53-21.9237439736Downward Expansion-5964
2024-05-033.784.58-20.9224249582Downward Expansion-5960
2024-04-263.664.63-22.7435154572Downward Expansion-6555
2024-04-193.564.68-23.8267855893Downward Expansion-7146
2024-04-123.984.73-14.9063886789Downward Expansion-4827
2024-04-054.244.78-12.82136434764Downward Expansion-3620
2024-03-294.094.81-15.0985260928Downward Expansion-4122
2024-03-224.524.86-8.30177606814Downward Expansion-3821
2024-03-154.254.90-14.5292447420Downward Expansion-4432
2024-03-084.224.94-13.31202798796Downward Expansion-6049
2024-03-014.125.00-16.26118095955Downward Expansion-6572
2024-02-234.105.04-13.69119621907Downward Expansion-6677
2024-02-093.455.09-25.66106177300Downward Expansion-8889
2024-02-023.745.16-12.3678727483Downward Expansion-8785
2024-01-264.475.23-3.9374640256Downward Expansion-6775
2024-01-194.325.26-7.6851303305Downward Expansion-7780
2024-01-124.575.32-4.9346017643Downward Expansion-7066
2024-01-054.695.36-4.0151019645Balance-6648
2023-12-294.805.39-6.2377340995Balance-5230
2023-12-224.995.420.5488174868Rotation Up-3816
2023-12-155.575.4410.28101367993Rotation Up1826
2023-12-085.445.455.77118205871Rotation Up1629
2023-12-015.505.474.99180951666Rotation Up1427
2023-11-245.555.484.41434537286Rotation Up-1122
2023-11-175.875.498.58233386246Rotation Up-89
2023-11-105.125.51-5.1399025241Downward Expansion-6154
2023-11-034.995.56-6.3957056543Downward Expansion-6374
2023-10-274.695.61-11.3344853142Downward Expansion-8080
2023-10-204.675.69-10.0052486897Downward Expansion-8671
2023-10-135.165.75-5.5635764887Downward Expansion-6456
2023-09-295.225.80-4.9131274163Downward Expansion-6264
2023-09-225.235.85-5.4346977178Downward Expansion-6370
Price vs TrendBelow-4.1%
Trend directionFalling-11.0%
Price vs current Fair ValueBelow anchor-12.2%
Fair Value directionClosing upward+9.8%
Relative Strength vs benchmarkLagging-9.6%
Relative strength directionImproving+30.9%
Price momentumNegative-12.0%
Volume balanceDemand-led1.70ร—
Beyond the current label

Is the structure strengthening or losing force?

Direction and energy measure different things

Direction shows the upward or downward lean. Energy shows the force behind the structural move: high energy can accompany a strong decline as well as an advance.

Direction

-11 / ยฑ100

+22.6 points since 2026-09-04

Energy

11 /100

-10.3 points since 2026-09-04

Recent change compares the latest reading with four observations earlier. Missing readings remain unavailable. Use the chart values above to inspect individual observations.

Comparative structural evidence

Why this architecture regime won

Every regime is evaluated
Balance60
Rotation Up29
Upward Expansion30
Deceleration48
Rotation Down19
Downward Expansion41

The winning regime is the state most consistent with the complete SM evidence set. Direction, energy, maturity and confidence describe different aspects of the current structure, while contradictory evidence remains visible rather than being averaged into false certainty.

Time spent in each state

The context behind todayโ€™s regime

2023-09-22 to 2026-10-02 ยท 156 classified observations out of 156 shown.

Balance 15%Rotation Up 6%Upward Expansion 19%Deceleration 12%Rotation Down 1%Downward Expansion 46%
Recent Trend Architecture ledger
RegimeRecognizedLast observationTenureMove inside regime
Balance2026-09-182026-10-02New+1.0%
Downward Expansion2026-02-272026-09-11Extended-25.1%
Balance2026-01-092026-02-13Developing-7.7%
Rotation Down2025-12-262026-01-02New+6.0%
Balance2025-12-052025-12-19New-4.2%
Upward Expansion2025-11-142025-11-28New-9.2%
Deceleration2025-10-172025-11-07New+15.2%
Upward Expansion2025-08-012025-10-10Developing+7.3%
Deceleration2025-04-182025-07-25Established+23.6%
Upward Expansion2025-03-142025-04-11Developing-33.2%
Balance2025-01-172025-03-07Developing+34.8%
Upward Expansion2024-11-082025-01-10Developing-23.2%
Rotation Up2024-10-112024-11-01New+15.4%
Balance2024-09-272024-10-04New+7.4%
Classic Stage Analysis comparison
Stage 1 ยท Basing71
Stage 2 ยท Advancing3
Stage 3 ยท Distribution9
Stage 4 ยท Declining97

Legacy result: Stage 4 ยท Stage 4C ยท Repair watch. It remains visible while the experimental architecture is validated rather than being silently discarded.

Leadership versus 399001.SZ

Is relative performance confirming the geometry?

Confirmation, not classification

Relative Strength

The security is compared with its market benchmark on the SM scale. Above zero indicates relative leadership; direction shows whether that leadership is improving or weakening.

Confirmation evidence

Lagging benchmark

Architecture confirmation
22/100
Current Relative Strength
-9.57
Relative Strength direction
Improving
Price momentum
-12.0%
Excess performance vs benchmark
-8.5%
Communication Services regime cohort
29th percentile31 in cohort
Participation and structure

Is demand confirming the architecture?

Volume cannot overrule geometry
Relative volume2.16ร—

Latest completed volume relative to typical participation.

Up/down volume1.70ร—

Participation balance between advancing and declining observations.

Accumulation / distribution3 / 2

Recent participation evidence classified by demand and supply.

Activity alignment+50.0%

Current positive alignment across Activity and Trend.

Fast/slow rotationImproving

Current relationship between Fast Activity and Slow Activity.

Structure stability+12.5%

Whether recent Activity evidence is stable or remains in balance.

Weekly volume with architecture context

Bars show completed weekly volume; the dashed line provides typical-volume context. Both measures use the same scale.

Decision architecture

References that would change the structural read

Evidence levels, not orders
Fast Activity CNY 4.10rising
Slow Activity CNY 4.09falling
Trend Reference CNY 4.28-4.1% close margin
Current Fair Value CNY 4.68-12.2% close margin
Structural low CNY 3.60shock / repair context
What changes the read?

Persistent fast/slow separation and fan expansion would end Balance; direction determines whether it becomes Rotation Up or Rotation Down.

Range context +6.8%
Annualized volatility +27.2%
From structural high -43.0%
From structural low +14.2%
Point-in-time evidence

What followed this architecture in this market?

Descriptive history, never a forecast

Historical comparisons use only the structural read that would have been available at each completed observation. Independent observations are used where possible, with benchmark comparison beginning after each recognized state.

Outcome horizon Samples Median movePositive periodsDirectional follow-through Median excess vs 399001.SZ Regime survived Read
Near term14-1.9%-9.4% to +56.2%+50.0%+50.0%-1.9%+42.9%Usable descriptive sample
Intermediate8-8.4%-26.3% to +17.9%+37.5%+37.5%-6.7%+12.5%Usable descriptive sample
Extended6-15.9%-28.7% to +154.9%+33.3%+33.3%-7.6%+16.7%Usable descriptive sample
Full cycle4+15.0%-23.6% to +96.6%+50.0%+50.0%-4.3%+50.0%Too little matched history
Evidence framework

What the analysis measures and where its limits lie

Trend Architecture

Trend Architecture brings Price, Fast Activity, Slow Activity and Trend into one structural read. It identifies balance, rotation, expansion, deceleration and contraction while requiring persistent evidence for confirmed regime changes.

Evidence roles

Trend, Activity, relative strength, volume and Fair Value each have a defined role in the SM evidence framework. No single reading is treated as sufficient on its own, and conflicting evidence remains visible.

Fair Value and RS

Current Fair Value provides a long-term price anchor and shows whether price is trading above, below or repairing toward that reference. Relative Strength compares the security with its benchmark and shows whether leadership is improving or weakening.

Known limitations

Weekly structure recognizes conditions after they develop. Event gaps can bypass smooth transitions, sideways markets can rotate repeatedly, and historical samples for a particular regime can be thin.

Independent market research for education. Not investment advice, a recommendation, a forecast, a target, or an execution instruction. Historical regime behaviour does not establish what happens next.

Evidence context